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Why is this area around 96,500 a 'bull trap'?
Based on my tracking data from recent days, this new high at 96,500 is full of 'traps':
U price divergence (strongest bearish reason):
As we discussed a few days ago, U's price has been declining (negative premium).
U price is still between 6.85 and 6.9 currently.
Logical contradiction: If this were a real bull market breakout, the price at 96,500 should be accompanied by massive off-chain fund inflows buying U, leading to a positive premium.
Reality: The price hits a new high, but U's price is falling. This indicates that it's purely in-house capital rotating to push up the price, aiming to cover large-scale exits.
Below are multi-dimensional data validations:
1. Whale movements:
Previously, I monitored a large influx of 'Satoshi-era' old coins and whale funds into exchanges. They didn't sell out at 90,000–93,000, and now they're pushing the price up to 96,500 to get a better selling price.
2. Volume validation:
At this point, you need to check the volume of this surge to 96,500. If it's a volume contraction with a new high, that confirms bearish divergence (Price High, RSI Lower, Volume Lower)—a death sentence. (Figure 1)
3. Liquidation map and market cap ratio:
Upward movement is no longer profitable. Instead, the lower levels are full of juicy opportunities. (Figure 2)
If this were a bull market, BTC's market cap should exceed that of stablecoins.
Current data shows that a lot of money remains idle and hasn't bought any assets. (Figure 3)
4. RSI: Most coins are in overbought territory. Exercise caution when chasing gains. (Figure 4)
$BTC #V镰行情分析 @币安广场
The big players are still doing well, knowing it's almost the Lunar New Year, and still handing out money to everyone.
Based on my tracking data from recent days, this new high at 96,500 is full of 'traps':
U price divergence (strongest bearish reason):
As we discussed a few days ago, U's price has been declining (negative premium).
U price is still between 6.85 and 6.9 currently.
Logical contradiction: If this were a real bull market breakout, the price at 96,500 should be accompanied by massive off-chain fund inflows buying U, leading to a positive premium.
Reality: The price hits a new high, but U's price is falling. This indicates that it's purely in-house capital rotating to push up the price, aiming to cover large-scale exits.
Below are multi-dimensional data validations:
1. Whale movements:
Previously, I monitored a large influx of 'Satoshi-era' old coins and whale funds into exchanges. They didn't sell out at 90,000–93,000, and now they're pushing the price up to 96,500 to get a better selling price.
2. Volume validation:
At this point, you need to check the volume of this surge to 96,500. If it's a volume contraction with a new high, that confirms bearish divergence (Price High, RSI Lower, Volume Lower)—a death sentence. (Figure 1)
3. Liquidation map and market cap ratio:
Upward movement is no longer profitable. Instead, the lower levels are full of juicy opportunities. (Figure 2)
If this were a bull market, BTC's market cap should exceed that of stablecoins.
Current data shows that a lot of money remains idle and hasn't bought any assets. (Figure 3)
4. RSI: Most coins are in overbought territory. Exercise caution when chasing gains. (Figure 4)
$BTC #V镰行情分析 @币安广场
The big players are still doing well, knowing it's almost the Lunar New Year, and still handing out money to everyone.
宏观数据目前不支持V反，大家注意风险。
【V镰 Market Analysis Issue 160】The 'Midfield Battle' Script $BTC 82500 Defense: Is it a 'Double Bottom' or 'Aerial Refueling'?
First, let’s review the analysis of December 5th, issue 156 (Figure 1)
PREDICTION vs REALITY
The path we predicted as the 'green dashed line' is being validated by the market one by one. Currently following the yellow line script.
From confirming the top at 95500 to accurately revisiting the trend support at 82500 at this moment.
This journey is not accidental, it is the result of bold assumptions and careful verification.
The current market has entered the critical end of the 'converging triangle':
1️⃣ Position: 82500 is the previous accumulation zone, there will be a rebound here, but that is technical, not trend-based.
2️⃣ Macro: ETF continues to flow out + USDT negative premium, indicating that off-market funds have not entered. Without incremental changes, how can there be a reversal?
PREDICTION vs REALITY
The path we predicted as the 'green dashed line' is being validated by the market one by one. Currently following the yellow line script.
From confirming the top at 95500 to accurately revisiting the trend support at 82500 at this moment.
