冰糖橙子君

The current market structure is becoming increasingly clear:

First Tier: BTC
Bitcoin is now the new "gold standard" in the financial world, with ETFs, national reserves, and crypto treasury all aggressively allocating resources, and it may even become a "fiat currency substitute asset" in the future.

Second Tier: ETH
If BTC is the "digital gold," ETH is the "crypto Wall Street": it is the core infrastructure for all hot topics like DeFi, RWA, and Stablecoins. Especially after the passage of the GENIUS act, hundreds of trillions of stablecoins will almost all run on Ethereum. The status of ETH may be akin to the role of "English" in the international market.

Third Tier: Potential ETF Stocks
SOL, #XRP, #DOGE, #LTC , and BNB are all star projects with potential ETF themes or already on the crypto treasury list.
SOL is the "hexagon warrior," covering DeFi, Meme, AI, RWA, and DEPIN entirely, and ETFs are already trading;
$XRP is tied to SWIFT alternatives, with political and business resources stable as a rock;
DOGE is the original Meme, the favorite of Musk;
#BNB is the only token that can harvest platform value and works closely with the Trump family;
LTC is the "digital silver," a 15-year-old project that wins half the battle with consensus;
Although policy support is slightly weaker than ETH, these few will not perform poorly during sector rotations.

Fourth Tier: ETF Applications + Heavy Treasury Holdings
$ADA , $AVAX, $APT, #SUI, $DOT, #FIL, $NEAR, #TRX, $BONK, $TRUMP, etc. Although these have not yet formed a trend, they qualify as "big capital willing to take a look." Once the ETFs are approved, this batch of altcoins may suddenly take off.
Fifth Tier: On-chain DeFi/RWA Core Assets
For example, $AAVE, $UNI , #ldo , $ENA, $JUP, #ONDO, etc. After the GENIUS implementation, these projects will undertake a large amount of on-chain exchanges and financial funds, serving as the "real estate stocks" within DeFi infrastructure.

In the last segment, old altcoins/CEX speculative coins—run as early as possible
These coins have poor liquidity, scattered teams, and lack innovation; each market cycle is just a "pretend not to be dead." Once the market declines, they will drop the hardest. It is recommended to directly cut losses and switch to mainstream assets without attachment.
As the market stands now, it is no longer a question of "is it a bull market," but rather, "which vehicle are you riding on?"
#NFT板块领涨 #山寨季來了？

With Trump's rise to power, these 5 cryptocurrencies may experience an explosion, a rare opportunity:

1. $DOGE : Current price is $0.43, a must-have in your portfolio. Musk's support for $DOGE is increasingly evident, even using "D.O.G.E" as an abbreviation for a new government department. With high trading volume and strong liquidity, it may see a significant increase next month, making it a good time to invest.
2. $PNUT : Previously surged 400% in two days due to its association with Trump, current price is $1.38, with low volatility. As Trump takes office, related interest is expected to rise again, suggesting gradual accumulation at lower levels, anticipating a second surge.
3. $PEPE : A popular project combining DeFi and NFT, with potential comparable to Shiba Inu. Although it is not yet the best time to invest, it is worth continuous attention, and one should act when opportunities to enter at lower levels arise.
4. $Puppies: A Musk concept coin, with over 15,000 holding addresses, a market cap of $12 million, and after a six-month consolidation, the community remains strong, potentially becoming the brightest new star by the end of 2024.
Reasonable layout and seizing opportunities could be the turning point for wealth!
5. $XRP: Actively supporting Trump, recently surged to $2.9, a 3-year high, current price of $2.33 still holds attraction. If the Trump administration adopts it as a payment tool, the future growth potential is incalculable.

#山寨季怎么布局？

Last night's Binance Square AMA
CZ spoke very clearly: there will definitely be a altcoin season, it's just a matter of timing, scale, and which coins—these are all details.
As for the postponement of the Crypto Bill from the 15th to the 27th, honestly, I don't care. The market movement that's coming doesn't need news to drive it. Constantly watching news will only confuse yourself.

