Ethereum, like Bitcoin, has historically been strong in February. Average return around 26 percent, with the month closing positively in about 80 percent of cases. Ether does not grow on its own. If Bitcoin realizes a growth scenario, then Ethereum is likely to follow the seasonal pattern.
With current prices around 2200, a target around 3000 looks realistic. Fundamentally, things are looking good for ETH: institutional purchases are happening, applications for spot ETFs are being submitted, staking in ETFs is being discussed, and corporate treasuries based on Ethereum are emerging.
February is ahead, let's take a look at the seasonality of the cryptocurrency market. According to statistics, Bitcoin closed above its opening price in February 82 percent of the time. The average return is about 11.5 percent. This is the strongest month for BTC throughout the year. Currently, the crypto market is at low values. At the same time, it is important to understand: Bitcoin is still in a downtrend. Despite strong seasonality, caution is needed with forecasts.
Macro and on-chain factors indicate a bullish fundamental, but the market lacks a key trigger — a conditional "switch" that will initiate market growth. When this reversal occurs, the movement can be swift. Key resistance levels: – local level — 84000, medium-term level — 95000. #BTC #Seasonality $BTC
🪙Another fun weekend for the crypto market. Bitcoin has worked out the pattern and dropped -10% to the 75K zone.
At the moment, it has been bought back locally, but they may do so several more times. After a massive liquidation, which was very large today, a technical pullback usually occurs, with the main pressure starting from the 81-82K zone, and the price will likely test this zone. #BTC $BTC
🪙 December lows have been broken. There may of course be more sell-offs; for example, the low level remains at 80500.
What is causing the crypto drop? Nothing specific, there are no obvious reasons other than those I mentioned at the beginning of the week: the monthly expiration, the Fed meeting, the orange swan, and today was added a correction in precious metals, and crypto was dumped along with it. The nearest reversal zone is 86K; if they buy back, it may bounce. But tomorrow is Friday and a narrow market is ahead... this is stressing me out, there could be surprises. I have been shaken out of my stop losses in local trades, so I'm watching for now. #BTC $BTC
The Fed kept the rate unchanged and indicated that there is no hurry to lower it. For the crypto market, this means the following: Monetary liquidity There will be no rapid influx of liquidity at least not right now. The Fed expects a sustained slowdown in inflation, which means conditions remain tight. At the same time, the annual calculation will exclude the January sampling, which was 0.5% in 2025, so the next inflation in annual terms will decrease. Rate and expectations Two members of the FOMC have already voted for a rate cut. This is important. The market receives a signal that the peak of policy tightness has passed, but the phase of expectation continues. Bitcoin Responded without positivity with a smooth decline. Altcoins Alts remain under pressure. Without a rate cut and without an increase in liquidity, a full alt season is impossible. Conclusion The Fed does not interfere with the market, but it also does not help. For crypto, this is a transitional stage: not a bear market, but also not a growth phase. We expect a new Fed chair and more active actions towards easing monetary policy. #Macro
This week, key events to pay attention to: -Today, the speech of US President Trump at 8:00 PM. -Wednesday, another speech by Trump at 2:30 PM. Also on Wednesday at 8:00 PM, there will be a decision on the Federal Reserve's interest rate. According to forecasts, the rate will remain unchanged, and I generally agree with this forecast; it is already priced in. But the main thing to watch is Trump's rhetoric, which can add both positivity and negativity. This is an unpredictable factor, so one must be prepared for increased volatility. Friday will see the closing of monthly options; profit-taking is expected on this event, usually starting in advance and is already happening now. Partially, this will involve fixing in precious metals, while in crypto, the current month has been maximally bearish, and if we see a shift of some liquidity into crypto assets, this could bring about local growth. To do this, one needs to track the put/call options ratio. Bitcoin - local observation zones are lows of 86-85K and highs of 89-90K. Ethereum - attention zones are $2700 and $3000. #BTC #ETH $ETH $BTC @Ethereum
The Saudi Arabian stock market opens to retail investors Starting February 1, the Tadawul market becomes accessible to foreign retail investors. Briefly about the market Tadawul is the main stock market of Saudi Arabia 230+ companies
Key sectors: oil, banking, materials, telecom, consumer sector Historically, the opening of markets leads to increased liquidity and turnover in the first months. Dividends The market features companies with dividend yields ranging from approximately 5–8 percent.
We are waiting for the appearance of tokenized shares and ETFs, indices on the exchange #Binance in this market.