小龙888

2026年1月15日，上午1:24 的推文内容：

“BTC表现很强势，但订单簿上的金额数据，却在无声地告诉一个概率事件：

BTC在9.8万下方将面临一次下跌调整，回调支撑位 9.45万附近。

经过多次的验证，订单簿的金额数据绝大部分都很可靠和确定性高，虽然时间会略有滞后，但终归会发生。拭目以待。”

现在，BTC四小时级别的空头量能翻倍了！
MACD也在高位金叉了！不过这些信号相对于 订单薄上的委托买卖盘金额数据算是滞后了。

订单薄上的金额数据算是比较提前的看涨看跌的信号了，而且可靠性和确定性都很高！再次验证了订单薄上的金额数据配合自然交易理论来预判中短走势和趋势的前瞻性和可靠性。

Here it is, BTC has dropped down!
A tweet on January 15, 2026 said:

"The amount data on the order book quietly indicates a probabilistic event: BTC will face a downward correction below 98,000, with a support level around 94,500. After multiple validations, the order book amount data is mostly reliable and highly certain, though there may be slight delays in timing, but it will eventually happen. Stay tuned."

My prediction wasn't wrong. Please review my recent analysis and predictions on BTC price movements.

Will BTC soar to 100,000 immediately?

1) Order Book: A large amount of sell orders are piled up; based on historical data, the price is expected to experience a downward adjustment next;
2) ETF Institutions: In a favorable CPI data scenario, there was a net inflow of 750 million USD; the biggest driver behind the price surge;
3) 4-Hour Chart: Bullish momentum has not shown significant strength, and the main volume is not absolutely dominant.

If the bullish volume weakens subsequently, the price could potentially retrace to around 92,000.

DASH coin, the price has now risen to around 75.5U.
This coin should still have room to rise further. A pullback could be a good opportunity to get in.

$币安人生 , the first Chinese meme coin on Binance for spot and futures trading, has quietly risen with oscillations, now reaching a price of 0.195U.

I still maintain my initial prediction: $币安人生 could potentially reach a market cap of around 1 billion USD, meaning the price could rise to approximately 1U.

The first Chinese meme coin on Binance for spot and futures trading, the team behind the operation is likely Binance itself. Success or failure, it must be pushed forward!

$UAI Coin, getting ready to surge!

$UAI is an AI-native infrastructure designed specifically for the era of agent finance, providing intelligent trading, data analysis, and automated decision-making through an AI agent network. It supports cross-chain asset management and privacy protection. In short, it's suitable for DeFi and AI financial applications.

It has already launched on Binance Alpha and Contracts. After 66 days of triangular consolidation, it feels like a significant upward move might be coming soon.

Today, $UAI has successfully broken through the upper boundary of the symmetrical triangle. With 66 days of consolidation, low market cap, strong AI narrative, and a long consolidation cycle, once volume increases and it breaks upward, a major rally is imminent.

I personally am using low-leverage long positions on $UAI Coin.

Not investment advice, for reference only, risk and reward are your own.

$DASH coin, daily trading volume has set a historical record!!

A massive trading volume often signals a market reversal. If it occurs at a阶段性 low, it may trigger a subsequent upward trend; if it happens at a阶段性 high, it could lead to a downward trend.

ZEC coin has reached its peak, and the core team has already left. Is it now DASH coin's turn in the privacy coin sector? Time will tell.

BTC Short-term Market Outlook: This time it's likely unable to break through around 94,500, and will instead choose to decline and adjust again.

1) From the order book perspective, sell orders have started to accumulate significantly again; data doesn't lie. There might be a slight lag, but overall, it remains relatively reliable and highly certain.

2) On the 4-hour chart: the bullish momentum is at a secondary level, indicating that bulls aren't strong. This is the fourth attempt to break through 94,500, and it's highly likely to fail, followed by a downward correction to around 90,000.

3) I've already analyzed the daily chart trend of BTC for the next month—repeated oscillations with gradually rising lows, but no straight-line surge, which is extremely frustrating. Please refer to Figure 3 and my other detailed article on the projected one-month BTC movement.

Trading Plan: Plan to short BTC around 95,000.

The long-awaited XRP has finally broken through its historical high, with the first target price aimed at around 4.48, and the second target price at around 6.36. I am also continuously increasing my long position in XRP.

I have been holding my long position in BTC as well, remaining steadfast, with the next target price for BTC aimed at 138,000, and the final target price is between 150,000 and 160,000.

I don’t know if the two can successfully reach their target prices; I will just focus on growing and holding, leaving the results to fate.

$BTC $ETH $XRP

The primary market had a coin that made me go bankrupt directly,
The secondary market's ETH gives me psychological comfort.

The risk of meme coins in the primary market is really high!!

Before sleeping, this $CHAD coin had 100U+ left in the account, and when I woke up, it went straight to zero, damn it.

In the future, I won't gamble or speculate on various types of AI names from Musk; betting wrong leads directly to zero, it's too tragic! Fortunately, it was just 100U+; if it were several thousand U, it would have all gone to zero overnight. Money doesn't come easy, and every little bit counts. Remember the lesson, only engage in certain trades, no gambling or speculation.

In the future, I will focus more on trading that I am familiar with and have high certainty! I still hold long positions in Ethereum and Bitcoin, hoping to see Bitcoin rise to 150,000 to 160,000, and Ethereum first around 4,000U.

Bitcoin is consolidating; yesterday, ETF institutions had a net inflow of 700 million dollars, and BTC can continue to rise.

$BTC $ETH

Bitcoin Market Brief: Entering a Volatile Market! Further Upswing Expected!