Bitcoin has already broken through the two-month consolidation zone, just one step away from $100,000. Those still bearish now will only see it as a rebound; once Bitcoin truly closes above $100,000, the first ones to panic will be them. If a coin isn't falling anymore but you still keep betting against it, it's not analysis—it's just following the crowd.

Many people switch between bull and bear views faster than candlesticks change—up, they're bullish; down, they're bearish. They go through multiple 'bull-bear' cycles in a year. The result? Chasing highs and cutting losses, repeating this cycle, and gradually losing their capital. Many want to get back to where they started, but very few actually do.

I've always believed the bull market isn't over, but a bull market doesn't mean every coin will rise. This cycle has clearly shown divergence—some coins have already entered a bear market. Holding such coins, faith alone won't bring them back.

On Ethereum, the daily chart retraced to the neckline and formed a head-and-shoulders bottom pattern. Yesterday's large bullish candle completely swallowed the previous pullback zone—bulls are strong. MACD has made its first golden cross above the zero line, and the trend has turned bullish. 3450 is a natural resistance level, but it won't stop the upward momentum—the direction remains up.

If you don't understand the market, don't rush into trading. Surviving is more important than anything else.
#比特币2026年价格预测

A-shares hit a new high in over a decade.
Gold and silver continue to reach new highs, and U.S. stocks are also setting records.
In contrast, the crypto market leaves many with just one question: why isn't it going up?
Some can't take it anymore, cursing and rushing into A-shares, forex, and precious metals, thinking this is the time to 'pick up free money'.
But human nature is like this—when seeing others make money, greed and fear of missing out take over, while risks are automatically ignored, and the only thought left is 'can I still jump in?'

The question is: do you really understand A-shares? Do you understand gold and silver? Do you understand forex?
If you truly did, why weren't you positioned before the rise, only realizing it after the price has already soared?
This is the same logic that brought people into crypto: chasing in after the big spikes in 2017 and 2021, failing to achieve results, then blaming the industry. But think about it—what have you truly contributed to this industry?
Time isn't valuable to anyone; everyone spends it. The ones who actually make money are those who treat an industry as a career and invest deeply in it, not just running toward wherever the price is rising.
Crypto isn't lacking good news now—rather, it's being prevented from rising too quickly.
But looking at the weekly charts of BTC and ETH, we're already at a turning point.
Simply betting on a continued drop is actually very risky.
As always: you can choose not to be bullish, but going short must be done with extreme caution.
From 2,800 to BTC at 96K and ETH at 3,380—has this move gone far enough?
My personal view: January to March remains a bullish phase.
Those who understand, understand.
#Strategy增持比特币

Let's take a look at the reasons behind the sudden surge of 'I'm here, damn it':

At its core, this is still an extreme manifestation of BSC sentiment-driven MEME.
This token was created by the end of December, ignited by a single statement from a prominent figure on January 1st, surged 10,000 times in just one day, and peaked at a market cap of $34 million, making it a classic sentiment-driven market move.

On-chain data is clear:

The top 10 addresses are almost entirely in profit, many with gains of 50–100 times, but most have only withdrawn their principal and not sold out. There are actually few addresses engaging in large-scale dumping. The problem lies here—profit margins are too high. A further price surge would merely provide liquidity for these holders, and no one will play the role of the 'dumb market maker'.

Although the price has since dropped by half, it is still far from the levels of the initial accumulation phase.

The BN Foundation symbolically purchased $50,000 worth, which holds more symbolic significance than actual impact—negligible compared to a market cap in the tens of millions, primarily serving to boost ecosystem sentiment.

Conclusion is simple:

Such MEMEs will continue to emerge in the future, but their sustainability will only grow weaker over time.

Grab the sentiment-driven gains and exit quickly—don't dream of a second wave, and certainly don't treat it as long-term value.

It's not a narrative—it's a game of strategy.

Family, is your return to poverty due to greed???#币安上线币安人生

It's been a long time since I've looked at altcoins, today let's take a look at $XRP
XRP has recently broken through technical levels and is gradually gaining strength, igniting short-term sentiment. It has strongly broken through the $2.35 resistance level, reaching as high as $2.41, and then consolidating at the high level of $2.38, with a daily increase of over 12%, becoming the only large-cap coin with double-digit gains during the same period, with a market cap rising to $144 billion, firmly surpassing BNB and reclaiming the fourth spot in market cap.

