āMACD is giving a slight bullish lean, but nothing explosive. A cautious signal ā momentum isnāt fully here yet, traders are waiting for confirmation.
ā
ā
ā---
ā
āš Macro & On-Chain Reality (My Breakdown)
ā
āš¦ Macro Pressure
ā
āUncertainty around U.S. interest-rate cuts and rising global volatility is pushing investors into safety mode. Risk assets are feeling it ā including $BTC .
ā
āš ETF Flows
ā
āInstitutional interest is still mixed. Some weeks show strong inflows, others show eyebrow-raising outflows. This is a key catalyst for volatility right now.
ā
āš On-Chain Strength
ā
āDespite the dip, long-term holders continue to accumulate.
āThis is one of the most important signals ā it means the base is getting stronger even while price is correcting.
ā
āšÆ Market Catalysts Ahead
ā
āTraders are closely watching:
ā⢠Any dovish hint from the Fed
ā⢠Any relief on geopolitical tensions
āBoth could flip sentiment fast.
ā
ā
ā---
ā
āš® My Scenarios Going Forward
ā
āš„ Bearish Case
ā
āIf BTC canāt reclaim momentum soon, we could see a slide toward $75K, especially if macro conditions stay ugly.
$BTC IS LOADING UP ā PRESSURE IS ABOUT TO EXPLODE š„
āBitcoin just bounced cleanly off 85,946 and tried to grab momentum again⦠but right now itās hovering around 86,869, stuck right between the MA7, MA25, and MA99 on the 15-minute chart.
āThis is exactly the zone where big moves get born ā quiet, tight, dangerous.
ā
āBuyers stepped in hard at the lows, and now the candles are squeezing, volatility is tightening, and $BTC is sitting right above a major demand pocket.
āIf we reclaim 87,250, momentum can flip instantly and send us straight back into the 88,000+ zone.
ā
āBut if price slips under the MA99, we could get one more liquidity sweep before the next leg up. Either way⦠this chart is heating up silently, building energy for something bigger.
āšØ Most people have no idea what the Fed just triggered ā but Iām watching it closely.
ā$BTC $ETH $BNB āThe Federal Reserve has quietly set up the next major bull wave, and the rate-cut probability spike we just got is the strongest since 2020. ā1 December and 8 December are about to shake the entire market, and once again, crypto is reading the direction faster than Wall Street. ā āš„ Fed Chaos = Crypto Opportunity (My Take) ā āThis weekend the Fed basically exposed its internal split: ā āš“ The Cautious Side (Collins) āā Still worried about inflation āā Wants policy to stay tight āā Hinting the December cut might not happen ā āš¢ The Dovish Side (Williams) āā Acknowledging the job market is slowing sharply āā Seeing inflation risk drop fast āā Strong hints: āRate cuts are needed now.ā ā āThis open clash is exactly what fuels volatility ā and opportunity. ā āš„ Markets Are Quietly Pricing In Something Bigger ā āHereās what Iām focused on: āā 71% chance of a 25bp cut in December āā 58% chance of cuts by January āā 22% probability of a rare 50bp double-cut ā āEveryone else will react later ā Iām positioning early. ā āš Liquidity Floodgates Are Opening (People Miss This Part) ā āBalance-sheet reduction stops on December 1, and thatās massive: āā”ļø Liquidity drain ends āā”ļø Fed shifts into reinvestment mode āā”ļø āEasy liquidity conditionsā come back āā”ļø Historically, this is exactly when BTC ignites its mega-runs ā āMost retail traders donāt understand this until the move is already halfway done. ā āā” Crypto Response Will Be Fast & Violent ā āEvery time liquidity loosens and rate-cut odds spike: āBTC moves first ā ETH amplifies the move ā BNB follows with speed. ā āIām expecting the same pattern again. ā āā ļø Wildcards Iām Watching Closely ā āā Trump policy swings āā December 8 Fed meeting āā Employment data surprises āā Any geopolitical shock ā āThe setup is bullish, but the ground is shaky ā perfect for volatility. ā āš BOTTOM LINE: DECEMBER WILL BE A VOLATILITY MINEFIELD ā āSmart money is already positioning. Retail is still asleep. āIf youāre reading this now, youāre ahead of most of the market.
