Some things I've learned after hodling bitcoin since early 2017
1. Never believe anyone's price predictions. 2. Don't "diversify" into other cryptos; none of them are actually decentralized, everything except bitcoin is a shitcoin (yes, really), and it's all gambling. The point of bitcoin is not gambling, but to end modern day slavery (fiat currency). 3. When everyone you know is talking about bitcoin, you're at the top of a bull market. You'll likely be too exuberant to realize it though. It will be obvious in hindsight. 4. Don't "trade some altcoins on the side to get more bitcoin". You are not that smart, and the overwhelming probability is that you will get wrecked. 5. DCA into bitcoin. Ignore your emotions. Don't try to time the market. Just stack what you can every paycheck. 6. Don't be too excited about bitcoin; people will feel like you're scamming them even though you're just trying help. 7. Go to meetups & conferences. Don't be isolated. Bitcoiners are generally very awesome people. 8. When people ask you about how to buy bitcoin, send them to a BITCOIN-ONLY company. Example for why: My cousin bought bitcoin (on Coinbase) during the bull market, then sold it for shiba on the same platform and now she pretty much lost everything. Bitcoin-only companies are the safest option to keep newbies from doing newbie things. 9. Be on #bitcoin twitter and nostr. Obviously if you're reading this, you're already here...but I didn't get on twitter until 2020 and can tell you that it's a lot less lonely hodling bitcoin when you see a bunch of other people on this platform experiencing the same things you are. 10. Be skeptical of influencers. Even me (I'm not a huge account, but still). Some are good, some are bad. Even if they have good intentions, their judgement can be clouded by bad incentives. 11. Stop trying to convince everyone you know that bitcoin will make everything better (even though it will). Instead, be a good resource for the people who eventually reach out to you about it. Be known as "the bitcoin guy" and let people come to you when they're ready. Have good content prepared for them to read/watch when they do. That is all. It's been a great ride so far and I'm happy to know you guys. #bitcoin #dyor #crypto2023
S&P 500 wiped out $831 billion. Nasdaq wiped out $844 billion. Bitcoin wiped out $102 billion. Crypto market wiped out $140 billion. Over $400 million in longs liquidated.
This comes after the U.S. military escalation against Iran.
Vanar Chain (VANRY) Project Review (as of early February 2026)
Vanar Chain is a modular Layer-1 blockchain positioned as an AI-native infrastructure for Web3, with a strong emphasis on real-world adoption in areas like PayFi (payment finance), tokenized real-world assets (RWAs), gaming, entertainment, AI workloads, and on-chain intelligence. Launched with mainnet in 2024, it evolved from earlier focuses (gaming/metaverse) into a full AI-integrated stack, aiming to make applications "intelligent by default" through on-chain AI processing, data handling, and adaptability.Key Features and Purpose Core Thesis: Not just another fast/cheap L1 — it's built as a 5-layer AI infrastructure stack (Vanar Chain base + Neutron for data compression/storage, Kayon for querying/computation, plus upcoming layers like Axon/Flows). This enables AI-native dApps that learn/adapt without off-chain dependencies.Technical Highlights:EVM-compatible (using GETH), so Ethereum tools/contracts deploy easily.High performance: 3-second block times, high TPS (optimized for gaming/high-volume apps), low/ predictable fees ($0.0005 fixed in USD terms for stability).Consensus: Hybrid Proof-of-Authority (PoA) with "trust ladder" approach for enterprise-grade reliability, gradual decentralization via staking/voting/reputation (community validators planned).Sustainability: Eco-friendly design (renewable energy emphasis, real-time energy analytics via Vanar ECO).Unique tools: Neutron compresses files/data massively (e.g., 500x) for immutable on-chain storage; focus on AI hallucination mitigation, semantic data, and agent-scale performance.Ecosystem