$BNB : Burning coins before they get hot, the price has alreadyโฆ cooled down ๐ง
BNB just had a collective mood drop when EUโUS tensions rose, Trump threatened a 200% tariff โ the market turned risk-off, $BTC sneezing makes BNB catch a cold immediately.
๐ BNB couldn't hold $950 even after burning $1.27B BNB
๐ RSI ~51: not oversold, but not attractive to buy
๐ Volume -12%: buyers are hesitant, sellers are taking advantage
Prediction if it breaks below 900, it will slide further.
โ๏ธ Fermi Hardfork (opBNB): block time reduced to 0.45s โ throughput increased ~40%, direct competition with Solana/Sui for DeFi & gaming โ increased demand for BNB as gas.
๐ฅ Reduced tokenomics: auto-burn + gas burn, target supply reduction to 100M โ long-term price support.
๐ณ On-chain: whales accumulating around $900โ$915, indicating conviction at lower levels.
๐ Price is compressed within $890โ$940; derivatives OI decreasing โ traders remain cautious.
$IP increased significantly, suitable for quick trades โ avoid chasing prices. South Korean funds: Upbit accounts for ~45% of volume, sudden surge in volume โ strong spot buying pressure. However, negative funding indicates caution is needed, profit-taking may occur.
โข Story Protocol is intensifying ambassador activities, low circulating supply (~34%) โ prone to FOMO. However, on-chain use cases are still limited, mainly based on expectations. 75% of supply remains locked, long-term unlock โ future selling pressure.
โข IP broke resistance, held above EMA200, RSI overbought โ uptrend continues, but short-term volatility is normal.
After a strong breakout, Monero ($XMR ) is entering a sensitive phase as bullish catalysts and bearish pressures emerge simultaneously. 1๏ธโฃ Regulatory Headwinds โ Adjustment pressure (Bearish) โข Dubai's regulatory authority (DFSA) allows licensed institutions to restrict privacy coins. โข Major exchanges like Binance or Kraken may increase oversight or reduce support for XMR. ๐ Impact: Reduced liquidity could amplify correction momentum if FUD emerges.
2๏ธโฃ FCMP++ Upgrade โ Technological support (Bullish) โข The FCMP++ upgrade is expected to launch on testnet in Q1/2026, focusing on enhancing privacy & scalability. โข Historically, each major upgrade (e.g., CLSAG in 2021) has led to strong positive reactions from XMR. ๐ Impact: If testnet proceeds smoothly, XMR could attract back "privacy-maxi" capital.
Monero (XMR) rose +18.4% in 24h, pushing its 7-day gain to +32%, far outpacing the entire market.
What's driving XMR? 1๏ธโฃ Technical breakout: Price has broken above $550, surpassing the previous 2021 high (~$517). 2๏ธโฃ Zcash crisis: Core ZEC team members have all departed โ ZEC dropped >20% โ capital flowing into XMR as a cleaner privacy option. 3๏ธโฃ Explosive volume: Trading volume up +193%, indicating strong conviction, not just a short-term pump.
Risk perspective โข History shows XMR has repeatedly failed at the $500โ$520 zone, followed by sharp corrections. โข If it fails to hold above $500, deep pullback is likely.
Zcash is going through a stress test of confidence. On January 8, 2026, the entire development team of Electric Coin Company (ECC) resigned en masse due to internal conflicts. โ The market reacted quickly: ZEC dropped ~10%. $ZEC
Will the Zcash community quickly restore confidence and clarify the future development, or not?
โข No FOMO buying the bottom โข Only observe price reactions at $440 - $420
Stablecoin 'pumping' very strongly on Solana: Bull signal or just liquidity refill?
According to ChainCatcher, Circle just minted an additional 1 billion USDC on Solana in ~9 hours; and in ~11 hours, Circle + Tether have minted a total of ~2 billion USD (USDC + USDT). Solana is being chosen more for payment/settlement streams and on-chain financial activities thanks to its speed and low fees. In other words: USDC on Solana is the liquidity 'highway'.
Stablecoin mint โ flows into CEX/DEX โ OI increases but funding is not too hot โ prices may continue to rise.
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TRUST WALLET SECURITY INCIDENT โ BUY THE FUD, SELL THE FOMO!
Theo ChainCatcher, Trust Wallet โ one of the most popular decentralized wallets in the world โ just experienced a security incident, causing hundreds of wallets to be drained of funds with significant asset loss. ๐ก๏ธ CZ has also confirmed that Trust Wallet will take responsibility for compensating all losses (~7 million USD) to users through SAFU (user protection fund)
This incident occurred amid a market that is still quite sensitive to security risks, causing many investors to worry about the safety of software wallets and self-custodied assets. Confidence in self-custody solutions may temporarily decline, pushing some investors to withdraw funds to cold wallet platforms or centralized exchanges to reduce personal risk.
I am very happy to see some of you copying my trades and the PnL of many of you is quite good ๐
However, I want to share a few important notes for everyone to copy more effectively and safely. The strategy I am using is based on Nash Equilibrium, as I have shared before. The bot will automatically enter trades based on the EDI (Equilibrium Deviation Index), calculated from various market factors, combined with:
With such a sudden spike in the funding rate, it is bold to predict that there will be a slight dump in the next 24 hours...
SOCO GOLD
ยท
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High Funding Rate โ is it a SHORT signal?
I see many people asking: With such a high funding rate, should we short?
๐ The answer is: it's not that simple. The funding rate only reflects the crowd's sentiment, not a signal to enter a trade.
A high funding rate means many people are LONG, but the price can still continue to rise or go sideways to eat away at funding. ๐ Personal perspective: I don't use funding to predict peaks and troughs, but to assess the level of risk.