💥 $BTC is truly "decoupling" — and that's a positive signal. $FOGO
2025 marks a clear turning point: #Bitcoin is no longer seen merely as an on-chain or base-layer story, but has become a true macro asset. $FRAX
A few key points to face directly:
✅ Price and dominance remain stable around 58–60%, even as base-layer activity cools down (number of active addresses declines). ✅ Liquidity and velocity haven't disappeared — they've simply shifted off-chain, through ETFs, custody systems, and institutional channels. ✅ This reflects market maturation, not weakness.
At this stage, the valuation of #BTC is increasingly driven by macro liquidity and capital allocation behavior, rather than solely on transaction volume or on-chain usage data.
Entering 2026, the picture is tilting more toward adoption-driven dynamics and sensitivity to macro cycles. In this structure, #Bitcoin still holds its role as the core reference point — the place where large capital flows go when clarity of positioning is needed.
This is not a cause for concern. This is a sign that the asset has entered the next phase of its lifecycle.
This chart is speaking quite clearly — if you look at price behavior instead of emotions. 👀
The actual bear trap has been completed. Liquidity below has been swept clean, weak positions forced to exit the market. $FOGO Accompanying this is a refreshed sentiment, less extreme expectations, less noise.
In this context, #BTC is showing signs of readiness to enter the next expansion phase. $FRAX The structure is no longer distributional, but leaning more toward accumulation after the reset.
Therefore, $120K returning to the watch zone is not a far-fetched idea. $DOLO Not because the market 'wants' to go up, but because capital is gradually returning at a time when impatient players have already left.
Whether this move has started or not — that will be confirmed by price. 🔥 For now, the structure is doing exactly what it typically does before a further move.
$BTC 🚨 Psychological Trap Warning: The 'Double Top' Story Might Harm Late Sellers
Markets always tend to cling to familiar patterns, and the 'classic double top' is being discussed extensively right now. On the surface, Bitcoin's price structure resembles the previous cycle — but it's precisely this familiarity that poses the risk. Markets rarely reward what's too obvious.
In the previous cycle, the double top pattern formed amid tightening liquidity, weakening demand, and increasing monetary pressure. Currently, the underlying fundamentals are entirely different: spot ETFs are operating, institutional capital is being absorbed steadily, circulating supply is shrinking, and demand is stronger and more structural. The chart may look similar, but the fuel is not.
What many overlook is this: when most people see the same bearish scenario, it often becomes a liquidity trap, not a conclusive signal. The market creates volatility, forces out weak positions, and then moves in the opposite direction of consensus.
History does not repeat — it sets traps.
Therefore, the core question is not 'Is this a double top?', but rather: who will be forced out of the game before the next move forms.
Just a 10% increase in $ETH would push over $5B of short positions into a risky liquidation zone. This is not a small number, and it highlights the significant position imbalance currently present in the derivatives market.
$BTC has completed its prior move. $FOGO Capital is now shifting focus to $ETH . $DOLO
The key point isn't that shorts are trapped, but rather the liquidity structure. When too many positions are betting on the same side, the market only needs a moderate push to trigger a chain reaction — no news, no story required.
However, a squeeze only occurs when price is genuinely accepted at higher levels, not from a short-term spike. If that happens, pressure to close positions will self-amplify price movement.
This is the stage where price behavior matters more than emotions. Liquidations are always a consequence — never a cause.
The movement of $BTC over the past week is showing the market entering a crucial testing phase, where the structure is beginning to speak for itself. $FOGO
The $86–$91K price range has acted as a balancing foundation during the correction. When price holds this area, selling pressure gradually diminishes and reversal reactions emerge—not due to emotion, but because supply and demand have temporarily reached a stable state. $FRAX
Currently, the real challenge lies at the 50-week EMA (the yellow line). Previously, this line provided support for months. Once broken, it shifts role to resistance—and the market is forced to face it again.
If BTC can break above and be accepted above the 50-week EMA, the probability of extending toward the next resistance zone increases significantly. The area to watch closely lies around $97–$98K: • Holding above this zone → reversal structure is confirmed • Failure → the market may need more time to accumulate
In the confirmed scenario, subsequent targets open up around $103K, followed by $108K 🔥
This is not a story of prediction, but how the market reacts at key structural levels.
Việc $BTC nỗ lực giành lại weekly MA50 không đơn thuần là một tín hiệu kỹ thuật ngắn hạn. Trong nhiều chu kỳ trước, đường trung bình này luôn đóng vai trò như ranh giới rõ ràng giữa pha giảm và pha tăng. $BARD
Ở các thị trường bear trước đây, Bitcoin đã nhiều lần cố vượt lên nhưng đều thất bại — giá chỉ thực sự được chấp nhận phía trên MA50 khi xu hướng lớn đã đảo chiều. Vì vậy, phản ứng tại khu vực này mang ý nghĩa cấu trúc, không phải dao động ngẫu nhiên.
