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Regarding the future trend of the A-share market, I believe the market is likely to form a double-top pattern in the coming period. The expected height of the rebound over the next 2-3 days is anticipated to reach the 4140-4150 point range. It should be noted that a large number of trapped positions are accumulated in the 4150-4190 point range, and these positions are mostly concentrated in high-priced stocks, making it difficult to escape these positions in the short term. Previously, I have repeatedly mentioned that there are only two key entry points for the current market: one is near the previous peak at 4098 points, and the other is near the previous high at 4034 points. In terms of specific operations, if positioning is completed near 4098 points, one could consider taking profits when the market rebounds to the 4140-4150 point range. The index may face a possible pullback after reaching higher levels, potentially retracing back to 4098 points or even declining to around 4034 points, followed by a phase of range-bound consolidation.
Regarding the future trend of the A-share market, I believe the market is likely to form a double-top pattern in the coming period. The expected height of the rebound over the next 2-3 days is anticipated to reach the 4140-4150 point range.
It should be noted that a large number of trapped positions are accumulated in the 4150-4190 point range, and these positions are mostly concentrated in high-priced stocks, making it difficult to escape these positions in the short term.
Previously, I have repeatedly mentioned that there are only two key entry points for the current market: one is near the previous peak at 4098 points, and the other is near the previous high at 4034 points.
In terms of specific operations, if positioning is completed near 4098 points, one could consider taking profits when the market rebounds to the 4140-4150 point range. The index may face a possible pullback after reaching higher levels, potentially retracing back to 4098 points or even declining to around 4034 points, followed by a phase of range-bound consolidation.
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400 billion yuan in additional 'tech red envelopes' have been implemented! Which companies will be the first to 'eat their fill'? The central bank has taken strong measures to support technological innovation! On January 15, Vice Governor Zou Lan of the central bank clearly stated that the loan quota for technological innovation and equipment upgrading has been increased from 800 billion yuan to 1.2 trillion yuan, an additional 400 billion yuan in one go. Particularly significant is the formal inclusion of private small and medium-sized enterprises with high R&D investment into the support scope, effectively providing tech companies with a massive 'low-interest credit card', allowing them to no longer worry about R&D funding. 1. The 400 billion yuan in additional funds precisely address pain points for tech enterprises This 400 billion yuan in additional funding is akin to a timely rain for tech companies. Hard-core technology sectors such as chips, AI, and biomedicine have always been capital-intensive fields—building a single chip production line can cost hundreds of billions, and training a single large AI model can cost tens of millions. Previously, many small and medium-sized enterprises possessed core technologies but lacked funding, unable to purchase equipment or hire talent, and thus missed valuable development opportunities. Now, not only has the central bank increased the loan quota, but it has also offered preferential low interest rates, effectively providing R&D 'advance funding' so that companies can focus entirely on innovation. More importantly, private small and medium-sized enterprises with high R&D investment have been officially included in the support scope. This move directly打通s the 'capillaries' of technological innovation, allowing hidden champions buried within industrial chains—such as semiconductor material manufacturers or industrial software development teams—to also benefit from policy dividends, no longer excluded due to their size. 2. Three types of enterprises will benefit first, securing the core areas of policy dividends This 400 billion yuan is not a 'flood irrigation' but rather precise 'drip irrigation'. The following three categories of enterprises will be the first to reap the benefits: 1. Semiconductor/Chip Industry Chain: The 'main force' driving domestic substitution Chips, lithography machines, and other 'bottleneck' areas are key national breakthrough directions. The recent expansion of the quota directly benefits semiconductor equipment, materials, and design companies. Whether it's companies developing etching machines or EDA software, or small and medium-sized enterprises supplying Huawei or SMIC, as long as their R&D investment meets standards, they can easily obtain low-interest loans. Ultimately, whoever achieves breakthroughs in 'bottleneck' technologies will seize the strategic high ground of policy dividends. 2. AI and Smart Manufacturing: The 'core brain' of future factories Large AI models, industrial software, and industrial robots are the key drivers of smart manufacturing. Previously, many factories wanted to advance automation but were constrained by the high cost of high-end equipment and systems. With increased loan quotas for technological upgrades, companies can use low-interest loans to purchase equipment and build systems, accelerating the transformation of production lines into 'dark factories'. This also means that companies focusing on AI algorithms and industrial internet platforms—such as those providing intelligent driving solutions for automakers or building MES systems for factories—may see explosive growth in orders. 3. Biomedicine and New Materials: The 'patient capital' for long R&D cycles R&D in biomedicine and high-end new materials often takes over ten years, and the long investment period has deterred many small and medium-sized enterprises. The arrival of low-interest loans injects 'patient capital' into these companies—pharmaceutical firms can now confidently advance clinical trials, and material companies can safely build laboratories. Especially innovative pharmaceutical companies with R&D investment exceeding 20% and specialized composite materials research teams will become key targets for policy support, as domestic vaccines, cancer drugs, and aerospace materials are all 'national heavyweights' vital to national economy and people's livelihood. 3. The benefits of technological innovation will reach the entire population—hard-core R&D is the only way forward This 400 billion yuan in policy benefits is not only relevant to tech enterprises. The state's investment in supporting technological R&D is essentially planting seeds for the future: when companies break through core technologies, they not only drive the upgrading of entire industrial chains but also create numerous high-paying jobs; and once chips, AI, and other technologies achieve self-reliance, the smartphones, cars, and medical devices we use daily will become more advanced and more affordable. The dividends of technological innovation will eventually permeate every aspect of our lives. Of course, under the policy windfall, companies must stay true to their core mission. The original intention of low-interest loans is to support R&D and foster innovation—not to let companies buy financial products or speculate in stocks. Those who merely seek to 'ride the subsidy wave' or exploit policy loopholes will ultimately be weeded out by the market; only those who genuinely invest funds in laboratories and talent development can truly seize this opportunity and grow into the next 'Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Limited (CATL)'. In fact, the 400 billion yuan in additional funding is just the beginning. From the central bank increasing loan quotas to continuous follow-up from venture capital funds and industry investment funds, the state is paving the way for tech enterprises with 'real money'. In the coming years, the hard-core players in sectors such as semiconductors, AI, and biomedicine will undoubtedly enter their own golden age.
400 billion yuan in additional 'tech red envelopes' have been implemented! Which companies will be the first to 'eat their fill'?
The central bank has taken strong measures to support technological innovation! On January 15, Vice Governor Zou Lan of the central bank clearly stated that the loan quota for technological innovation and equipment upgrading has been increased from 800 billion yuan to 1.2 trillion yuan, an additional 400 billion yuan in one go. Particularly significant is the formal inclusion of private small and medium-sized enterprises with high R&D investment into the support scope, effectively providing tech companies with a massive 'low-interest credit card', allowing them to no longer worry about R&D funding.