This journey is not accidental, it is the result of bold assumptions and careful verification.
The current market has entered the critical end of the 'converging triangle':
1️⃣ Position: 82500 is the previous accumulation zone, there will be a rebound here, but that is technical, not trend-based.
2️⃣ Macro: ETF continues to flow out + USDT negative premium, indicating that off-market funds have not entered. Without incremental changes, how can there be a reversal?
【V镰 Market Analysis Issue 160】The 'Midfield Battle' Script $BTC 82500 Defense: Is it a 'Double Bottom' or 'Aerial Refueling'?
First, let’s review the analysis of December 5th, issue 156 (Figure 1)
PREDICTION vs REALITY
The path we predicted as the 'green dashed line' is being validated by the market one by one. Currently following the yellow line script.
From confirming the top at 95500 to accurately revisiting the trend support at 82500 at this moment.
This journey is not accidental, it is the result of bold assumptions and careful verification.
The current market has entered the critical end of the 'converging triangle':
1️⃣ Position: 82500 is the previous accumulation zone, there will be a rebound here, but that is technical, not trend-based.
2️⃣ Macro: ETF continues to flow out + USDT negative premium, indicating that off-market funds have not entered. Without incremental changes, how can there be a reversal?
PREDICTION vs REALITY
The path we predicted as the 'green dashed line' is being validated by the market one by one. Currently following the yellow line script.
From confirming the top at 95500 to accurately revisiting the trend support at 82500 at this moment.
This journey is not accidental, it is the result of bold assumptions and careful verification.
The current market has entered the critical end of the 'converging triangle':
1️⃣ Position: 82500 is the previous accumulation zone, there will be a rebound here, but that is technical, not trend-based.
2️⃣ Macro: ETF continues to flow out + USDT negative premium, indicating that off-market funds have not entered. Without incremental changes, how can there be a reversal?
🎙️ 看行情~
End
03 h 59 m 45 s
8.8k
0
Typical head and shoulders top pattern, the broader market has also reached a turning point.
See him off~~
See him off~~
🎙️ 行情结构解析~2026比特币价格预测
End
01 h 06 m 08 s
182
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Venezuela's 'Black Swan' Has Landed: A New Bitcoin Narrative Amid Geopolitical Turmoil
Author: V Lian
The first black swan of 2026 arrived more violently than expected. On January 3, the U.S. military's 'Operation Absolute Resolve' directly led to the fall of Maduro's regime, triggering a rapid geopolitical shockwave across financial markets. For crypto traders, the focus is not just on oil, but on the dual nature of cryptocurrencies revealed under extreme conditions.
First, the return of 'safe-haven' attributes. As artillery fire echoed through Caracas, Bitcoin surged past $94,000, reaffirming its role as a 'non-sovereign asset' amid this geopolitical turbulence. With the local currency (Bolívar) collapsing during regime change, USDT and Bitcoin became the only lifeline for local citizens. This is not merely a store of value, but a proven necessity confirmed by on-chain data.
Second, the market's greatest anxiety centers on the rumored '600,000 BTC shadow reserve.' The market widely speculates that the Maduro government has long exchanged gold for BTC, amassing up to 600,000 bitcoins. While on-chain evidence remains unconfirmed, the fear of 'unknown sell pressure' (FUD) has become a looming threat over long positions. As traders, we must remain vigilant: if the new regime or the U.S. takes control and liquidates this reserve, it could trigger short-term liquidity shock.
Trading Advice: The current market is firmly driven by news. Avoid blindly chasing the safe-haven rally; instead, closely monitor unusual large-scale on-chain transfers—especially from dormant whale wallets long inactive. The Venezuela event is essentially a stress test for Bitcoin.
For future outlook, maintain the original view: seek certainty amid volatility. If panic selling emerges, it may be the perfect entry point for 'be fearful when others are greedy.'
Conclusion: Chaos is a ladder. In this period of geopolitical reshuffling, cryptocurrencies are no longer bystanders—they are active participants.
#委内瑞拉 $btc
Author: V Lian
The first black swan of 2026 arrived more violently than expected. On January 3, the U.S. military's 'Operation Absolute Resolve' directly led to the fall of Maduro's regime, triggering a rapid geopolitical shockwave across financial markets. For crypto traders, the focus is not just on oil, but on the dual nature of cryptocurrencies revealed under extreme conditions.
