$BTC $ETH $BNB 📈 Will history repeat itself? After experiencing seven crashes of over 60%, Ethereum rebounded in a 'V-shape' each time. Will this happen again in the bull market?
Famous analyst Tom Lee shared a set of key data in an interview with CNBC: over the past eight years, Ethereum has gone through seven deep pullbacks of over 60%—and each time, it ended with a rapid 'V-shaped' reversal.
"The deeper the drop, the stronger the rebound tends to be," Lee stated, noting that the current market has shown signs of bottoming out, and MicroStrategy's recent nearly 25% rebound may just be the beginning.
Are we standing at the starting point of a new round of market that 'begins with pessimism'? Can we replicate the bullish trajectory from the lows to the euphoria of 2021? Will the market see a real turning point after the Spring Festival?
🚀 The strategy remains clear: It might be wise to set aside short-term anxieties and gradually allocate to those assets that have stood the test of cycles—such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, BNB, and other core targets.
The market is always volatile, but what is rare is maintaining clarity and patience amidst the fluctuations. History may not repeat itself simply, but it often resonates with similar rhythms. Opportunities always belong to those who quietly act when others hesitate. #易理华割肉清仓 #Bitcoin mining difficulty decreases
$BTC $ETH There has always been a heart-pounding saying online: if in 2010, you had bought Bitcoin for 1,000 yuan and held it until today - that money would have turned into 10 billion. Sounds so simple, right? "Just hold on to it and do nothing." But if you really go back and look at that price fluctuation curve, and see the real days behind those 1,000 Bitcoins, you will understand: this path is not something an average person can walk. 1,000 turned into 100,000, surged to 1 million, and in the blink of an eye dropped to 30,000; then it rose to 5 million, only to plummet back to 800,000; then it broke through 20 million, yet fell again to 3 million; next it skyrocketed to 500 million, then shrank to 80 million... and finally, it became 10 billion. Now, close your eyes and think: If it were you, could you really hold on tightly and not let go from start to finish? #何时抄底? #加密市场回调
$BTC $ETH What is going on? The big pancake and the second pancake have started fighting again? Is the second pancake really going to explode? #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓
$BTC $ETH The large pancake breaks the support level of 70,000, does it need to continue to go down? Can it really break the 69,000 level? The market has been really difficult these past few days #小非农数据不及预期 # Yi Lihua's Trend Research reduces positions
$BTC $ETH V The God Three-Day Sale of 2779 ETH (approximately 6.2 million USD) has caused panic to spread rapidly in the market. The chain reaction is immediate: Trend Research, led by Yi Lihua, has urgently lowered the liquidation price of ETH to 1640 USD, and the current unrealized loss has reached 474 million USD. Bitcoin is currently reported at 71,000 USD, and mining machines have entered the breakeven zone, indicating that market bottom signals may have emerged. #小非农数据不及预期 # Trend Research, led by Yi Lihua, has reduced its holdings.
$BTC $DOGE Musk has started to promote Dogecoin again, will Dogecoin break its previous high? Let's discuss in the comments #特朗普称坚定支持加密货币 #BTC trend analysis
$BTC $DOGE V God does charity and sells 493 ETH, will it have any impact on ETH in the future? The current cryptocurrency market is really too difficult, ETH is sluggish, and other altcoins have dropped to the ground, is it really a bear market? Let's chat in the comments #黄金白银反弹 #V神卖币 #Strategy increase Bitcoin holdings
$BTC $ETH woke up at 4 AM, the sky fell down, big pancake 75000, how many people cried in the toilet about 2250 Ethereum, the U merchants also took advantage of the fire to rob at 7.03, it should be the bottom, seize the opportunity to continue to get it going. #美国PPI数据高于预期 #CZ Binance Square AMA
$BTC $ZEC The sharp drop in gold and silver is an opportunity or a trap? History can be a reference.
Looking back at the previous two major market movements (1979-1980, 2010-2011), both surged dramatically under the influence of crises and liquidity, and then experienced a significant drop, entering a long adjustment period. The core rule is: the faster the rise, the sharper the fall.
The background of this round of market is indeed different: the global central banks' increased holdings, de-dollarization, and industrial demand for silver have provided long-term support. This may limit the downside potential, but short-term risks have not disappeared—if prices hover near historical highs, any minor disturbance may trigger severe profit-taking.