1. The 400 billion yuan in additional funds precisely address pain points for tech enterprises
This 400 billion yuan in additional funding is akin to a timely rain for tech companies. Hard-core technology sectors such as chips, AI, and biomedicine have always been capital-intensive fields—building a single chip production line can cost hundreds of billions, and training a single large AI model can cost tens of millions. Previously, many small and medium-sized enterprises possessed core technologies but lacked funding, unable to purchase equipment or hire talent, and thus missed valuable development opportunities.

Now, not only has the central bank increased the loan quota, but it has also offered preferential low interest rates, effectively providing R&D 'advance funding' so that companies can focus entirely on innovation. More importantly, private small and medium-sized enterprises with high R&D investment have been officially included in the support scope. This move directly打通s the 'capillaries' of technological innovation, allowing hidden champions buried within industrial chains—such as semiconductor material manufacturers or industrial software development teams—to also benefit from policy dividends, no longer excluded due to their size.

2. Three types of enterprises will benefit first, securing the core areas of policy dividends
This 400 billion yuan is not a 'flood irrigation' but rather precise 'drip irrigation'. The following three categories of enterprises will be the first to reap the benefits:

1. Semiconductor/Chip Industry Chain: The 'main force' driving domestic substitution
Chips, lithography machines, and other 'bottleneck' areas are key national breakthrough directions. The recent expansion of the quota directly benefits semiconductor equipment, materials, and design companies. Whether it's companies developing etching machines or EDA software, or small and medium-sized enterprises supplying Huawei or SMIC, as long as their R&D investment meets standards, they can easily obtain low-interest loans. Ultimately, whoever achieves breakthroughs in 'bottleneck' technologies will seize the strategic high ground of policy dividends.

2. AI and Smart Manufacturing: The 'core brain' of future factories
Large AI models, industrial software, and industrial robots are the key drivers of smart manufacturing. Previously, many factories wanted to advance automation but were constrained by the high cost of high-end equipment and systems. With increased loan quotas for technological upgrades, companies can use low-interest loans to purchase equipment and build systems, accelerating the transformation of production lines into 'dark factories'. This also means that companies focusing on AI algorithms and industrial internet platforms—such as those providing intelligent driving solutions for automakers or building MES systems for factories—may see explosive growth in orders.

3. Biomedicine and New Materials: The 'patient capital' for long R&D cycles
R&D in biomedicine and high-end new materials often takes over ten years, and the long investment period has deterred many small and medium-sized enterprises. The arrival of low-interest loans injects 'patient capital' into these companies—pharmaceutical firms can now confidently advance clinical trials, and material companies can safely build laboratories. Especially innovative pharmaceutical companies with R&D investment exceeding 20% and specialized composite materials research teams will become key targets for policy support, as domestic vaccines, cancer drugs, and aerospace materials are all 'national heavyweights' vital to national economy and people's livelihood.

3. The benefits of technological innovation will reach the entire population—hard-core R&D is the only way forward
This 400 billion yuan in policy benefits is not only relevant to tech enterprises. The state's investment in supporting technological R&D is essentially planting seeds for the future: when companies break through core technologies, they not only drive the upgrading of entire industrial chains but also create numerous high-paying jobs; and once chips, AI, and other technologies achieve self-reliance, the smartphones, cars, and medical devices we use daily will become more advanced and more affordable. The dividends of technological innovation will eventually permeate every aspect of our lives.

Of course, under the policy windfall, companies must stay true to their core mission. The original intention of low-interest loans is to support R&D and foster innovation—not to let companies buy financial products or speculate in stocks. Those who merely seek to 'ride the subsidy wave' or exploit policy loopholes will ultimately be weeded out by the market; only those who genuinely invest funds in laboratories and talent development can truly seize this opportunity and grow into the next 'Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Limited (CATL)'.

In fact, the 400 billion yuan in additional funding is just the beginning. From the central bank increasing loan quotas to continuous follow-up from venture capital funds and industry investment funds, the state is paving the way for tech enterprises with 'real money'. In the coming years, the hard-core players in sectors such as semiconductors, AI, and biomedicine will undoubtedly enter their own golden age.
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The central bank suddenly cut interest rates! Will your deposit interest go down? How much can you save on your mortgage? Urgent notice! The central bank has unexpectedly lowered interest rates today! Various structural tool rates dropped by 0.25 percentage points, with the one-year refinancing rate now at 1.25%! Those saving money or repaying mortgages, take note! Will your deposit interest decrease? How much can you save on your mortgage? Let's break it down in plain language! First, clarify: The central bank had already signaled a rate cut and reserve requirement reduction in 2026—this move aims to lower financing costs for small and medium enterprises and tech innovation sectors, stabilizing the economy—no need to panic! Quick answers to the key questions affecting your wallet: Deposit rates: Likely to 'drop short-term, rise long-term'! Short-term deposits (within 1 year, e.g., 3-month, 6-month) may drop further—some smaller banks have already reduced their 3-month rate to 0.95%; But 3-year and 5-year fixed deposits may increase (e.g., a rural bank in Henan raised its 3-year rate to 1.73%), and large-denomination certificates of deposit remain attractive (1%-2%). Focus on these two types when saving! Mortgage holders: You can save money! Some people are already benefiting! Housing fund loans: Reduced by 0.25 percentage points starting January 1—first-home loans over 5 years now at 2.6%! For a 500,000 loan over 20 years, you save over 61 per month, more than 700 annually; Commercial loans: Pay attention to your repricing date! Those repriced on January 1 now enjoy an LPR of 3.5%—a 1 million loan over 30 years saves 19,000 in total interest. Prudent borrowers, keep an eye on this!
The central bank suddenly cut interest rates! Will your deposit interest go down? How much can you save on your mortgage?
Urgent notice! The central bank has unexpectedly lowered interest rates today! Various structural tool rates dropped by 0.25 percentage points, with the one-year refinancing rate now at 1.25%!
Those saving money or repaying mortgages, take note! Will your deposit interest decrease? How much can you save on your mortgage? Let's break it down in plain language!
First, clarify: The central bank had already signaled a rate cut and reserve requirement reduction in 2026—this move aims to lower financing costs for small and medium enterprises and tech innovation sectors, stabilizing the economy—no need to panic!
Quick answers to the key questions affecting your wallet:
Deposit rates: Likely to 'drop short-term, rise long-term'!
Short-term deposits (within 1 year, e.g., 3-month, 6-month) may drop further—some smaller banks have already reduced their 3-month rate to 0.95%;
But 3-year and 5-year fixed deposits may increase (e.g., a rural bank in Henan raised its 3-year rate to 1.73%), and large-denomination certificates of deposit remain attractive (1%-2%). Focus on these two types when saving!
Mortgage holders: You can save money! Some people are already benefiting!
Housing fund loans: Reduced by 0.25 percentage points starting January 1—first-home loans over 5 years now at 2.6%! For a 500,000 loan over 20 years, you save over 61 per month, more than 700 annually;
Commercial loans: Pay attention to your repricing date! Those repriced on January 1 now enjoy an LPR of 3.5%—a 1 million loan over 30 years saves 19,000 in total interest. Prudent borrowers, keep an eye on this!