First, the return of 'safe-haven' attributes. As artillery fire echoed through Caracas, Bitcoin surged past $94,000, reaffirming its role as a 'non-sovereign asset' amid this geopolitical turbulence. With the local currency (Bolívar) collapsing during regime change, USDT and Bitcoin became the only lifeline for local citizens. This is not merely a store of value, but a proven necessity confirmed by on-chain data.
Second, the market's greatest anxiety centers on the rumored '600,000 BTC shadow reserve.' The market widely speculates that the Maduro government has long exchanged gold for BTC, amassing up to 600,000 bitcoins. While on-chain evidence remains unconfirmed, the fear of 'unknown sell pressure' (FUD) has become a looming threat over long positions. As traders, we must remain vigilant: if the new regime or the U.S. takes control and liquidates this reserve, it could trigger short-term liquidity shock.
Trading Advice: The current market is firmly driven by news. Avoid blindly chasing the safe-haven rally; instead, closely monitor unusual large-scale on-chain transfers—especially from dormant whale wallets long inactive. The Venezuela event is essentially a stress test for Bitcoin.
For future outlook, maintain the original view: seek certainty amid volatility. If panic selling emerges, it may be the perfect entry point for 'be fearful when others are greedy.'
Conclusion: Chaos is a ladder. In this period of geopolitical reshuffling, cryptocurrencies are no longer bystanders—they are active participants.
#委内瑞拉 $btc
【Why am I still bearish on BTC?】
First, the more stablecoins are issued,
the more funds are being transferred on-chain.
They are quietly taking on the massive amount of U.S. Treasury bonds issued by the Federal Reserve.
The so-called quantitative easing actually first benefits the large holders.
Although it seems impressive,
these funds are on-chain and off-market, and have not entered circulation!
At this moment, these funds have only two choices.
1. Buy BTC
2. Buy on-chain U.S. Treasury bonds.
Therefore, policy is the invisible hand of macroeconomic regulation.
The Genius Act will force stablecoins to comply.
the more funds are being transferred on-chain.
They are quietly taking on the massive amount of U.S. Treasury bonds issued by the Federal Reserve.
The so-called quantitative easing actually first benefits the large holders.
Although it seems impressive,
these funds are on-chain and off-market, and have not entered circulation!
At this moment, these funds have only two choices.
1. Buy BTC
2. Buy on-chain U.S. Treasury bonds.
Therefore, policy is the invisible hand of macroeconomic regulation.
The Genius Act will force stablecoins to comply.
The Development Status of Global Stablecoins and Their Impact on BTC Market Capitalization and Price
Hello everyone, I'm V-Scythe. Your go-to analyst for bookmakers.
I completely understand everyone's confusion about the market trend right now. Why did the market fall instead of rise after QE?
For traders, many hot topics are mostly "noise," while the pooling and flow of funds are the important indicators for analyzing and predicting market trends.
Recently, I've noticed that major platform companies are constantly launching their own stablecoins, which has caught my attention.
The stablecoin sector has recently undergone dramatic changes, with the core logic shifting from "wild growth" to "compliant supply." The latest GENIUS Act in the United States is reshaping issuers' strategies.
I completely understand everyone's confusion about the market trend right now. Why did the market fall instead of rise after QE?
For traders, many hot topics are mostly "noise," while the pooling and flow of funds are the important indicators for analyzing and predicting market trends.
Recently, I've noticed that major platform companies are constantly launching their own stablecoins, which has caught my attention.
The stablecoin sector has recently undergone dramatic changes, with the core logic shifting from "wild growth" to "compliant supply." The latest GENIUS Act in the United States is reshaping issuers' strategies.
#V Bitcoin Market Analysis 【Issue 157】
Warning! This may not be a bottom formation, but rather a "dead pause"
The analysis chart for issue 157 is out (see attached image).
Observant friends should have noticed that my viewpoint has hardly changed.
Why?
Because when the price movement is entirely within the script (95,500 - 84,400), "unchanged" is the greatest respect for the trend.
🔎
However, today a dangerous signal must be revealed:
Please look at the daily indicator in the chart: the MACD momentum is increasing, but the price is still unable to rise.
This is a textbook-level "volume-price divergence", and a typical "downward continuation" pattern.
