📊 Market Watch: Key U.S. Events in the Next 24 Hours
Markets are closely monitoring two upcoming U.S. developments that could influence short-term volatility across equities, bonds, and crypto assets.
⚖️ Event 1: U.S. Supreme Court – Tariff Ruling
The Supreme Court is expected to rule on the legality of certain Trump-era tariffs.
Current market pricing suggests higher uncertainty around the outcome. A ruling against the tariffs could affect trade policy expectations and raise questions around past collections, while alternative policy paths may take longer to implement.
The main impact is likely through market sentiment 📉📈, rather than immediate economic changes.
📈 Event 2: U.S. Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET)
• Expected unemployment rate: ~4.5%
• Previous reading: 4.6%
Stronger labor data could reduce recession concerns 🏗️ but reinforce “higher-for-longer” rate expectations 🏦.
Weaker data could increase growth risks 📉.
🔎 Why this matters
With rate-cut expectations already limited, markets remain sensitive to both legal outcomes and macro signals. The combination of these events may lead to higher short-term volatility across risk assets, including crypto.
📌 Focus on confirmed updates and risk management as events unfold.
#marketrebound Bitcoin Could Go Parabolic If ETF Demand Stays Strong 📈
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan says Bitcoin could see parabolic growth if ETF demand continues long term.
He compares Bitcoin to gold: when central banks doubled gold buying after 2022, prices didn’t spike immediately — they rose slowly at first, then surged later once sellers ran out.
Why this matters for BTC
• Bitcoin ETFs have been buying more BTC than new supply since Jan 2024
• Price hasn’t exploded yet because some holders are still selling
• If selling dries up while ETF demand stays strong → supply shock risk
#marketrebound 🚨 Bitcoin surges in Iran 🇮🇷 amid currency collapse
$BTC has risen 2,600%+ in Iranian rials, mainly due to severe inflation and rapid loss of rial value, not because of unusual global BTC price action.
With inflation above 100%, purchasing power is falling fast. Many people are turning to Bitcoin as a store of value and transfer tool as access to stable currencies remains limited.
This is not speculation — it reflects fiat currency stress seen in other high-inflation economies.
When trust in money weakens → alternative assets gain attention
#marketrebound Crypto Markets Rise as Inflation Cools and Policy Clarity Improves
Bitcoin and major cryptocurrencies moved higher on Jan 14, supported by cooling U.S. inflation data and progress on the Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act in the U.S.
$BTC traded above $95,000, while $ETH held above $3,300, pushing the total crypto market cap toward $3.25T. Improved CPI readings reinforced expectations for rate cuts later in 2026, lifting risk sentiment across digital assets.
Regulatory developments also supported prices, as the CLARITY Act advanced in Congress, signaling a potential move toward clearer oversight of crypto markets. Despite the rally, volumes remain moderate and sentiment stays neutral, suggesting cautious positioning rather than speculative excess.
Financial markets are monitoring public discussions and reports related to U.S. Federal Reserve leadership, which have drawn attention across policy and market circles.
Recent headlines led to higher activity on forecasting platforms, reflecting sensitivity to uncertainty rather than any confirmed outcome.
Analysts note that perceptions around the Federal Reserve — an institution structured to operate independently — can affect market sentiment and volatility expectations across currencies, equities, and digital assets.
At present, no official actions or confirmed developments have been announced. Market participants continue to focus on verified information and broader macroeconomic signals.
Fitch Flags Risks Around Bitcoin-Collateralized Products
Fitch Ratings has highlighted elevated market value risks linked to securities that use $BTC as collateral. The agency pointed to factors such as price volatility, deal complexity, and counterparty exposure.
Because these products depend on BTC price stability, sharp market moves or forced liquidations could increase downside pressure. Fitch referenced past periods of crypto market stress to emphasize the need for prudent structuring and strong risk controls.