侠谷铸剑师
资深多资产交易者，长期观察加密市场。专注宏观周期与市场情绪研究，以数据推演与风险管理为核心。见过牛熊更替，也经历过爆仓清零——仍相信理性与逻辑能穿越一切波动。在波动中磨剑，用交易理解世界。
High-Frequency Trader
4.7 Years
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The狂欢 of IP projects brings vastly different mindsets:
Plazas are filled with stories, and the profit displays from IP are astonishing: some have grown from $60,000 to $1.2 million, while others still hold $8 million in unrealized gains without taking profits.
But a most realistic question arises: where did these massive profits, already realized or soon to be realized, actually come from?
This恰恰 reveals the two sides of profit and loss in the crypto market: realized profits represent actual wealth transfers, while huge unrealized gains remain merely paper numbers based on market consensus.
Let's discuss several questions:
1. In this game, who holds the advantage—early IP investors, liquidity providers, or swing traders?
2. How does a project's tokenomics model (e.g., release, unlocking schedules) affect the redistribution of profits and losses?
3. As an observer, how can one avoid having emotions swayed by profit displays, thus becoming fuel for others' gains?
Are you the latecomer who got caught as a sucker, the unlucky one blown out by leverage, or the early holder who couldn't hold on and exited too soon?
#IP #交易分析 $IP
Plazas are filled with stories, and the profit displays from IP are astonishing: some have grown from $60,000 to $1.2 million, while others still hold $8 million in unrealized gains without taking profits.
But a most realistic question arises: where did these massive profits, already realized or soon to be realized, actually come from?
This恰恰 reveals the two sides of profit and loss in the crypto market: realized profits represent actual wealth transfers, while huge unrealized gains remain merely paper numbers based on market consensus.
Let's discuss several questions:
1. In this game, who holds the advantage—early IP investors, liquidity providers, or swing traders?
2. How does a project's tokenomics model (e.g., release, unlocking schedules) affect the redistribution of profits and losses?
3. As an observer, how can one avoid having emotions swayed by profit displays, thus becoming fuel for others' gains?
Are you the latecomer who got caught as a sucker, the unlucky one blown out by leverage, or the early holder who couldn't hold on and exited too soon?
#IP #交易分析 $IP
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$LIGHT I seem to be like a couple with it, love and hate intertwined, never leaving each other. Every rise and fall has a spiritual connection.
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Hot spots can be deceptive, but signals cannot.
Today, Giggle, $MMT, and $ETH hit three times in a row.
It's not luck, but the logic coming to fruition.
The market is always testing patience,
and I am just waiting for my own signal. #GiggleAcademy #MMT #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
Today, Giggle, $MMT, and $ETH hit three times in a row.
It's not luck, but the logic coming to fruition.
The market is always testing patience,
and I am just waiting for my own signal. #GiggleAcademy #MMT #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
See original
$ETH broke below 3700 USDT, with a 24-hour decline of 5.3%.\nShort sellers are seizing the opportunity to increase positions, and the funding rate has turned negative.\n\nFrom the market perspective:\n\t•\tSupport zone below: 3600–3650 (if broken, it will accelerate towards 3500)\n\t•\tResistance zone above: 3780–3820 (short-term rebound should focus on reducing positions in this area)\n\t•\tThe funding situation is bearish, and there is still the possibility of continued decline in the short term.\n\nThe Swordsmith of Xiagu said a few points:\n① Don't be greedy with short positions; control your position to prevent a night rebound.\n② If it breaks 3600, you can lightly follow up; otherwise, maintain a wait-and-see attitude.\n③ The market does not lose in direction, but loses in rhythm. #加密市场回调 #币安合约实盘 #巨鲸动向 #策略
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Brother Majie liquidates 470,000 USD: Does smart money also fear liquidity cramping?
In the past hour, the total liquidation across the network reached 157 million USD.
Among them, long positions liquidated 155 million, accounting for 98%.
ETH briefly dropped below 4000 USD, $HYPE and was directly liquidated with $PUMP.
Brother Majie lost 470,000 USD on his ETH long position.
Once again reminding everyone: this is not the peak of a bull market, but rather a choking point of liquidity.
On the surface, it’s a ‘liquidation’, but in essence, it’s a tightening of system liquidity.
Powell pauses tapering, U.S. Treasury yields decline, but funds are not flowing into crypto.
Instead, short-term arbitrage funds have been withdrawn.
ETH leverage ratio hits a recent high, with a relatively high funding rate.
Among them, long positions liquidated 155 million, accounting for 98%.
ETH briefly dropped below 4000 USD, $HYPE and was directly liquidated with $PUMP.