The key lies in distinguishing the "position":
· If prices are still fluctuating at high levels, a rebound is more likely to be a trap, accumulating momentum for subsequent corrections. · If a deep adjustment has already occurred, under the premise that long-term logic remains unchanged, it may nurture opportunities. History repeatedly warns: the "this time is different" during euphoria is often dangerous; real opportunities often emerge after a deep fall when fear prevails.
Cryptocurrencies are similarly dominated by macro liquidity, closely related to the trends of U.S. tech stocks. The future path depends on:
· Upward: Needs a combination of interest rate cut expectations and ETF capital inflows to drive. · Downward: High interest rates or the risk of economic recession can trigger a correction.
In summary, whether it is gold, silver, or crypto assets, all are driven by the liquidity cycle. Maintaining rationality amidst volatility, avoiding chasing highs during euphoria, and examining long-term value during panic sell-offs may be the simple wisdom to cope with a complex market. #CZ币安广场AMA #贵金属巨震
$BTC $ETH $BNB Tonight's bloody market, I believe everyone has felt it from their positions. Gold, US stocks, and Bitcoin have rarely synchronized crash, once again confirming the high uncertainty facing the global economy.
Why did the synchronized crash occur? Although the current world economy appears stable on the surface, it is actually experiencing increasing divergence and emerging hidden worries. Developed economies are struggling with weak growth, while emerging markets are also under pressure, with trade frictions and geopolitical conflicts continuously disrupting the market. The Federal Reserve has paused interest rate cuts, showing a clear wait-and-see attitude, tightening liquidity expectations. Geopolitically, tensions have escalated in multiple areas such as Ukraine, the Middle East, and the Taiwan Strait, further increasing risk aversion and market volatility.
Historical comparable scenarios Similar synchronized fluctuations have occurred in history:
· In May 2010, a "flash crash" caused by high-frequency trading malfunctions led to a dual plunge in stocks and commodities, but the market quickly recovered; · In March 2020, the pandemic shock led to a liquidity crisis that caused nearly all risk assets to plunge, followed by a strong rebound under the massive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve.
How to respond to the market?
1. Diversified allocation, maintain balance: Avoid excessive concentration on a single asset. Consider a combination of "US stocks (technology + defensive) + gold (safe haven) + Bitcoin/BNB (volatility growth)." 2. Style switching, varies by person: Risk-averse individuals should increase allocation to gold and government bonds; those who can withstand volatility may pay attention to assets like Bitcoin after a sharp decline. 3. Rational perspective, avoid panic: Flash crashes are often a concentrated release of market emotions; history shows that high-quality assets often present long-term buying opportunities afterwards.
The market always moves forward in volatility. Staying calm and adhering to allocation discipline often allows one to capture real opportunities amid uncertainty. #美国伊朗对峙 #加密市场观察
$BTC $ETH The good show is far from just being staged in the K-line.
While you are still staring at the market, global capital is completing a historic "anchor switch": multiple central banks are quietly selling off U.S. debt and hoarding gold, and even Tether, a giant in the crypto world, has purchased 116 tons of gold, with unrealized profits exceeding 5 billion U.S. dollars. This is no longer a simple asset adjustment, but a heavy "vote of no confidence" against the U.S. dollar credit system.
Why is gold rising? The answer lies in its essence—it is anonymous, stateless, and does not rely on any institution's promise. When the scale of U.S. Treasury bonds expands to the point that 26,500 tons of gold are needed to cover it (while the actual reserves are only 8,133 tons), the rules of the game are clear: the rise in gold essentially indicates that the credit system is being re-evaluated.
Looking at silver, it has long surpassed the category of "precious metals" and has become an indispensable "industrial ticket" for the photovoltaic, AI, and robotics industries, with demand being rigid and scarce.
History always echoes: after gold surged from 200 dollars to 850 dollars in 1979, it was halved; after reaching a new high of 1,921 dollars in 2011, it dropped 45%. There seems to be an iron law that after a surge, a correction must follow.
