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买方研究员 | 跨市场宏观视野，专注链上数据分析与二级市场策略。#BTC #ETH #SOL #BNB 💎，记录个人复盘，非投资建议
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Although the price around $69k for $BTC has been fluctuating, the aggregated spot CVD at the bottom has been continuously declining.
This forms a clear bearish divergence: the price hasn't dropped, but the spot buying is drying up and turning into net selling. An increase without support from the spot market is often weak, and if the derivative buying is exhausted, the price may quickly pull back to seek liquidity. Stay alert #Bitcoin #crypto #CVD #trading
This forms a clear bearish divergence: the price hasn't dropped, but the spot buying is drying up and turning into net selling. An increase without support from the spot market is often weak, and if the derivative buying is exhausted, the price may quickly pull back to seek liquidity. Stay alert #Bitcoin #crypto #CVD #trading
Bitcoin has entered a consolidation mode and is expected to range between $64000 - $73000 for a few weeks. Currently, one can only look for short/long opportunities. Before the range is broken, trade within this range by selling high and buying low. But be sure to set stop-loss orders to prevent sudden market movements! #比特币再跌破69000美元 #ETH
Bitcoin has fallen 42% from its peak, but the altcoin/Bitcoin exchange rate has reached a new high in 4 months against the trend, recovering the losses from the crash on October 10.
Altcoins have shown strong relative resilience. This is often a precursor to capital rotation, and if the market stabilizes, we are likely about to witness a fierce altcoin explosion.
#crypto #Altseason #bitcoin
Altcoins have shown strong relative resilience. This is often a precursor to capital rotation, and if the market stabilizes, we are likely about to witness a fierce altcoin explosion.
#crypto #Altseason #bitcoin
$SOL funding rates have been negative for 17 consecutive days. This is an extremely rare phenomenon. Market sentiment has become extremely pessimistic, and everyone is shorting #solana #crypto #ShortSqueeze
Take a look at the comparison of $BTC and the technology software sector ETF trends. Both have maintained a very high correlation over the long term.
Recently, software technology stocks have significantly plunged first, while Bitcoin is still hovering at a high level. If this correlation continues, Bitcoin may face enormous downside pressure in the near future. #BTC走势分析 #BTC
Recently, software technology stocks have significantly plunged first, while Bitcoin is still hovering at a high level. If this correlation continues, Bitcoin may face enormous downside pressure in the near future. #BTC走势分析 #BTC
From $72k to $75k and even higher, a massive amount of short liquidation leverage has accumulated.
In contrast, the long liquidation volume below seems insignificant. The market always moves in the direction of least resistance and greatest liquidity. #bitcoin #LiquidityMap
In contrast, the long liquidation volume below seems insignificant. The market always moves in the direction of least resistance and greatest liquidity. #bitcoin #LiquidityMap
$BTC experienced 24 hours of intense volatility and $500 million in mutual liquidation, what is the next target for the dealer?
There is some liquidity below ($63k-$66k). The liquidity scale above ($69k-$72k) is twice that of below! According to the liquidity magnet theory, the price is more likely to be attracted towards the $69k-$72k range to hunt for the densely packed stop losses of short positions there. #BTC
There is some liquidity below ($63k-$66k). The liquidity scale above ($69k-$72k) is twice that of below! According to the liquidity magnet theory, the price is more likely to be attracted towards the $69k-$72k range to hunt for the densely packed stop losses of short positions there. #BTC
$BTC The overall trend is quite weak after the initial rebound. The bulls failed to effectively break through the $72K+ resistance zone, and the price has instead come under pressure again.
Unless it can regain the $68k level, the short-term focus should be on the support situation at the retracement levels. #加密市场观察 #BTC
Unless it can regain the $68k level, the short-term focus should be on the support situation at the retracement levels. #加密市场观察 #BTC
$BTC failed to stand firm at the 70,000 mark, which is a dangerous signal. Now, all eyes are focused on $66k - $68k.
This is not just a support level, but also a 'sandbag formation' for the bulls.
If it breaks below this area, the situation will become very ugly. It may trigger an accelerated decline and spread panic. Be prepared for risk control!
#BTC #trading
This is not just a support level, but also a 'sandbag formation' for the bulls.