This surge is not an isolated event. Since January, the overall crypto market has seen a return of over $250 billion, driven by geopolitical events stimulating safe-haven investments and capital rotation. With traditional markets closed over the weekend, capital has concentrated into crypto, directly triggering a short squeeze.
XRP surged to the $2.40 level, with a single coin liquidating $25 million in short positions, and the entire market liquidated over $320 million in shorts within 24 hours, typical of a short squeeze.

From a technical perspective, $2.35 is the 200-day EMA, which has suppressed prices multiple times over the past year. The key now is: can resistance turn into support?

Stabilizing at $2.38–$2.40: short-term structure established
Daily close above $2.42: target aimed at $2.60–$2.70, even testing the psychological level of $3.0
If it falls back below $2.35: beware of a bull trap, it may retest the $2.15–$2.00 range
It should be noted that the RSI has surged to 87, indicating clear overbought conditions. Normally, a 5–10% pullback is likely for indicator repair; however, under strong news and high trading volume, the overbought condition may persist, leading prices to move ahead.

Summary:
XRP has completed a key breakout, with a bullish trend, but the position is not low, so chasing highs requires risk control.
The real watershed depends on whether $2.42 can be significantly surpassed.
#ETH巨鲸动向

After the long positions have been exhausted, will the short positions explode?
A little surprise for New Year's Day, currently BTC is above 91000, and ETH is above 3100;
This wave of BTC does not go for a second peak and should not easily short. It has dropped for two months, and a rebound in one month is normal; be more cautious with altcoins.
In the short term, it's not just MEME; the RSI of mainstream coins and BTC is also relatively high. If you want to buy, you need to wait for a pullback; do not chase the highs. If there is an effective breakthrough afterward, BTC can participate in a short-term long position; if the trend is smooth, 98,000 is not impossible.
If there is a market, go for it; if there isn't, stay in cash; being flexible is comfortable.

Altcoins have welcomed an oversold rebound driven by MEME, and the strength of $PEPE has boosted confidence, but it has reached a key pressure zone, so it's recommended to reduce positions in batches. The upper resistance levels for PEPE are 800 / 880 / 1000.
Next, we should focus on the level of this altcoin rebound. If it's at the weekly level, there may still be 1–2 weeks of space.

January 2026 is not just the New Year; it is also a window period for policies and funds to rearrange.
After a significant reshuffle in 2025, there are more institutions and firm holdings in the market. BTC has retraced more than 37% from the high of 126,000, and it has been pulled back around 88,000 for nearly a month, resembling a game of existing stock. Liquidity has not significantly improved, and overall, it is still treated as an oversold rebound, with a focus on observing more and acting less.

#比特币2026年价格预测

The year 2025 is about to end!
In December, the market is either drawing a door or on the way to drawing a door!
The hourly Yuet orders still have some profit, while other Yuet orders have basically been washed out. Now the market is quiet; let's see if it can return to a wave after New Year's Day!
#Strategy增持比特币

#BCH
$BCH The trend in recent days has indeed been strong, and the price is approaching the previous high of this cycle. My personal view is that the range of 630–650 is a strong resistance zone, and in the short term, one could consider lightly shorting. There is indeed a chance for a drop to 610 or even lower.

A quick overview that clarifies mainstream + popular coins (personal perspective)👇

Platform coins:
BNB is still the leader; OKB has decent value; GT follows the platform; CRO, LEO are not worth looking at.

Mainstream & established:
BTC is a core allocation; LTC is not as good as directly buying BTC; BCH has expectations for a new high this round; ADA moves in every bull market; TRX has been consistently strong; LINK is the leader in oracle; UNI, AAVE are still the core of DeFi; XLM follows XRP.

Stablecoins:
USDT / USDC are mainstream; DAI is relatively the most stable; PAXG is equivalent to on-chain gold.