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The封单比 (封单 ratio) is a key order book indicator for assessing the strength of a stock's涨停 (limit-up). It can be specifically divided into the following three scenarios: 1. A封单比 less than 1: Indicates a low level of封单 (limit order volume), suggesting weak willingness of major players to lock in the涨停. In such cases, if there is concentrated selling pressure in the market, the stock price is highly likely to break the涨停 and fall back, representing a weak涨停. 2. A封单比 greater than 1 but less than 5: This is the typical封单 range in the market, corresponding to moderate涨停 strength. If a stock maintains this封单 ratio throughout the day without experiencing significant selling pressure, it can be considered a secondary-strong涨停, a situation commonly seen in non-leader stocks. 3. A封单比 greater than 5: This range is a typical characteristic of strong涨停, usually observed in sector leader stocks. A high封单比 not only reflects strong market control by major funds but also indicates minimal market divergence—despite some selling pressure, the封单 is difficult to break, and outside funds typically cannot queue in to buy. These are the three core criteria for evaluating封单比, serving as foundational content for order book analysis. Mastering this indicator allows for a more accurate understanding of the strength and weakness behind a stock's涨停.
The封单比 (封单 ratio) is a key order book indicator for assessing the strength of a stock's涨停 (limit-up). It can be specifically divided into the following three scenarios:
1. A封单比 less than 1: Indicates a low level of封单 (limit order volume), suggesting weak willingness of major players to lock in the涨停. In such cases, if there is concentrated selling pressure in the market, the stock price is highly likely to break the涨停 and fall back, representing a weak涨停.
2. A封单比 greater than 1 but less than 5: This is the typical封单 range in the market, corresponding to moderate涨停 strength. If a stock maintains this封单 ratio throughout the day without experiencing significant selling pressure, it can be considered a secondary-strong涨停, a situation commonly seen in non-leader stocks.
3. A封单比 greater than 5: This range is a typical characteristic of strong涨停, usually observed in sector leader stocks. A high封单比 not only reflects strong market control by major funds but also indicates minimal market divergence—despite some selling pressure, the封单 is difficult to break, and outside funds typically cannot queue in to buy.
These are the three core criteria for evaluating封单比, serving as foundational content for order book analysis. Mastering this indicator allows for a more accurate understanding of the strength and weakness behind a stock's涨停.
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The A-share market shows a shrinking volume adjustment pattern, with the Shanghai Index experiencing fluctuating declines. The support from the 5-day moving average is weak, and the 10-day moving average is likely to face downward pressure. Market enthusiasm has significantly cooled, trading volume has sharply contracted, and the short-term downward trend may continue. It is recommended to maintain a low position and wait for stabilization before gradually increasing positions in batches. In the Asia-Pacific markets, the overall trend is predominantly negative with more declines than gains. The Nikkei Index dipped slightly by 0.4%, while South Korea's stock market defied the trend, rising 1.5% and hitting a new historical high; the Hong Kong market rebounded after a bottoming out, with the Hang Seng Index slightly down 0.22% and the Hang Seng Tech Index declining further to 1.2%. From a valuation perspective, Hong Kong stocks are currently in a notably low range, with corrections largely completed, leaving greater upside potential ahead. Combined trading volume for both markets reached 2.91 trillion yuan, a reduction of 1 trillion yuan from the previous trading day, indicating a clear decline in market activity. On the individual stock level, more stocks declined than rose, with over 2,200 stocks rising and over 2,800 stocks falling. Based on volume patterns, when the combined trading volume drops to the 2 trillion yuan level, a阶段性 bottom signal may emerge. Investors should remain patient and wait for market stabilization. Sector performance shows clear divergence. Sectors that have seen significant gains previously—such as commercial aerospace, satellites, artificial intelligence, and communication equipment—still face potential downward pressure in the short term and should not be blindly bottom-fished. Conversely, underperforming sectors such as software, pharmaceuticals, securities, insurance, and elderly care, along with relatively strong performers like rare metals, rare earths, photolithography machines, and new energy, may be worth watching during pullbacks. Overall, the market's short-term cooling is evident, and a significant rebound is unlikely. The Shanghai Index is expected to remain in a range-bound consolidation between the 10-day and 20-day moving averages. Strategy-wise, investors should avoid recently high-performing stocks to prevent risks from high-level corrections; instead, focus on low-level sectors that are just starting to rise and capitalize on their catch-up opportunities.
The A-share market shows a shrinking volume adjustment pattern, with the Shanghai Index experiencing fluctuating declines. The support from the 5-day moving average is weak, and the 10-day moving average is likely to face downward pressure. Market enthusiasm has significantly cooled, trading volume has sharply contracted, and the short-term downward trend may continue. It is recommended to maintain a low position and wait for stabilization before gradually increasing positions in batches.
In the Asia-Pacific markets, the overall trend is predominantly negative with more declines than gains. The Nikkei Index dipped slightly by 0.4%, while South Korea's stock market defied the trend, rising 1.5% and hitting a new historical high; the Hong Kong market rebounded after a bottoming out, with the Hang Seng Index slightly down 0.22% and the Hang Seng Tech Index declining further to 1.2%. From a valuation perspective, Hong Kong stocks are currently in a notably low range, with corrections largely completed, leaving greater upside potential ahead.
Combined trading volume for both markets reached 2.91 trillion yuan, a reduction of 1 trillion yuan from the previous trading day, indicating a clear decline in market activity. On the individual stock level, more stocks declined than rose, with over 2,200 stocks rising and over 2,800 stocks falling. Based on volume patterns, when the combined trading volume drops to the 2 trillion yuan level, a阶段性 bottom signal may emerge. Investors should remain patient and wait for market stabilization.
Sector performance shows clear divergence. Sectors that have seen significant gains previously—such as commercial aerospace, satellites, artificial intelligence, and communication equipment—still face potential downward pressure in the short term and should not be blindly bottom-fished. Conversely, underperforming sectors such as software, pharmaceuticals, securities, insurance, and elderly care, along with relatively strong performers like rare metals, rare earths, photolithography machines, and new energy, may be worth watching during pullbacks.
Overall, the market's short-term cooling is evident, and a significant rebound is unlikely. The Shanghai Index is expected to remain in a range-bound consolidation between the 10-day and 20-day moving averages. Strategy-wise, investors should avoid recently high-performing stocks to prevent risks from high-level corrections; instead, focus on low-level sectors that are just starting to rise and capitalize on their catch-up opportunities.
