饶哥加密日记
公众号（加密饶哥）专注 ETH 波段交易，2020年入B圈经历牛-熊亏过百万，后来苦练裸K交易技术、江恩交易法、缠论交易（擅长卡点位-支撑位和压力位.K线画图解析，趋势和方向分析）22年之后稳定盈利至今.唯心：niwolaicai
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Are you a trader, or a 'sacrificial leek'?
——An experienced driver's blood and tears observation
Last year, late at night, a fan called me with a hoarse voice: 'Bro, my 100,000 U account only has 5,000 U left. Is there no hope?'
I asked him to export the transaction records, and at a glance: dozens of trades a day, with fees burning away more than half of the principal; greedy on profitable trades without taking profit, and stubbornly holding onto losing trades until liquidation. This is not called trading; this is called 'offering tribute' to the exchange and project parties.
1. The self-cultivation of leeks: How many shots have you taken from this three-piece set?
The illusion of the 'day trading god'
Staring at the 1-minute K-line and trading frantically, thinking I was capturing every fluctuation, but in reality becoming a 'premium customer' of transaction fees. Data shows that low-frequency traders have an annualized return rate (18.5%) significantly higher than high-frequency traders (11.4%). The more frequent the trading, the easier it is to miss trending markets; this is the paradox of human nature and rules.
Last year, late at night, a fan called me with a hoarse voice: 'Bro, my 100,000 U account only has 5,000 U left. Is there no hope?'
I asked him to export the transaction records, and at a glance: dozens of trades a day, with fees burning away more than half of the principal; greedy on profitable trades without taking profit, and stubbornly holding onto losing trades until liquidation. This is not called trading; this is called 'offering tribute' to the exchange and project parties.
1. The self-cultivation of leeks: How many shots have you taken from this three-piece set?
The illusion of the 'day trading god'
Staring at the 1-minute K-line and trading frantically, thinking I was capturing every fluctuation, but in reality becoming a 'premium customer' of transaction fees. Data shows that low-frequency traders have an annualized return rate (18.5%) significantly higher than high-frequency traders (11.4%). The more frequent the trading, the easier it is to miss trending markets; this is the paradox of human nature and rules.
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How I Survived Five Bull and Bear Cycles in Crypto? Simple Methods Often Make the Most Money
Many people think making money in the crypto world relies on high intelligence and brilliant moves, but I've seen too many 'geniuses' go to zero within half a year, while those who survive are often the old-timers sticking to simple, steady methods. Today, I'm sharing some honest truths—these 10 iron rules helped me avoid three liquidations and earn money that lets me sleep soundly.
