BITCOIN’S CYCLE IS NOT OVER — HERE’S WHY 👇 . Bitcoin’s Realized Cap just hit new highs. That means real capital is still flowing in — not just speculative price action.
More importantly, long-term holders (LTHs) tried to distribute heavily in late 2025… and it failed.
Selling pressure dried up. Price held firm. Now LTH net position has flipped back to accumulation.
📈 Big sell attempt → absorbed 📈 OG supply stopped hitting the market 📈 Realized Cap keeps rising
Historically, when long-term holders stop selling and start buying again, the cycle isn’t ending — it’s reloading.
This looks less like a market top… and more like consolidation before the next leg higher.
📌 Fed Rate Decision (2:00 PM ET) The Fed is expected to hold rates at 3.5%–3.75% after three cuts last year. Powell speaks at 2:30 PM ET — markets will listen closely for guidance.
📌 President Trump (Iowa) Trump is expected to focus on the economy and continue pushing for lower rates, though no official speech is confirmed today.
What matters: Investors are watching Powell for clues on what comes next. A prolonged pause is likely. Markets are pricing a possible cut by June, not today.
Volatility may rise around the announcement. $DASH #FedWatch
The yen has just experienced its largest single-day rebound in months.
This is not a coincidence. Traders are beginning to speculate: 👉 Japan may intervene 👉 Even possibly in collaboration with the United States
What just happened?
🇯🇵 The yen continues to weaken 🏦 Japanese officials warn speculative funds to back off 📞 The New York Fed conducted a "rate inquiry" on USD/JPY (This kind of action usually precedes a possible intervention)
Important note: This does not mean the Federal Reserve is selling dollars, It simply indicates— The market believes the probability of intervention has increased.
Why is this important?
When the United States + Japan act together, the dollar usually weakens
A weaker dollar = Improved liquidity
Improved liquidity = Positive for stocks, gold, cryptocurrencies
Short-term risks:
⚠️ A stronger yen may trigger Yen carry trade liquidations (Borrowing yen → Buying risk assets) ⚠️ May cause short-term sell-offs (This has already happened in August 2024)
The larger logic:
If the dollar is actively suppressed, Assets that have not fully reflected this Tend to experience a rapid rebound.
That's why this matter Is important for Bitcoin.
Not confirmed yet. But it is no longer "nothing is happening."