1) Bearish momentum on the four-hour level is weakening, while bullish momentum is slightly stronger;
2) Yesterday, ETF institutions still had a net inflow of 35 million USD, maintaining a steady net inflow as always;
3) The selling orders on the order book have decreased.

Summary: On July 15, I had already outlined the projected movements of BTC for the following days, and the movement is proceeding as expected in the 0.618-0.786 range of the Fibonacci ascending channel, oscillating for several days before continuing to rise to around 137,000, followed by another wave of volatility, ultimately rising to the final target price of 150,000-160,000.

ETH is slightly stronger and will be heading towards the target price of 4000 USD.

$BTC $ETH

Has the short-term decline adjustment of BTC ended?

1) From the perspective of the strength of long and short positions in the four-hour timeframe, the short selling volume in the last two to three months has shown a decreasing trend, so a significant drop seems unlikely;
2) On the order book yesterday, there was an extremely large sell order amount around 120,000, with some BTC being sold by ancient fossils, causing significant price fluctuations in the short term;
3) The main funds have net outflows in both spot and futures within 24 hours, with a slightly smaller net outflow in the spot market;
4) On the 14th, American ETF institutions had a net inflow of 297 million USD, and there should have been a net outflow yesterday, but the ETF institutions did not have a large net outflow, indicating that ETF institutions are still likely to remain bullish on the future market;

Summary: BTC has fallen to the strong gravitational position of 0.618 in the Fibonacci ascending channel, which is around 106,000, and the short selling volume has significantly diminished, so the price falling to around 106,000 is basically a phase low. After some days of oscillation, it is expected to continue rising. The short-term decline adjustment does not change the medium-term upward trend direction and the expected target price.

In the previous article, I pointed out that Bitcoin's first target price is between 120,000 and 130,000. After oscillating for a few days, Bitcoin will aim for the second target price of 150,000 to 160,000. After Bitcoin rises to 150,000 to 160,000, due to the considerable increase, there is a high probability of encountering a significant depth decline adjustment, and a drop to around 120,000 or even 110,000 is also possible. Once Bitcoin reaches 150,000 to 160,000, we will analyze and judge at that time.

$BTC $ETH $WCT

BTC is consolidating in the range of 118,000 to 123,000. Can it continue to rise further?

1) On the order book, there is a super large sell order near 123,000, creating a historical volume. The pressure here should not be underestimated;
2) From the perspective of strength and weakness of long and short volume at the four-hour level, the bulls have been relatively strong recently, and the bearish volume has increased somewhat, but there has not been any strong movement;
3) Yesterday, the net outflow of ETF institutions was 97 million USD, which is not large compared to the net inflow of 1.1 billion.

Summary:

It is unrealistic for Bitcoin to continue rising to new highs in the short term. The super large sell order appearing near 123,000 on the order book cannot be digested all at once; it requires some time for consolidation.

Bitcoin will oscillate in the range of 118,000 to 123,000 for a few days before it can continue to break upwards and reach new highs. I still maintain my previous judgment: the target price for Bitcoin by the end of this year is between 150,000 and 160,000.

$BTC $ETH

If you're going to do it, go for the strongest and bottom-heavy altcoins!

The spot has been re-optimized and adjusted, buying low and selling high, re-entering M coins, and starting to buy PORTAL, OMNI, and SEI coins.

The long positions in Bitcoin and Ethereum in contracts remain unchanged, patiently holding, waiting for Bitcoin and Ethereum to explode, and then we'll talk about taking profits when BTC hits 150,000 to 160,000.

The most handsome boy, the strong妖币 $M coin review:

A strong coin controlled by the庄家, when it reaches a temporary peak, there will generally be a first wave of rapid volume decline, which is a signal for庄家 to sell. As shown in the figure, when the price of M coin rises to a high of 0.956u, a significant drop occurs at the hourly level.

In terms of trading psychology, retail investors without spot will think this is a bottom-fishing opportunity. Therefore, after a big drop, the price will rebound up to the Fibonacci retracement levels of 0.618 or 0.786. When the bullish volume weakens, the price will finally continue to decline. The 0.618 or 0.786 level is a relatively good entry point for shorting.

The most handsome guy has fallen hard! M coin's rise and fall record.

A great eagle soars with the wind, soaring up to ninety thousand miles.
One morning, a dream shatters like a falling jade, and prosperity seems like yesterday's beauty.

The most handsome guy M coin rose to a high of 0.956U, then started to crash and adjust. It looks like it will fall to the 0.382 level around 0.456. A drop presents an opportunity; dare to enter the market and buy at the bottom when others are cutting losses, and bravely retreat when the crowd is roaring.

I still have high hopes for MEMEX's M coin and its ecosystem. Patiently wait for the drop to adjust, and buy the most handsome guy, a strong coin, a market-maker coin.

#MEMEX #MEMECORE

U.S. ETF institutions went on a buying spree for BTC yesterday, with a net inflow of $1.1 billion! See Figure 1

Therefore, Bitcoin has been fluctuating for two to three days, and it is highly likely to continue its upward momentum next Monday.
With both the market and institutions this enthusiastic, the upward trend is here; we might as well be bold and invest in quality altcoins, such as ETH, SEI, etc.

Since early June, SharpLink Gaming has accumulated 253,000 ETH through a micro-strategy operational model, with an average purchase price of about $2,647, currently showing a floating profit of $79.88 million. See Figure 2.

Bitcoin is already in a one-sided upward trend, and it will likely continue to fluctuate upwards, targeting a price of $150,000 to $160,000. It is recommended to focus on going long and follow the trend; do not go against it. If you must hedge, shorting Bitcoin can be considered in the short term, but it is not advisable to hold short positions on Bitcoin and Ethereum in the medium term. See Figure 3.

This is not investment advice, for reference only.

$BTC $ETH $SEI