1. Don't rush to buy the dip during prolonged declines—first assess the market sentiment
When major coins have been declining for 8–9 consecutive days at high levels, the market is usually left with only panic sellers. At this point, don't try to catch the falling knife—first determine whether the selling pressure has weakened. For example, check if exchange reserves have sharply decreased, or if large transaction volumes have suddenly surged. The real bottom is usually formed gradually, not by a sudden crash.
1. Don't rush to buy the dip during prolonged declines—first assess the market sentiment
When major coins have been declining for 8–9 consecutive days at high levels, the market is usually left with only panic sellers. At this point, don't try to catch the falling knife—first determine whether the selling pressure has weakened. For example, check if exchange reserves have sharply decreased, or if large transaction volumes have suddenly surged. The real bottom is usually formed gradually, not by a sudden crash.
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如何避免巨额亏损成为“韭菜”的自我修养
币圈最大的智慧不是一次能赚多少，而是能在这个市场活多久。
每当我看到有人因为一次极端行情而账户归零，总会想起巴菲特那句经典的投资法则：“第一条，永远别亏钱；第二条，牢记第一条。”这句话在波动性极高的加密货币市场，简直堪比救命符。
币圈一天，人间一年。这话不仅形容市场变化快，更暗示了风险的聚集速度。加密货币市场的典型波动性远高于股票市场，甚至也高于大宗商品市场。
即使是被认为相对稳定的比特币，其波动性也远高于传统金融资产。在这样的环境中，保住本金不是策略，而是生存的底线。
01 残酷的数学真理：亏损后回本有多难
很多人天天幻想着资产翻倍，却忽略了一个关键：真正的币圈高手，从来都把“不让账户资金归零”当成第一原则。
这背后的数学规律从不会说谎：
亏损10%，赚11%就能回本；
亏损30%，得赚43%才能补回来；
亏损50%，必须翻倍才能挽回损失；
一旦亏损70%，就得赚233%才能回血！
这就是为什么很多人在币圈被深度套牢后很难东山再起。当你的账户资金只剩一半时，你已经半只脚踏进危险边缘；亏损七成，基本就在悬崖边徘徊了。
小亏还有弥补的机会，大亏往往无力回天。能不能在币圈活下来，关键就看你愿不愿意及时止损。
02 为什么大多数人无法有效止损？
币圈交易者面临的心理陷阱远比技术难题更可怕。根据BOSS Wallet的研究，有五大心理障碍导致投资者无法严格执行止损纪律：频繁操作、全仓押注、盲目追涨、盈利贪婪和亏损死扛。
FOMO（害怕错过） 是其中之一。当市场快速上涨或某个代币被热炒时，交易者容易因担心错过机会而冲动追高买入，忽略风险控制。
另一种常见情况是亏损后产生的“报复性交易”心理。投资者急于扳回损失，情绪化地加大仓位或频繁交易，结果进一步放大损失，陷入恶性循环。
过度自信也是隐形杀手。连续盈利后，交易者容易认为自己掌握了市场规律，低估风险，增加仓位或杠杆，忽视技术分析和风险管理，最终一次失误就可能导致重大损失。
03 实用的止损策略，在币圈活得更久
止损的方法有很多，重要的是找到适合自己交易体系的策略。以下是几种经过实战检验的方法：
1. 固定百分比止损法
这是最直接的止损策略。根据个人风险承受能力，设置5%-8%的止损点。例如，如果购买一枚比特币的价格为10，000美元，设置8%的止损点，当价格跌至9，200美元时自动卖出。
这种止损法的优势在于简单明了，避免情绪干扰。尤其是对新手来说，规则越简单，越容易执行。
2. 波动率调整止损
比特币历史平均日均波动率在3%-5%之间，但如果近期波动加大，可以相应调整止损点。例如，如果市场波动异常剧烈，可以将止损点设置在10%。
这种方法更灵活，考虑了市场实际波动情况，避免在正常波动中被“洗下车”。
3. 技术指标止损
使用技术分析工具来设定止损点，例如：
移动平均线：当价格跌破重要均线（如50日或200日均线）时止损；
支撑位止损：在关键支撑位下方设置止损点；
ATR（平均真实波幅）指标：根据市场波动性动态调整止损范围。
这种方法更适合有一定技术分析能力的交易者。
4. 最简便实用的方法：硬性止损单
对于大多数投资者来说，设置硬性止损单是性价比最高的止损策略。即在交易平台上预先设置止损订单，当市场走势对你不利时，系统会自动执行平仓操作。
这种方法的好处在于，它完全规避了情绪干扰。当市场剧烈波动时，价格下跌速度可能非常快，即使最有经验的交易员也可能没有足够时间做出反应。
04 止损之外的生存智慧：仓位管理与心态调整
除了具体的止损技巧，要想在币圈长期生存，还需要更全面的风险管控思维。
“鸡蛋不要放在一个篮子里”——但也不要放在太多的篮子里。真正的分散投资讲究的是选择投资平台和理财产品的差异化。
对于初入币圈的新手，建议采用分仓位配置的策略。例如，可以将大部分资金投资于比特币、以太坊等主流币，小部分资金配置其他有潜力的加密资产，同时注意严格控制风险。
杠杆是一把双刃剑。在比特币市场中，许多投资者因“侥幸心理”拒绝止损，杠杆交易则成 了爆仓的主要推手。使用过高杠杆，相当于主动放弃了犯错的空间。
牛市中最难的不是赚钱，而是守住利润。当你的投资获得可观收益后，可以考虑将部分利润转为“去风险”资产，如稳定币或主流加密货币，避免因贪婪而回吐全部利润。