Brother Majie lost 470,000 USD on his ETH long position.
Once again reminding everyone: this is not the peak of a bull market, but rather a choking point of liquidity.
On the surface, it’s a ‘liquidation’, but in essence, it’s a tightening of system liquidity.
Powell pauses tapering, U.S. Treasury yields decline, but funds are not flowing into crypto.
Instead, short-term arbitrage funds have been withdrawn.
ETH leverage ratio hits a recent high, with a relatively high funding rate.
See original
Nvidia 5 Trillion: GPU Becomes Currency, AI Interest Rates Priced in Computing Power
Last night's Washington was the Wall Street of AI, and Nvidia's market value officially surpassed 5 trillion dollars. This is the first time in human history that 'computing power' has been priced by the capital market as currency.
Jensen Huang said on stage last night with a smile: “We are dreaming.”
But those who understand know that he is not making chips, but printing money. It is also the Wall Street of the future.
Once again, Jensen Huang stood in the center of the stage wearing that black leather jacket.
He did not talk about dreams, nor did he talk about feelings,
He said - “The infrastructure of AI will reshape the human economic order.”
Jensen Huang said on stage last night with a smile: “We are dreaming.”
But those who understand know that he is not making chips, but printing money. It is also the Wall Street of the future.
Once again, Jensen Huang stood in the center of the stage wearing that black leather jacket.
He did not talk about dreams, nor did he talk about feelings,
He said - “The infrastructure of AI will reshape the human economic order.”
See original
x402 is on fire, has AI started learning how to spend money?
In the past week, the entire crypto community has been discussing one word - x402.
Coinbase just launched the protocol a few days ago, and Binance immediately opened a special area.
Popularity skyrocketed, search volume doubled, developers are frantically releasing tutorials.
But the problem arises: this is not an ordinary 'payment protocol'; it is actually rewriting the economic language of AI.
x402 is not a payment tool, but the 'wallet language' of AI.
The traditional payment logic is: humans place orders, machines execute.
What x402 aims to do is: machines place orders, machines execute.
It allows AI agents to directly settle tasks, buy computing power, and rent APIs.
Coinbase just launched the protocol a few days ago, and Binance immediately opened a special area.
Popularity skyrocketed, search volume doubled, developers are frantically releasing tutorials.
But the problem arises: this is not an ordinary 'payment protocol'; it is actually rewriting the economic language of AI.
x402 is not a payment tool, but the 'wallet language' of AI.
The traditional payment logic is: humans place orders, machines execute.
What x402 aims to do is: machines place orders, machines execute.
It allows AI agents to directly settle tasks, buy computing power, and rent APIs.
See original
AI Trading Storm: Did DeepSeek Win Big, While Qwen Was Backstabbed?
Last night's market was more exciting than AI's backtesting.
Qwen3 Max was still advancing vigorously yesterday, but today it has plummeted from a high position; meanwhile, the usually low-profile DeepSeek V3.1's account net value suddenly soared to 21,456 USD, surpassing all models in the AI trading leaderboard, becoming the most dazzling 'machine' in the crypto circle.
Many people think this is just a difference in model performance, but behind this AI showdown lies the 'ultimate proposition' of crypto trading: do human emotions really lose to the coldness of machines?
AI trading is no longer a joke, but a battlefield.
In the past, everyone laughed at AI trading as just a gimmick.
Qwen3 Max was still advancing vigorously yesterday, but today it has plummeted from a high position; meanwhile, the usually low-profile DeepSeek V3.1's account net value suddenly soared to 21,456 USD, surpassing all models in the AI trading leaderboard, becoming the most dazzling 'machine' in the crypto circle.
Many people think this is just a difference in model performance, but behind this AI showdown lies the 'ultimate proposition' of crypto trading: do human emotions really lose to the coldness of machines?
AI trading is no longer a joke, but a battlefield.
In the past, everyone laughed at AI trading as just a gimmick.
See original
Star player stops playing and starts hoarding BTC? Beckham, you're so trendy!
Beckham, the man who once conquered the world with free kicks,
Now it is once again trending with 'Bitcoin'.
The health technology company he invested in is Prenetics (PRE),
which announced that it will buy one Bitcoin every day, aiming to hold a reserve of $1 billion in BTC within five years.
As soon as the news broke, the crypto world exploded.
You did not read that wrong — this is a health-selling company, not an exchange.
the CEO actually publicly stated: “BTC is our company's long-term reserve asset.”
And behind this company, there is also Beckham's investment.
He is not impulsive, but has understood the trend.
Now it is once again trending with 'Bitcoin'.