Nếu được giữ vững, đây có thể là nền tảng cho nhịp mở rộng kế tiếp. Nếu bị từ chối, thị trường nhiều khả năng cần thêm thời gian để tích lũy và tái cân bằng.
Dù kịch bản nào xảy ra, weekly MA50 vẫn sẽ là điểm quyết định cho bước đi lớn tiếp theo của
Initial jobless claims recorded at 198K, significantly lower than the expected 215K. This indicates that the labor market remains resilient, showing no clear signs of weakening. $DOLO
From a macro perspective, this data reduces concerns about short-term recession, but simultaneously puts the Fed in a position requiring greater caution. With labor still strong, the pressure to cut interest rates early diminishes. $BARD
The takeaway is clear: The economy is not weak enough to force a rapid policy shift — and the market needs to adjust expectations based on reality, rather than reacting ahead of the data.
🚨 $BTC Warning about macro risks: Is the market pricing too early for rate cuts?
The market just received a clear signal ahead of the FOMC meeting on January 28. The probability of maintaining interest rates is overwhelming at ~95%, while the chance of a cut is only around 5%. This indicates that the Fed remains in a wait-and-observe stance, and expectations for an early pivot are gradually cooling down.
For risk assets, this context cannot be ignored. The recent rally has partly been fueled by expectations of policy easing. With high interest rates continuing, there's no strong reason for liquidity to surge back. No rate cut doesn't mean a bad scenario, but it implies that volatility will remain high, and markets sensitive to liquidity need real fundamentals, not just narratives.
For crypto, this is a point worth careful reading. Rallies driven mainly by the argument "the Fed is about to cut rates" often lack sustainability. Lasting upside typically only appears when policy actually changes, not when the market bets on what it hopes for.
Are you ready for patience, or are you still betting on a pivot that doesn't exist yet? $BTC
$BTC is entering a state of imbalance that the market can hardly ignore.
The "supply shock" of Bitcoin is no longer just theory. In 2026 itself, institutional entities have already purchased an amount of $BTC nearly six times the number of coins produced by miners. Around 30,000 BTC have been absorbed, while new supply is only about 5,700 BTC. This gap is not insignificant—and cannot remain silent indefinitely.
After the halving, the issuance rate has significantly decreased. But on the flip side, demand from investment funds, ETFs, and corporate balance sheets has been consistently and systematically increasing. Each block now produces fewer coins, while large capital continues to accumulate without creating waves.
This is not a story about retail investors or crowd psychology. This is structural pressure, forming just beneath the surface of the price.
When demand far exceeds supply over a sustained period, the market is typically forced to adjust to restore balance. In this context, scarcity gradually becomes the central driver of price discovery.
The critical question is not "how much will the price rise," but rather: what happens when the majority of the market realizes just how much of $BTC is actually floating out there.
$BTC is being placed in a broader context — and this signal comes from the traditional capital markets.
The US small-cap stocks group has just made a notable move. Russell 2000 surged strongly from the beginning of 2026, reaching a new all-time high in just about two weeks of trading, equivalent to nearly a 7% gain and approximately $220B in market value added in a very short time.
Such expansions rarely occur randomly. They often reflect a shift in risk appetite, as capital flows out of defensive assets and moves toward areas with higher profit margins. Cyclically, small caps leading is usually a sign of the early stage in a broader risk-on move.
In previous similar contexts, when speculation heats up in traditional markets, liquidity tends to loosen, risk tolerance increases, and volatility becomes part of the game. Crypto — given its sensitivity to capital flows — is usually not left out of such periods.
What's noteworthy is not the speed of the rise, but the message behind it: investors are no longer on the defensive and are starting to seek upside.
The question now is not how far prices will run immediately, but whether this capital shift will continue — and how $BTC will respond when risk appetite truly spreads widely.
#RIVER – the perspective after a strong correction.
After leaving the peak, $RIVER has gone through a rather decisive pullback and is now entering a key accumulation zone. The price did not continue to fall deeply but began to stabilize, indicating that selling pressure has been partially absorbed.
The recent rebound reflects buyers returning after the sell-off, while the market is attempting to re-establish the previously lost structure. This phase is often decisive: either the price resumes its prior trend, or more time is needed to consolidate and balance supply and demand.
The next key area to monitor is around: • Expected resistance: 23.7 – 24.6 – 28+
If the price can hold above this zone, it will be a signal that strength is recovering. Conversely, a rejection here is likely to cause $RIVER to continue trading within a range for some time before a clearer direction emerges.
At this moment, what matters most is not hasty action, but observing how the price reacts at key levels to confirm the next structure.
After carefully reviewing $ETH on the larger time frame, the structure is revealing a fairly familiar pattern: expansion → correction → accumulation. This type of movement has appeared in previous cycles, nothing new, but always requires patience to interpret correctly.
$ETH just surged from a zone with sufficient demand, and instead of reversing downward, the price is entering a stable state. This behavior typically reflects absorption and accumulation, rather than a sign of weakening momentum.