05 构建自己的交易纪律系统
在币圈，你可以犯一百次错，但绝不能让一次错误就把你踢出局。
建立明确的交易计划是稳定盈利的基础。计划应包括入场点、止损点和止盈点，并严格执行。减少无意义的屏幕时间，避免被短期波动影响判断。
定期复盘也不可或缺。记录每笔交易的结果和当时的决策过程，分析成功或失败的原因，逐步完善自己的交易系统。
保持身心健康是长期盈利的保障。设定每日交易时间，避免过度盯盘。每天安排休息时间，进行冥想或户外活动，恢复精力。
币圈风云变幻，机遇和风险并存。在这个充满不确定性的市场里，只有学会止损，才能控制风险、保住本金。守住本金与初心，下一轮周期你也能站稳脚跟。
行情每天都在波动，币圈交易的本质不是比谁更聪明，而是比谁更守纪律。只有活下来，才能有机会抓住未来的机遇。
你对止损有什么经验或教训？欢迎在评论区分享你的观点——让我们在波动中共同成长。
关注我，带你了解更多一手资讯和币圈知识精准点位，成为你币圈的导航，学习才是你最大的财富！#加密市场观察 #美国CPI数据即将公布 $ETH
每当我看到有人因为一次极端行情而账户归零，总会想起巴菲特那句经典的投资法则：“第一条，永远别亏钱；第二条，牢记第一条。”这句话在波动性极高的加密货币市场，简直堪比救命符。
币圈一天，人间一年。这话不仅形容市场变化快，更暗示了风险的聚集速度。加密货币市场的典型波动性远高于股票市场，甚至也高于大宗商品市场。
即使是被认为相对稳定的比特币，其波动性也远高于传统金融资产。在这样的环境中，保住本金不是策略，而是生存的底线。
01 残酷的数学真理：亏损后回本有多难
很多人天天幻想着资产翻倍，却忽略了一个关键：真正的币圈高手，从来都把“不让账户资金归零”当成第一原则。
这背后的数学规律从不会说谎：
亏损10%，赚11%就能回本；
亏损30%，得赚43%才能补回来；
亏损50%，必须翻倍才能挽回损失；
一旦亏损70%，就得赚233%才能回血！
这就是为什么很多人在币圈被深度套牢后很难东山再起。当你的账户资金只剩一半时，你已经半只脚踏进危险边缘；亏损七成，基本就在悬崖边徘徊了。
小亏还有弥补的机会，大亏往往无力回天。能不能在币圈活下来，关键就看你愿不愿意及时止损。
02 为什么大多数人无法有效止损？
币圈交易者面临的心理陷阱远比技术难题更可怕。根据BOSS Wallet的研究，有五大心理障碍导致投资者无法严格执行止损纪律：频繁操作、全仓押注、盲目追涨、盈利贪婪和亏损死扛。
FOMO（害怕错过） 是其中之一。当市场快速上涨或某个代币被热炒时，交易者容易因担心错过机会而冲动追高买入，忽略风险控制。
另一种常见情况是亏损后产生的“报复性交易”心理。投资者急于扳回损失，情绪化地加大仓位或频繁交易，结果进一步放大损失，陷入恶性循环。
过度自信也是隐形杀手。连续盈利后，交易者容易认为自己掌握了市场规律，低估风险，增加仓位或杠杆，忽视技术分析和风险管理，最终一次失误就可能导致重大损失。
03 实用的止损策略，在币圈活得更久
止损的方法有很多，重要的是找到适合自己交易体系的策略。以下是几种经过实战检验的方法：
1. 固定百分比止损法
这是最直接的止损策略。根据个人风险承受能力，设置5%-8%的止损点。例如，如果购买一枚比特币的价格为10，000美元，设置8%的止损点，当价格跌至9，200美元时自动卖出。
这种止损法的优势在于简单明了，避免情绪干扰。尤其是对新手来说，规则越简单，越容易执行。
2. 波动率调整止损
比特币历史平均日均波动率在3%-5%之间，但如果近期波动加大，可以相应调整止损点。例如，如果市场波动异常剧烈，可以将止损点设置在10%。
这种方法更灵活，考虑了市场实际波动情况，避免在正常波动中被“洗下车”。
3. 技术指标止损
使用技术分析工具来设定止损点，例如：
移动平均线：当价格跌破重要均线（如50日或200日均线）时止损；
支撑位止损：在关键支撑位下方设置止损点；
ATR（平均真实波幅）指标：根据市场波动性动态调整止损范围。
这种方法更适合有一定技术分析能力的交易者。
4. 最简便实用的方法：硬性止损单
对于大多数投资者来说，设置硬性止损单是性价比最高的止损策略。即在交易平台上预先设置止损订单，当市场走势对你不利时，系统会自动执行平仓操作。
这种方法的好处在于，它完全规避了情绪干扰。当市场剧烈波动时，价格下跌速度可能非常快，即使最有经验的交易员也可能没有足够时间做出反应。
04 止损之外的生存智慧：仓位管理与心态调整
除了具体的止损技巧，要想在币圈长期生存，还需要更全面的风险管控思维。
“鸡蛋不要放在一个篮子里”——但也不要放在太多的篮子里。真正的分散投资讲究的是选择投资平台和理财产品的差异化。
对于初入币圈的新手，建议采用分仓位配置的策略。例如，可以将大部分资金投资于比特币、以太坊等主流币，小部分资金配置其他有潜力的加密资产，同时注意严格控制风险。
杠杆是一把双刃剑。在比特币市场中，许多投资者因“侥幸心理”拒绝止损，杠杆交易则成 了爆仓的主要推手。使用过高杠杆，相当于主动放弃了犯错的空间。
牛市中最难的不是赚钱，而是守住利润。当你的投资获得可观收益后，可以考虑将部分利润转为“去风险”资产，如稳定币或主流加密货币，避免因贪婪而回吐全部利润。
05 构建自己的交易纪律系统
在币圈，你可以犯一百次错，但绝不能让一次错误就把你踢出局。
建立明确的交易计划是稳定盈利的基础。计划应包括入场点、止损点和止盈点，并严格执行。减少无意义的屏幕时间，避免被短期波动影响判断。
定期复盘也不可或缺。记录每笔交易的结果和当时的决策过程，分析成功或失败的原因，逐步完善自己的交易系统。
保持身心健康是长期盈利的保障。设定每日交易时间，避免过度盯盘。每天安排休息时间，进行冥想或户外活动，恢复精力。
币圈风云变幻，机遇和风险并存。在这个充满不确定性的市场里，只有学会止损，才能控制风险、保住本金。守住本金与初心，下一轮周期你也能站稳脚跟。
行情每天都在波动，币圈交易的本质不是比谁更聪明，而是比谁更守纪律。只有活下来，才能有机会抓住未来的机遇。
你对止损有什么经验或教训？欢迎在评论区分享你的观点——让我们在波动中共同成长。
关注我，带你了解更多一手资讯和币圈知识精准点位，成为你币圈的导航，学习才是你最大的财富！#加密市场观察 #美国CPI数据即将公布 $ETH
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Made Money but Can't Withdraw? A Veteran's Blood and Tears Safety Guide
The joy of profit from digital currency turned into a nightmare the moment withdrawal was attempted.
