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The ADP Private Sector Employment Report will be released tonight at 21:15 (commonly known as the small non-farm payroll).
Economists predict that the U.S. economy will add 73,000 jobs in December ADP employment, up from 64,000 in November, with the unemployment rate expected to drop from 4.6% to 4.5%. If the published value is greater than the expected value of 4.5%, it will be positive for the U.S. economy and the dollar, and negative for non-U.S. currencies.
ADP employment data is usually not considered a reliable leading indicator. Investors anticipate that the Federal Reserve will cut rates at least twice this year and are watching for more clues from the non-farm payroll data released on Friday.
It's already starting to drop before evening, the dollar index is falling, and $BTC and $ETH are also dropping. Let's check the data tonight!
The United States has arrested Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro on charges of drug trafficking and money laundering. Multiple media outlets and intelligence analysts have stated that the Venezuelan government has secretly accumulated approximately 600,000 to 660,000 bitcoins since 2018.
How did they manage to save so much $BTC ? Since the start of increased U.S. sanctions in 2018, the Maduro regime has employed several strategies to circumvent the dollar system and banking blockades: 1. Gold for Bitcoin: In 2018, a large amount of gold (approximately 73 tons, worth about $2.7 billion) was exported from the Orinoco mining area, part of which was exchanged for BTC when bitcoin prices were low (around $3000 to $10000), holding it until now for a several-fold increase. 2. Selling oil for USDT and then exchanging for BTC: From 2023 to 2025, the state-owned oil company (PDVSA) of Venezuela required buyers to pay for oil in Tether (USDT) and then quietly converted the USDT into bitcoin to avoid freezing the Tether accounts. 3. Confiscating domestic mining machines: Many private bitcoin mines were raided, and the mined coins were directly nationalized.
Official on-chain tracking (such as Bitcoin Treasuries) only shows that the Venezuelan government wallet contains 240 BTC (only a few million dollars), and the hottest discussion point now is: if the U.S. really controls these private keys, how will they handle it? 1. Freeze → Become part of the "U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve" (similar to confiscated criminal assets), effectively permanently removing 3% of the BTC supply from the market → Super bullish. 2. Auction → Trigger a massive drop like Germany selling 50,000 BTC in 2024 (but this batch is 12 times larger, the market may collapse). 3. Return to the new government → To rebuild the country.
On Polymarket, I could not find a specific betting market directly confirming whether "Venezuela holds a $60 billion bitcoin reserve" exists! Current market reaction: Bitcoin surged to over $93,000+ after the news broke, indicating that many people see this as a huge positive due to reduced supply.
Now the whole network is betting on who will ultimately hold the private keys and whether it will become the largest "lock-up event" in bitcoin history. The truth may take subsequent court rulings, on-chain tracking, or official statements to reveal, but this story has tightly bound geopolitics and bitcoin together, adding a lot of heat to the crypto market in 2026! #polymarket #加密市场观察
$JUP 0.2336 Dear teachers, can you believe it? Last time on December 30th when I looked at JUP, it was still 0.1860, and now a week has passed, and it actually rose 📈!
The current price is 0.2336, an increase of 25%! It seems that the cryptocurrency market has really warmed up recently. Last year, the meme coins on the Solana chain were quite crazy. This year, we are looking at Alpha, and the year before that, we were looking at inscriptions...
王子路
--
Bullish
Jupiter ($JUP) Jupuary 2026 is the final large-scale Jupuary airdrop for Jupiter, the leading DEX aggregator in the Solana ecosystem.
Token allocation has been significantly reduced (from 700 million to 200 million for active users + 200 million for stakers), decreasing selling pressure while locking 300 million for JupNet. The snapshot date is January 30, 2026. There is less than a month left.
If half of the active users sell, the actual share for stakers may expand to 3x (time-weighted staking, the earlier you stake, the more you earn). This is a clear signal that Jupiter is shifting from "high airdrop, high dump" to "deflationary + loyalty incentives".
In the past, Jupuary would immediately result in over 700M being dumped; this time it has been cut to 400M released + 300M locked, reducing total selling pressure by half, which is friendly for short-term prices. With trading volume in the Solana ecosystem recovering, Jupiter, as the king of aggregation (accounting for a large portion of daily fees), is essentially helping $JUP capture long-term value. Short-term fluctuations before the snapshot are normal, but the design is genuinely beneficial for long-term $JUP.
Looking at the current 4-hour K-line chart, it's hard to see where JUP will rise, right??? Do the teachers think it will rise? {future}(JUPUSDT)
$BTC Current price 91345. From the 4H chart, the upward trend is very obvious, 87000 has completed the bottoming process, and there is a small resistance level at the upper line of 938000!
BTC breaking below 90000 is too easy. According to this mainstream CEX long and short liquidation chart, the downward spike breaking 90,000 completes the liquidation of 364 million long positions in the mainstream CEX. Then it directly takes off, breaking through 93,000 to liquidate 528 million short positions.
From the 30-minute chart, BTC temporarily finds it difficult to break below 90,000. If this chart is used as a reference, 364 million dollars only needs a major waterfall once to be sufficient. After accumulating a few more times, we can soon see BTC at 100,000 again; this time won't be too far away, before the end of January! $BTC
The 2025 Explosion of Privacy Coins: From the Collapse of Bitcoin's 'Privacy Myth' to ZEC's Counterattack!
Happy New Year everyone! I am Xiao Lu from GrowBlocks, a practical player who has launched over 200 DEX/NFT/exchanges/dapps!
At the beginning of 2026, our channel continues to delve into crypto hotspots. Today, let's talk about the privacy coin frenzy in Q4 2025—why coins like ZEC and XMR suddenly transformed from 'marginal players' to market favorites? All of this cannot be separated from two major money laundering cases: Chen Zhi (the leader of the Cambodian prince group) and Qian Zhiming (China's 'Crypto Queen') in the Bitcoin seizure incident. These two cases directly burst the 'decentralized privacy' bubble of BTC, causing funds to flock to truly anonymous privacy coins!
Today, the most resonant sentence after Manus was acquired by Meta was: Later, I, like everyone present, was misled into the crypto world due to an enemy's betrayal, while Xiao Hong entered the AI industry.
Jupiter ($JUP) Jupuary 2026 is the final large-scale Jupuary airdrop for Jupiter, the leading DEX aggregator in the Solana ecosystem.
Token allocation has been significantly reduced (from 700 million to 200 million for active users + 200 million for stakers), decreasing selling pressure while locking 300 million for JupNet. The snapshot date is January 30, 2026. There is less than a month left.
If half of the active users sell, the actual share for stakers may expand to 3x (time-weighted staking, the earlier you stake, the more you earn). This is a clear signal that Jupiter is shifting from "high airdrop, high dump" to "deflationary + loyalty incentives".
In the past, Jupuary would immediately result in over 700M being dumped; this time it has been cut to 400M released + 300M locked, reducing total selling pressure by half, which is friendly for short-term prices. With trading volume in the Solana ecosystem recovering, Jupiter, as the king of aggregation (accounting for a large portion of daily fees), is essentially helping $JUP capture long-term value. Short-term fluctuations before the snapshot are normal, but the design is genuinely beneficial for long-term $JUP.
Looking at the current 4-hour K-line chart, it's hard to see where JUP will rise, right??? Do the teachers think it will rise?
$ETH 2952 Dear teachers, I didn't get on the bus! My more than 2910 orders didn't go through, is it still possible to get on now?
Are you all doing a lot? Where do we see this bullish wave, 3200?
王子路
--
Bullish
$ETH 2959 The increase hasn't even been warm for a day before it dropped back, and strangely, spot silver and gold have also fallen. There isn't much data today, and at 5:30 AM, Trump will give a speech. Is this to make room for the increase in the early morning?
If it breaks below the support level of 2912, it's done. 2912-2800-2620! To rise requires real money, but to fall only needs a little disturbance in the market, the rise is for a better fall.
Before the US stock market opens, check if there are signs of a rebound; if not, wait for a wave of convulsions in the early morning. Originally, ETH was expected to rise in the long term, but now it seems that ETH is still likely to fall in the long term!
According to the chart, I tend to buy at 2910! Haha….$ETH {future}(ETHUSDT)
$ETH 2959 The increase hasn't even been warm for a day before it dropped back, and strangely, spot silver and gold have also fallen. There isn't much data today, and at 5:30 AM, Trump will give a speech. Is this to make room for the increase in the early morning?
If it breaks below the support level of 2912, it's done. 2912-2800-2620! To rise requires real money, but to fall only needs a little disturbance in the market, the rise is for a better fall.
Before the US stock market opens, check if there are signs of a rebound; if not, wait for a wave of convulsions in the early morning. Originally, ETH was expected to rise in the long term, but now it seems that ETH is still likely to fall in the long term!
According to the chart, I tend to buy at 2910! Haha….$ETH
Monad is the hottest L1 project this year, with the mainnet launched in November 2025. The TVL surged to over $170 million, with $244 million raised. The team's background is solid (former executives from Jump Trading).
Monad aims to achieve 'Solana performance + Ethereum compatibility + true decentralization' for L1, with core selling points including parallel EVM execution + custom databases + optimistic concurrency, targeting over 10k TPS, low gas fees, and a hardware threshold low enough for ordinary servers to run nodes.
The technical section of the Monad white paper is written in a hardcore and credible manner, with detailed concurrency models and database designs, but the tokenomics and unlocking details are vaguely written (typical VC-friendly), belonging to a project characterized by 'strong technology, with a fairly standard economic model leaning towards early holders.' 2025
The competition in L1 is heating up, and Monad's advantages are EVM compatibility and performance. Looking at its token $MON, it is struggling like $RLS, a typical situation where the project team is active but the token price is not strong.
The ecosystem is not taking off → only performance exists. VC selling pressure → price continues to bottom out.
The market still lacks liquidity, making it hard to see a standout performance. Alpha provides most of the market's liquidity. What tokens do you think can take off??? #VC Selling Pressure #Liquidity#加密市场观察 $RLS
UNI has finally started to burn, 100 million directly disappeared from the treasury, market value of 590 million dollars gone.
Voting passed by 99.9%, Hayden@haydenzadams
Posted personally saying "Merry Christmas", I almost thought this was a Christmas gift package—turns out it was just a lonely play, and the price of $UNI is still stuck within the box I drew last time.
From the 4-hour candlestick chart: $UNI obviously still has room to rise, after peaking at 6.537 after the last post, it has started to pull back, with a clear support level around 5.6. Now the price of UNI is fluctuating between 5.8-5.9, with options expiration + holiday recovery, short-term volatility is inevitable. The bullish view remains unchanged, looking at 7 dollars in the short term.
Why can't #UNI keep rising?
The protocol fee switch that should have been opened in 2018 is only now being flipped, and it can continue to buy back & burn every year, theoretically reducing supply by 5-10% annually.
Sounds great, right? No matter how powerful the burn mechanism is, if liquidity doesn't come in + the market doesn't accept it = wasted burns.
What I fear the most is: when good news is exhausted, it becomes bad news, burning coins until they turn into your own position.
Have you traded yet? Or are you still waiting to see after the timelock ends on the 28th? Share your position in the comments, and I'll help you calculate the risk-reward ratio of this "largest DeFi burn in history" 😂