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The false bullish pattern has formed a bottom and stabilized, can the market see a rebound tomorrow? Today's market rose initially but then retreated, with consolidation and further shrinking trading volume. The closing candle was a shrinking-volume false bullish line, successfully stabilizing at the 4100-point psychological level, with the overall trend largely in line with expectations. So, will the market rebound tomorrow? My judgment is: the probability of a rebound tomorrow is quite high. Even if the rebound does not happen as expected, the index is likely to consolidate around the 4100-point level, and a rebound next week is still worth looking forward to. Here are the three core reasons for this conclusion: 1. This round of adjustment is policy-driven cooling, with regulators aiming to curb excessive rapid index growth and guide the market back to a steady bull market rhythm, rather than reversing the bull market trend. Therefore, the adjustment's depth and duration are relatively limited. 2. The 4100-point psychological level has proven effective as support. Although the index briefly dipped below this level during the day, it ultimately recovered, indicating strong buying pressure at this level. 3. From a technical perspective, there is no top divergence on the daily chart. This correction is merely a short-term adjustment triggered by a 60-minute top divergence, with an expected duration of 3-5 trading days. After the adjustment concludes, the index is expected to resume its daily trend and target new highs. In summary, whether the market rebounds directly tomorrow or forms a small doji-like candlestick around the 4100-point level for consolidation, the rebound window is approaching, and there is no need for excessive pessimism.
The false bullish pattern has formed a bottom and stabilized, can the market see a rebound tomorrow?
Today's market rose initially but then retreated, with consolidation and further shrinking trading volume. The closing candle was a shrinking-volume false bullish line, successfully stabilizing at the 4100-point psychological level, with the overall trend largely in line with expectations.
So, will the market rebound tomorrow?
My judgment is: the probability of a rebound tomorrow is quite high. Even if the rebound does not happen as expected, the index is likely to consolidate around the 4100-point level, and a rebound next week is still worth looking forward to.
Here are the three core reasons for this conclusion:
1. This round of adjustment is policy-driven cooling, with regulators aiming to curb excessive rapid index growth and guide the market back to a steady bull market rhythm, rather than reversing the bull market trend. Therefore, the adjustment's depth and duration are relatively limited.
2. The 4100-point psychological level has proven effective as support. Although the index briefly dipped below this level during the day, it ultimately recovered, indicating strong buying pressure at this level.
3. From a technical perspective, there is no top divergence on the daily chart. This correction is merely a short-term adjustment triggered by a 60-minute top divergence, with an expected duration of 3-5 trading days. After the adjustment concludes, the index is expected to resume its daily trend and target new highs.
In summary, whether the market rebounds directly tomorrow or forms a small doji-like candlestick around the 4100-point level for consolidation, the rebound window is approaching, and there is no need for excessive pessimism.
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Volume contracted by trillions! 'Artificial cooling' measures taking effect, here's how to把握 the market rhythm On Thursday, the main index experienced a slight fluctuation and consolidation, ultimately closing with a small cross-shaped candlestick. This pattern indicates that the market's buying and selling forces are now balanced, and the overall trend remains largely in line with expectations. From a short-term perspective, the index is likely to remain in a horizontal consolidation phase, gradually seeing the 5-day moving average approach the 10-day and 20-day moving averages. From a weekly perspective, this round of adjustment can also be seen as a test and confirmation of the 4034-point support level. Currently, the index remains within a reasonable fluctuation range, with the 5-week moving average continuing to diverge upward, and the bullish alignment pattern remains intact. This suggests that the market does not have the conditions for a significant downturn, and the likelihood of continued horizontal consolidation is higher. As long as the pullback does not break below the key support level of 4034 points, there is no need for excessive concern. In a consolidation market, the requirement for operational timing is significantly increased. Investors must avoid being overly aggressive. Especially under the backdrop of 'artificial cooling' policies, funds generally exhibit caution toward high-valued stocks. Operationally, one should adhere to the principles of 'not chasing gains, not panicking during declines,' adopting a 'buy on weakness, sell on strength' strategy to accurately grasp the wave rhythm.
Volume contracted by trillions! 'Artificial cooling' measures taking effect, here's how to把握 the market rhythm
On Thursday, the main index experienced a slight fluctuation and consolidation, ultimately closing with a small cross-shaped candlestick. This pattern indicates that the market's buying and selling forces are now balanced, and the overall trend remains largely in line with expectations. From a short-term perspective, the index is likely to remain in a horizontal consolidation phase, gradually seeing the 5-day moving average approach the 10-day and 20-day moving averages.
From a weekly perspective, this round of adjustment can also be seen as a test and confirmation of the 4034-point support level. Currently, the index remains within a reasonable fluctuation range, with the 5-week moving average continuing to diverge upward, and the bullish alignment pattern remains intact. This suggests that the market does not have the conditions for a significant downturn, and the likelihood of continued horizontal consolidation is higher. As long as the pullback does not break below the key support level of 4034 points, there is no need for excessive concern.
In a consolidation market, the requirement for operational timing is significantly increased. Investors must avoid being overly aggressive. Especially under the backdrop of 'artificial cooling' policies, funds generally exhibit caution toward high-valued stocks. Operationally, one should adhere to the principles of 'not chasing gains, not panicking during declines,' adopting a 'buy on weakness, sell on strength' strategy to accurately grasp the wave rhythm.
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The market has seen a significant reduction in trading volume today: Is it an opportunity or a risk? First, my view: As of now, the overall market turnover has contracted to the trillion-yuan level, with notable market fluctuations. The announcement yesterday regarding increased margin requirements has directly triggered today's market cooling. This reduction in trading volume is not necessarily bad. If the market continues to rise without experiencing any pullbacks, it could actually create greater risks down the line. Regarding the future trend of the overall market, my stance is clear: the first support level is around 4,098 points, and the second support level is around 4,034 points. These two levels are the optimal opportunities for re-entry; other levels do not offer clear investment value. Additionally, it's important to note that funds that entered at high prices in the past two days are unlikely to be unwound smoothly in the short term. The market may even form a double-top pattern, so investors should prepare accordingly. On the individual stock level, we should continue to avoid high-valued stocks and instead focus on identifying undervalued stocks with potential for a 'dragon return' pattern.
The market has seen a significant reduction in trading volume today: Is it an opportunity or a risk?
First, my view: As of now, the overall market turnover has contracted to the trillion-yuan level, with notable market fluctuations. The announcement yesterday regarding increased margin requirements has directly triggered today's market cooling.
This reduction in trading volume is not necessarily bad. If the market continues to rise without experiencing any pullbacks, it could actually create greater risks down the line.
Regarding the future trend of the overall market, my stance is clear: the first support level is around 4,098 points, and the second support level is around 4,034 points. These two levels are the optimal opportunities for re-entry; other levels do not offer clear investment value.
Additionally, it's important to note that funds that entered at high prices in the past two days are unlikely to be unwound smoothly in the short term. The market may even form a double-top pattern, so investors should prepare accordingly.
On the individual stock level, we should continue to avoid high-valued stocks and instead focus on identifying undervalued stocks with potential for a 'dragon return' pattern.
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The A-share market's consolidation has entered its third trading day, and future market trends can be interpreted as follows: Our view remains unchanged; when the index declines to the vicinity of the previous high point range of 4,083-4,098 points, it will be the first short-term entry point, allowing for speculation on a rebound wave. The strength of the subsequent rebound will require further observation based on trading volume and sector rotation. From the perspective of external联动 indicators, the downside support level of the FTSE China A50 index is located along the 6-month moving average, a level that coincides almost exactly with the previous high range of the A-share market, forming a resonant support. During the previous phase of continuous index rallies, we have consistently warned of risks at elevated levels; now, in the context of ongoing corrections, the market is gradually revealing positioning opportunities.