'Dude, my account is frozen.' I received a trembling call from an old friend late at night. He had just converted his half-year profit of 300,000 USDT into fiat currency, only to find his bank card instantly disabled—no loss of money, but the inability to withdraw profits after earning, creating the most tormenting psychological shock.
Having been through the crypto world for years, I've seen countless people with huge paper profits but unable to actually cash out. Today, I want to share in the most straightforward way how to safely get your earnings into your pocket.
01 Withdrawal Failed, Where Is the Problem?
'Dude, my account is frozen.' I received a trembling call from an old friend late at night. He had just converted his half-year profit of 300,000 USDT into fiat currency, only to find his bank card instantly disabled—no loss of money, but the inability to withdraw profits after earning, creating the most tormenting psychological shock.
Having been through the crypto world for years, I've seen countless people with huge paper profits but unable to actually cash out. Today, I want to share in the most straightforward way how to safely get your earnings into your pocket.
01 Withdrawal Failed, Where Is the Problem?
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No matter how much you earn, if you can't withdraw it, it's all for nothing! A veteran in the crypto world teaches you how to safely cash out
The most painful thing in the crypto world isn't the crash, but being stuck at the withdrawal stage after making profits. Money you can see but can't touch is more tormenting than market fluctuations.
A few days ago, late at night, a fan sent me a voice message, his voice trembling as he said: 'Bro, my card got frozen...' He had struggled for three years, finally turning 300,000 USDT into profit during this market cycle, only to be stunned after one-click withdrawal — his account was instantly restricted from transactions, and funds were completely frozen.
He kept asking me: 'I'm doing normal transactions, not stealing or robbing, so why have my cards been frozen?' The truth is harsh: it's not necessarily you who's at fault, but you might have unknowingly become the final link in a money laundering chain.
A few days ago, late at night, a fan sent me a voice message, his voice trembling as he said: 'Bro, my card got frozen...' He had struggled for three years, finally turning 300,000 USDT into profit during this market cycle, only to be stunned after one-click withdrawal — his account was instantly restricted from transactions, and funds were completely frozen.
He kept asking me: 'I'm doing normal transactions, not stealing or robbing, so why have my cards been frozen?' The truth is harsh: it's not necessarily you who's at fault, but you might have unknowingly become the final link in a money laundering chain.
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These 'counterintuitive' signals are truly the key to making money
Brothers, I'm Lao Xu, a native of Fujian born in 1985, rooted in Hangzhou for ten years, and active in the crypto space for six years. Starting with a capital of 530,000, I've experienced the pain of losing everything and also tasted the sweetness of 100x gains. Today, no fluff—just six counterintuitive principles earned through real money. Understand them, and you'll survive; master them, and you'll start making profits.
1. Fast rise, slow decline—don't rush to sell
The market suddenly surged 20%, then drifted down gradually for a week, causing many to panic and sell off. But the real situation might be: the main players are redistributing shares and washing out weak hands. A rapid rise attracts followers, while a slow decline eliminates uncertain retail investors. If you notice shrinking volume during the pullback, yet the key support level remains intact, don't panic—this is often a sign of accumulation.
1. Fast rise, slow decline—don't rush to sell
The market suddenly surged 20%, then drifted down gradually for a week, causing many to panic and sell off. But the real situation might be: the main players are redistributing shares and washing out weak hands. A rapid rise attracts followers, while a slow decline eliminates uncertain retail investors. If you notice shrinking volume during the pullback, yet the key support level remains intact, don't panic—this is often a sign of accumulation.
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From Chasing Wealth to Protecting Life: How I Outperformed Most with 'Drawdown Control'
—The ultimate purpose of trading is to improve life, not to be enslaved by candlestick charts
I entered the crypto world at 28, and now I'm 36. These 8 years, I've seen liquidation alerts at 4 a.m., and also felt the thrill of an eight-digit account. But what truly transformed me was the pivotal period between 2023 and 2024—I finally realized one thing: the key to success in trading isn't about who makes money fastest, but who lasts longer and stays more stable.
I. Harsh Reality: Why do you always 'make money and then lose it'?
In the early days, I was obsessed with chasing 100x coins and going all-in with leverage, until I hit a wall and learned: money earned through luck will eventually be lost through lack of skill.
I entered the crypto world at 28, and now I'm 36. These 8 years, I've seen liquidation alerts at 4 a.m., and also felt the thrill of an eight-digit account. But what truly transformed me was the pivotal period between 2023 and 2024—I finally realized one thing: the key to success in trading isn't about who makes money fastest, but who lasts longer and stays more stable.