If it breaks below this area, the situation will become very ugly. It may trigger an accelerated decline and spread panic. Be prepared for risk control!
#BTC #trading
The indicator shows that $BTC has entered the 'accumulation zone', but this does not mean that an absolute bottom has appeared.
The accumulation zone is a price range, not a specific point.
History tells us that often after entering this area, there will be a deeper pullback to test human nature.
Build positions in batches and reserve bullets to cope with the possible final drop. #加密市场观察 #BTC
The accumulation zone is a price range, not a specific point.
History tells us that often after entering this area, there will be a deeper pullback to test human nature.
Build positions in batches and reserve bullets to cope with the possible final drop. #加密市场观察 #BTC
The most fundamental driving force of the market is capital. Data shows that the inflow of funds from new investors has turned negative. The current sell-off is fierce due to the lack of 'absorption' of new capital.
In a bull market, pullbacks attract capital to enter more quickly; whereas in the early stages of a bear market, weakness only triggers more withdrawals. We are currently in the latter situation. Without new money, it is difficult to reverse #BTC☀️ #加密市场观察
In a bull market, pullbacks attract capital to enter more quickly; whereas in the early stages of a bear market, weakness only triggers more withdrawals. We are currently in the latter situation. Without new money, it is difficult to reverse #BTC☀️ #加密市场观察
Short-term investors are in floating losses, and the upper 80,000 lock-up is the biggest resistance
Changes in BTC chip distribution
After Bitcoin hit a low of $60,000, there has been increased turnover activity among chips in the lower range. Spot ETFs continued to flow in on Monday, and American investors have started buying on dips.
Currently, MicroStrategy, which is in a floating loss position, purchased 1142 Bitcoins last week.
However, we still need to look at the Coinbase premium indicator. After a brief positive premium, it often signals a peak in the rebound, and it currently seems like there is still some room for a rebound.
The market has conducted an extreme stress test on short-term Bitcoin holders. This round of testing has already pushed the short-term holders' MVRV indicator to around 0.75.
After Bitcoin hit a low of $60,000, there has been increased turnover activity among chips in the lower range. Spot ETFs continued to flow in on Monday, and American investors have started buying on dips.
Currently, MicroStrategy, which is in a floating loss position, purchased 1142 Bitcoins last week.
However, we still need to look at the Coinbase premium indicator. After a brief positive premium, it often signals a peak in the rebound, and it currently seems like there is still some room for a rebound.
The market has conducted an extreme stress test on short-term Bitcoin holders. This round of testing has already pushed the short-term holders' MVRV indicator to around 0.75.
MVRV Z-Score shows that Ethereum has entered the surrender zone, but we need to know the data: recent low: -0.42, historical low in 2018: -0.76.
Although we are in the bottom area, the strength is still insufficient compared to the extreme bottoms of 2018 and 2022.
History shows that before forming a true structural bottom, the market still has room for further decline #ETH #加密市场观察
Although we are in the bottom area, the strength is still insufficient compared to the extreme bottoms of 2018 and 2022.
History shows that before forming a true structural bottom, the market still has room for further decline #ETH #加密市场观察
Currently presenting a typical "price consolidation ➕ declining open interest" pattern.
This means we are in a deleveraging system:
1. Funds are flowing out, positions are closing rather than increasing.
2. There is no fresh leveraged capital entering the market.
The current environment does not support explosive breakthroughs.
True directional choice must wait until open interest stabilizes and begins to rebuild. Before that, the market is likely to continue in a dull fluctuation. #加密市场观察 #BTC走势分析 $BTC
This means we are in a deleveraging system:
1. Funds are flowing out, positions are closing rather than increasing.
2. There is no fresh leveraged capital entering the market.
The current environment does not support explosive breakthroughs.
True directional choice must wait until open interest stabilizes and begins to rebuild. Before that, the market is likely to continue in a dull fluctuation. #加密市场观察 #BTC走势分析 $BTC
The short liquidity around $72K has been completely cleared, and as the main fuel above has been nearly exhausted, the short-term upward momentum may weaken. We are entering a consolidation phase, and before new liquidity gathers, the market is expected to fluctuate up and down, lacking a clear direction #BTC清算热力图 #BTC
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