The market is creating a false impression of "not being able to drop further", luring bulls to step in, but in fact, it is to build momentum for the next deep drop (71000).
📉
Operational advice: Don't be deceived by short-term rebounds.
Best attack zone: 93,500 - 94,500 (If you see the price touch here, that is a gift from the main force to the bears). DYOR
Lower space: First target 88,000, ultimate target directly aiming at 71,000.
Strategy: Continue holding the short grid.
Next, the annual line will soon be collected. I will take a break next week,
At the end of the year, I will write a macro analysis on the trend of 2026.
$BTC #V Bitcoin #downward continuation #quantitative analysis
Warning! This may not be a bottom formation, but rather a "dead pause"
The analysis chart for issue 157 is out (see attached image).
Observant friends should have noticed that my viewpoint has hardly changed.
Why?
Because when the price movement is entirely within the script (95,500 - 84,400), "unchanged" is the greatest respect for the trend.
🔎
However, today a dangerous signal must be revealed:
Please look at the daily indicator in the chart: the MACD momentum is increasing, but the price is still unable to rise.
This is a textbook-level "volume-price divergence", and a typical "downward continuation" pattern.
The market is creating a false impression of "not being able to drop further", luring bulls to step in, but in fact, it is to build momentum for the next deep drop (71000).
📉
Operational advice: Don't be deceived by short-term rebounds.
Best attack zone: 93,500 - 94,500 (If you see the price touch here, that is a gift from the main force to the bears). DYOR
Lower space: First target 88,000, ultimate target directly aiming at 71,000.
Strategy: Continue holding the short grid.
Next, the annual line will soon be collected. I will take a break next week,
At the end of the year, I will write a macro analysis on the trend of 2026.
$BTC #V Bitcoin #downward continuation #quantitative analysis
📢 【V镰156期】Exclusive Warning: In the next 2 months, you are facing the 'Trend Trader Killer'!\n🔥 Accuracy has been verified again! In the previous issue (155th issue), we accurately predicted the bullish rebound target and that the market would enter a wide range of fluctuations, and the current trend completely aligns with our expectations. But the real danger is just beginning!\nThis video will reveal to you: why in the next 60 days, most trend traders will face huge risks of asset drawdown, and how we can use professional strategies to efficiently profit during fluctuations!
V镰周线研报：Has BTC Rebounded to Its Target? Simulation of the Grand Script Before February 2026
Current Price: 91,300.
Many newcomers shout 'bull market' at rebounds and 'crash' at pullbacks. But in my system, this is just standard **'technical convergence'**.
In the 156th analysis, I focused on weekly level signals:
🔍 Market Facts: Price was blocked after hitting resistance near 95,500, and the bearish trend structure has not been broken.
📉 Pattern Projection: The market is waiting for the final choice of MACD weekly momentum. It is expected that in the next 2 months, BTC will experience wide fluctuations in the liquidity area (95,500 - 84,400).
Advice for Traders:
At this stage, 'directional sense' is the least important; 'positional sense' is the core.
Short Selling Range: 93,500 - 94,800 (backed by the trend line).
Long Buying Range: 82,500 - 82,800 (strong support).
If you are not good at timing: Please directly start a neutral grid and let the machine help you harvest volatility.
Trading is not about predicting the future but preparing for all possibilities.
A high-definition illustration is attached; it is recommended to save for study 👇
#BTC #V镰第156期 #交易系统 #量化策略 @williamyuan
Current Price: 91,300.
Many newcomers shout 'bull market' at rebounds and 'crash' at pullbacks. But in my system, this is just standard **'technical convergence'**.
In the 156th analysis, I focused on weekly level signals:
🔍 Market Facts: Price was blocked after hitting resistance near 95,500, and the bearish trend structure has not been broken.
📉 Pattern Projection: The market is waiting for the final choice of MACD weekly momentum. It is expected that in the next 2 months, BTC will experience wide fluctuations in the liquidity area (95,500 - 84,400).
Advice for Traders:
At this stage, 'directional sense' is the least important; 'positional sense' is the core.
Short Selling Range: 93,500 - 94,800 (backed by the trend line).
Long Buying Range: 82,500 - 82,800 (strong support).
If you are not good at timing: Please directly start a neutral grid and let the machine help you harvest volatility.
Trading is not about predicting the future but preparing for all possibilities.