Focus: Gaming/entertainment (immersive experiences), PayFi/stablecoin settlements, RWAs, AI agents, developer tools (SDKs, grants), and partnerships (e.g., WorldPay as validator, Google Cloud support, 100+ across AI/gaming/RWA).Products/Initiatives: CreatorPad for empowerment, Web3 Fellowship (e.g., AI-powered startups in Pakistan), buybacks/burns for scarcity, staking with high APRs (e.g., 79% reported in some programs with boosters). Tokenomics and Market Data (early February 2026) Native Token: $VANRY (total supply capped at 2.4 billion, no team allocation; ~2.15–2.26B circulating).Current Price: Approximately $0.0064–$0.0065 USD (down significantly from ATH ~$0.37 in March 2024; recent 24h changes minor, e.g., -1% to +2%).Market Cap: ~$14–$14.6 million (rank #800–#1300 range).24h Trading Volume: $2.7–$4 million (decent relative to cap, but low absolute).Use Cases for VANRY: Gas fees, staking (rewards, governance, voting power), ecosystem incentives; burns ongoing (e.g., +280% reported in some periods for scarcity).Performance: Strong 2024–2025 hype (listings on Binance, Bybit, Kraken; partnerships) drove peaks, but 2026 sees heavy correction (~96–98% from ATH) amid broader market conditions and L1 competition. Pros Strong Niche: AI + blockchain fusion is timely (on-chain intelligence, data as "memory"); PayFi/RWA/gaming focus targets real utility over speculation.Builder-Friendly: Predictable costs, EVM compat, developer grants/education (thousands empowered), modular design for scalability.Adoption Signals: Partnerships (WorldPay, Google Cloud), high daily txns in peaks, validator growth, burns/buybacks, ecosystem programs.Long-Term Potential: If AI-Web3 convergence accelerates, Vanar's stack (Neutron/Kayon) could differentiate it; capped supply + burns tie value to usage.Community/Dev Focus: Emphasis on real systems (not hype), with positive builder sentiment in recent discussions. Cons and Risks Price Decline: Sharp drop from highs; low cap/volume makes it volatile/sensitive to dumps.Competition: Crowded L1 space (Solana, Ethereum L2s, other AI-focused chains); needs to prove traction beyond partnerships.Centralization Concerns: PoA start (enterprise-grade but less decentralized); gradual shift to community validators ongoing.Adoption Hurdle: While metrics like txns/nodes grow in reports, broader real-world scale (millions of users) remains unproven; AI features still emerging.Market Risks: Broader crypto downturns, dilution from emissions (though vested over 20 years), execution on roadmap (e.g., full decentralization, new layers). Community and Sentiment Mixed-positive among builders/investors — praised for utility focus, AI direction, and infrastructure over hype (e.g., "building for real usage"). Recent X posts highlight ecosystem growth, burns, and undervaluation. Some see it as a "gem" for long-term if AI narrative revives; others note it's quiet amid bearish price action. Overall Verdict Vanar Chain (VANRY) stands out with its AI-native vision and practical focus on PayFi, RWAs, gaming, and intelligent apps — a refreshing shift from generic L1s toward usable, adaptive infrastructure. Fundamentals look solid (capped supply, burns, partnerships, dev tools), and it's undervalued if AI-Web3 adoption explodes. However, in early 2026, it's in a tough spot: deep correction, low visibility, and heavy L1 competition. Short-term upside limited without catalysts (e.g., major AI milestone, bull market); long-term high-reward if it captures niche (e.g., on-chain AI for agents/apps).
Plasma Token (XPL) Future ( #plasma $XPL @Plasma ) Outlook (as of early February 2026)Plasma remains a specialized Layer-1 blockchain optimized for stablecoin payments, with features like gasless USDT transfers, sub-second confirmations via PlasmaBFT consensus, full EVM compatibility, and integrations for high-throughput global transfers. The project continues to emphasize real-world utility in remittances, merchant payments, and DeFi yield on stablecoins, backed by strong partners (Tether/Bitfinex ecosystem, Aave, Ethena, Pendle, NEAR Intents, Maple, Lista, etc.).
Plasma is a Layer-1 blockchain specifically designed for stablecoin payments and global transfers. Its native token is XPL (often referred to as Plasma Token or $XPL). The project positions itself as infrastructure for the growing stablecoin economy, emphasizing fast, low-cost (or zero-fee for certain stablecoin transfers like USDT), and EVM-compatible transactions to enable seamless everyday payments.Key Features and Purpose Core Focus: Built for stablecoins rather than general-purpose DeFi or apps. It offers zero-fee USDT transfers (gasless for simple sends), custom gas tokens (pay fees in stablecoins or other assets), sub-second block times, high throughput (1000+ TPS claimed), and predictable/low fees.Technical Highlights: Uses PlasmaBFT consensus (derived from Fast HotStuff), full EVM compatibility for easy deployment of Ethereum tools/contracts, native Bitcoin bridge for security/settlement, and merchant-friendly features like APIs for invoices/refunds.Products: Includes Plasma One (a dashboard/app for sending stablecoins, earning yield, and potentially virtual/physical cards), making it feel like a "digital banking" layer on stablecoins.Ecosystem Growth: Significant stablecoin TVL (billions reported in peaks, e.g., overtaking Ethereum in some metrics like sUSDe hubs), integrations with projects like Aave, Ethena, Pendle, Chainlink, and NEAR intents. It's ranked among top chains by stablecoin volume/TVL in some reports. Tokenomics and Market Data (as of early February 2026) Current Price: Approximately $0.10–$0.105 USD.Market Cap: Around $220–$225 million (circulating supply ~2.2 billion XPL out of total ~10 billion genesis supply).24h Trading Volume: $60–$90 million (high relative to market cap, indicating liquidity).Ranking: Typically #140–#240 on trackers like CoinMarketCap/CoinGecko.Use Cases for XPL: Staking for network security (validators/delegators), paying non-stablecoin fees, governance potential, and validator rewards. The model includes fee burns over time to tie value to usage.Performance: Launched in late September 2025 with massive hype (peaked near $1.67, FDV in billions, strong listings on Binance/OKX/etc.). It has since declined significantly (~80–90% from ATH), trading down amid broader market conditions and fading initial excitement. Pros Strong niche in stablecoin infrastructure — a massive and growing market (hundreds of billions in stablecoins).Backed by reputable investors (Bitfinex, Framework Ventures, Cobie/Jordan Fish) and raised ~$24M.Real utility focus: Gasless stablecoin sends remove friction for payments/remittances.Developer-friendly (EVM) with early adoption and TVL traction.Potential for long-term value if it captures payment/settlement flows (e.g., as a "stablecoin rail"). Cons and Risks Post-launch price crash: Heavy sell-off after hype (from $1.67 peak to sub-$0.11), with complaints of "rug" or disappointment on forums like Reddit.Low network activity cited in some reports as a reason for decline.Competition: Tron, Solana, Ethereum L2s, and others already handle stablecoin volume efficiently.Vesting/unlocks (e.g., future events like July 2026 mentioned in discussions) could add selling pressure.Scams: Fake sites (e.g., "Plasma Rewards") impersonating the project to phish wallets — always use official plasma.to.High-risk/high-reward profile: Early hype delivered big gains for some (e.g., community/early allocs), but many late entrants faced losses. Community and Sentiment Mixed — early adopters and some analysts see it as undervalued infrastructure play with strong fundamentals (e.g., usage over hype). Others view it as overhyped with poor post-launch performance. Recent X discussions highlight ongoing integrations and staking activity, but price remains under pressure. Overall Verdict Plasma (XPL) has a compelling thesis in the stablecoin-dominated future of payments, with solid tech and partnerships. However, it launched into a hype cycle, leading to a sharp correction that's left it far below early valuations. If stablecoin adoption accelerates globally and Plasma captures meaningful share (e.g., as a low-friction settlement layer), it could rebound strongly. Right now, it's a speculative bet — high potential but with execution and market risks. Not financial advice; always DYOR, check official sources, and consider volatility in crypto. #Plasma @Plasma $XPL
