HNIW30 here: Crypto vet sharing no-BS insights from market trenches. Real tactics to beat volatility, minus the hype. Follow @HNIW
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🌪️ The Japanese Yen ¥ Storm and Bitcoin’s Supercycle Dream
🚀 Is the Crypto Market Really About to Explode? You know, financial markets sometimes feel like a giant domino game 🁢🁢🁢 — one tile falls, and an entire chain can collapse. Recently, rumors about intervention in the Japanese yen 💴 have been sending shockwaves across markets, from Wall Street 🏦 to crypto forums 🌐.
📌 I still clearly remember Q3 2024, when the yen suddenly strengthened by 15% against the USD: 🟠 Bitcoin crashed hard🔻 Altcoins were completely wiped out📉 Even U.S. equities couldn’t escape Only 🥇 gold and 🥈 silver were “smiling,” surging like the only true safe havens. 👉 Now in 2026, the scenario seems to be repeating itself, but with a very interesting twist: ⚡ this could be the launchpad for Bitcoin’s “SUPER CYCLE” — something Changpeng Zhao (CZ) once predicted. 🔍 What’s really happening with the yen? For decades, a weak yen has been the lifeblood of global investors 💧. They would: 📉 Borrow yen at ultra-low interest rates📈 Funnel that capital into stocks, real estate, and crypto This strategy is known as carry trade — high risk, high reward 🎯. ⚠️ But when the yen suddenly strengthens (USD/JPY falling from 159 → 153): Japanese investors and major funds are forced to unwind positions🔥 Widespread liquidation follows 📊 The short-term consequences: 🟠 Bitcoin and altcoins stagger, losing several percent within 24 hours🥇 Gold breaks above $5,000/oz🥈 Silver hits $110/oz 👉 Sounds familiar? Exactly like 2024. Back then, everyone thought: “This is the end.” ❌ Yet just weeks later, the market stabilized and exploded upward in September–October 🚀. 🧠 The Supercycle — CZ’s thesis CZ once shared that 2026 could mark the end of Bitcoin’s traditional 4-year cycle ⏳. Instead, we may enter a SUPER CYCLE 📈 longer growth phases 📉 fewer deep crashes 💎 a more mature market Why? 1️⃣ The policy environment is changing 🇺🇸 The U.S. is becoming more crypto-friendly📜 Clearer regulatory frameworks🏦 Institutional capital flowing in aggressively 2️⃣ Big money is already here 🟠 Bitcoin ETFs absorbing billions of dollars🏢 Corporations holding BTC as reserve assets🏦 Major banks (like UBS) joining the space 3️⃣ Monetary easing and a weakening USD 📉 Historically bullish long-term for risk assets 📌 CZ emphasizes: Bitcoin has now “matured” — deeper liquidity, lower volatility. Pullbacks are buy-the-dip opportunities, not the end of the cycle. 🔗 Connecting the dots 🌪️ Yen intervention = short-term pain 🌅 But it may also be the gateway to a supercycle Imagine this: Forced selling finally endsCapital flows back inInflation, pension funds, and ETFs converge 🚀 Bitcoin doesn’t just recover 👉 it could establish an entirely new price regime 🧭 I’m not a professional — just someone who has followed the markets for years. But if there’s one takeaway: 🧘 Don’t panic sell 👀 Watch USD/JPY closely 🧠 Understand capital flows instead of reacting emotionally Who knows… 🌪️ Today’s yen storm might turn out to be 🌅 the dawn of a new era for Bitcoin 💬 What do you think?
💵📈 US session starts – BTC forms a green column as expected
As I shared earlier in the afternoon about the FED injecting money, the influx of capital during the US session has reacted very clearly on $BTC . Just after the session opened, the price immediately formed a strong green column, indicating that large funds are returning to the market.
However, also because my current BTC position is quite large, I won't open too many new trades today. The priority right now is:
Protect the existing position
Observe market reactions
Wait for a clearer entry point 🧠📊
It's not always good to trade a lot,
what's important is to go with the rhythm and control risk.
