JIBON BROZ

$PEPE

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@JIBON BROZ
#jibonbroz

THIS CRYPTO CRASH IS WORSE THAN FTX AND NOBODY IS PAYING ATTENTION.

Since Oct 10, when Trump announced 100% tariffs on all Chinese imports, crypto has lost nearly $2T in total market cap.

Bitcoin is now -45% from ATH.

In raw dollars, this already exceeds the total damage from FTX.

But here’s the part that should worry you:

In 2022, the crash had a clear chain:
• Terra/LUNA: -$50B
• 3AC: collapsed
• BlockFi/Voyager/Celsius: bankrupt
• Genesis: followed
• FTX: final blow

Each domino was visible. Each failure had a name.

This time, there are no dominoes.

No major protocol failure.
No exchange insolvency.
No lender freezing withdrawals.

The market simply bled ~$2T without a single obvious systemic event.

That’s not normal.

WHY THIS IS MORE DANGEROUS

In 2022, the cascade was fast:
Terra blew up in May, FTX in Nov — ~6 months start to finish.

This drawdown is slower, structural, and driven by forces outside crypto:

• Tariff-driven macro shock
• Derivatives-driven unwinds (institutional positioning)
• Global risk-off flows hitting all volatile assets

When a crash has no internal catalyst, the pressure is external and ongoing.

There’s no single event to “recover from.”

THE MISSING BLACK SWAN

Every major cycle ends with a systemic blowup:
2014: Mt. Gox
2018: ICO implosion
2022: FTX

This cycle hasn’t had that moment yet.

Two outcomes:
Macro becomes the black swan: tariffs escalate, liquidity tightens, prolonged bear — no dramatic event.
The slow bleed exposes a hidden break: a fund/protocol/stablecoin that looks fine at $100K BTC cracks at $60K.

Either way, downside risk likely isn’t done.

PUTTING IT TOGETHER

• ~$2T wiped in ~4 months
• No internal failure yet → catalyst may still be ahead
• Pressure is structural (macro + derivatives), not one-off
• Historically, cycles end with a capitulation event — and we haven’t seen it
• Until macro stabilizes OR hidden risk surfaces + resolves, sustained recovery is unlikely
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#jibonbroz #WhaleDeRiskETH #GoldSilverRally #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund

Trade Now
$USD1
#jibonbroz

Is #bitcoin setting up the stage for a Gold-like move up? 📈

If it does, we could see $BTC reach upwards of $200K. (NFA)

$XRP $BNB
#jibonbroz #BINANCIANS!

📊Year-over-year TRX is the top performing major crypto by a wide margin!

🏆 $TRX +20%
📉 $ETH -23%
📉 $BTC -29%

If you sold your BTC for TRX one year ago, you'd be up 68% in BTC terms

Add another ~10% on for TRX staking, & TRX has beat BTC by over 84% YoY! @JIBON BROZ
#jibonbroz #GoldSilverRally #WhaleDeRiskETH #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop #USIranStandoff

🚨 BREAKING

BLACKROCK JUST DUMPED 2,268 $BTC WORTH OVER $155 MILLION AND 45,324 $ETH WORTH OVER $90 MILLION.

SOMEONE REALLY DOESN'T WANNA GO HIGHER...

WHAT'S GOING ON??
#jibonbroz #WhaleDeRiskETH #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge

This is scary tbh

another red week for spot BTC ETFs

$318M out

$3.1B YTD outflows

Retail screaming bull market but Funds are de-risking

Interesting disconnect
$BTC $BNB $SOL
#jibonbroz #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #USIranStandoff #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund

If Bitcoin falls bellow the 200 - Weekly moving average like it did back in 2022 then $38,000 is going to be a very interesting number to watch.