1 in every 10 Dogecoin millionaires has disappeared in 2026
#DOGECOİN ($DOGE ) has lost nearly one-tenth of its millionaire holders in the opening weeks of 2026, coinciding with price weakness for the meme cryptocurrency. Blockchain data from the Dogecoin Rich List shows that on January 1, 2026, reviewed by Finbold with the help of the Wayback Machine, there were 1,052 Dogecoin millionaire addresses, defined as wallets holding at least $1 million worth of DOGE. That total comprised 889 addresses with holdings valued between $1 million and $9.99 million, alongside 163 wallets holding more than $10 million. Dogecoin addresses value. Source: BitInfoCharts By February 2, 2026, the number of millionaire addresses had fallen to 950, with 800 wallets in the $1 million to $9.99 million range and 150 addresses above $10 million. The decline of 102 millionaire wallets in just over one month represents a 9.7% drop, meaning roughly one in every ten Dogecoin millionaires disappeared over that period. Dogecoin addresses value. Source: BitInfoCharts The contraction closely mirrors Dogecoin’s price weakness early this year, as the token has failed to sustain momentum amid broader risk-off conditions in crypto markets. In this context, DOGE has dropped nearly 15% year to date, trading at $0.11 as of press time. DOGE YTD stock price chart. Source: Finbold Dogecoin’s 2026 struggles With Dogecoin lacking a hard supply cap and continuing to issue new coins, sustained price appreciation has proven difficult during periods of fading speculative demand. Notably, Dogecoin’s lack of real-world utility continues to drive investors away, as capital shifts toward cryptocurrencies offering staking, lending, or more robust ecosystems rather than relying on meme-driven hype. Its inflationary supply, with unlimited new coins minted via mining, exerts constant downward pressure, diluting value when demand weakens. At the same time, the waning influence of early boosters such as Elon Musk has also played a role, with recent mentions failing to spark significant rallies and leaving DOGE vulnerable to fading sentiment. Broader market dynamics have amplified the pressure, as a crypto-wide downturn driven by macroeconomic headwinds, including U.S. interest rate concerns, regulatory uncertainty, geopolitical risks, and reduced ETF inflows, has weighed on risk assets. Overall, meme coins like DOGE tend to suffer disproportionately in such environments. While some on-chain data shows accumulation during the dip, hinting at potential stabilization if key support around $0.10 holds, bearish technical signals and shrinking trading volumes suggest further downside risk, with some forecasts targeting the $0.05 to $0.08 range if momentum fails to reverse. $DOGE #MarketCorrection
Is Bitcoin Sliding To Zero? ETF Outflows & Liquidations
During a live market rundown, a daily crypto-focused host warned that Bitcoin’s slide below $80,000 and heavy ETF outflows are stripping away key support and pushing the market toward what could become a deeper correction. Market connoisseur Wendy O framed the past 24 hours as “absolutely brutal,” with cascading liquidations, stressed altcoins, and even precious metals showing unusual volatility. Liquidations & a Possible Test Of The 200-Week EMA The host pegged Bitcoin around $77,000 during the stream and highlighted a downside target near $68,000, tied to the 200-week exponential moving average. A decisive break below that level, she said, would mark the point where “things are going to get really, really, really nasty” echoing conditions last seen during the 2022–2023 bear market when BTC traded under the 200-week EMA for an extended stretch.