I. Harsh Reality: Why do you always 'make money and then lose it'?
In the early days, I was obsessed with chasing 100x coins and going all-in with leverage, until I hit a wall and learned: money earned through luck will eventually be lost through lack of skill.
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After losing 90%, down to just 2000U, do I still have a chance to come back?
I’ve seen many brothers asking, 'My principal is down to just a few coins—can I still recover?' I’ll be straight with you: don’t panic. There is hope, but you must take the right path. I’ve pulled myself out of a hole of over 300,000 RMB before. Today, I’ll share five practical steps to recover—each step is crucial.
Step 1: First, calm your mind and stop being a gambler
After losing money, the first reaction is often to 'go all in for a comeback,' which only leads to deeper losses. I've been there—lying awake all night staring at the charts, fingers trembling as I placed trades, just like a gambler with red eyes.
The key point is simple: losing money is the market teaching you a lesson, not sentencing you to death. Accept reality and kill the urge for revenge trading. For example, losing 90% means you need a 10x return to recover—what’s the rush? Instead, stop trading for a few days, reflect on whether you were liquidated by contracts, chased highs and lows, or sold in panic based on rumors.
Step 1: First, calm your mind and stop being a gambler
After losing money, the first reaction is often to 'go all in for a comeback,' which only leads to deeper losses. I've been there—lying awake all night staring at the charts, fingers trembling as I placed trades, just like a gambler with red eyes.
The key point is simple: losing money is the market teaching you a lesson, not sentencing you to death. Accept reality and kill the urge for revenge trading. For example, losing 90% means you need a 10x return to recover—what’s the rush? Instead, stop trading for a few days, reflect on whether you were liquidated by contracts, chased highs and lows, or sold in panic based on rumors.
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The 'Dumb' Method in Crypto Actually Made Me Rich? I Grew from 1,700U to 130,000U Using the Simplest Approach!
Execution ability is the real core competitiveness
Four years ago, I was a complete 'slave to technical analysis.' I spent 18 hours a day monitoring charts, studying over 30 indicators, drawing thousands of trend lines, yet I suffered three liquidations and lost over 80% of my capital.
It wasn't until I completely let go of all the flashy tools that I truly started making money in the crypto space.
Now, my account has surged from 1,700U to 130,000U, not through advanced techniques, but through three simple methods so basic you might not believe them. Today I'll share this most 'simple-minded' crypto trading philosophy with everyone.
01 Give up prediction, let the market lead the way
Four years ago, I was a complete 'slave to technical analysis.' I spent 18 hours a day monitoring charts, studying over 30 indicators, drawing thousands of trend lines, yet I suffered three liquidations and lost over 80% of my capital.
It wasn't until I completely let go of all the flashy tools that I truly started making money in the crypto space.
Now, my account has surged from 1,700U to 130,000U, not through advanced techniques, but through three simple methods so basic you might not believe them. Today I'll share this most 'simple-minded' crypto trading philosophy with everyone.
01 Give up prediction, let the market lead the way
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After Losing 100,000 in Crypto, I Learned 3 Survival Rules
Staring at the remaining 3,400 U in my account, I couldn't sleep all night. It wasn't because the amount was too small, but because I knew this last bullet could either carve a bloody path forward or finally end my crypto journey once and for all.
At the moment of liquidation last year, I smashed my phone and deleted all trading software. For two whole months, I didn't go outside or see anyone, feeling like a complete failure. A hundred thousand, which is a lifetime's savings for many people, vanished into thin air in my hands.
But what truly pulled me back up was that stubborn unwillingness to accept defeat. At the beginning of the year, I logged back into my account and saw the pitiful balance of just 3,400 U. I told myself: either I give up and walk away, or I fight back with this meager remaining force.
At the moment of liquidation last year, I smashed my phone and deleted all trading software. For two whole months, I didn't go outside or see anyone, feeling like a complete failure. A hundred thousand, which is a lifetime's savings for many people, vanished into thin air in my hands.
But what truly pulled me back up was that stubborn unwillingness to accept defeat. At the beginning of the year, I logged back into my account and saw the pitiful balance of just 3,400 U. I told myself: either I give up and walk away, or I fight back with this meager remaining force.
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Slow is fast, and steadiness is harder than aggression!
Brothers, today let's talk about something uncomfortable. Are you brave enough to admit that every time you see someone bragging about their contracts doubling or their 'shitcoin' making a fortune, you can't help but feel a burning itch? Yet when you look at your own 100,000 in your pocket, you're terrified of stepping into a zero-loss pit. Honestly, I've been through this struggle too. But after years of trial and error, I've finally realized one truth—surviving longer in the crypto world matters a million times more than making money fast.
I. Why do you always want to 'make it big in one leap'?
Many people, when they hear about turning 100,000 into 1,000,000, instantly think of 'going all in' and '100x contracts.' But what happens? When the market wobbles slightly, their account value drops by half. To be blunt, this isn't investing—it's gambling with your life!