But this time, the story is different. Central banks have become continuous net buyers, and "de-dollarization" has shifted from a topic to a consensus, with digital currencies resonating with gold. The real question is no longer "how much more can gold rise," but rather: is your wealth anchored in diluting credit or in scarce real assets?
The gold rush may just be the prologue. What will the next card be? Is it computing power, energy, or key resources of the AI era? It is worth contemplating: when most people understand the trend, the plot has often quietly entered the next chapter.
Where do you think this "anchor switch" will lead? Feel free to share your observations in the comments. #Tether买黄金净赚50亿美元 #金价再冲高位
$BTC $ETH $BNB The Federal Reserve Presses the "Pause Button," Gold Strongly Breaks Through $5,596
After three consecutive interest rate cuts, the Federal Reserve announced on January 28 that it would maintain the federal funds rate in the range of 3.5%–3.75%. This marks the first pause since the rate-cutting cycle began last September.
Following the announcement, the market reacted quickly: the dollar index rose more than 1% at one point, while gold and silver prices moved against the trend, with spot gold breaking through $5,596 per ounce, and silver also reaching a new high simultaneously.
Behind the Pause
According to the statement released after the meeting, the Federal Reserve believes that current employment growth remains sluggish, inflation levels are still above target, and the economic outlook carries "high uncertainty"; thus, it decided to temporarily hold off on further actions. Data shows that in December 2025, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.7% year-on-year, with core CPI at 2.6%, indicating that inflation pressures have not completely subsided.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stated at the press conference that the impact of previous tariffs on prices has largely been transmitted, and if no new tariff measures are implemented, their impact will gradually diminish. However, he also emphasized that no decisions have been made regarding whether or when to ease policy again in the future.
It is worth noting that there were dissenting votes in this decision—Board Member Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman advocated for a further 25 basis point rate cut. Some market perspectives suggest that their voting inclination might be related to considerations for the nomination of the next Federal Reserve Chair. Following the announcement, expectations for Waller to be nominated as the new Chair have increased.
Will there be further rate cuts?
Although this time the choice was to wait and see, most institutions still expect the Federal Reserve to have room for rate cuts within this year, just that the timing may be delayed. Analysts point out that if economic and employment data remain robust, the meetings in March and April may also continue to pause, with the rate cut window potentially opening after May, coinciding with the new Chair's appointment. Currently, the market generally anticipates that there may be two rate cuts in 2026. #金价再冲高位 #币安将上线特斯拉股票永续合约
$BTC $ETH 🚨 Silver is becoming a key footnote for capital flows—its market capitalization has surged to 3.5 times that of Bitcoin. Is this a reconstruction of the valuation system or a signal of a shift in market sentiment?
📈 Data shows that over the past year, silver has quietly risen by 270%, while Bitcoin has recorded an 11% decline during the same period. Notably, silver's total market capitalization is now 3.5 times that of Bitcoin. Once seen as 'traditional,' silver is making a significant return to the spotlight.
🌍 Across Eastern and Western markets, silver price differentials are creating history. The spot price of silver in Shanghai has surpassed $124, in stark contrast to the U.S. silver price, which remains around $108, with a premium of up to $16/ounce, setting a record high. This is not just a numerical difference; it is a direct reflection of the structural flow of global capital.
🛡️ Where does the allure of silver come from? A dual logic is being validated. On one hand, against the backdrop of ongoing global fluctuations and a complex macro outlook, silver as a classic safe-haven asset attracts funds seeking certainty; on the other hand, with the rapid growth of green industries like photovoltaics and electric vehicles, silver, as a core raw material, is seeing strong industrial demand. This dual characteristic of being both 'defensive' and 'growth-oriented' constructs its unique allocation value.
₿ Challenges facing Bitcoin: Market choices are changing. The strength of the silver market reflects the short-term difficulties faced by crypto assets represented by Bitcoin. In the current heightened macro volatility, funds seem more inclined to flow towards traditional assets with physical attributes and fundamental support. The once-coveted 'digital gold' narrative is undergoing scrutiny from market realities.
🔮 What lies ahead? The current silver market may reflect a reevaluation of value fundamentals by the market during uncertain times. When 'industrial demand' and 'safe-haven attributes' resonate, is silver becoming a new pivot point that transcends cycles? This round of changes may trigger deeper reflections on our asset allocation logic. #加密市场观察
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$BTC $ETH $BNB History is like a river, different on the surface, but the same water flows underneath. After one wave, there’s a bounce, followed by a long consolidation—BTC this time, I’m afraid, is about to start testing patience again.
Remember this: If the trend hasn’t turned, don’t be fooled by the bounce.
🔸 The gap of 92900-93700 will eventually be filled; when it does, that might be when the direction is truly chosen. 🔸 97900 has likely become the peak of this round on the daily chart; currently, there’s a downward move expected, possibly grinding to the bottom by the end of January. 🔸 Support is first seen at 87200; if it breaks, the 85000 range is the weekly level support, which is not so easy to break through.
In terms of operations:
✅ Keep a close eye on 82500—if it holds, a drop is an opportunity, and a pullback can be taken, targeting still around 98500. ❌ If it breaks down with volume, and the rebound at 86000 is weak, don’t cling on; exit in time.
Current situation: The triangle on the hourly chart has broken down, with highs gradually decreasing; if the rebound cannot hold above 89465, it remains a weak pattern. The previous low of 87205 has become critical; once lost with volume, downward space will open. Note that a rebound on the 4-hour level that hasn’t surpassed Fibonacci 38.2% is still considered weak; only after holding above 61.8% can we discuss the possibility of a reversal.
The market is known for its stubbornness; luck earned is often returned due to strength. Control your hands, understand the volume, and wait for definitive signals.
In summary: The trend is downward, don’t chase rebounds, hold the bottom line, and wait patiently. #比特币2026年价格预测 #加密市场观察
$BTC $ETH $BNB Trump at Davos spoke up, and the whole world couldn't sit still.
"Europe has gone down the wrong path and has become unrecognizable!" While criticizing Europe's immigration and energy policies, he also brought up the sensitive topic of buying Greenland. Although he said, "I won't use force, I just want to negotiate," no one in the audience dared to relax.
As soon as he finished speaking, the venue erupted:
California Governor Newsom bluntly told the media, "Boring and rude." He reminded Europe: if they don't respond strongly, there will only be more trouble in the future.
Belgian ministers were even less polite: "Throughout the entire speech, aside from the phrase 'no invasion', almost everything else was illogical."
An Indian business representative also complained: the tariff policy depends on mood, "it’s simply like a joke."
A representative from the European Green Party pointed out the key issue: this is not just a transaction; it also exposes a dangerous tendency towards nationalism—suppressing internally and expanding externally.
A Spanish economist summarized it bluntly: Trump is replacing rules with power and substituting threats for dialogue. After a year, trade extortion has become the norm, multilateral cooperation is practically nonexistent, and diplomacy has turned into a "muscle show."
When "America First" becomes "America Alone," who still dares to believe in tomorrow's rules?
$BTC $ETH $BNB Trump said a few words, and the global market exploded again.
Bitcoin dropped to 87000, Ethereum fell below 2900, and the Dow Jones plummeted by 900 points—on the other hand, gold surged to a historic high of 4760, as funds crazily rushed into safe-haven assets.
The direct trigger was Trump. He reiterated the idea of "buying" Greenland and threatened to impose tariffs on Europe, causing market risk aversion sentiment to spike instantly. Deutsche Bank warned: if the verbal battle escalates, the volatility will only become more frightening.
Tech stocks faced a bleak day: Nvidia, Apple, and Tesla all fell by more than 4%. Even more alarming for traders was the bond market—Japanese government bonds experienced the "most chaotic sell-off in recent years," with long-term yields soaring more than 25 basis points in a single day, impacting US bonds as well, causing a collective tremor in the global bond market.
This scene immediately reminds one of the severe turbulence triggered by Trump's policies last April. Now, compounded by geopolitical tensions and a bond market storm, the market seems to have instantly switched to "panic mode."
Interestingly, major players are also issuing warnings intensively. Microsoft CEO Nadella reminded: if AI cannot be widely implemented, it may just be a bubble; Bridgewater's Dalio bluntly stated that Trump's policies could ignite a "capital war."
Netflix just released its earnings report, and due to weak performance guidance and the suspension of share buybacks for the Warner acquisition, its stock price plummeted after hours. But compared to these, what the market is probably more concerned about right now is: will Trump's words continue to "spit out" new plots for global assets?