💰 THE FED WILL INJECT AN ADDITIONAL 8.3 BILLION USD INTO THE MARKET AT 9:00 PM (UTC+7) TODAY! ⏰
👉 This is NOT a “money printing” emergency like QE during the crisis 🖨️❌ ➡️ But rather the regular purchase of treasury bonds by the FED to maintain system liquidity 💧 📅 This plan has been scheduled since December 2025, with a total scale of about 55 BILLION USD for the current period 💵 🎯 Target: Stabilizing short-term interest rates 📉 Supporting the operation of the financial market 🏦 📊 Although it is not “crash” or “loss of control” news like some FUD rumors 😱❌
📈🔥 WLFI – the bet has been in the watchlist before 🚨
As previously shared, WLFI is the one I have been closely monitoring lately. After the recent correction, the price has returned to a reasonable range to start looking for LONG.
As soon as I opened my eyes, I saw the LONG order from yesterday in deep red 📉 The immediate question that popped into my head was: "What the heck is happening with $BTC ?" 🥹
Fortunately, I made quite a bit yesterday, so my mindset is still stable, not panicking yet 🧘♂️ But looking back, I see the volume is a bit high, so I can't be complacent.
Well, today I'll hunt for a few good opportunities to have the motivation to hold this order $BTC 😅🔥
Today is a day for the market with both TP and SL, and everything is handled according to plan. ✅ RIVER – Played 2 rounds – Both rounds have completed TP 🎯🎯 The price is moving according to the structure, very clear reaction. ✅ $DUSK – The bet has also reached TP 📉🎯 A neat order, on point, no need to strain. 📌 BET NOW – Played 2 rounds – Round 1 has TP – Round 2 has reached TP1 🚀 – Reduced the volume, the remaining part continues to be managed to aim for the next TP for a lighter mindset 😌
$DUSK is showing signs of weakness after a bounce, with weak price reactions at resistance and no follow-through from buyers. Selling pressure is starting to appear again, suitable for shorting according to the short-term structure.
🔍 Arguments: • The bounce lacks strength, volume does not support 📉 • Price is rejected at resistance • The structure leans more towards correction than continuation of the uptrend
Priority is to trade tightly, do not hold. If wrong, cut losses; if right, let the market respond 📊🧠
Price has rebounded to the old zone but buying power is not strong enough, the rebound shows signs of slowing down. The short-term structure has not changed, sellers are still controlling the rhythm.
⏱️ As long as you're awake, there are still opportunities, let the price respond on its own 📉🔥
$DUSK is showing signs of weakness after a bounce, with weak price reactions at resistance and no follow-through from buyers. Selling pressure is starting to appear again, suitable for shorting according to the short-term structure.
🔍 Arguments: • The bounce lacks strength, volume does not support 📉 • Price is rejected at resistance • The structure leans more towards correction than continuation of the uptrend
Priority is to trade tightly, do not hold. If wrong, cut losses; if right, let the market respond 📊🧠
✅ RIVER: the SHORT bet has reached TP1 neatly 🎯 Following the plan, no stress, no FOMO — the market rewards fairly 👏
📈 BTC: the LONG order is starting to profit 💚 After the initial fluctuations, the price is moving in the expected direction. The structure remains intact, continue to manage the order according to the plan.
Trading doesn't always need to be noisy. Just follow the process, be patient enough, and the results will come by themselves ☕️📊
BTC just had a slight shake-up of ~200 prices after entering a long position. But looking closely, this is not a weak signal, but a very familiar supply test.
💡 Notable points: • Prices were pushed down but there was no follow-up selling pressure • As it dropped, there was immediate buying support 🛡️ • The structure remains intact, no breakdown at all
Such moments often cause: 👉 Early entrants to start doubting 👉 Those on the sidelines to find better entry points 🎯
📌 For me, this is a healthy pullback in the trend, it's not a reason to be afraid, but a reason to pay attention 👀📊
The market always rewards those who are patient. Opportunities usually only appear in a few shaky candles like this 🚀🔥
Trade $BTC here 👇👇👇
HNIW30
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Bullish
📈✨ $BTC – LONG THEO CẤU TRÚC
BTC is holding a significant support area 🛡️ Selling pressure is not expanding, buying force is becoming more evident with each adjustment 🔄
In the context of liquidity not being too strong, prioritize light long – manage risk tightly 🎯
📌 LONG BTC 💰 Entry: 89,000 🛑 SL: 88,500 🎯 TP: 90,000 Risk: 2/10🟢 Trade $BTC here