I. Why do you always want to 'make it big in one leap'?
Many people, when they hear about turning 100,000 into 1,000,000, instantly think of 'going all in' and '100x contracts.' But what happens? When the market wobbles slightly, their account value drops by half. To be blunt, this isn't investing—it's gambling with your life!
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From 30,000 to Ten Million: I Only Mastered This One 'Dumb' Thing!
Simplicity taken to the extreme is what separates the masters
Brothers, today I want to share a painful truth from the heart: I've seen too many friends in the crypto world, studying increasingly complex indicators and trading more frequently, yet their account balances keep shrinking.
I started from 30,000 and grew to 1.2 million in two years, then to 6 million in one year, and finally reached the ten-million level in just five months. The biggest lesson from this journey is this: the secret to making money isn't about adding more, but about simplifying.
1. My 'Dumb' Method: So simple it makes you doubt
There are countless trading strategies out there—position trading, swing trading, intraday trading, scalping, and a dizzying array of technical indicators. I once got deeply addicted to them, monitoring over ten indicators at once every day, only to end up more confused the more I analyzed.
Brothers, today I want to share a painful truth from the heart: I've seen too many friends in the crypto world, studying increasingly complex indicators and trading more frequently, yet their account balances keep shrinking.
I started from 30,000 and grew to 1.2 million in two years, then to 6 million in one year, and finally reached the ten-million level in just five months. The biggest lesson from this journey is this: the secret to making money isn't about adding more, but about simplifying.
1. My 'Dumb' Method: So simple it makes you doubt
There are countless trading strategies out there—position trading, swing trading, intraday trading, scalping, and a dizzying array of technical indicators. I once got deeply addicted to them, monitoring over ten indicators at once every day, only to end up more confused the more I analyzed.
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Understanding BTC today isn't too late
Time never waits for anyone, but cycles always repeat.
Dear Me from ten years from now:
If you're reading this letter, it probably means we've really made it. Not by luck, but through years of persistence and discipline in the crypto market, we've gradually reached financial freedom today.
Right now, I'm sitting in front of my computer, looking at the BTC K-line chart. Suddenly, two classic scenes come to mind: in 2013, someone traded 10,000 BTC for two pizzas; in 2024, one BTC can buy a Rolls-Royce. This contrast always makes me reflect—history doesn't repeat itself simply, but the underlying logic of price swings always cycles. Unfortunately, most people fail to seize opportunities within these cycles, not because they lack information, but because they lose to their own mindset.
Dear Me from ten years from now:
If you're reading this letter, it probably means we've really made it. Not by luck, but through years of persistence and discipline in the crypto market, we've gradually reached financial freedom today.
Right now, I'm sitting in front of my computer, looking at the BTC K-line chart. Suddenly, two classic scenes come to mind: in 2013, someone traded 10,000 BTC for two pizzas; in 2024, one BTC can buy a Rolls-Royce. This contrast always makes me reflect—history doesn't repeat itself simply, but the underlying logic of price swings always cycles. Unfortunately, most people fail to seize opportunities within these cycles, not because they lack information, but because they lose to their own mindset.
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When 'High-Speed Blockchain' Crashes Again: Lessons and Reflections from SUI's 6-Hour Downtime
As a player closely following the Layer1 ecosystem, seeing SUI crash again is truly bittersweet. This time, the mainnet was down for nearly 6 hours (UTC time January 14, 14:52 to 20:44), freezing $1 billion in on-chain assets instantly, with all transactions stuck and even the SuiScan explorer going completely offline. Just over a year ago, SUI crashed for 2.5 hours due to a code vulnerability in congestion control. The 'high-performance' reputation has now been repeatedly undermined.
1. The Mystery of 'Consensus Standstill': The Cost of Technical Aggressiveness
SUI's official statement this time remains vague, merely citing 'consensus interruption.' However, comparing it to the crash in November 2024, the root cause was extremely basic: a congestion control code assert! triggered an infinite loop in all validator nodes when encountering specific transactions (such as zero-cost calls to shared objects). Although the fix took only 15 minutes, it exposed insufficient testnet coverage—such extreme scenarios should have been detected through simulation before deployment.
1. The Mystery of 'Consensus Standstill': The Cost of Technical Aggressiveness
SUI's official statement this time remains vague, merely citing 'consensus interruption.' However, comparing it to the crash in November 2024, the root cause was extremely basic: a congestion control code assert! triggered an infinite loop in all validator nodes when encountering specific transactions (such as zero-cost calls to shared objects). Although the fix took only 15 minutes, it exposed insufficient testnet coverage—such extreme scenarios should have been detected through simulation before deployment.
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XRP Founder Sued for $30 Million! Is It a Crisis or a Buying Opportunity?
Another black swan event has struck the crypto market—this time it's Ripple's founder. Legal risks have once again become the sword of Damocles hanging over XRP.
As a seasoned veteran who's been through the crypto market for years, I've grown accustomed to sudden negative news. But seeing this morning that the XRP founder is facing a $30 million lawsuit still made my heart skip a beat.
