đ¨ BITCOIN IS FOLLOWING ITS HISTORICAL CYCLE â AND IâM POSITIONED
Most traders watch price.
I track TIME + PRICE.
Thatâs the edge.
âł TIME AXIS (Cycle Structure)
Days from ATH to cycle low after each halving:
⢠2012 â 406 days
⢠2016 â 363 days
⢠2020 â 376 days
⢠2024 â In progress
The clustering is clear.
If this cycle rhymes, the highest probability bottom window is:
đ October â November 2026
When that window arrives, I buy â regardless of fear, headlines, or sentiment.
Because time prevents you from being front-run.
đ° PRICE AXIS (Value Zones)
I started accumulating once BTC entered the $60,000 zone.
Why?
Waiting for the âperfect levelâ is how retail misses entire cycles.
If price offers value â I accumulate.
If time aligns â I increase size.
Simple framework. Zero emotion.
đ What Iâm Monitoring
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) â
The on-chain indicator that marked:
⢠2018 cycle bottom
⢠COVID crash
⢠2022 bottom
We are NOT in deep capitulation yet.
Thatâs why a move toward $45Kâ$50K into late 2026 remains possible.
đŻ My Plan
1ď¸âŁ Time Window (OctâNov 2026) â Strong Buy
2ď¸âŁ Below $60K â Strong Buy
If either condition triggers, I execute systematically.
No panic. No chasing. No noise.
Markets are emotional.
Cycles are mathematical.
I follow structure â not headlines.