The health technology company he invested in is Prenetics (PRE),
which announced that it will buy one Bitcoin every day, aiming to hold a reserve of $1 billion in BTC within five years.
As soon as the news broke, the crypto world exploded.
You did not read that wrong — this is a health-selling company, not an exchange.
the CEO actually publicly stated: “BTC is our company's long-term reserve asset.”
And behind this company, there is also Beckham's investment.
He is not impulsive, but has understood the trend.
See original
Behind the MEXC Layoff Wave: Centralization is exiting, while the on-chain is taking over?
This week, the coldest wind in the crypto industry is not the market, but personnel changes.
According to multiple confirmations, MEXC (Matcha) is undergoing a new round of layoffs.
In places where many traders have not yet noticed, the golden cycle of centralized exchanges is coming to an end.
The power of CEX is ebbing
MEXC is not an isolated case.
Since the end of 2024, the wave of layoffs in second-tier CEXs has been spreading—Bitget, Gate, and Bybit are all reducing their operations, market, and BD teams.
Why?
Because of the three mountains of traffic, policy, and cost,
Is pushing centralized platforms to the edge of 'profit anxiety':
According to multiple confirmations, MEXC (Matcha) is undergoing a new round of layoffs.
In places where many traders have not yet noticed, the golden cycle of centralized exchanges is coming to an end.
The power of CEX is ebbing
MEXC is not an isolated case.
Since the end of 2024, the wave of layoffs in second-tier CEXs has been spreading—Bitget, Gate, and Bybit are all reducing their operations, market, and BD teams.
Why?
Because of the three mountains of traffic, policy, and cost,
Is pushing centralized platforms to the edge of 'profit anxiety':
See original
Shorts were liquidated for 104 million, ETH surged to 4100 at night: Is the bull market revived, or is it a false short squeeze?
In the past four hours, the entire network liquidated 104 million dollars.
The short positions lost 88 million, while the long positions only had 15 million.
That's right — tonight's market is not a reversal, but a 'short squeeze'.
ETH was pushed up to 4100 dollars by shorts, with a rise of 3.7%.
Do you think confidence has returned? No, this is just the system breathing.
The market is like a spring pulled to its limit,
Tonight is just the echo of a rebound.
Why is it being pushed so hard at night?
1. Positions are too crowded.
The long-short leverage ratio is unbalanced, with too many shorts. Once liquidation is triggered, it leads to a chain reaction.
2. Night market liquidity is thin.
A similar order of several million dollars that couldn't be pushed during the day can directly explode at night.
The short positions lost 88 million, while the long positions only had 15 million.
That's right — tonight's market is not a reversal, but a 'short squeeze'.
ETH was pushed up to 4100 dollars by shorts, with a rise of 3.7%.
Do you think confidence has returned? No, this is just the system breathing.
The market is like a spring pulled to its limit,
Tonight is just the echo of a rebound.
Why is it being pushed so hard at night?
1. Positions are too crowded.
The long-short leverage ratio is unbalanced, with too many shorts. Once liquidation is triggered, it leads to a chain reaction.
2. Night market liquidity is thin.
A similar order of several million dollars that couldn't be pushed during the day can directly explode at night.
See original
JPMorgan 'opens the door for BTC lending', is the financial giant playing with fire?
In the past, this was a game for the 'crypto natives'.
Now, even JPMorgan is getting involved, allowing institutional investors to use BTC and ETH for collateralized lending.
This sounds like the 'coming of age' in the crypto world—
But for Wall Street, this feels more like a high-stakes experiment.
When Bitcoin enters the bank's ledger
JPMorgan's logic is very simple:
Since crypto assets have become part of the mainstream allocation, they should have 'collateral status'.
What does this step mean?
It means Wall Street officially recognizes BTC as having 'credit'.
But the question is: who guarantees this credit?
Now, even JPMorgan is getting involved, allowing institutional investors to use BTC and ETH for collateralized lending.
This sounds like the 'coming of age' in the crypto world—
But for Wall Street, this feels more like a high-stakes experiment.
When Bitcoin enters the bank's ledger
JPMorgan's logic is very simple:
Since crypto assets have become part of the mainstream allocation, they should have 'collateral status'.
What does this step mean?
It means Wall Street officially recognizes BTC as having 'credit'.
But the question is: who guarantees this credit?
See original
Trump pardons CZ: Has faith returned, or is power just smarter?
This message in October was like a bomb thrown into the crypto market.
Trump announced the pardon of Binance founder Zhao Changpeng (CZ).
In just a few hours, the whole network went from shock to celebration.
Someone shouted: Faith has returned!