This is not the first legal dispute XRP has faced, and it probably won't be the last. Recall the $1.3 billion lawsuit filed by the SEC against Ripple in 2020—XRP's price plummeted by half, and countless investors fled in panic.
As a seasoned veteran who's been through the crypto market for years, I've grown accustomed to sudden negative news. But seeing this morning that the XRP founder is facing a $30 million lawsuit still made my heart skip a beat.
This is not the first legal dispute XRP has faced, and it probably won't be the last. Recall the $1.3 billion lawsuit filed by the SEC against Ripple in 2020—XRP's price plummeted by half, and countless investors fled in panic.
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I'm not a genius, I just stuck to these six boundaries
Introduction: From 10,000 U to 9,000,000 U, I didn't rely on the 'rich-get-richer' myth
Friends, I'm Old Chen, a veteran in the crypto world who's been through ten years of ups and downs. I've witnessed the frenzy of 2017, survived the winter of 2018, and personally experienced the LUNA crash to zero. Over the past decade, I've grown my 10,000 U to 9,000,000 U—without insider tips, without riding the bull market. It was all built on a 'slow and steady' approach: studying candlestick charts, volume, and market sentiment every day, refining my trading system like leveling up in a game. Today, I'm sharing six heartfelt, real-world insights. Understand just one, and you'll avoid losing tens of thousands of U; follow three, and you'll outperform 90% of retail investors.
Friends, I'm Old Chen, a veteran in the crypto world who's been through ten years of ups and downs. I've witnessed the frenzy of 2017, survived the winter of 2018, and personally experienced the LUNA crash to zero. Over the past decade, I've grown my 10,000 U to 9,000,000 U—without insider tips, without riding the bull market. It was all built on a 'slow and steady' approach: studying candlestick charts, volume, and market sentiment every day, refining my trading system like leveling up in a game. Today, I'm sharing six heartfelt, real-world insights. Understand just one, and you'll avoid losing tens of thousands of U; follow three, and you'll outperform 90% of retail investors.
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Why Did Trump's Venezuela Oil Gambit Backfire?
As a crypto analyst constantly monitoring geopolitical risks and capital flows, I'm highly sensitive to narratives about 'resource wars.' But this time, Trump's high-stakes gamble on Venezuela is nothing short of a textbook disaster—full of ambition, yet doomed by real-world realities. Below, I'll break down the underlying logic of this farce in plain language.
1 Trump's 'forceful takeover': military takes the lead, but capital refuses to follow through
After taking control of Maduro on January 3, Trump immediately addressed the American oil giants: 'Come invest in Venezuela, I've got your back!' His plan sounded perfect: the US military secures the regime, companies pour money into infrastructure, and oil flows abundantly to the US, perfectly replacing Canadian heavy oil (especially since US-Canada relations have deteriorated).
1 Trump's 'forceful takeover': military takes the lead, but capital refuses to follow through
After taking control of Maduro on January 3, Trump immediately addressed the American oil giants: 'Come invest in Venezuela, I've got your back!' His plan sounded perfect: the US military secures the regime, companies pour money into infrastructure, and oil flows abundantly to the US, perfectly replacing Canadian heavy oil (especially since US-Canada relations have deteriorated).
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【Breaking News! New Tax Regulations May Trigger Major Shock in Crypto Market, But Long-Term Outlook Remains Positive】
Just saw a report from First Financial News, and I felt a chill — Chinese tax authorities are intensifying scrutiny on overseas income, with back taxes potentially追溯 back to 2017! Starting in 2025, many people are receiving self-check notices, mainly targeting 2022 and 2023.
What does this mean? Many individuals who have traded cryptocurrencies overseas or hold cross-border assets may now face tax declarations or even tax补缴. On-chain data is already showing early signs: in the past week, large transaction frequencies on several major blockchains have noticeably increased, especially the flow from anonymous wallets to compliant exchanges. I suspect some people are quietly adjusting their positions to cope with potential tax pressures.
In the short term, market sentiment will undoubtedly be affected. Especially players who previously didn’t pay much attention to tax issues might choose to partially liquidate their holdings to prepare, increasing selling pressure and leading to heightened volatility. But my view is clear: if this leads to a correction, it’s actually an opportunity.
In the long run, regulatory standardization is not a bad thing — it will make the market healthier. Truly valuable assets won’t lose their potential just because of tax compliance. My strategy remains unchanged: buy more in batches when prices drop sharply, especially focusing on Bitcoin and a few key ecosystem leaders, and hold core positions.
Longtime followers know I warned last year that 'tax risks were inevitable' — now it’s happening. The more complex the market environment, the more we need to stay calm. Remember one thing: bull markets often have sharp dips; holding on is how you win.
Stay tuned for my follow-up updates. The market is evolving, and we’ll flexibly adjust our strategy accordingly, but our overall direction stays the same — still bullish on 2026.
