韩丹

1. Last night, BTC dropped below 73,000. ETH reached a low of 2,100.

In this market, don't expect a rebound from an oversold condition. Because the bottom is indeed not obvious at the moment. It's similar to gambling.

For example, I previously thought 1 was a good value, so I bought some. Last night before sleeping, it pulled up by 50%. As a result, this morning I woke up to find it brought back down by the market.

Let's wait for the market to stabilize before looking for a resonance point.

2. What is liking?

We often say to do what we like. But what exactly is liking?

In fact, the word liking is not very good. Because some likes are common – for example, everyone likes money, likes beautiful things; dislikes tiring or bad things.

Moreover, many things we like have to go through some things we dislike.

To summarize: Sometimes, certain words really have too much impact on us. Don't get caught up in liking or disliking. Just do well with what you have in hand.

3. I have been pursuing a feeling of being desireless and demandless.

At one point, I even thought that death is the highest state for everyone, because death means being desireless and demandless.

But today I listened to a podcast, and he said – people have desires and some 'small selves'; it’s precisely because we are still alive.

Right, thinking about it this way makes me feel at ease.

$HYPE Doing long-term BTC, are there any good K-line indicators to recommend?

Yes～ Weekly EMA56.

Many people also look at Daily MA120, but based on my experience from two cycles of bull and bear markets, the Weekly EMA56 is a very good long-term indicator for BTC.

It's also very simple to operate:

If the weekly K-line effectively breaks below the Weekly EMA56, sell. Conversely～ if it breaks above, buy. No matter how it fluctuates in between, just ignore it.

From this perspective, in the long run～ BTC has not yet reached a reasonable entry point.

So, I personally am not making much movement at the moment. If I feel the urge, I might buy a few hundred to a thousand U. But I will definitely wait for BTC to effectively break through EMA56 before making a large position.

What indicators is everyone looking at?

0.0000557*900=0.05

Pre-market: 0.042

Is the new purchase still expensive?

.meme is essentially an outlet for emotions.

We must admit that humans are emotional beings.

Therefore, we are always influenced by certain things that evoke emotions.
Once we have emotions, we inevitably need to do something to release them.

Sometimes it's eating, drinking, traveling...

But it can also be purchasing a specific meme asset.
However, if we invest emotions in buying a meme, we cannot let emotions interfere, because this is investing.

So, we need to think, is the emotion expressed in this story intense? Is the explosive power strong? Which meme can carry this emotion? How is the story's传播力? Will it have a greater传播力?

Because not every good story will be spread.

And once this story is spread, if its explosive power/infectiousness is strong, we must pay close attention.

Additionally, consider: what is the current emotional value? If this emotion is spread more widely, what could its value be?

For example, today's penguin.

This is a very good story and can spread well. Therefore, the j meme on the sol chain has been rising for the past few days. But the传播力 is still not enough, at least there are very few people discussing it in the Chinese-speaking community.

Today, the White House retweeted. It's a再传播 of emotions.

However, sol has already risen significantly, and bsc has also made a move, and since there is already the legitimate sol, it won't rise too much.

So, the emotions have shifted to the vulgar penguin. But after all, it is emotion, and it ended quickly.

Therefore, the only opportunity this morning was to go for the vulgar penguin. After all, it has already hit a very low point, and it can't drop much further. The odds are sufficient. I got in, but it was also a loss, a loss of 990,000. The lowest result was 1,000,000. Then the emotion hit, and it instantly rose 2.5 times. Don't save on these small amounts in the future.

However, today's event review still yielded significant insights.

Plan to buy 1000u

The result order was not filled

Then there was no callback

It just doubled directly.

Hold it, wait for the fomo on the 24th.

It's a pity I couldn't buy them all

But it has quadrupled

Grateful Grateful Grateful

Small capital wants to make 1 million U～just watch this one post (regret after selling Binance Life)

The principle is the first one in the image.

As someone who's been in the circle for 8 years, I've experienced countless moments like this.

Take $I'm Here, for example, just a few days ago. When it first appeared on Alpha, there was a wave of online criticism…………

But what followed those criticisms? $I'm Here surged 10x in just 4 days.

I bought into it based on the principle in image one.

Yet, even though I knew this principle, I still got scared by human fear and ended up selling too early on $Binance Life.

Recently, everyone was spreading FUD about Binance Life. Saying Chinese coins are skyrocketing, but the leader isn't moving.

For a moment, I got nervous too, especially since it's already on spot trading, and CZ himself said there won't be any more good news (FUD was saying the same thing).

So I sold all my Binance Life.

And then missed today's massive surge…………

There are so many examples like this. Including $ACT, which was heavily FUDed.

Then it shot up 10x in just one day.

So think about it—have you ever been scared by FUD and sold out, only to see it explode the next day?

Or sold right before it exploded?

My Binance Life… I sold too early… sold too early… I'm crying…...

Is the bull coming?

$BTC

$FORM is starting again

Have been investing regularly below 0.4 for a long time

This time, please don't go down

If it goes down again, I won't have any more ammunition to add positions

1. This meme itself is quite popular, not only in the crypto community but also because this year is the Year of the Horse, which naturally lends itself to puns. Combined with Chinese cultural context, this asset has: Chinese elements + Year of the Horse + wordplay puns +++ most importantly, it was promoted by the main traffic driver — a top influencer posted about it, and it was featured on Binance Alpha.

