Hrp19

Wintermute, a crypto market maker company, revealed the three catalysts or factors that could restore the crypto market as a whole in 2026.
"Only a few selected tokens are outperforming while the broader market continues to decline, pressured by the burden of unlocks. To reverse this trend, at least one of three things needs to happen," he wrote, citing an official report.
It is known that the role of large institutions and providers of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) can drive liquidity in the crypto market. However, these major players need to allocate to other tokens and not be centralized on Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

The exchange rate of the Iranian currency against the US dollar is now worthless, priced at US$0. This has caused the price of Bitcoin (BTC) to soar, requiring 104 billion rials to obtain 1 BTC.
This happened because Iran is facing domestic unrest caused by an economic crisis and tensions with the US military that worsened the situation.
It is known that the sharp decline in the rial exchange rate occurred when the free market rate touched around 1.3-1.4 million rials per US dollar. This event made the Iranian currency the weakest and lowest in the world.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) or inflation in the United States (US), today, Tuesday (13/10) evening, remained stable at the 2.7% annual level for December 2025.
As a result, the crypto digital asset market reacted, with Bitcoin (BTC) rising to US$93,000 or 1.56% according to CoinMarketCap. Additionally, crypto market capitalization continues to rise to US$3.16 trillion.
In other words, this report shows that inflation figures are getting closer to the 2% target, strengthening speculation that the Fed will halt interest rate hikes in the near future, thus driving up digital assets.

Bitcoin surges back to US$96,000 or 4.3% in the last 24 hours, Wednesday (01/14) morning. This rally triggered the liquidation of short positions worth US$590 million or IDR 9 trillion within the same timeframe, according to CoinGlass.
Meanwhile, this rally was triggered after the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, indicating inflation in the United States (US), stabilized at 2.7% year-on-year in December 2025.
This means the report shows inflation figures are getting closer to the 2% target, strengthening speculation that the Fed may halt future interest rate hikes.

Clear Street Managing Director Owen Lau stated that the Federal Reserve's (The Fed) rate cuts could encourage retail investors to return to the crypto market.
"But on the other hand, if interest rates go down, it usually means the market is in risk mode. So retail will be more enthusiastic about entering crypto, and institutions will also be more enthusiastic about entering crypto," he said, citing YouTube CNBC Television.
On the other hand, during the year 2025 The Fed has cut interest rates three times. However, the crypto market did not respond well to this news and tended to stagnate and then decline.

The Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) experienced an influx of fresh funds from crypto investors who are starting to position their capital. This occurred on the eve of New Year's Eve 2025.
Furthermore, the Bitcoin ETF received net funds amounting to US$355 million or around Rp5.9 trillion, then Ethereum valued at US$67.8 million or Rp1.1 trillion, and XRP reached US$15.5 million or equivalent to Rp259.3 billion, which occurred on Tuesday (30/12).
This event reflects that investors are beginning to take momentum to allocate funds towards crypto digital assets through ETFs.

Binance Coin (BNB) in its journey during the year 2025 has provided positive performance for its investors growing by 21%. This asset has managed to outperform the two largest crypto assets, such as Bitcoin (BTC) which is down by 6% and Ethereum (ETH) which plummeted by 11%.
This can happen due to a surge in activity on the BNB network which has a positive impact, with 31 million transactions recorded in December and 33 million transactions in October.
However, there are bitter facts that occur considering that Bitcoin and Ethereum are undergoing a decline during this year 2025 which has been happening since October.

Bitcoin (BTC) is expected to lose 6.2% throughout the year 2025 with the current price at US$87,700, according to CoinMarketCap, Tuesday (30/12). However, when looking at the catalysts for Bitcoin's decline, the tariffs from United States (US) President Donald Trump are the most significant.
As is known, the crypto market recorded a total liquidation of US$19.16 billion or around Rp317.22 trillion in a day, causing millions of traders to be liquidated, Saturday (11/10). This figure became the largest liquidation in history caused by Trump's decision to threaten extraordinary tariffs on China.

Bitcoin finally rebounded to US$90,000 or up 2.4%. Not only that, the fear and greed or market sentiment of fear and greed has eased, recovering to level 30, according to CoinMarketCap, Monday (29/12).
This recovery is supported by the potential halt of ETF outflows during the Christmas week of around US$750 million towards the end of the year. In addition, analysts project that there will be many institutional inflows in January.
Not only that, the trading volume of Bitcoin over 24 hours increased by 22.4% to US$16.9 billion, indicating new interest. Not only that, Ethereum (ETH) also rose to US$3,000 or 3%, while BNB rose to US$868 or 3%, and XRP to US$1.91 or 2.1%.

Bitcoin (BTC) experienced an annual decline of up to 5.8% at a price of US$89,000, according to CoinMarketCap, Monday (29/12). Therefore, analyst Nic Puckrin assesses that Bitcoin needs to rise about 6% above its annual opening price of around US$93,374 to end this year at a higher price.
However, according to the calculations of the Crypto Academy editorial team at the current Bitcoin price, it requires a 4.5% increase to avoid closing this year with losses.
For your information, Bitcoin broke its all-time high or highest level ever at a price of US$126,299 last October. However, shortly after that, the price of Bitcoin continued to decline, especially when the trade war between China and the US broke out.

This year has been a surprising year for Bitcoin investors. This is because the asset, which was touted as digital gold, has actually fallen 7% over the past year compared to other assets.
Not only that, silver has also surprised the market by emerging as the top gainer this year. This traditional asset has risen 174%, surpassing gold, which is the largest market capitalization asset in the world.
This increase is also the longest upward trend since 1980, making it the third most valuable asset in the world, surpassing the technology company Apple.

Bitcoin has been stable at a price of US$87,000 since last November, which has made some investors weary and move their funds to traditional assets, one of which is silver. The price of silver surged past US$79 per ounce, rising about 170% throughout 2025.
This increase makes it the longest upward trend since 1980, even surpassing Bitcoin's growth over the year, which actually fell by 7%. The rapid surge of silver has also made it the third most valuable asset in the world.
The main trigger is China's export restriction plan starting in January 2026, physical shipping pressures in Asia, as well as steady and continuously growing industrial demand from the solar panel, electronics, and electric vehicle sectors.

Bitcoin is experiencing its second worst fourth quarter in history, marking a sharp reversal from the annual pattern where Q4 is usually the strongest period.
One of the triggers is massive selling by whales who released around 161 thousand BTC worth nearly US$15 billion throughout 2025, although some of this pressure was offset by gradual accumulation from mid-level holders ('sharks').
In fact, Bitcoin once set a new record around US$126,000 in early October, but the price sharply reversed down to around US$87,000 to date.

Several investors have made breakthroughs in giving Christmas and New Year gifts by giving crypto. However, it turns out that this digital asset gift has existed since 2017, initiated by Andy L who gave Bitcoin.
However, crypto gifts do not always yield profits. In fact, as of Christmas 2024, it turned out to provide disappointing results up to today because the crypto prices had been at a high level in December 2024 and then dropped in 2025.
An investment gift of US$100 at Christmas 2024 is equivalent to 0.0010 BTC Bitcoin, 292.94 DOGE Dogecoin, and 0.02823 ETH Ethereum, which are now each worth US$87.77 (down 12.2%), US$37.70 (down 16.9%), and US$83.13 (down 62.3%).

The Fear and Greed Index, a market sentiment gauge that measures the level of fear or greed among crypto investors, has reached level 11 or extreme fear. This is the lowest level in a year, even equivalent to when the crypto winter phenomenon of 2022 occurred.
Bitcoin experienced its worst month since the 2022 crypto crisis after falling about 23% in November, and down 35% from its record high of US$126,000 reached last October. This decline occurred despite political sentiment and increased institutional adoption.

Owen Gunden, the 8th richest whale, surprisingly fled the market after releasing 11,000 Bitcoin (BTC) worth US$1.3 billion or Rp21 trillion, according to Arkham Intelligence data, on Friday (21/11).
This large whale released almost all of its Bitcoin holdings, leaving only US$0.5 Bitcoin. This decision was made after Bitcoin dropped to its lowest point, currently priced at US$85,000.
In addition, Gunden's largest and final withdrawal occurred on Thursday (20/11) evening, when this whale sent 2,499 Bitcoin from the Kraken crypto exchange. This sell-off coincided with a weakening retail sentiment and a decrease in speculative flows in the market.

Zcash ($ZEC ) emerged as the only top gainer while the crypto market turned red, Friday (21/11). Even the coin outperformed Bitcoin's growth, rising nearly 2% while the largest digital asset fell 9% in the last 24 hours.
ZEC is currently receiving strong support from institutional accumulation after Winklevoss-related entities purchased over 233,000 ZEC, reducing liquid supply and strengthening bullish sentiment previously triggered by Arthur Hayes' support.
Technically, ZEC is trading above the 50-day EMA, showing upward momentum supported by a bullish MACD crossover and the potential breakout of an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern towards a target of US$956, as long as the US$600–US$605 area holds as support.

Bitcoin fell more than 13% in a week, bringing its price to US$85,000 on Friday (21/11). This also marks a 9.23% decline since the beginning of the year, although the world's largest digital asset had previously reached its all-time high of US$126,000 last August.
This decline has also brought Bitcoin back to its early 2025 levels, erasing all price increases that occurred throughout this year. Even investors who had placed their funds at the beginning of the year, which was US$92,000, have suffered losses due to this market crash.