The next key area to monitor lies within the range of 3500 – 4000: • If the price is accepted and holds above this zone, the continuation of the structure will be confirmed. • Conversely, a rejection here does not necessarily signal a reversal, but is more likely to open up additional accumulation time before the market decides on its next direction.
At this stage, the key is not guessing when the breakout will happen, but observing how price reacts at critical zones — where real money truly leaves its mark.
#Bitcoin – rapid update following a thorough review of market structure.
When observing $BTC on larger timeframes, the current picture is quite clear. Price is moving in a repeating pattern of expansion and correction, where the market sweeps liquidity, retraces to a strong demand zone, and then continues the primary trend. This is not a new pattern; it has appeared multiple times in previous cycles.
At this moment, Bitcoin remains firmly above the key demand zone of 88,000 – 82,000. This area previously showed strong reactions and is still serving as the foundation of the bullish structure. As long as this zone is not clearly broken, there is no reason to question the overall trend.
Above, the market is accumulating just below the resistance level of 100,000 – 105,000. After multiple tests, this area shows signs of weakening, as selling pressure no longer generates decisive reactions as before.
If $BTC can break and be accepted above this resistance zone, room will open upward toward higher liquidity levels around 115,000 – 120,000. Conversely, in the scenario where price returns to test demand once again, this should still be viewed as a healthy reset within the structure, not a reversal signal.
For spot holders, this remains a suitable structure to endure short-term volatility and focus on the bigger picture. For traders, the market is calling for patience and low leverage while waiting for the next expansion phase to complete its formation.
No need to rush. The structure always speaks before the price moves.
$SOL – updated structure after thorough review on the higher timeframe.
When breaking down price behavior on the higher timeframe, the structure of $SOL is quite clear and has minimal noise. The market currently shows no signs of breaking the main trend.
A large fair value gap still exists in the 170–180 range. Based on experience tracking price structure across multiple cycles, such areas often act as "pull zones," where price tends to return and test when conditions are favorable.
At present, $SOL is accumulating just below the relatively weak resistance zone around 143. If there is a clear breakout above this area, the probability of price extending toward the fair value gap around 180 will significantly increase. Conversely, if price adjusts downward toward the demand zone around 130, this is still considered a healthy pullback within the uptrend structure and does not alter the overall picture.
From a spot perspective, current price levels and corrective moves toward support can be seen as reasonable accumulation zones, provided the structure remains intact. For traders, prioritize low leverage, strict risk management, and let the market confirm direction rather than rushing to guess tops and bottoms.
The market does not always need to move fast. What matters more is reading the structure correctly and moving with it.
I have carefully reviewed $ETH on the larger time frame.
According to the current structure, $ETH is repeating the familiar cycle pattern that the market has seen many times before.
On higher time frames, Ethereum typically moves in the same scenario: strong expansion → deep correction → accumulation → further expansion.
The chart shows ETH has completed a major upswing, followed by a deep enough correction and then continued to surge into the $4,900–$5,000 range. This is a very characteristic behavior of a long-term uptrend.
Currently, ETH is pulling back to a healthy support zone around $2,800–$3,200. This area previously served as a key price foundation, and as long as the price remains above this zone, the long-term bullish structure on the higher time frame remains intact.
For spot traders, this is a strategic accumulation phase, not a distribution zone. Even if there are short-term downward sweeps, the overall picture still leans toward the potential formation of a new expansion phase after accumulation is complete.
I am accumulating spot and patiently holding for the continuation of the cycle.
Targets: TP1: $3,800 TP2: $4,400 TP3: $4,950+
Click here to buy now 👉 $ETH Consider low-leverage long positions with strict risk management.
I've seen many people worrying about #FRAX ❗❗❗ but please take a closer look at the current movement.
$FRAX is entering a cooling phase before the next move.
This is a new coin that has risen too quickly in a short period and is currently adjusting in a controlled manner, not free-falling.
This decline resembles profit-taking after an exuberant phase, rather than showing signs of real weakness.
The price of $FRAX is returning to the support zone where strong buying pressure previously appeared. In many cases, this is where the market reaccumulates before starting a new uptrend, as long as demand remains strong.
Expected support and reversal zone: 0.90 – 0.84 If this area is protected, FRAX could stabilize here and gradually rebound from the price floor.
$FHE has reversed its structure completely after a clear accumulation phase. Explosive volume and gradually rising highs indicate that buyers are in control, and momentum continues to build.
$APR just escaped from the previous accumulation zone with strong volume increase, indicating very decisive buying pressure. The current structure is fully tilted towards an uptrend, and momentum still supports the next move, as long as the price holds the support level below.
Entry Zone: 0.130 – 0.134 Stop Loss: 0.122
Targets: TP1: 0.145 TP2: 0.165 TP3: 0.190
Trade cautiously, use low leverage, and proactively move SL when TP1 is triggered.