Teknik1menit

just 2 plan for $BTC now

retest for another dumping and hit the bottom 50k or we can up higher if we can hit 120k next month we retest in the monthly megaphone pattern and going up to 177k

Has Bitcoin reached its peak now (around $125K) or is there still a chance for $177K like many on-chain analysts target? Let's discuss based on historical data, cycle indicators, and macroeconomic behavior in 2025 👇

🧩 1. Current Bitcoin Cycle Position (November 2025)

If we use the classic Bitcoin cycle model based on the halving cycle (every 4 years):

HalvingYearInitial BullPeak 2025–2026❓❓

⏳ The last halving occurred in April 2024, so historical cycle peaks usually happen 12–18 months after the halving, which is between May 2025 – October 2026.
This means:

Statistics still support that Bitcoin has not reached its main peak.

📈 2. On-Chain Data & Cycle Indicators

Several key indicators used by cycle analysts (Glassnode, LookIntoBitcoin, etc.):

IndicatorCurrent ConditionMeaningMVRV-Z Score3.2 (not extreme)Usually >7 at the peak of a bull runPuell Multiple1.6Peaks usually at >3RHODL RatioRising, but not overheatedStill in mid-cycle phaseRealized Cap HODL WavesLong-term dominance decreasingDistribution starting but not extremeFunding RateNormal → not full euphoriaMarket not in bubble

🧠 On-chain conclusion:
Bitcoin has not shown signs of distribution peaks like in 2017 & 2021. Still in the middle of the expansion phase.

💵 3. Mathematical Target: $177,000 — Still Reasonable?

Several models point to that range:

ModelPeak EstimateExplanationStock-to-Flow (S2F)$165K–$190KBased on post-halving scarcityLog Regression Model$150K–$180KRange of the logarithmic top channelCycle Fibonacci Extension (2021 → 2025)1.618 = $177KSymmetry with previous cyclesTotal Crypto M.Cap Target 20266–7TImplies BTC ≈ $170K–$190K

🎯 So mathematically and historically:

The target of $177K per BTC is still very realistic for the peak cycle of 2025–2026,
as long as there is no major macro crisis (e.g., global war, extreme stagflation, etc.).

Gold and Silver are still being pumped like this 🤡 to pay for your US debts like this in the market 💩

$RIVER short it dawg !

$RIVER Burj Khalifa incoming

$SOL target hit 300-400 poin

$S sonic { FTM } ready 1000%

$TIA 1000%

$ASTER 500%

$0G 1000%

$POL 1000%

$FRAX buy here 1000%

$JCT buy here 6000% Spot

$BTC Buy Area

$RECALL 5x

$WCT 200%

Pendulum up 50%

$EDEN send it ☀

Ah, but yesterday I wanted to enter, I forgot 🙄
I can still go up 5 times this

$POL 10x From Here