Leveraged traders were hit hard. Roughly $1.5–$1.6 billion in crypto positions were liquidated over 24 hours, making it one of the worst liquidation events in the industry’s history. Most of the damage came from over-leveraged longs, particularly in Ethereum. The host noted that some traders had positioned for an ETH move higher, only to be wiped out as the market reversed. Spot Bitcoin ETFs, once seen as a stabilizing force, are now a source of concern. The commentator cited figures showing around $1.6 billion in net withdrawals this month and roughly $6 billion leaving U.S.-listed spot products over the past three months. Since early 2026, the ETFs have reportedly seen an exodus of about 4,500–4,600 BTC, compared with tens of thousands flowing in over the same period a year earlier. Altcoin Pain Meets MicroStrategy Risk & E-File Fallout Altcoins are faring worse. The host said “altcoins are suffering, they’re struggling, they’re going down” while pointing to Ethereum’s fall toward key support near $2,200 and the possibility of a move to $1,500. They also mentioned Solana weakness and noted that XRP had recently tagged a higher target level that some analysts had been watching. MicroStrategy’s aggressive Bitcoin strategy was flagged as a risk point. The company’s heavy use of debt to accumulate BTC has long been debated, and the host suggested that if its position were ever forced or “knocked out” the knock-on effects for Bitcoin and related derivatives could be severe. While they did not predict such an outcome, they framed MicroStrategy as “in a little bit of hot water” if prices slide far enough. Beyond price action, Wendy O addressed newly surfaced “E-files” that mention names from the crypto sector, including figures connected to Ripple and Stellar (XLM). One cited email from 2014, involving early industry investors, described Ripple and Stellar as “bad for the ecosystem” and raised concerns about backing “two horses in the same race.” The commentator stressed that, in the material they reviewed, there were no explicit allegations of criminal behavior against those crypto teams—only competitive and funding-related tensions. She repeatedly urged viewers to be cautious about unverified claims circulating on social media, especially in an era of AI-generated forgeries, and to distinguish between reputational damage by association and documented wrong-doing. Why This Matters The host argued that the combination of ETF outflows, heavy liquidations, and macro stress effectively places crypto in a new bear phase, even if the broader cycle structure remains intact. She expects Bitcoin to consolidate roughly between $74,000 and $80,000 in the short term, with a meaningful risk of a test near $68,000 and, for some analysts, even the $55,000 region. For strategy, the commentator pushed dollar-cost averaging over short-term trading, warning that “most people think we get into Bitcoin and crypto, we’re going to be expert traders… that’s not how it works.” They framed current conditions as an entry window for long-term investors who understand volatility, while cautioning against panic trades or chasing leverage during a period of heightened uncertainty and ongoing regulatory and political noise. #MarketCorrection #USCryptoMarketStructureBill $BTC
VanarChain - Key Future Roadmap Highlights for 2026
Vanar Chain ($VANRY ), the AI-native Layer 1 blockchain for Web3, is positioning itself for significant growth and evolution in 2026 and beyond. Currently in a building/accumulation phase amid broader market dips (trading ~$0.0064–$0.0065 as of early February 2026), the project's future focuses on deepening AI integration, sustainable utility, governance, and real-world adoption rather than short-term hype. Key Future Roadmap Highlights for 2026 - AI Tool Subscription Model (Q1/Q2 2026 onward): Core AI-native tools (like myNeutron, Kayon, and upcoming Axon/Flows for automation and intelligent workflows) will shift to a subscription-based system paid in $VANRY This creates recurring on-chain activity, drives token demand through buy pressure, and funds sustainable ecosystem growth — turning from "build" to "activate" phase for agentic AI apps. - Governance Proposal 2.0: Upgrades will give #vanar holders direct control over AI model parameters, incentive rules, and ecosystem decisions. This enhances decentralization and community-driven evolution, making the chain more adaptive to regulatory and tech changes. - Enhanced Security, Compliance & Connectivity: Focus on foundational improvements for enterprise/trust layers — better regulatory alignment, decentralized data security, and seamless cross-chain/agent interoperability. This supports scaling for businesses, gaming, metaverses, PayFi, and RWAs. - Agentic & Automation Features: Rollout of Axon (AI reasoning/automation) and Flows (workflow orchestration) to enable fully autonomous, on-chain intelligent applications. Emphasizes semantic memory, on-chain reasoning, and agent-to-agent collaboration — positioning Vanar as infrastructure for the "AI era" where apps learn and act independently. - Ecosystem Expansion & Events: Participation in major 2026 conferences like Consensus Hong Kong (Feb 10–12), Crypto Expo Dubai (Mar), and TOKEN2049 Dubai (Apr) to showcase partnerships (e.g., Worldpay for agentic payments) and attract developers/brands. Longer-Term Outlook & Price Predictions Analysts see Vanar as a sleeper for AI-Web3 convergence, with potential market explosion in 2026–2030 as AI agents go mainstream. Price forecasts vary widely due to volatility: - 2026 Estimates: Average ~$0.013–$0.016 (optimistic up to ~$0.02+ in bullish scenarios), implying 100–150%+ upside from current levels if subscriptions and AI utility gain traction. - Beyond: Some models project $0.03–$0.07+ by 2030 in strong adoption cases, driven by real usage over speculation. Overall, Vanar's future looks promising if it executes on AI-native utility and subscriptions — quietly building scalable, intelligent infrastructure while competitors chase trends. It's less about moonshots and more about becoming the "intelligence layer" for on-chain apps. Watch for subscription launches and governance updates as key catalysts. For official details, check vanarchain.com or @Vanarchain on X. Crypto remains highly volatile — DYOR and stay informed!
