On October 17th this afternoon, several negative news came out during the European market hours. First, the Deputy Governor of the Bank of Japan stated that if the economic and price trends align with our predictions, interest rates will continue to rise. Then, a regional bank in the United States faced a crisis, raising concerns about a subprime mortgage crisis. Additionally, the trade friction between the US and China intensified, and Micron announced it would stop supplying chips to Chinese server centers. Furthermore, a micro-strategy company in Hong Kong went bankrupt after previously announcing a cryptocurrency micro-strategy plan, with its stock price having surged nearly tenfold. As a result, the company is now a shell. The negative news accelerated the release of short-selling volume, and the current trend remains a downward oscillation. BTC is particularly focused on the psychological level of 100,000; if it breaks down, there may be a chance to reach the range of 92,000 to 88,000. Sol reached the position target of 175 today, but the rebound couldn't surpass 185, leading to a reduction in positions. It will continue to oscillate downwards, with 170-166-160-150 being the key levels for spot buying. Proper position management plans should be in place to try to lower the average cost.
On October 13th last night, the U.S. stock market opened high and fluctuated upward, and the cryptocurrency market also broke through, mostly hitting the daily resistance level. At eight in the morning, the daily line faced pressure and retraced, so today we first look for a pullback. Today’s trading plan: I reduced my position in SOL this morning at 210 and plan to buy back around 201 and 196. For LINK, I am preparing to reduce my position at 19.7 and buy back at 19.1 and 18.6. For BTC, I currently see fluctuations in the range of 113000 to 115500, with spot trading continuing to maintain a pullback and entering the market in batches.
This year, gold has become the best-performing asset, indicating that risk-averse sentiment is still rising. There is a possibility that we may enter an economic recession next year, so make good plans; earning money is what truly belongs to you.
On October 13th, today Sol made a swing trade, reducing positions from 199 to 191, while BNB surged to 1375 due to the positive news from the Pre-TGE project Yieldbasis (YB) but fell back to 1355 after the TGE ended, closing a short at 1301 a bit early. The TGE hit two numbers, each earning 3 BNB for a total of 164.452 YB KEY. Trading is expected to open on October 15th, with the current price at 1.2u, consuming about 17u of BNB. Expected profit: 164.45x1.2-17 = 180u. The total amount of YB is 1 billion, with 95.24 million in circulation. Based on the current pre-market unit price of 1.2u, FDV is 1.2 billion, and the market value is 114 million. Recently, it has been relatively cautious; the U.S. government shutdown has not yet recovered, and the CPI data on the 24th will determine whether there will be an interest rate cut at the end of the month.
Thoughts: Many people say that the crypto market has been cleaned up and is about to surge, but a surge requires capital. Currently, besides mainstream and recent hot institutional coins, the rebound strength is a bit stronger, and the market has faced significant blows this time. Restoring confidence and capital inflow will take time, and the current market rebound has not broken the downtrend, so it is not yet time for a reversal. Personally, I lean towards another pullback to wash out some of the current spot positions. The U.S. government resuming work and cutting interest rates at the end of the month could lead to a rally breaking new highs. The plan is still to accumulate positions in batches during the pullbacks, taking opportunities to make some swing trades. Without background, one can only proceed step by step steadily. Controlling drawdowns, protecting profits, and preserving capital are essential to survive until the end. Let's encourage each other!
Very understanding, the recovery of mindset takes time and others cannot help, only you can adjust. I hope you regain your confidence soon and find your own trading path.
Crypto交易员朱一旦
--
"Trauma and Stress Response of Liquidation"
My biggest problem now is not the principal, but the lack of ambition. In the past, in this situation, even if I had to borrow, I would find a way to gather the principal and keep going!
But this time I completely have no such idea, and I don't really want to trade anymore. After some self-analysis, the main reasons are twofold: first, the last wave did indeed earn some money, so it feels like I went from being barefoot to wearing shoes, lacking the fighting spirit. Now, even if I don't trade, my income from other aspects is considerable, and I'm also afraid of losing. After all, it was hard to get back on land, and if I mess around again, it would be really laughable to go back underwater.
The Binance system is very strong, and the popularity of the BSC chain 'me'me' is not decreasing but rebounding strongly. Coupled with Binance compensating users who suffered losses from the USDe de-pegging, this benefits the BNB series; BNB is leading the rebound. On-chain activity benefits Cake, while the rise in rare earth prices and the tariff war are causing increases in chip and graphics card prices, benefiting the AI concept TAO. Funds are still following the hot trends, and recently, the relatively strong anonymous sector represented by Zec, Dash, and Zen is prominent. For short-term trading, it is important to focus on strong coins with favorable conditions, but be sure to set stop-losses, as this time the crash liquidated leverage but did not thoroughly wash out spot trading. Additionally, the U.S. government shutdown cycle may extend beyond the 24th, and the Sino-U.S. tariff dispute requires a process of negotiation, so everyone should pay attention to setting stop-losses and buckle up for safety. This way, if the rebound suddenly ends and a second bottom is tested, we can pick up low-cost chips. Manage your positions well and remember the 334 principle, and set take-profit and stop-loss levels. As long as the financial market is alive, there is still opportunity. Let's encourage each other!