Follow me to get more firsthand insights and precise crypto knowledge. I’m your guide in the crypto world. Learning is your greatest wealth! #加密市场观察 #比特币2026年价格预测 $ETH
Just saw a report from First Financial News, and I felt a chill — Chinese tax authorities are intensifying scrutiny on overseas income, with back taxes potentially追溯 back to 2017! Starting in 2025, many people are receiving self-check notices, mainly targeting 2022 and 2023.
What does this mean? Many individuals who have traded cryptocurrencies overseas or hold cross-border assets may now face tax declarations or even tax补缴. On-chain data is already showing early signs: in the past week, large transaction frequencies on several major blockchains have noticeably increased, especially the flow from anonymous wallets to compliant exchanges. I suspect some people are quietly adjusting their positions to cope with potential tax pressures.
In the short term, market sentiment will undoubtedly be affected. Especially players who previously didn’t pay much attention to tax issues might choose to partially liquidate their holdings to prepare, increasing selling pressure and leading to heightened volatility. But my view is clear: if this leads to a correction, it’s actually an opportunity.
In the long run, regulatory standardization is not a bad thing — it will make the market healthier. Truly valuable assets won’t lose their potential just because of tax compliance. My strategy remains unchanged: buy more in batches when prices drop sharply, especially focusing on Bitcoin and a few key ecosystem leaders, and hold core positions.
Longtime followers know I warned last year that 'tax risks were inevitable' — now it’s happening. The more complex the market environment, the more we need to stay calm. Remember one thing: bull markets often have sharp dips; holding on is how you win.
Stay tuned for my follow-up updates. The market is evolving, and we’ll flexibly adjust our strategy accordingly, but our overall direction stays the same — still bullish on 2026.
Follow me to get more firsthand insights and precise crypto knowledge. I’m your guide in the crypto world. Learning is your greatest wealth! #加密市场观察 #比特币2026年价格预测 $ETH
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Look at this textbook-style decline!
On the 1-hour chart, BTC is struggling near the lower Bollinger Band (95875), with the middle band (96728) now acting as strong resistance. MACD has formed a death cross below the zero line, and the green bars are expanding—shorts haven't eased up at all! Large on-chain funds continue to flow out, and the news sentiment is eerily quiet—this is clearly the calm before the storm.
The 'trade with the trend, shorting' strategy I've repeatedly emphasized is being validated word for word by the market. From the initial resistance warning at around 97,800, to today's 96,500 now hanging by a thread, the logic has fully played out. Don't be fooled by minor rebounds—trend is your only ally.
My view remains unchanged: the short-side dominance is clear. The next key support lies in the 95,000–94,500 range. Don't rush to buy the bottom—such high-risk moves are for reckless gamblers. True trading is about patience and execution; sitting on the sidelines with no position is itself a profit.
Trust the system. Trust the trend. Keep holding on to this rhythm.
Follow me, and I'll guide you through real-time insights and precise crypto knowledge. Learning is your greatest wealth! #加密市场观察 #Strategy增持比特币 $ETH
On the 1-hour chart, BTC is struggling near the lower Bollinger Band (95875), with the middle band (96728) now acting as strong resistance. MACD has formed a death cross below the zero line, and the green bars are expanding—shorts haven't eased up at all! Large on-chain funds continue to flow out, and the news sentiment is eerily quiet—this is clearly the calm before the storm.
The 'trade with the trend, shorting' strategy I've repeatedly emphasized is being validated word for word by the market. From the initial resistance warning at around 97,800, to today's 96,500 now hanging by a thread, the logic has fully played out. Don't be fooled by minor rebounds—trend is your only ally.
My view remains unchanged: the short-side dominance is clear. The next key support lies in the 95,000–94,500 range. Don't rush to buy the bottom—such high-risk moves are for reckless gamblers. True trading is about patience and execution; sitting on the sidelines with no position is itself a profit.
Trust the system. Trust the trend. Keep holding on to this rhythm.
Follow me, and I'll guide you through real-time insights and precise crypto knowledge. Learning is your greatest wealth! #加密市场观察 #Strategy增持比特币 $ETH
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Today Trump says 'full support,' but tomorrow, if a new administration takes over, contracts could instantly become worthless. Having been burned before, who would dare to be the 'sucker'?
Wow, Trump's ambitious oil plan seems to have hit a roadblock recently. Originally hoping to control Venezuela's oil to strengthen America's energy dominance, reality has delivered a harsh blow.
The plan sounded great in theory, but reality was far harsher.
The original calculation was sound: after military action, allow major U.S. oil companies to enter Venezuela, invest heavily in repairing its severely damaged oil infrastructure, and thereby gain control over the world's country with the largest oil reserves. President Trump even convened a meeting with energy giants, promising support and protection.
The plan sounded great in theory, but reality was far harsher.
The original calculation was sound: after military action, allow major U.S. oil companies to enter Venezuela, invest heavily in repairing its severely damaged oil infrastructure, and thereby gain control over the world's country with the largest oil reserves. President Trump even convened a meeting with energy giants, promising support and protection.
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