- Applies specifically to basic/direct USDT transfers (e.g., sending USD₮ from one address to another via the standard transfer function). - More complex operations (smart contract interactions, DeFi trades, custom logic, etc.) still require gas paid in $XPL (or whitelisted custom gas tokens like USDT/BTC in some cases). - This "freemium" model keeps basic payments frictionless while ensuring validators and network security get compensated via fees on advanced activity.
$XPL the stablecoin-optimized Layer 1 blockchain (as of early February 2026): Purpose-Built for Stablecoins — Plasma is a high-performance, EVM-compatible Layer 1 blockchain specifically designed for global stablecoin payments (especially USDT/USD₮), not general-purpose dApps. It enables near-instant transfers, high throughput (1,000+ TPS), sub-second to <12-second block times, and institutional-grade security via PlasmaBFT consensus (a Fast HotStuff derivative).Zero-Fee USDT Transfers — A standout feature is its built-in paymaster system, which sponsors gas fees for simple USD₮ (USDT) transfers. Users can send stablecoins without holding the native $XPL token or paying any fees, making it ideal for remittances, micropayments, and frictionless global payments — positioning Plasma as a competitor to traditional rails like SWIFT.Native Token Utility ($XPL) — $XPL is the native asset used for staking (securing the Proof-of-Stake network), validator rewards, paying gas fees (for non-USDT transactions), and custom gas options (e.g., paying in whitelisted assets like USDT or BTC). It underpins network security and economics beyond the gasless stablecoin transfers.Current Market Snapshot — As of February 2, 2026, XPL trades around $0.10–$0.105 USD, with a market cap of approximately $220–$226 million (ranked ~#237). 24-hour trading volume is $70–$90 million, circulating supply is ~1.8–2.2 billion XPL (out of a total/max supply of 10 billion). It has seen volatility, including an all-time high of ~$1.68 in late 2025 and recent dips.Key Ecosystem Stats & Positioning — Plasma ranks among the top networks for USDT balance (often 4th by stablecoin deposits, with billions in TVL), supports 25+ stablecoins, operates in 100+ countries, and includes features like a native Bitcoin bridge and confidential transactions. It launched mainnet beta in late 2025 and continues focusing on stablecoin infrastructure for payments in 2026. #Plasma emphasizes practical utility in the growing stablecoin economy over hype. For the most up-to-date details, check plasma.to, CoinMarketCap/CoinGecko, or their X ( @Plasma ). Crypto is volatile — always DYOR!
VANRY is trading around $0.0064–$0.0065 USD, with a 24-hour change of roughly -1% to -2.4% (down ~13–17% over the past week amid broader market weakness). Market cap hovers in the low tens of millions, with 24h volume ~$3–4M. It's ranked around #795–1276 on major trackers like CoinMarketCap/CoinGecko.