On October 11 at 5 AM, Trump announced that he would impose a 100% tariff on China, triggering panic selling of USDE, causing the collapse of the mortgage coin, with USDe dropping by 40%, leading to a stampede, while altcoins plummeted by 90%. Even those who had only 1x leverage were liquidated, and within just 15 minutes, the rapid decline caused stop-loss orders to slip, originally strong losses of 20% but the actual liquidation loss could reach 30%. Many veterans in the coin circle were also liquidated. I hesitated with my spot holdings and did not clear my position, which also retreated by 10%. The contract was not liquidated because I had locked it in early, but I regretted missing the opportunity to short and buy the dip. I had already started to bear market on the 9th and 10th and reminded to sell BNB between 1300 and 1330. I shorted SOL at 228 on the 9th and at 224 to 226 on the 10th, but I did not firmly execute my plan and was influenced by friends around me. A friend longed at 228 on the 9th and stopped out at 219, and on the 10th, another friend longed at 218 and stopped out at 216. Fortunately, after the stop-loss, I did not have any open orders, so I escaped a disaster. Unfortunately, the disagreement led to missing this shorting opportunity. In conclusion, one must be firm in their plans and take action when it's time while properly managing stop-losses. At the same time, I still adhere to a principle: 80% should definitely be in mainstream coins in spot, and 20% can be in contracts, but every order must have strict stop-losses. Next, the market will undergo a correction phase. The implementation of a tariff policy by the US against China on the 14th and the US CPI on the 24th will be very important, as it will determine whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at the end of the month. Currently, it seems that altcoin leverage has been cleaned up quite well, but the leverage and spot of mainstream coins have not been thoroughly washed out, and another dip is expected. Spot buying at the bottom needs to be done in batches, focusing on mainstream coins. SOL at 165-151-135 are all very good positions, and BTC at 106200-101600-96000 are several key levels.
Now it's good, no more anxiety about making money, eating meat and not getting beat up every time 🤣 A few days ago, my sister said the big one is coming, I thought it was a big rise, but unexpectedly it was a big drop, the counterfeit has fallen to a position in the bear market that I can't even imagine, I just want to ask who managed to buy such cheap chips 🫠
Recently feeling very anxious, the on-chain dog fighting is hot, Binance life, customer service Xiao He, Binance car, He Yi relieving worries, emerging endlessly, every day there are hundreds and thousands of times, watching the mainstream exchanges decline, sometimes it's really confusing. They all say value investing and making friends with time, so what are these fluctuating golden dogs? They say only when the tide goes out do we know who’s swimming naked, what’s left when the tide goes out may just be stranded, big money may really come from the wind, which is real, speculation or investment?
Ethereum is currently still on a normal upward trend. I will notify everyone as soon as a sell signal appears. Follow me, and you won't get lost. If you want to know about any tokens, feel free to leave a message and ask me.
Currently, the large pancake is oscillating in the range of 114,000 to 115,900. Key resistance levels are 116,200 and 117,000. If it holds above 117,000, we may see strong resistance at 118,500. If it drops below 113,500, we wait around 110,000. Recently, these are the key points to watch. The trend formation combined with news events has led to accelerated volume. If the tariff extension had not been postponed to August 7, 114,000 would likely have already broken. Pay attention to changes in the market and do not indulge in fantasies about #美国加征关税 .
The current bearish structure makes it seem like going long against the trend, just as the bullish structure a while ago made it seem like going short, all relying on the master's personal feelings, with no basis. #ETH
There is no panic selling, no small-level multiple bottoms, if you want to buy, go ahead and buy~
📌 Do what you see, don't do what you think, and definitely don't do what others think.
I only placed a spot DOGE order around 0.205
🔸Rebate link https://www.generallink.top/join?ref=YCYCYC
Pick up the phone and call your friends and family, buy altcoins! @everyone
If you win, you'll return to the village for a feast and sit in the main seat; if you lose, grab a bucket and run away to hide in the deep mountains and forests!
One person trading coins, the whole village gets rich!
It seems I won't be able to have pig trotter rice today; I might only have a chance if I score 240 points tomorrow 🤔 How many points do you all trade every day?
Today I received two airdrops, one of 60U and another of 120U, totaling 180U today and 60U from yesterday, bringing the total to 240U with a current profit of 170U. So far, it looks okay 🤔
I received 2 more airdrops today, and I have received 200 USDT yesterday and today.
Vicky左的交易日记
--
Started brushing on May 29, received 2 airdrops worth a total of 60U on June 9, achieved 240 points in 12 days, at this pace I can receive around 3 airdrops in 15 days, expected wear and tear is 60U, which means I've recouped yesterday's airdrop, next it depends on how many more I can receive, I heard there's a profit of 500U in a month, let's see if I can reach the average line, purely manual brushing for 3 minutes a day, 15 points.
Started brushing on May 29, received 2 airdrops worth a total of 60U on June 9, achieved 240 points in 12 days, at this pace I can receive around 3 airdrops in 15 days, expected wear and tear is 60U, which means I've recouped yesterday's airdrop, next it depends on how many more I can receive, I heard there's a profit of 500U in a month, let's see if I can reach the average line, purely manual brushing for 3 minutes a day, 15 points.