$BTC $BNB $SOL
#jibonbroz #WhaleDeRiskETH #GoldSilverRally #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop

ARTHUR HAYES: @JIBON BROZ

A 70% BITCOIN CRASH IS "OFF THE TABLE" AS THE 4-YEAR CYCLE IS DEAD.
$BTC $BNB $ETH
#jibonbroz #GoldSilverRally #WhaleDeRiskETH #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop

Investors are mass withdrawing from Binance

No one trusts @CZ anymore

This dump is completely orchestrated

I’ve been trading for 8 years and can say with my experience the dump is pure market manipulation

ATH coming very soon.
@JIBON BROZ
Know this. Bookmark this
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#jibonbroz #btc #eth #sol #WhaleDeRiskETH

Left Translated Bear Cycle

On multiple accounts it looks like we're speed running this bear market.

Bear market signals that historically took 6-12 months to develop have arrived in a single quarter.

Either the bottom forms faster than anyone expects, or historical support levels fail for the first time.

I think a bottom around Q2 makes sense, especially if we don't see some kind of continuation from these levels and the bleeding persists
$BTC $BNB $SOL
#jibonbroz #WhaleDeRiskETH #GoldSilverRally #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop

Each cycle top lies at — or beyond — the logarithmic extension target of the prior bear market. 🔝

Converted to a red-arrow believer yet, claiming the top is in? 🔴
$BTC $BNB $SOL
#jibonbroz #WhaleDeRiskETH #GoldSilverRally #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge

A small observation, not a prediction.

Bitcoin has already printed 4 straight red monthly candles.

The last time this happened was 2018.

Price kept bleeding into the 5th month, then quietly flipped direction.

That cycle:

~58% drawdown

Bottom formed during the 5th red month

What followed surprised everyone

This cycle:

~52% down so far

5th red month just starting
Not saying history will repeat.

Just saying markets often exhaust people before they reverse.

Watch price, not emotions.
$BTC $BNB $SOL
#jibonbroz #WhaleDeRiskETH #GoldSilverRally #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop

Bitfinex whales' $BTC long positions are still increasing.

On the other hand, short positions, which had increased in the short term, are decreasing.

The short-term trend is not good. However, the increase in their long positions indicates a stronger trend in the long term.

The bull market will continue until their long positions are fully profited.

The presence of more positions to profit from means the bull market will continue for a longer period and be stronger.
$BNB $PEPE
#jibonbroz #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop #USIranStandoff #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge

$BTC printed a strong weekly close above the EMA200 leaving a long wick below

Usually we fill such wicks 📉
$BNB $USD1
#jibonbroz #WhaleDeRiskETH #GoldSilverRally #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop

A rising global money supply acts as a rising floor for Bitcoin. Each wave of liquidity expansion increases the amount of capital that must be absorbed, making lower prices progressively harder to sustain over time.

Bitcoin’s supply is fixed, transparent, and immune to discretionary issuance. At the same time, it is globally accessible and liquid, allowing it to absorb monetary expansion from all fiat systems simultaneously.

Bitcoin doesn’t need one currency to fail.
It benefits incrementally from all of them.

Higher.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#jibonbroz #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #RiskAssetsMarketShock

Bitcoin has now closed for a third week below the 100w MA.

It's now been under this long-term trendline for 13 days.

Historically, BTC has remained below this for on average 267 days.

The shortest was 34 days during the Covid flash crash.

Therefore, historically, we are more likely to remain below for a longer period of time.

A quick bounce back is still possible, but the longer we remain below, the less likely.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#jibonbroz #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #WhenWillBTCRebound

I expect a beautiful distribution phase then another huge leg down.
Late September to first week of October is when I expect this bear market to bottom.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#jibonbroz #WhaleDeRiskETH #GoldSilverRally #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop

#Altcoins

The Altcoin bull market begins when the SMA100 crosses the EMA100 bearishly (yellow).🟡

The altcoin bull market ends when the SMA100 crosses the EMA100 bullishly (red).🔴

The SMA100 has just crossed the EMA100 bearishly.👀🔥
$BTC $BNB $ETH
#jibonbroz #WhaleDeRiskETH #GoldSilverRally #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund