B中心

$eth 2026.01.16 Investment Strategy Analysis

One-sentence summary:

ETH remains in a short-term channel consolidation market; buy near 3000, reduce positions above 3800, avoid chasing if no breakdown, survive first before waiting for a trend.

From the 4-hour perspective, ETH is still within the medium-term rising channel, but the significant pullback from the upper boundary indicates strong resistance at higher levels. Currently, prices are consolidating around 3300, located in the lower-middle portion of the channel. The blue descending trendline coincides with the previous dense trading zone, forming a strong resistance band at 3800–4000, making a short-term breakout difficult. The lower boundary of the channel lies at 2800–2900, serving as the medium-term bull-bear dividing line. Trading strategy should focus on defense with offensive moves as secondary: avoid chasing if volume hasn't confirmed a sustained break above 3500; consider gradual accumulation when price retraces to around 3000 with shrinking volume and stable structure; if the price breaks below 2800 decisively, exit promptly and switch to观望. Overall, the approach favors range trading with high-probability swings, waiting for volume-driven direction confirmation before adjusting trend positioning.

上海房价预判，2026年可能会触底

基于上海链家数据，对2026年楼市作出理性推演：整体供需并未剧烈失衡，新增挂牌长期稳定，真正变化来自存量库存的快速回落与政策放松带来的客群扩容，市场情绪正在悄然修复。决定是否触底的核心变量不在情绪，而在租金回报率。以全市数据测算，当前回报率约2.47%，若参考香港在约2.94%附近止跌的经验，按现有节奏推算，2026年下半年至年末可能出现关键转折。但底部并非“一刀切”，更可能率先出现在核心区域、小户型、低总价、高回报率产品上，再逐步外溢。结论是：2026年或是分化明显、先局部回暖的一年，判断市场不如亲自下场看房、比价、谈价更可靠。

$sol @Yi He

Solana opens fire with data first, then Starknet fires back with emojis. Solana's statement, 'low daily active users, low transactions, yet high valuation,' delivers a cold but devastating blow; Starknet immediately responds with 'Who's going to tell Solana players?' paired with a gorilla emoji, turning a technical discussion into an emotional showdown. Onlookers quickly cool down: take a deep breath, we're all friends, enjoy the drama before getting back to mining. At the core, this is the daily rhythm of Web3 — real data on-chain, rhetoric and memes off-chain; the outcome remains uncertain, but the entertainment comes first, and ultimately, time and the market will decide.

$eth One-sentence investment strategy:

One-sentence summary: ETH remains in an uptrend channel, oscillating within it. In the short term, focus on buying around 3000 and avoid chasing prices above 3500. Strict stop-loss and patience are key while waiting for a directional breakout.

Based on the 4-hour ETH chart, the price is currently in the lower-to-middle range of a larger uptrend channel. After a noticeable pullback from the upper trendline, it is now consolidating around 3300. The blue trendline above has shifted from support to strong resistance (approximately 3800–4000), which is unlikely to be broken in the short term. The lower channel boundary and previous low form critical support (around 2800–3000). Trading should be conservative: avoid chasing highs in both medium and short-term positions. Wait for a pullback to around 3000, accompanied by declining volume and a clear reversal structure, to gradually build positions. If the price breaks below 2800 with increased volume, exit immediately and stay on the sidelines. If the price later breaks above 3500 with strong volume and holds during a pullback, consider adding to positions, aiming for 3800. The overall strategy centers on range trading with strict stop-losses, maintaining reasonable position sizing to guard against the risk of breaking below the channel support.

$eth A Steady Investment Strategy in One Sentence:

From a daily chart perspective, ETH is still trading within a converging triangle, with the trend yet to break out. The steady strategy is to gradually accumulate at the lower boundary (around 3000) in small positions, avoiding chasing price increases;

If there is a volume-driven breakout above the upper boundary and it holds, then increase positions in line with the trend;

If the lower boundary is broken and the price closes below it consecutively, then decisively cut losses and stand aside, prioritizing drawdown control.

$btc

Overall Trend Assessment: The major trend remains bullish, but it has entered a high-level consolidation phase

One-sentence summary:

This is not a 'blind buy' moment, but rather a phase that tests patience, discipline, and market understanding.

The bull market is still ongoing, but the rhythm has changed—surviving until the next trend phase is what truly defines the winners.

From a daily chart perspective, Bitcoin initiated a classic trend-driven bull market in the second half of 2023:

Lower lows are progressively rising (Higher Lows), higher highs are continuously breaking through, and a sharp upward surge was completed between 2024 and 2025, reaching a peak near $120,000.

However, the current candlestick structure shows that after a pullback from historical highs, the price has not immediately launched into a new trend, but instead is in a high-level broad-range consolidation and correction phase. This typically indicates:

The major players have not fully exited (no cliff-like drop)

The market has shifted from 'emotion-driven' to 'divergent博弈'

The next likely scenario is time for space, rather than an immediate second major rally

Therefore, the core keywords for the current phase are not 'chasing gains,' but structural analysis and rhythm control.

This is not a bear market, but it is also not a safe low-level zone

The biggest risk at high levels is not a drop, but the psychological wear from repeated oscillations

Never go all-in with your capital at once

When you don't understand the market, staying out of the market is also a correct move

✅ BTC Today's Investment Strategy (Short-term / Medium-term)
1. Key Structures (Based on the areas in your chart)
🔴 Upper Strong Resistance Area (Short-sell Area)
$95,000 – $100,000
This is the red area marked in your chart—dense chips in front + head structure + multiple failed attempts to rise.
🔵 Lower Strong Support Area (Buy Area)
$62,000 – $70,000
Corresponding to the blue area—this is a consolidation platform lasting a full 6 months in 2024, a major value buying point.
📌 Current Price: $90,700 Nearby
BTC is currently below the resistance area, just breaking down from the top and pulling back, which is a typical:
"Break down – Pull back – Second drop" structure
🧭 2. Today's Direction Judgment
📉 Short-term Bearish
Because the price has broken below the bottom of the red box (about 95K), and now cannot pull back up → Bullish weakness.
📈 Medium to Long-term Bullish Trend
As long as it does not break below the blue large box (62K+), the bull market structure is not damaged.

🎯 3. Today's Operation Strategy (2025/11/29)
(A) Short-term Strategy — Mainly suggest short-selling

Currently at the lower edge of the resistance area 90–92K, the price is facing strong pressure.

📉 Short-term Short-sell Range

91,200 – 93,000

(The deeper the pullback, the better)

🎯 Take Profit (TP)

TP1: 88,000 (Previous Low)

TP2: 84,500 (Accelerated Downward Target)

❌ Stop Loss (SL)

94,200 – 94,800

(Breaking above the red area = Pullback failure)

Reason:

The movement looks very much like "Pullback confirmation after downward breakthrough", a textbook-level short point.

(B) Medium-term Strategy — Wait for repeated stabilization before going long

If you are a medium-term trader:

📈 Medium-term Long Entry Area:

70,000 – 78,000

This is the golden pullback area.

🎯 Medium-term Targets:

TP1: 95K

TP2: 110K

TP3 (Swing): 130K+

(C) Long-term Strategy — Gradual Ambush

If you plan to hold for the next six months:

🟦 Blue Area (62–70K) is the absolute value area

Strongly recommend keeping some ammunition for buying lower.

🔔 4. Today's Risk Reminder

If BTC strongly stands back above 95,000 today, all short logic will be invalidated.

If it breaks below 88,000 at the four-hour level, an accelerated decline will occur, with the next stop approaching 80,000.

📅 11/23 Daily Analysis | $ETH is at the gates, can it hold the $2,800 life-and-death line?
Market Status:
$ETH has experienced a round of panic selling, and the current price has returned to the key structural support level at the beginning of the year (around $2,800).
This is a textbook-level "Falling Knife" pattern. Although the long-term support is here, the bearish momentum is extremely strong, and with insufficient weekend liquidity, do not directly place orders on the left side to catch the falling knife.
🔑 Key Levels:
• 🔴 Resistance (Res): $3,200 (upcoming breakdown point / supply zone)
• 🟢 Support (Sup): $2,780 - $2,800 (current structural level / last line of defense)
📝 Trading Plan:
Speculate for a rebound (High Risk): Only attempt to enter long with a light position if a long lower shadow or 2B false breakdown pattern appears on the 1H level, with a stop-loss set below $2,700.
Trend Following Short (Trend): If the daily candle effectively breaks below $2,800, a retracement will be a short opportunity, opening up space below to $2,400.
⚠️ Opinion: Better to miss the first wave of rebound than to gamble your life at this position. Wait for confirmation.
#Ethereum #Crypto #Trading #ETH

#山寨季何时到来？

Is this a double top for the market value of the counterfeit?

#btc

The fastest growing asset in the past two years is stablecoins

Stablecoins have clearly squeezed the market value of altcoins

The trend is payment

The world is divided

Some people make money in the A-share market

Some people are profiting from the cryptocurrency market

Those in the A-share market say that the cryptocurrency market is all gambling

Those in the cryptocurrency market say that the A-share market is all gambling

Experts talk about investment
They say you should diversify
East a gourd, west a ladle
But for most people, it's just that little money
Don't diversify
Concentrate your efforts on major tasks
Lowering returns is the real risk
Diversifying investments doesn't reduce risk
Profit is the best armor ​​​

Investment means going all in

This round of spot trading still losing money mainly involves playing with shanzhai, or following the trend of buying high and selling low. For friends in this category, I only have one suggestion: work hard to make money, accumulate capital, and bet big on Bitcoin at the bottom by the end of next year, then hold for about three years. During the two years in between, continue to work hard to make money, accumulate capital, and buy more when the media reports a crash. The advanced version is to reduce positions when the media reports a surge + when the dead group becomes active, and finally sell everything at the last stage.

Focusing on work to make money can solve many troubles.

If you work with single-minded dedication, you won't have time to think about trivial matters.

Once you earn money through work, you'll find that money is really useful. Having money can turn big problems into small ones and small problems into none, making life fulfilling.

Work, money, hobbies.
These can all be achieved through your own efforts, without waiting, relying, or asking.

Take action, and worries will decrease.
At least you won't have so much free time to worry.

#BTC☀

Say some offensive words

Why are many teams not doing projects properly now?

Because there are too many fools in the market

I come up with a concept and then hype it, and there are people who will follow, and the cost is the same as doing a project well, so I will definitely choose the easier option

Even if I casually post a meme, there will be a bunch of people coming to hype it, with exchanges involved and retail investors getting cut

So why should I do things properly?

The bottom line of this market is getting lower and lower, and these fools are mainly responsible.

$btc

Today is the 31st. There are only 2 months left in 2025.

As we get older, the days without goals seem to pass faster.

Good news, this year will drop for at most another two months.

The one who can buy is the apprentice, the one who can sell is the master.

Selling a house has a subtle timeline; the first and second offers received are the best bids based on market conditions.

If you miss the golden period of the first month on the market and the first two offers when selling a house, the subsequent prices will only decline.

Therefore, to sell a house, you must: 1. tidy up (renovate); 2. set a reasonable price; 3. respond quickly (aim to close within 1 month).

Corresponding to the strategy of trading cryptocurrencies: 1. old bottle with new wine (renovate); 2. benchmark valuation; 3. list on Binance and let it flow (the faster, the better).

#BTC走势分析

Many retail investors often get washed out of investment targets that can multiply their returns over the long term due to a few or dozens of points of retracement.

If you can't hold on, you won't make big money.

【Musk's 'Sky-High Salary' is Actually a Lesson in Business Strategy】

Tesla's board has given Elon a sky-high incentive—$1 trillion in stock awards, not cash, but stock that is unlocked upon achieving targets, ultimately allowing him to hold 25% of the shares.

The targets include: market value soaring to $8.5 trillion, delivering 20 million cars, 1 million Robotaxis on the road, 1 million robots in mass production, and profits of $400 billion.

Musk's reasoning is that to pursue major strategies like AI, autonomous driving, and robotics, sufficient control is essential.

He currently holds 13% and wants to increase it to 25%; otherwise, if he is voted out, the entire strategy could collapse. Opponents argue that the board is too compliant with Musk, and this plan could dilute shareholder interests.

However, from the shareholders' perspective, if Musk can indeed elevate Tesla's market value to eight times, then why not support him? This is essentially a game about control and incentive mechanisms.

The significance of this situation for ordinary people is that, even if you don't trade stocks, you can learn about partnership and governance logic. How profits are shared in a partnership, how shares are structured, and how founders strive for control are all real-world business issues. Musk's 'Sky-High Salary Show' is actually a living **Business Structure Class**.