The A-share market's consolidation has entered its third trading day, and future market trends can be interpreted as follows:
Our view remains unchanged; when the index declines to the vicinity of the previous high point range of 4,083-4,098 points, it will be the first short-term entry point, allowing for speculation on a rebound wave. The strength of the subsequent rebound will require further observation based on trading volume and sector rotation. From the perspective of external联动 indicators, the downside support level of the FTSE China A50 index is located along the 6-month moving average, a level that coincides almost exactly with the previous high range of the A-share market, forming a resonant support. During the previous phase of continuous index rallies, we have consistently warned of risks at elevated levels; now, in the context of ongoing corrections, the market is gradually revealing positioning opportunities.
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The market has continued to 'cool down' recently; what's next? Early Thursday trading was generally characterized by minor fluctuations, with indices remaining stable and avoiding significant corrections. However, individual stocks performed relatively weakly. The CSI 2000 opened with two consecutive down days, indicating that today's pullbacks in individual stocks were still evident. This mainly stems from 'artificial cooling,' so in the short term, caution is advised for high-valued stocks and those that have risen sharply, as short-term impacts are likely. Simply put, upward potential is now limited. This was clearly visible today, with a notable decrease in 20cm gainers. From a technical perspective, short-term fluctuations are unavoidable, but they are likely to remain in a strong consolidation pattern. As long as the 4034 level is held, the market remains strong. From a moving average standpoint, the 5-day line will gradually approach the 10-day and 20-day lines. Consolidation in a central range increases trading difficulty, requiring better stock selection and timing. Those with weaker fundamentals should exercise caution and avoid overly aggressive strategies—consider buying on dips and selling on rallies. Sector-wise, both commercial space and AI applications saw broad corrections, which is normal given their previous large gains. The market's main direction hasn't changed, though the commercial space sector is likely to shift into a wide-range consolidation phase, with inevitable major divergences. Patience is key—wait and see. AI applications remain a key area to monitor. Corrections offer opportunities for continued tracking, but attention to timing is crucial. Stocks with recent consecutive gains may face profit-taking pressure, and with artificial market cooling, upward potential is limited. Avoid chasing gains; instead, wait patiently for pullbacks and look to add positions at lower levels.
The market has continued to 'cool down' recently; what's next? Early Thursday trading was generally characterized by minor fluctuations, with indices remaining stable and avoiding significant corrections. However, individual stocks performed relatively weakly. The CSI 2000 opened with two consecutive down days, indicating that today's pullbacks in individual stocks were still evident. This mainly stems from 'artificial cooling,' so in the short term, caution is advised for high-valued stocks and those that have risen sharply, as short-term impacts are likely. Simply put, upward potential is now limited. This was clearly visible today, with a notable decrease in 20cm gainers.

From a technical perspective, short-term fluctuations are unavoidable, but they are likely to remain in a strong consolidation pattern. As long as the 4034 level is held, the market remains strong. From a moving average standpoint, the 5-day line will gradually approach the 10-day and 20-day lines.

Consolidation in a central range increases trading difficulty, requiring better stock selection and timing. Those with weaker fundamentals should exercise caution and avoid overly aggressive strategies—consider buying on dips and selling on rallies.

Sector-wise, both commercial space and AI applications saw broad corrections, which is normal given their previous large gains. The market's main direction hasn't changed, though the commercial space sector is likely to shift into a wide-range consolidation phase, with inevitable major divergences. Patience is key—wait and see.

AI applications remain a key area to monitor. Corrections offer opportunities for continued tracking, but attention to timing is crucial. Stocks with recent consecutive gains may face profit-taking pressure, and with artificial market cooling, upward potential is limited. Avoid chasing gains; instead, wait patiently for pullbacks and look to add positions at lower levels.
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Overnight, the three major U.S. stock indices collectively fell, with the Nasdaq dropping more than 1%, as tech stocks weakened across the board, dragging down the market, while all seven major tech giants closed in the green. The precious metals sector saw a renewed frenzy, with spot silver prices historically surpassing $93. On the news front, a Federal Reserve official for 2026 clearly supports Powell, stating that interest rates will remain unchanged in January, while firmly opposing administrative intervention in monetary policy. Additionally, the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index slightly fell by 0.23%, and the FTSE China A50 Index dropped by 0.55%. 2. A-share Market Analysis On Wednesday, the A-share market showed a steady trend in the morning, with the structure appearing strong; however, in the afternoon, the index quickly plummeted due to unexpected bad news, with fluctuations continuing until 14:00. In the last hour, the market began to recover, ultimately closing with a long upper and lower shadow doji, reporting 4126.09 points, down 0.31%. This negative news stemmed from the Shanghai and Shenzhen North Stock Exchanges simultaneously announcing that the minimum margin ratio for investors' financing would be raised from 80% to 100%, sending a clear signal to regulate market leverage and prevent trading risks. The impact of this policy mainly focuses on two aspects: 1. A significant cooling of sentiment, directly putting financial pressure on the on-site financing market; 2. Guiding a shift in market style, during the reporting season window, potentially pushing funds from pure concept speculation to focus on fundamentally strong stocks with good performance. Overall, after consecutive increases in volume, the market's foundation and capital activity remain online, and the regulatory measures aimed at "cooling down" are intended to maintain the long-term healthy development of the market rather than ending the current trend. 3. Market Hotspots and Important News 1. Policy Press Conference: The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference at 3:00 PM on January 15 (Thursday) to introduce the effects of monetary and financial policies in supporting high-quality development of the real economy. 2. Aerospace Sector: The U.S. National Aeronautics and Space Administration recently announced that the "Artemis 2" crewed lunar flyby mission is scheduled to take place no earlier than February 6. 3. Tariff Policy: On the 14th, the U.S. announced that starting from the 15th, a 25% import tariff will be imposed on certain imported semiconductors, semiconductor manufacturing equipment, and their derivatives. 4. Industry Chain Trends: Driven by the AI boom, demand for high-end electronic-grade glass fiber cloth has surged, with Nitto Denko's related products facing shortages, as companies like Apple and Qualcomm are rushing to buy. Related stocks to watch include Honghe Technology and Fuli Hua. 5. Regulatory Dynamics: Yidian Tianxia has entered the suspension review phase due to a cumulative deviation of over 100% in the closing price increase over nine consecutive trading days; Guosheng Technology has experienced multiple abnormal fluctuations, and the Shanghai Stock Exchange has accordingly taken self-regulatory measures such as suspending account trading for relevant investors.
Overnight, the three major U.S. stock indices collectively fell, with the Nasdaq dropping more than 1%, as tech stocks weakened across the board, dragging down the market, while all seven major tech giants closed in the green. The precious metals sector saw a renewed frenzy, with spot silver prices historically surpassing $93.