Meme:
DOGE is the leader; PEPE has the strongest consensus; FLOKI has a backer; WIF can be buried near 3; BONK is nearing the end; NEIRO, TURBO are more sentiment-driven.

Public chains / L1:
SOL, BNB ecosystems are still active; SUI has a high target this round; APT institutional cost is 2.5~3; AVAX, NEAR are old public chains; most L1s are already copy-paste.

L2 (next main line):
ARB, OP are rotating upwards; ARB is highly valued, OP starts earlier; L2 will find it easier to enter the top 20 in the future.

BTC ecosystem:
STX has strong backing, BTC will move together when the market comes; ORDI is basically over.

DeFi / DEX:
GMX, CRV, RUNE (leading in their sector); DYDX is more suitable for swing trading; JOE has obvious control by the backer.

GameFi / Metaverse:
IMX, ILV have trends to watch the industry; SAND, APE are weak.

Personal gameplay summary: 70% allocation in BTC, platform coins + L2 for rotation, cautious on public chains, only select leaders in Meme. Bull and bear markets are for long-term views, while short-term only focuses on cycles.
#加密市场观察

"Gold and silver are going wild together," has only occurred twice in history. This time around, it's getting quite crazy.
Have you recently been inundated with news about gold and silver?

Gold has risen back to 4500, increasing by 150% since the beginning of 2024; silver is even more exaggerated, going from 33 to 72 in six months, also a 150% increase. Even cryptocurrency groups have started discussing gold and silver, and the sentiment is already boiling.

Looking back in history, you will find that similar scenarios have only occurred twice:
1979–1980: High inflation + negative real interest rates, both gold and silver skyrocketed.
2009–2011: Post-financial crisis crazy QE, gold and silver took off again.

The common point is simple: money is not worth much.
High inflation, low real interest rates, and even negative rates, combined with debt issues, force funds to seek hard assets.

But here's the problem —
Things are not the same now: inflation is below 3%, and interest rates are not low. The market is more betting on future currency devaluation, debt pressure, and the high risks of the U.S. stock market, rather than current inflation.

Now looking at the results:
After the previous two gold and silver surges, gold entered a long-term correction;
During the phase when gold weakened, the U.S. stock market actually experienced a bull market.

In the current context:
We are not in a recession, nor in a tightening phase, but more like a period of economic prosperity. As long as the U.S. stock market remains strong, cryptocurrency is unlikely to perform poorly.
Summary:
Gold and silver often flying together is a signal for the later stage of the market;
Be aware of risks, but don’t be pessimistic —
Once gold enters a correction, funds may flow into the stock market and cryptocurrency, which could actually lay the groundwork for another long bull market.

#比特币与黄金战争

Last night, the crypto community collectively stopped discussing the market and switched to watching "yellow broadcasts" instead.😅.

The reason was that Kuaishou live streaming was hit by organized black and gray industries, with a large number of violating accounts going live simultaneously, and vulgar content was rampant. Some live rooms even had close to 100,000 viewers, and the review system temporarily failed.

Subsequently, the platform urgently shut down the live streaming function, concentrated on banning accounts, and reported to the police, gradually restoring services around 2 AM on December 23rd.

While the market discussion didn't happen, the night was very lively.
Even someone like me, who hasn't used Kuaishou in a long time, was drawn back by curiosity—what were you doing in front of the screen last night???

Veteran bull Tom Lee has spoken:
👉 ETH will surge to $7000 before 2026!

At the current price, the potential increase exceeds 150%. If realized, Ethereum's market value will directly crush a host of competitors, significantly elevating its status.

If this trend indeed materializes, the impact won't be limited to ETH:
DeFi / NFT / L2 will be fully ignited
Institutional funds may accelerate entry
Mainstream coins like BTC and DOGE are likely to follow suit, with a new round of market activity ready to be activated

Of course, there is significant controversy.

The bullish camp believes: ETF expectations + technological upgrades + fundamental ecosystem support, $7000 is just the starting point;
The bearish camp warns: macro factors and regulations are still in play, don’t be brainwashed by "prophetic predictions."

So, which side are you on, in front of the screen?👇