2. The clear opportunity emerged after Binance Alpha featured this meme, sparking widespread backlash. However, this criticism was directed at Binance and its leadership, not the meme itself.

Ironically, this backlash actually boosted the meme's visibility; it also indicates that those who are complaining likely don’t hold any tokens and won’t dump. Therefore, their criticism has no real impact on the asset.

4. Furthermore, the negative comments from many KOLs will inevitably bring massive traffic. This exposure introduces the asset to a large audience. Among them, some may hold tokens, but the majority don’t (since the market cap was still relatively low at the time).

The motivations of these KOLs are limited to two: either they have no holdings and are just venting due to recent losses, or they want others to sell so they can buy at a lower price.

5. Looking further: among the massive traffic, a small portion may sell out of fear (FUD). As a result, the price initially corrected — dropping from around 5M to about 3.6M.

6. However, the token’s distribution is healthy — there were no suspicious addresses accumulating large positions ahead of time to manipulate or dump the price.

Therefore, once those selling due to FUD have exited, and with no malicious actors to cause a complete collapse, the price can recover. During this process, some buyers (like me) will step in, further driving the price upward.

7. As the price rises, more traffic comes in, fueling further price increases. This cycle continues until the current narrative reaches what people perceive as its peak valuation.
#我踏马来了 $我踏马来了

It's been going for 4 days

It's about time. Typically, conduction is pretty much settled after 4 days. Unless there's a new hot spot pushing it.

Look, Chinese memes are so popular, why hasn't Binance Life pumped?

Because of the share structure—there are too many locked-in positions, it can't move. Those still buying Binance Life lately really need to reflect.

I sold the remaining 2/3 after the CZ book title.

But is Binance Life a good asset?

Should we still buy?

When should we buy?

That's the real key.

Bought yesterday, Mom, doubled today, sold all.

Reminding everyone—don't be the last one to catch the falling knife.

I can't help but laugh just looking at it

After buying mom, I dare not sell mom

After all, the implication is not good. Haha

The demand for new asset launches in this area is still quite strong.

However, no company with the vision of Binance in the previous round has emerged yet.

Therefore, competition among various platforms continues. Although there are a few leading ones—form pump virtual—but it's not yet a complete monopoly.

If a company can empower its native platform token and focus on user needs, it's highly likely to become a standout player.

In the future, many 'cultural' assets could potentially thrive through such platforms.

The recent intense competition in per also holds potential for exceptional companies. There are opportunities everywhere—just be patient and wait.

Why dare to enter when so many people were criticizing yesterday

It's precisely because of this line in the system
#币安上线币安人生

1. Today, Binance Alpha launched～"I finally made it." Because everyone thought the name was bad, they were all complaining.

But I know. It's because people have been losing money lately, and their frustration is high.

However, the biggest mistake in investing is "emotion."～And this is an opportunity.

Today I went to try skiing. This news came out before I started skiing.

I only had 1000u worth of Alpha in my phone. I bought in and then placed a limit order to go skiing. When I came back from skiing, the order had been filled. I made a 40% profit.

I'm quite satisfied.

The key isn't making money—it's that the logic has been validated. No emotion. Not carried away by the market.

Grateful. Grateful. Grateful.

2. Last night, Binance launched Binance Life, which surged by over 40% instantly.

But today, it not only retraced, but dropped even further.

Yesterday, I sold 1/3 of my nearly cost-free spot positions.

Everyone knew it would eventually launch, so many were waiting to sell right before launch, setting up early positions. Most likely, it will now come back down.

It's a bit unfortunate that my hedging position was stopped out on both sides two days before the launch. Otherwise, I might have had a small win.

But looking at the results, there are still many strategies in Web3 that offer solid returns. After all, the current rules are still unclear.

Be patient and wait for the right opportunity.

When everyone is complaining

It means there's no stock

Bought before skiing, hoping for a short-term gain

Already made 400u after skiing

This strategy is for this moment

Loss, at most 1600 u

Profit 5000.u

Bad luck, stop-loss early

But the strategy is fine

$币安人生

【Han Dan's 126th Diary】

1. Recently, there's a trade with relatively high certainty—BREV. I did some research, waiting for the airdrop and holder-related selling pressure to subside. I planned to go long on a dip for a short-term play, with a high payoff ratio.

But I didn't do it. The 24-hour return was around 50%.

Do I regret it? Not at all—actually, I'm a bit happy.

Because several times when I picked up my trading phone to act, a voice asked me in that moment: Is this the right thing to do?

No, it isn't.

Because by choosing not to trade—despite the 99% certainty—I rejected the uncertainty of 'trading'.

We're surrounded by too many temptations. And these temptations often come from the 'short term'. But once we focus on the short term, the outcome is usually not good.

Start with the end in mind.

2. Today's Binance new token launch was based on a 5 million FDV. 26.4% circulating supply, with funding around 10 million.

I calculated it would likely yield at least 20x. I decided to participate immediately.

Although the final return was over 30x.

But. But. But. The oversubscription was 1200x, with individual participation amounts under 1.5u. Individual returns were around 35u—pretty average, really.

Certainty.

Sometimes certainty can be hedged

Not betting on whether it will rise or fall

But if there is $币安人生 on Binance, the profit from a long position will be very large, but a short position will lose 1600 u.

Did not wait for the announcement. The wear and tear is not significant. Acceptable

But if market sentiment comes, the probability of certain opportunities is very high with good odds, and it is essential to use appropriate methods to earn certain returns.