āš„ This $BTC Drop Isnāt Random ā Itās Exactly What Iāve Been Expecting. āWhales Are Lining Up the Move to $80K ā $74K Before the Real Bull Run Even Starts šØš ā āIāll be straight with you ā the U.S. economy needs a rate cut. āInflation is still elevated, growth is slowing, and without easing, the entire system starts cracking. The Fed can delay it⦠but they canāt escape it. ā āAnd trust me, the crypto market is already pricing that in. ā āSo whatās really behind Bitcoinās move toward $80K ā and possibly $74K? ā āThis isnāt fear. āThis is positioning. ā āš Big players want cheaper BTC ā and they know how to get it. āBlackRock and other institutions never chase green candles. āThey create dips, flush out leverage, trigger panic selling, and reload at the levels they want. ā āJust look at the numbers: ā ā> U.S. liquidity has tightened for 3 straight weeks ā perfect conditions for a controlled pullback. ā ā ā āSo hereās how I see it: ā āš Short Term: āBTC is targeting key liquidity pockets at $80K ā $76K ā $74K. āRetail freaks out. āOver-leveraged positions get wiped. āWhales quietly stack. ā āš Mid Term ā the real focus: āOnce the Fed is forced to cut rates, liquidity flows back in⦠and crypto takes off. āThis is still early in the 2025 bull cycle ā whales are just setting the stage. ā āš” My take: āRetail trades on emotion. āWhales trade on strategy. āEvery bull run starts with fear ā and this one is no different. ā ā ā--- ā āš Whatās your move? āAre the whales gearing up for the next explosive leg up? āShare your target price.
āšØ BREAKING: Major Bitcoin Whale Just Shook the Market šØ ā āIām keeping a close eye on the charts today because a massive move just hit the blockchain. A long-term Bitcoin whale ā holding coins from the early days ā suddenly dumped $1.3 BILLION worth of $BTC . Yes⦠billions. ā āOn-chain data also shows the same whale moved another $230M to Kraken, and the timing is raising eyebrows. These coins were completely inactive for years, possibly dating back to the Satoshi-era ā and now theyāre being unloaded right in the middle of one of Bitcoinās sharpest dips. ā āš„ What This Means for the Market: ā āBig whales are shifting more BTC back onto exchanges ā āSelling pressure is climbing fast ā āMarket sentiment is turning bearish in real time ā āBTC just retested $86,000, killing short-term recovery momentum ā ā āRight now, traders are divided: āIs this the final flush-out⦠or just the start of a deeper drop? ā āEither way, moves like this can send shockwaves across the entire crypto market. ā ā$HFT $NMR $DOGS ā#BTCVolatility #USJobsData ā ā
The US economy is shifting fastārate-hike expectations are tightening, ETF outflows are picking up, and thatās exactly why $BTC slipped below the $90K level. But to me, this isnāt panic⦠itās opportunity.
With key U.S. labor numbers and the Leading Economic Index coming up, Iām expecting some serious volatility. One strong data release could flip momentum instantly.
Iām ready for the next moveāthis setup could turn explosive if the market reacts positively. No FOMO laterāthis is the moment to stay sharp.
$BTC 90K Breaking Point ā My Update ā āBitcoin is sitting just above the crucial $90,000 level right now. š¢ At the moment, itās moving in the $91Kā$92K range and holding steadyāfor now. š ā āIf $BTC can stay above that ~90K support, we might see another move upward as it pushes into the next resistance zones. š āBut if it slips below that mark, volatility will likely spike, and we could see a sharper pullback. ā ļø ā āBasically, this is a make-or-break zone. Iām keeping a close eye on that support level because what happens here could set the tone for the next big legāeither up or down. ā āStay sharp. No hypeājust watching the levels. š ā ā ā--- ā āš Current Market Snapshot (My View) ā ā$BTC is currently trading around $91,000ā$92,000. ā āThe $90K level is acting as a major psychological zoneāboth support and resistance. ā āShort-term price action is calm (+1ā2% in 24h), but structurally thereās still pressure since BTC is trading well below its recent all-time high of ~$126K. ā āThat means downside risk is still very real. ā ā ā#BTC90kBreakingPoint #USStocksForecast2026
ā
Login to explore more contents
Explore the latest crypto news
ā”ļø Be a part of the latests discussions in crypto