On the news front, a Federal Reserve official for 2026 clearly supports Powell, stating that interest rates will remain unchanged in January, while firmly opposing administrative intervention in monetary policy.
Additionally, the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index slightly fell by 0.23%, and the FTSE China A50 Index dropped by 0.55%.
2. A-share Market Analysis
On Wednesday, the A-share market showed a steady trend in the morning, with the structure appearing strong; however, in the afternoon, the index quickly plummeted due to unexpected bad news, with fluctuations continuing until 14:00. In the last hour, the market began to recover, ultimately closing with a long upper and lower shadow doji, reporting 4126.09 points, down 0.31%.
This negative news stemmed from the Shanghai and Shenzhen North Stock Exchanges simultaneously announcing that the minimum margin ratio for investors' financing would be raised from 80% to 100%, sending a clear signal to regulate market leverage and prevent trading risks.
The impact of this policy mainly focuses on two aspects:
1. A significant cooling of sentiment, directly putting financial pressure on the on-site financing market;
2. Guiding a shift in market style, during the reporting season window, potentially pushing funds from pure concept speculation to focus on fundamentally strong stocks with good performance.
Overall, after consecutive increases in volume, the market's foundation and capital activity remain online, and the regulatory measures aimed at "cooling down" are intended to maintain the long-term healthy development of the market rather than ending the current trend.
3. Market Hotspots and Important News
1. Policy Press Conference: The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference at 3:00 PM on January 15 (Thursday) to introduce the effects of monetary and financial policies in supporting high-quality development of the real economy.
2. Aerospace Sector: The U.S. National Aeronautics and Space Administration recently announced that the "Artemis 2" crewed lunar flyby mission is scheduled to take place no earlier than February 6.
3. Tariff Policy: On the 14th, the U.S. announced that starting from the 15th, a 25% import tariff will be imposed on certain imported semiconductors, semiconductor manufacturing equipment, and their derivatives.
4. Industry Chain Trends: Driven by the AI boom, demand for high-end electronic-grade glass fiber cloth has surged, with Nitto Denko's related products facing shortages, as companies like Apple and Qualcomm are rushing to buy. Related stocks to watch include Honghe Technology and Fuli Hua.
5. Regulatory Dynamics: Yidian Tianxia has entered the suspension review phase due to a cumulative deviation of over 100% in the closing price increase over nine consecutive trading days; Guosheng Technology has experienced multiple abnormal fluctuations, and the Shanghai Stock Exchange has accordingly taken self-regulatory measures such as suspending account trading for relevant investors.
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A double black candle pattern doesn't necessarily indicate主力洗盘 (distribution by major players), but could also signal a trend reversal. Distinguishing between the two has always been challenging. There is a common market consensus: a double black candle with shrinking volume likely represents distribution, whereas a double black candle with increasing volume more often suggests weakening trends. However, how should we interpret the 'double volume black candle' strategy? After such a pattern appears, some securities may immediately rebound strongly, but most will first undergo a pullback before entering the next phase of movement. Ultimately, market sentiment can serve as an interpretation of price movements, and themes can provide explanations for price changes. There are reasons for rises and logic behind declines—precisely illustrating the complexity of stock market analysis.
A double black candle pattern doesn't necessarily indicate主力洗盘 (distribution by major players), but could also signal a trend reversal. Distinguishing between the two has always been challenging.
There is a common market consensus: a double black candle with shrinking volume likely represents distribution, whereas a double black candle with increasing volume more often suggests weakening trends. However, how should we interpret the 'double volume black candle' strategy? After such a pattern appears, some securities may immediately rebound strongly, but most will first undergo a pullback before entering the next phase of movement.
Ultimately, market sentiment can serve as an interpretation of price movements, and themes can provide explanations for price changes. There are reasons for rises and logic behind declines—precisely illustrating the complexity of stock market analysis.
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The A-share market experienced a dramatic roller-coaster trend, with trading volume continuously expanding to nearly 3.99 trillion yuan, setting a new historical high. The strongest theme in the market was undoubtedly AI applications. Stimulated by positive news such as Google's open-source e-commerce AI protocol and Alibaba's 'Qwen' achieving over 10 million weekly active users, sectors related to AI applications—media, e-commerce, and marketing—saw a full-scale breakout. In the afternoon, market conditions changed dramatically, with indices plunging sharply. The immediate trigger was the simultaneous announcement from the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock exchanges to increase the margin requirement for financing from 80% to 100%. This policy adjustment directly hit leveraged funds, triggering a broad selloff in brokerage stocks and high-flying stocks. During the final auction phase, major blue-chip stocks such as China Merchants Bank and Kweichow Moutai faced massive sell orders, signaling that large institutional investors were conducting risk control or reshuffling their portfolios. In the short term, these blue-chip stocks are likely to face selling pressure. In the metals sector, the hard logic of rising prices for silver and tin stood out. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's main tin contract hit a new all-time high, while spot silver prices approached $90 per ounce, showing a strong momentum with both volume and price rising. Core stocks such as Hunan Silver and Xingye Silver Tin have surged since the start of the year, allowing early investors to continue reaping gains; stocks like Mingpai Jewelry, Xianglu Tungsten, Tin Industry Co., and Jiangxi Copper are also expected to potentially break new highs. The commercial aerospace sector is currently in a fierce competition for upgrades. Stocks like Galaxy Electronics, Changlan Technology, and Hai Ge Communications have performed notably well. For trend-following investments, consider Shenzhuan Co., Guobo Electronics, Chaojie Co., Shanghai Hanxun, China Great Wall, and China Satellite; for high-potential, more volatile stocks, look at Jiayuan Technology, Hongxiang Co., and Zhuosheng Micro, which are oversold and offer higher value. AI-related themes are also entering an upgrade phase. Stocks such as Sanwei Communications, Lioo Co., and Meiniang Health are gaining strong momentum. In the trend-driven sectors, stocks like Bluebird Media, Shengtong Co., Yonyou Network, Zhejiang Shuwen Culture, Jiqu Software, Oufei Electronics, and Aoto Electronics offer long-term investment value and are worth close attention.
The A-share market experienced a dramatic roller-coaster trend, with trading volume continuously expanding to nearly 3.99 trillion yuan, setting a new historical high. The strongest theme in the market was undoubtedly AI applications. Stimulated by positive news such as Google's open-source e-commerce AI protocol and Alibaba's 'Qwen' achieving over 10 million weekly active users, sectors related to AI applications—media, e-commerce, and marketing—saw a full-scale breakout.
In the afternoon, market conditions changed dramatically, with indices plunging sharply. The immediate trigger was the simultaneous announcement from the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock exchanges to increase the margin requirement for financing from 80% to 100%. This policy adjustment directly hit leveraged funds, triggering a broad selloff in brokerage stocks and high-flying stocks. During the final auction phase, major blue-chip stocks such as China Merchants Bank and Kweichow Moutai faced massive sell orders, signaling that large institutional investors were conducting risk control or reshuffling their portfolios. In the short term, these blue-chip stocks are likely to face selling pressure.