Some also sneered: This is the beginning of the crypto circle being incorporated.
But this matter is not just a turning point in one person's fate,
But it's a signal that politics and the crypto world are starting to game again.
From suppression to appeasement: The attitude of power has changed.
In the past few years, U.S. regulators have relentlessly pursued crypto.
SEC lawsuits, judicial investigations, CZ's guilty plea, this series of actions,
Trump announced the pardon of Binance founder Zhao Changpeng (CZ).
In just a few hours, the whole network went from shock to celebration.
Someone shouted: Faith has returned!
Some also sneered: This is the beginning of the crypto circle being incorporated.
But this matter is not just a turning point in one person's fate,
But it's a signal that politics and the crypto world are starting to game again.
From suppression to appeasement: The attitude of power has changed.
In the past few years, U.S. regulators have relentlessly pursued crypto.
SEC lawsuits, judicial investigations, CZ's guilty plea, this series of actions,
See original
Powell halts tapering, BTC and gold, who is the first source of oxygen in this bull run?
In the past three years, the Federal Reserve has acted like a pump,
Gradually sucking liquidity out of the market.
Now, Powell has hinted: 'Tapering is about to end.'
This is not a minor signal; it is a reversal of the 'liquidity trend.'
Simply put, the Federal Reserve will no longer actively withdraw cash, which means the dollars will flood back.
When the cost of funds decreases and risk appetite rebounds, the blood of the market begins to flow again.
The question is—where will this flow of blood go first?
Tapering stops = The starting point of a new cycle
The so-called 'tapering off' means the Fed will no longer sell assets and will not withdraw dollars from the market.
Gradually sucking liquidity out of the market.
Now, Powell has hinted: 'Tapering is about to end.'
This is not a minor signal; it is a reversal of the 'liquidity trend.'
Simply put, the Federal Reserve will no longer actively withdraw cash, which means the dollars will flood back.
When the cost of funds decreases and risk appetite rebounds, the blood of the market begins to flow again.
The question is—where will this flow of blood go first?
Tapering stops = The starting point of a new cycle
The so-called 'tapering off' means the Fed will no longer sell assets and will not withdraw dollars from the market.
See original
I was 'stuffed' with the dry goods from 1783DAO at Shanghai Blockchain Week!
During the recently concluded Shanghai Blockchain Week, a unique event ignited the emotions of the industry.
The theme is very simple — 'TACO trading from a global perspective',
has become the most talked-about keyword this week.
because this is not just an event, but more like a collision of thoughts about the future financial order.
A night for 300 people, a posture of 'walking from Asia to the world'
This event by 1783DAO attracted nearly 400 registrations,
In the end, 300 people actually showed up.
The venue was chosen at the Shanghai Greenland Bund Center Art Space, a place where art and finance intersect.
The theme is very simple — 'TACO trading from a global perspective',
has become the most talked-about keyword this week.
because this is not just an event, but more like a collision of thoughts about the future financial order.
A night for 300 people, a posture of 'walking from Asia to the world'
This event by 1783DAO attracted nearly 400 registrations,
In the end, 300 people actually showed up.
The venue was chosen at the Shanghai Greenland Bund Center Art Space, a place where art and finance intersect.
See original
Musk does not sell BTC, Tesla earns 80 million from Bitcoin!
Do you remember a few years ago when Musk said: 'Bitcoin is the money of the future'?
Many people laughed at him for being impulsive, saying he was cut.
As a result, now—he hasn't said a word, yet he has won against everyone.
Tesla just disclosed its financial report:
The total value of Bitcoin held is 1.3 billion dollars.
Not a single coin was sold in the third quarter,
Just like that, 'doing nothing',
The paper profit increased by 80 million dollars.
The market is rolling,
Musk is waiting.
Retail investors switch positions every day,
He won the fluctuations just by relying on time.
Many people think this is faith, but it is not.
This is called—structured positions.
Many people laughed at him for being impulsive, saying he was cut.
As a result, now—he hasn't said a word, yet he has won against everyone.
Tesla just disclosed its financial report:
The total value of Bitcoin held is 1.3 billion dollars.
Not a single coin was sold in the third quarter,
Just like that, 'doing nothing',
The paper profit increased by 80 million dollars.
The market is rolling,
Musk is waiting.
Retail investors switch positions every day,
He won the fluctuations just by relying on time.
Many people think this is faith, but it is not.
This is called—structured positions.
See original
The entire market is liquidated, yet he increased his ETH position by 25 times? Is it true bravery or seeking death?
In the past 24 hours, the crypto market completely collapsed.
Layer 2 dropped over 5%, ETH plunged below $3800,
The entire network liquidated $771 million — long positions died, and short positions didn't survive either.
But just when everyone was busy stopping losses and fleeing,
A whale suddenly struck back.
He transferred $5.438 million to HyperLiquid,
opened a 25x leveraged ETH long position,
Still placing orders to increase positions in the $3530 to $4296 range.
This operation left people dumbfounded:
The market is about to collapse, and he still adds?
Is he crazy, or is he clearer than we are?
Some say he knows the inside story,
Others also say he is just 'daring'.
Layer 2 dropped over 5%, ETH plunged below $3800,
The entire network liquidated $771 million — long positions died, and short positions didn't survive either.
But just when everyone was busy stopping losses and fleeing,
A whale suddenly struck back.
He transferred $5.438 million to HyperLiquid,
opened a 25x leveraged ETH long position,
Still placing orders to increase positions in the $3530 to $4296 range.
This operation left people dumbfounded:
The market is about to collapse, and he still adds?
Is he crazy, or is he clearer than we are?
Some say he knows the inside story,
Others also say he is just 'daring'.
See original
The Fed is tightening, whales are adding shorts, and ETH is being 'squeezed'!
In the past 24 hours, the crypto market has once again experienced volatility.
BTC has dropped below $107,000, ETH has fallen to $3,840, and the total liquidation amount across the network has reached $959 million.
Whale position data shows: the whale that accurately shorted before the '10·11 flash crash' and made $160 million has added another 100 BTC short positions, bringing the total position scale to $121 million.
The market's breathing is slowing down.
He is not betting on news, but on the system.
What is at stake is that liquidity is drying up.
This is not a market correction, but a 'system hypoxia'.
The U.S. Treasury is rebuilding the TGA account.
This means the treasury has withdrawn cash from the banking system.
BTC has dropped below $107,000, ETH has fallen to $3,840, and the total liquidation amount across the network has reached $959 million.
Whale position data shows: the whale that accurately shorted before the '10·11 flash crash' and made $160 million has added another 100 BTC short positions, bringing the total position scale to $121 million.
The market's breathing is slowing down.
He is not betting on news, but on the system.
What is at stake is that liquidity is drying up.
This is not a market correction, but a 'system hypoxia'.
The U.S. Treasury is rebuilding the TGA account.
This means the treasury has withdrawn cash from the banking system.
See original
Giant whale opens short in advance to earn 160 million, the truth revealed!
On the night of October 11, the flash crash occurred, with Bitcoin plummeting and on-chain liquidations reaching 959 million dollars.
While everyone is still asking 'why is it falling', a giant whale address has already earned 160 million dollars.
According to on-chain data, this address had established 1,000 BTC short positions before the flash crash.
Opening price of 109,672.2 dollars, maximum position size of 111 million dollars.
After the cliff-like drop in the market, this giant whale successfully realized profits and is still holding positions.
The question is: how did he do it?
Is it advanced prediction, or did they know something in advance?
The truth of the market: Flash crashes are never 'accidents'.
While everyone is still asking 'why is it falling', a giant whale address has already earned 160 million dollars.
According to on-chain data, this address had established 1,000 BTC short positions before the flash crash.
Opening price of 109,672.2 dollars, maximum position size of 111 million dollars.
After the cliff-like drop in the market, this giant whale successfully realized profits and is still holding positions.
The question is: how did he do it?
Is it advanced prediction, or did they know something in advance?
The truth of the market: Flash crashes are never 'accidents'.
See original
Li Lin builds a $1 billion fund for the treasury, ETH redistribution, traders farewell!
Former founder of Huobi Li Lin announced plans to launch a $1 billion Ethereum vault-type asset management company,
The goal is to focus on ETH ecological investment and 'treasury management'.
In the current crypto market, the weight of this action is far more than just a piece of news.
It means that the bell for the trader's era is slowly ringing its farewell.
For the past decade, the main theme of the crypto market has been 'volatility is wealth'.
From the decentralization ideal of Bitcoin to the smart contract revolution of Ethereum,
The protagonists of every market cycle are traders.
And now, the rules of the game are reversing: the stage of trading is being replaced by asset management vaults.
The goal is to focus on ETH ecological investment and 'treasury management'.
In the current crypto market, the weight of this action is far more than just a piece of news.
It means that the bell for the trader's era is slowly ringing its farewell.
For the past decade, the main theme of the crypto market has been 'volatility is wealth'.
From the decentralization ideal of Bitcoin to the smart contract revolution of Ethereum,
The protagonists of every market cycle are traders.
And now, the rules of the game are reversing: the stage of trading is being replaced by asset management vaults.
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