A high-definition illustration is attached; it is recommended to save for study 👇
#BTC #V镰第156期 #交易系统 #量化策略 @williamyuan
Bullish rebound, market volatility, strategy response. December 1 Bitcoin past strategy review + policy interpretation + market trend analysis + quantitative strategy #V Lian market analysis issue 155 #crypto
【V Blade Market Analysis Issue 155】
$BTC Market Forecast: The script has been perfectly validated, what’s the next step?
Last week’s hints of "82,500 strong support rebound" and "grid strategy" were all hit ✅.
Don’t rush to Fomo; trading is not about guessing sizes, it’s about key level competition.
📊 Market Tone:
The rebound has arrived as expected (MACD golden cross adjustment), but the bearish trend structure hasn’t broken!
In the next 1-2 months, it is highly likely to experience wide fluctuations in the liquidity zone (see diagram).
🗝 Life and Death Boundary:
Bullish Lifeline: 95,500. Only a strong breakthrough and stabilization at this level can be considered the end of the bearish trend. Before that, everything is seen as a rebound.
Short-term support: 91,150 (rebound reached) / 88,500 (breakdown acceleration).
💡 Operation Suggestion:
Since it is a fluctuation, don’t go all in on bullish or bearish positions.
The grid strategy remains the current version answer (range: 83,300 - 94,400).
👉 Want to see ETH and altcoin forecasts? Join the V Blade community, and refuse to trade based on feelings.
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #V Blade Diary @williamyuan
$BTC Market Forecast: The script has been perfectly validated, what’s the next step?
Last week’s hints of "82,500 strong support rebound" and "grid strategy" were all hit ✅.
Don’t rush to Fomo; trading is not about guessing sizes, it’s about key level competition.
📊 Market Tone:
The rebound has arrived as expected (MACD golden cross adjustment), but the bearish trend structure hasn’t broken!
In the next 1-2 months, it is highly likely to experience wide fluctuations in the liquidity zone (see diagram).
🗝 Life and Death Boundary:
Bullish Lifeline: 95,500. Only a strong breakthrough and stabilization at this level can be considered the end of the bearish trend. Before that, everything is seen as a rebound.
Short-term support: 91,150 (rebound reached) / 88,500 (breakdown acceleration).
💡 Operation Suggestion:
Since it is a fluctuation, don’t go all in on bullish or bearish positions.
The grid strategy remains the current version answer (range: 83,300 - 94,400).
👉 Want to see ETH and altcoin forecasts? Join the V Blade community, and refuse to trade based on feelings.
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #V Blade Diary @williamyuan
Air Force wins completely! 💥 Bulls have suffered a brutal washout, reaching strong support, and may welcome a rebound. November 23 Bitcoin past strategy review + market trend analysis + macro trend analysis #V镰行情分析
AI Technical Analysis Accurate Evaluation Report on V-Lian
#V Market Analysis 154th Issue
$BTC Daily Technical Analysis 25.11.21
Current Price 82800 @WilliamYuan
Market Analysis:
After the head and shoulders pattern confirmed the trend change,
It has since broken the important support level of 99500.
Currently, the bearish trend continues, waiting for support and rebound.
Technical Analysis:
Broken the downward channel, three phases of decline have been completed.
Currently in an accelerated breakdown phase,
The market has not yet stabilized, and no technical patterns have emerged.
A three-drive pattern may appear in the future.
Past Predictions:
Expanded trumpet pattern (already realized)
Extreme market conditions occurred (already realized)
For details, see the YouTube interpretation of the expanded trumpet
https://youtube.com/watch?v=vEcxA0WwFN0
All TPs from last week have been realized.
Future Predictions:
Currently approaching the important support level of 82000,
A strong rebound may occur, need to observe trading volume.
Technical Indicators:
All indicators show oversold conditions.
A certain amount of time is needed for indicator recovery.
Key Levels:
Trend resistance level: 88500 strong resistance level
Daily support level: 82000 price will rebound after reaching this level.
Welcome to follow, share, and click grok for post analysis.
For more detailed market opinions, join the community for discussions.
#反弹在即
#V Trading Recommendations
Current Trend: Bearish Trend (Oversold Phase)
Bullish Strategy:
Speculate on rebound.
Best Entry Point:
82500 after stabilization.
Profit Target:
TP1: 88500
TP2: 91500 (high risk)
During the rebound, do not disrupt the pattern.
Bearish Strategy: Short at resistance level.
Entry Timing: Early December.
ENT: 95500-98500
TP1: 88500
TP2: 82500
Pattern: 71000.
Summary:
The current price has encountered support; the market needs to recover.
The main trend for the next week will be oscillation; support conditions need to be observed.
If the low point does not break, a small position can be taken to try a long.
Advice:
Bearish wait for the best entry timing.
Grid Strategy:
Price Range: 82500-88500.
$BTC Daily Technical Analysis 25.11.21
Current Price 82800 @WilliamYuan
Market Analysis:
After the head and shoulders pattern confirmed the trend change,
It has since broken the important support level of 99500.
Currently, the bearish trend continues, waiting for support and rebound.
Technical Analysis:
Broken the downward channel, three phases of decline have been completed.
Currently in an accelerated breakdown phase,
The market has not yet stabilized, and no technical patterns have emerged.
A three-drive pattern may appear in the future.
Past Predictions:
Expanded trumpet pattern (already realized)
Extreme market conditions occurred (already realized)
For details, see the YouTube interpretation of the expanded trumpet
https://youtube.com/watch?v=vEcxA0WwFN0
All TPs from last week have been realized.
Future Predictions:
Currently approaching the important support level of 82000,
A strong rebound may occur, need to observe trading volume.
Technical Indicators:
All indicators show oversold conditions.
A certain amount of time is needed for indicator recovery.
Key Levels:
Trend resistance level: 88500 strong resistance level
Daily support level: 82000 price will rebound after reaching this level.
Welcome to follow, share, and click grok for post analysis.
For more detailed market opinions, join the community for discussions.
#反弹在即
#V Trading Recommendations
Current Trend: Bearish Trend (Oversold Phase)
Bullish Strategy:
Speculate on rebound.
Best Entry Point:
82500 after stabilization.
Profit Target:
TP1: 88500
TP2: 91500 (high risk)
During the rebound, do not disrupt the pattern.
Bearish Strategy: Short at resistance level.
Entry Timing: Early December.
ENT: 95500-98500
TP1: 88500
TP2: 82500
Pattern: 71000.
Summary:
The current price has encountered support; the market needs to recover.
The main trend for the next week will be oscillation; support conditions need to be observed.
If the low point does not break, a small position can be taken to try a long.
Advice:
Bearish wait for the best entry timing.
Grid Strategy:
Price Range: 82500-88500.
GM, after experiencing a brutal massacre of the bulls last week.
This week's market will welcome repair and warming.~~
Friendly reminder: this week looks for a rebound, but it's just a rebound!
The trend has not changed.
$btc current price 94250
The current sentiment indicator is quite fearful.
And the price here has reached close to April's price,
close to the price when this year's bull market started.
Bulls can take a breather for now,
short-term players can start making moves.
A very good opportunity for trading in a volatile market.
The stop-loss space from the previous low is small,
be bold. Wishing everyone prosperity.
Follow, like, and share my market analysis.
This week's market will welcome repair and warming.~~
Friendly reminder: this week looks for a rebound, but it's just a rebound!
The trend has not changed.
$btc current price 94250
The current sentiment indicator is quite fearful.
And the price here has reached close to April's price,
close to the price when this year's bull market started.
Bulls can take a breather for now,
short-term players can start making moves.
A very good opportunity for trading in a volatile market.
The stop-loss space from the previous low is small,
be bold. Wishing everyone prosperity.
Follow, like, and share my market analysis.
#V Futures Market Analysis Issue 153,
Review of Past Strategies + Replays and Interpretations + Technical Indicator Analysis (A Must-Read for Beginners)
November 14 Market Trend Analysis
$BTC Bloodbath for Bulls, 9W5 achieved, next target 8.8W.
Currently in a dense transaction zone, mostly oscillating, bull rebound, the bears can observe william的群
Review of Past Strategies + Replays and Interpretations + Technical Indicator Analysis (A Must-Read for Beginners)
November 14 Market Trend Analysis
$BTC Bloodbath for Bulls, 9W5 achieved, next target 8.8W.
Currently in a dense transaction zone, mostly oscillating, bull rebound, the bears can observe william的群
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