In the metals sector, the hard logic of rising prices for silver and tin stood out. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's main tin contract hit a new all-time high, while spot silver prices approached $90 per ounce, showing a strong momentum with both volume and price rising. Core stocks such as Hunan Silver and Xingye Silver Tin have surged since the start of the year, allowing early investors to continue reaping gains; stocks like Mingpai Jewelry, Xianglu Tungsten, Tin Industry Co., and Jiangxi Copper are also expected to potentially break new highs.
The commercial aerospace sector is currently in a fierce competition for upgrades. Stocks like Galaxy Electronics, Changlan Technology, and Hai Ge Communications have performed notably well. For trend-following investments, consider Shenzhuan Co., Guobo Electronics, Chaojie Co., Shanghai Hanxun, China Great Wall, and China Satellite; for high-potential, more volatile stocks, look at Jiayuan Technology, Hongxiang Co., and Zhuosheng Micro, which are oversold and offer higher value.
AI-related themes are also entering an upgrade phase. Stocks such as Sanwei Communications, Lioo Co., and Meiniang Health are gaining strong momentum. In the trend-driven sectors, stocks like Bluebird Media, Shengtong Co., Yonyou Network, Zhejiang Shuwen Culture, Jiqu Software, Oufei Electronics, and Aoto Electronics offer long-term investment value and are worth close attention.
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After the man and the female streamer got engaged, he found out she had three children! Recently, a 27-year-old man from Kaifeng, Henan Province, has drawn sympathy. He fell in love with a single female streamer he met online, progressing from mutual understanding to engagement, believing he had found sweet romance—only to realize he had fallen into a carefully crafted deception. Under the pretense of wanting a family and wanting plastic surgery, the woman convinced the man to spend over 80,000 yuan to establish their relationship, and another 110,000 yuan for the engagement. But after the engagement, when he visited her village, he was shocked to discover she was nearly 40 years old, had been married twice, and had three children. She had been using makeup to disguise herself as a 20-year-old, and was even flirtatious with other male fans in her live streams. Her family, however, accused the man of deceiving her by claiming to be a wealthy boss. In this farce, both parties seemed to be masking themselves with lies. Love should be pure, but has become distorted by money and vanity. This serves as a reminder that on the journey to love, we must stay清醒, not be deceived by appearances, take time to truly understand the other person, and avoid letting momentary impulses lead us into endless pain and trouble.
After the man and the female streamer got engaged, he found out she had three children!
Recently, a 27-year-old man from Kaifeng, Henan Province, has drawn sympathy. He fell in love with a single female streamer he met online, progressing from mutual understanding to engagement, believing he had found sweet romance—only to realize he had fallen into a carefully crafted deception.
Under the pretense of wanting a family and wanting plastic surgery, the woman convinced the man to spend over 80,000 yuan to establish their relationship, and another 110,000 yuan for the engagement. But after the engagement, when he visited her village, he was shocked to discover she was nearly 40 years old, had been married twice, and had three children. She had been using makeup to disguise herself as a 20-year-old, and was even flirtatious with other male fans in her live streams. Her family, however, accused the man of deceiving her by claiming to be a wealthy boss.
In this farce, both parties seemed to be masking themselves with lies. Love should be pure, but has become distorted by money and vanity. This serves as a reminder that on the journey to love, we must stay清醒, not be deceived by appearances, take time to truly understand the other person, and avoid letting momentary impulses lead us into endless pain and trouble.
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Iran also has some options, and if pushed to the limit, Iran could block the Strait of Hormuz. Iran's military power is indeed no match for the United States and Israel. But if Iran is determined to block the Strait of Hormuz, neither the United States nor Israel would be able to stop it. In that case, all Middle Eastern countries, especially the Gulf states, would be in turmoil, as their oil exports would be blocked. Personally, I believe the Strait of Hormuz should be Iran's ultimate weapon and lifeline—should not be used unless absolutely necessary. Once used, its impact would be massive, and there would be no turning back!
Iran also has some options, and if pushed to the limit, Iran could block the Strait of Hormuz. Iran's military power is indeed no match for the United States and Israel. But if Iran is determined to block the Strait of Hormuz, neither the United States nor Israel would be able to stop it. In that case, all Middle Eastern countries, especially the Gulf states, would be in turmoil, as their oil exports would be blocked. Personally, I believe the Strait of Hormuz should be Iran's ultimate weapon and lifeline—should not be used unless absolutely necessary. Once used, its impact would be massive, and there would be no turning back!
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Is Trump really just tying himself in knots? He tied up old Ma, claiming he'd control Venezuela's oil, but the oil bigwigs all stepped back and refused to engage. So what's the point of all this fuss? Personally, I think Trump was overly optimistic, assuming that once he got old Ma, Venezuela's oil would be easily within reach, and domestic oil giants would be grateful and rush to compete for drilling rights. But that didn't happen—no one stepped up. This was something Trump didn't anticipate. It turns out he just wasted his time and energy for nothing!
Is Trump really just tying himself in knots? He tied up old Ma, claiming he'd control Venezuela's oil, but the oil bigwigs all stepped back and refused to engage. So what's the point of all this fuss? Personally, I think Trump was overly optimistic, assuming that once he got old Ma, Venezuela's oil would be easily within reach, and domestic oil giants would be grateful and rush to compete for drilling rights. But that didn't happen—no one stepped up. This was something Trump didn't anticipate. It turns out he just wasted his time and energy for nothing!
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The gun is loaded, and the U.S. will definitely attack Iran. The U.S. only needs one reason right now to launch a military strike on Iran. Don't say Iran has a large population or vast territory—none of that matters. Just look at last year's long-range aerial attack by the U.S. on Iran, which was like entering a land with no defenders, coming and going effortlessly. Iran cannot entrust its national destiny to any single country—no one will go to war with the U.S. on Iran's behalf. It's unclear whether Iran has learned from last year's lessons, with so many internal spies. If the U.S. succeeds in dealing with Iran, then the U.S. will control the world's energy lifeline.
The gun is loaded, and the U.S. will definitely attack Iran.
The U.S. only needs one reason right now to launch a military strike on Iran.
Don't say Iran has a large population or vast territory—none of that matters. Just look at last year's long-range aerial attack by the U.S. on Iran, which was like entering a land with no defenders, coming and going effortlessly.
Iran cannot entrust its national destiny to any single country—no one will go to war with the U.S. on Iran's behalf.
It's unclear whether Iran has learned from last year's lessons, with so many internal spies.
If the U.S. succeeds in dealing with Iran, then the U.S. will control the world's energy lifeline.
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Musk is indeed a dangerous figure. US Defense Secretary Hegseth publicly stated: "Musk's A|Robotics will be introduced into the Department of Defense." We are all amazed by Musk's mind, his scientific research, and his success. Unfortunately, Musk is American, and he is destined to serve the United States. The greater his abilities, the greater the threat to our country. He has now become someone we must be vigilant about.
Musk is indeed a dangerous figure.