Gold breaks records, US stocks flash crash, and the bond market is in chaos—this lesson at the start of 2026 is still dictated by geopolitics. #加密市场观察 #黄金白银价格创新高
$BTC $ETH $BNB 【Trump's 100% Tax on Island Purchase? Market Frightened, Gold Soars to New Heights!】
The black swan has arrived again! Trump's harsh words of "100% tariff increase" made the global market shiver in an instant — this time aimed at Europe, and surprisingly for Denmark's Greenland!
🦅 A tariff war sparked by an "island purchase" "No sale of the island means a tax increase!" Trump directly transferred negotiation tactics from the business world to international relations. While threatening to impose tariffs on Denmark, Norway, and other countries, he also complained that Norway did not give him the Nobel Prize, creating a bizarre scene like a business war drama.
📉 European stock markets plummet, gold reaches historical highs The market fears sudden political dramas like this. Once the news broke, European stock markets collectively bowed down, the dollar came under pressure, and gold skyrocketed to a new high — the instinctive reaction of investors: quickly hide in safe-haven assets.
🔄 Tax cost 96% borne by the US itself? This operation resembles an "own goal" A German research institution directly countered: over 96% of the tariffs imposed by the US are actually borne by American importers and consumers. The Norwegian Prime Minister quickly refuted this, expressing support for Denmark and added, "The Nobel Prize has nothing to do with the government."
💣 Europe holds a "financial nuclear bomb," but dares not detonate it easily The EU holds over $10 trillion in US assets, theoretically enough to shake the US financial market. But this is like nuclear weapons — using them would result in mutual destruction. Most assets are in private hands, and forced selling would hurt themselves first. Currently, there is still internal debate in Europe: Germany wants to negotiate calmly, while France calls for a hard stance.
💰 The market has begun to vote with its feet Regardless of whether the tax increase is ultimately implemented, the market's tension mode has already begun. The surge in gold prices says it all: once the political gamble begins, safe-haven trading quickly returns.
📌 In the end, what kind of trade war is this? It’s clearly a "reality show-style political economy." Businesspeople play their cards without following the rules, and the market can only play the game according to its heartbeat. The black swan has just flapped its wings, and the good show is probably yet to come…#加密市场观察 #比特币2026年价格预测
$BTC $ETH $DUSK 【Breaking】Two events last night sent global markets into a panic: Trump’s two moves are shattering the old rules of the world.
First explosion: The Federal Reserve is about to change. With one sentence, Trump directly intervenes in the selection of the Federal Reserve Chairman, and the probability of Warsh taking office skyrockets to 60%. The market is stunned—expectations for a rate cut in March have dropped to just 20.7%. What does this mean? The “independence” banner of global central banks is being torn down by a political hand. What we fear now is not the economic data but that the rules can be disregarded at will.
Second explosion: NATO's red line has been crossed. To buy Greenland, Trump threatens to impose tariffs on eight European countries: first 10%, then 25%. This is not ordinary trade friction; it is a direct gamble with the territorial integrity of allies. Analysts warn: the transatlantic alliance may be torn open, and NATO faces “irreparable damage.”
📌 The core message is simple: When the Federal Reserve Chairman can be used for political bargaining and when allied territories can be negotiated—these two major “anchors” of world order are being shaken by the same person. This is not fluctuation; it is the eve of rule collapse.
🔥 The chain reaction has already been triggered:
· European officials threaten to scrap trade agreements, with a counterattack expected on Monday; · U.S. stocks are likely to experience huge shocks when they open on Tuesday; · Global assets are at historical highs, and the pressure for a correction is imminent; · The Federal Reserve may stop rate cuts by the end of the month, while Japan might raise rates, leading to a major shift in global liquidity.
⚠️ Note: This is not a usual adjustment. Trump's final term will only be more radical. By 2026, systemic risks will no longer be in financial reports, but in the decision-making fog of Washington. Avalanches always happen amidst peace and prosperity—whether it’s Bitcoin or the stock market, this time no one can escape.
The rules are shattered, and the real storm has just begun. Do you think the world is ready for a market without “anchors”? 👇 Let’s discuss in the comments. #加密市场观察