US Defense Secretary Hegseth publicly stated: "Musk's A|Robotics will be introduced into the Department of Defense." We are all amazed by Musk's mind, his scientific research, and his success. Unfortunately, Musk is American, and he is destined to serve the United States. The greater his abilities, the greater the threat to our country. He has now become someone we must be vigilant about.
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How to select strong stocks? After multiple反复 (repeated experiences), I've concluded that 'chart patterns' are more reliable than 'concepts'. Guosen Technology is the best example. I used to chase 'concepts'—every day, various so-called 'hot concepts' would see their stocks surge to the daily limit, which looked exciting, but real trading always brought problems, mainly due to the following reasons: 1. A single stock can belong to multiple concepts, making it hard to determine which one is dominant. 2. Different apps define the same stock's concepts differently, so it's impossible to know which app is accurate. 3. There are many stocks in hot concept categories, but whether to buy or sell still ultimately depends on chart patterns—concepts don't really help. Based on the above, I no longer blindly follow 'concepts'—I only focus on chart patterns. The stock in the chart is Guosen Technology. It's not found in any of the hottest sectors recently, yet it keeps hitting the daily limit. If I had to assign it a concept, it would undoubtedly be 'limit-up stock'.
How to select strong stocks? After multiple反复 (repeated experiences), I've concluded that 'chart patterns' are more reliable than 'concepts'. Guosen Technology is the best example.
I used to chase 'concepts'—every day, various so-called 'hot concepts' would see their stocks surge to the daily limit, which looked exciting, but real trading always brought problems, mainly due to the following reasons:
1. A single stock can belong to multiple concepts, making it hard to determine which one is dominant.
2. Different apps define the same stock's concepts differently, so it's impossible to know which app is accurate.
3. There are many stocks in hot concept categories, but whether to buy or sell still ultimately depends on chart patterns—concepts don't really help.
Based on the above, I no longer blindly follow 'concepts'—I only focus on chart patterns.
The stock in the chart is Guosen Technology. It's not found in any of the hottest sectors recently, yet it keeps hitting the daily limit. If I had to assign it a concept, it would undoubtedly be 'limit-up stock'.
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Medvedev is terrifying. He has given Trump a "tricky move" that has frightened Europe. According to RT, on January 12, Medvedev made remarks mentioning the word "referendum," causing a stir. As the former President of Russia and currently the Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council, Medvedev posted on January 12: "Trump, you need to act fast. According to unconfirmed reports, the 55,000 residents of Greenland may hold a referendum in a few days. If they agree to join Russia, the U.S. will lose everything it has worked for." Clearly, Medvedev's "unconfirmed" information is a joke—suggesting a referendum for Greenland's residents to join Russia is purely satirical. However, this statement serves a threefold purpose, especially aimed at straining U.S.-European relations. It can be interpreted in the following three ways: First, consider the benefit to Russia. Medvedev publicly calling for a referendum in Greenland should alarm Europe more than the U.S. Currently, European leaders like Macron can stand up to the U.S. because, legally, Greenland belongs to Denmark. But if Greenland's 55,000 residents truly hold a referendum and join the U.S., it would be a devastating blow to Europe. The U.S. would gain a new state without any effort, and Europe's dignity would be trampled in the snow. In short, Medvedev's "tricky move" widens the rift between the U.S. and Europe—something highly advantageous to Russia. Second, consider the damage to Europe. Medvedev's statement is effectively a "tricky move" for Trump. If Greenland holds a referendum, the U.S. would suffer no real loss. Even if the outcome is unfavorable, Trump still has the option of force, leaving the situation unchanged. But Europe would be in serious trouble—losing its legal basis and facing uncontrollable consequences. Third, consider the irony toward the U.S. The last well-known referendum in Europe was about Crimea. If Trump truly pushes for a Greenland referendum to join the U.S., will the U.S. recognize the result? If yes, then it must also recognize Crimea's referendum. Medvedev is aiming to expose Western double standards, delivering a strong sarcastic message. In summary, when Medvedev mentions "referendum," it's essentially a strategic move. Europe fears losing this territory due to a referendum, while the U.S. stands to gain. Every time Medvedev brings up the word "referendum," Europe's heart tightens, and the U.S. starts to worry. The gap between the two will only widen. The most ironic part is that Greenland's people themselves desire greater independence, even contemplating separation from Denmark, making the situation even more unpredictable. Currently, Greenland stands as the biggest obstacle between the U.S. and Europe. Russia is seizing this opportunity to create a situation more favorable to itself. It's foreseeable that the Greenland issue might become a pivotal turning point in U.S.-European relations.
Medvedev is terrifying. He has given Trump a "tricky move" that has frightened Europe. According to RT, on January 12, Medvedev made remarks mentioning the word "referendum," causing a stir.
As the former President of Russia and currently the Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council, Medvedev posted on January 12: "Trump, you need to act fast. According to unconfirmed reports, the 55,000 residents of Greenland may hold a referendum in a few days. If they agree to join Russia, the U.S. will lose everything it has worked for."
Clearly, Medvedev's "unconfirmed" information is a joke—suggesting a referendum for Greenland's residents to join Russia is purely satirical. However, this statement serves a threefold purpose, especially aimed at straining U.S.-European relations. It can be interpreted in the following three ways:
First, consider the benefit to Russia. Medvedev publicly calling for a referendum in Greenland should alarm Europe more than the U.S. Currently, European leaders like Macron can stand up to the U.S. because, legally, Greenland belongs to Denmark. But if Greenland's 55,000 residents truly hold a referendum and join the U.S., it would be a devastating blow to Europe. The U.S. would gain a new state without any effort, and Europe's dignity would be trampled in the snow. In short, Medvedev's "tricky move" widens the rift between the U.S. and Europe—something highly advantageous to Russia.
Second, consider the damage to Europe. Medvedev's statement is effectively a "tricky move" for Trump. If Greenland holds a referendum, the U.S. would suffer no real loss. Even if the outcome is unfavorable, Trump still has the option of force, leaving the situation unchanged. But Europe would be in serious trouble—losing its legal basis and facing uncontrollable consequences.
Third, consider the irony toward the U.S. The last well-known referendum in Europe was about Crimea. If Trump truly pushes for a Greenland referendum to join the U.S., will the U.S. recognize the result? If yes, then it must also recognize Crimea's referendum. Medvedev is aiming to expose Western double standards, delivering a strong sarcastic message.
In summary, when Medvedev mentions "referendum," it's essentially a strategic move. Europe fears losing this territory due to a referendum, while the U.S. stands to gain. Every time Medvedev brings up the word "referendum," Europe's heart tightens, and the U.S. starts to worry. The gap between the two will only widen. The most ironic part is that Greenland's people themselves desire greater independence, even contemplating separation from Denmark, making the situation even more unpredictable.
Currently, Greenland stands as the biggest obstacle between the U.S. and Europe. Russia is seizing this opportunity to create a situation more favorable to itself. It's foreseeable that the Greenland issue might become a pivotal turning point in U.S.-European relations.
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