Many influencers feel the same but are very scared to post this. I think crypto market finally deserves some fresh air to breath.
- Indicators and oscillators are oversold - Sales are gradually decreasing, while purchases are increasing (spot) - Meanwhile, the crowd started opening shorts - Huge profile volumes are spotted near $64,000 - $65,000 support - Stocks are dumping, while crypto is staying strong - Fear&Greed Index is 5 (meme argument but still)
As the result, I expect to see some local growth towards $72,000 resistance and probably even $76,000 (if the previous one is broken up) and then dump continuation.
SETUP INVALIDATION: Breakdown of the $64,000 support level. In this case we will go straight short down to $52,000 zone.
↗️ The price of ETH is trading near the $1,900 level. The price may start a powerful upward movement after gathering liquidity from the previous low at $1,865. The main target for price growth is the accumulated liquidity above the $2,150 level.
Following the release of CPI data, expectations for a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut in 2026 have risen to 61 basis points, up from just 58 basis points previously.
Anyone closely following the crypto market in all its aspects will know that 2026 is no ordinary year. This year, crypto will be fully regulated and legalized in America and globally, and negotiations between the major players have been ongoing for months.
Therefore, the fiasco that occurred in the crypto market in 2025, with the manipulation by platforms and whales, was calculated because they knew this was their last year to play with the market as they pleased. After the market is regulated and investors are protected, they won't be able to do so again.
The current bear market isn't a typical bear market; it's a deep and very precise surgical operation to completely clean up the market. That's why we're all witnessing the severity and speed of the decline.
By the end of 2026, the bear market will end, crypto will be legalized and regulated, and this market will be cleansed, with all scam coins removed. Then we'll start with a clean and respectable market. I don't expect many to survive until then because many have already left the market, and many more are expected to leave.
Yesterday we saw gold going down by almost -4% in just 2 minutes.
The drop was really big from 5085 to 4880 with -$205.
The problem is that we didn’t have any catalyst for this move. The same thing happened with silver.
Silver fell again by almost 11%, a bigger move.
Usually, these bigger sell-offs aren't driven by normal retail traders. The retail traders don’t all react immediately in just 2 minutes.
I thought we would read some news after that, but nothing came out.
From Reuters: “Precious metals fell with stocks last night. They didn’t have much of a macro catalyst,” Rodda added.
From Bloomberg: The drop accompanied the nervousness on Wall Street, where prices bowed across asset classes on concerns about the impact of artificial intelligence on corporate earnings.
Whether you believe this news is up to you. You already know my opinion :)
After a short correction , Gold should rise again. The market is a bit scared today, but it could correct and rise again. The profit taking that happened yesterday will join the gold price again and push it higher.
You may find more details in the chart. Thank you and good luck!
While the media is preoccupied with sensational headlines, an economic "heart attack" is silently unfolding.
The numbers don't lie,
and what's happening today in the US markets isn't just a "correction,"
it's the pressure reaching a breaking point.
We are facing the worst levels of institutional and economic crisis since the 2008 disaster.
1. The guillotine of major corporations In the last three weeks, 18 major companies have fallen into bankruptcy.
We're talking about multi-billion dollar companies collapsing at a rate of six per week.
We haven't seen this pace since the height of the pandemic and the depths of the 2008 crisis.
When "heavyweight" companies start collapsing like this, it means that the liquidity crunch has reached its peak.
2. The "crushed" consumer and historic debt The real danger isn't just in the budgets, but in people's pockets.
Household debt has reached a staggering $18.8 trillion.
But the real disaster isn't the size of the debt, it's the inability to repay it.
Credit card default rates have jumped to 12.7%, a faster rate of default than we saw during the 2008 financial crisis!
-- 3. Young People: The First Victims Worryingly, the demographic that drives consumption (18-39 years old) is the most affected by default.
When young people lose their ability to spend due to accumulating debt for education, cars, and credit cards, the primary engine of the economy grinds to a halt.
-- The Bottom Line: What does this mean for you?
We are living in the "late cycle."
Companies are going bankrupt, consumers are defaulting, and debt is at an all-time high.
This combination is usually followed by "surgical intervention" from the Federal Reserve through interest rate cuts and injecting liquidity to salvage what can be saved.
But history teaches us that intervention often comes after the damage has already been done.
If sellers hold the 4980-5000 level, gold prices may fall again, targeting 4910-4850.
On the other hand, if gold prices can effectively break through and continue to rise above $5000-5020, it will weaken the bearish outlook and open the door to a rebound to $5080.
Yesterday, it was reported that Russia is considering moving back to the US dollar as part of a wide-ranging economic partnership with President Trump.
In the past 3–4 years, Russia has strongly advocated reducing reliance on the USD, fueling the major "de-dollarization trade" narrative.
Several other countries have followed suit, reducing exposure to dollar assets — a key reason for the DXY's decline.
The massive rally in gold and silver has also been driven by this trend, as countries dump Treasuries and buy precious metals.
But now this trade may be over.
Russia is now planning to shift toward a dollar-based settlement system, which would boost USD demand.
A stronger USD has historically been bearish for assets, so metals, equities, and crypto will suffer.
Metals will be hit hardest, as a strong USD undermines the debasement trade narrative.
For equities and crypto, it will be bearish but likely not for long.
With more energy supply entering markets after a Russia–US partnership, inflation will drop and the Fed will become less hawkish.
This reduces the odds of monetary easing, but at least removes Fed uncertainty.
Remember, BTC rose in 2023 despite Fed rate hikes and QT.
Risk-on assets love certainty — if this deal is finalized, it will be mid- to long-term bullish for stocks and crypto.
Gold and silver, however, could enter a multi-year downtrend.
↗️ The price of S showed a strong upward movement, during which it formed a 2-hour FVG zone in the range of $0.04080 - $0.04320. If the price holds this zone during the correction, the upward movement will continue to the previous high of $0.05490.
US CEO Says Bitcoin (BTC) is “Exactly Where It Should Be!” Shares His Bottom Price Prediction!
The US CEO stated that Bitcoin is tracking its four-year halving cycle and that the price could pull back to levels around $40,000.
Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins have experienced sharp declines since October. While the BTC price has fallen to $60,000, losses are also growing in altcoins.
While there is no clear prediction about the market’s direction, some analysts argue that the bottom may have been reached at $60,000. Conversely, others suggest that the bottom hasn’t been reached and that further declines are possible.
Bitcoin Hasn’t Bottomed Out Yet!
According to Coindesk, Transform Ventures CEO Michael Terpin states that Bitcoin is following its four-year halving cycle and the price could pull back to the $40,000 level.
Speaking at the Consensus Hong Kong 2026 Conference, Michael Terpin stated that Bitcoin is following almost exactly the same historical halving cycle and patterns.
“According to Bitcoin’s halving cycle, we are exactly where we need to be.”
According to Terpin, the peak of the Bitcoin bull market will come in the fourth quarter of 2025, consistent with previous cycles.
The renowned figure, noting that the decline experienced after October is consistent with historical cycle patterns, believes there is still a way to go before the bottom.
“I think people believe that the bottom for Bitcoin will be at $80,000 and that this will only be a six-week bear market. But that seems ridiculous to me.”
Terpin even noted that predictions that Bitcoin would bottom out at $60,000 and immediately resume its rise were premature, saying, “That seems a bit early.”
Terpin did not offer a clear prediction on how long the bear market would last. At this point, he avoided predicting a year-long decline, stating that the market could face another pain point.
In this context, he argues that Bitcoin could fall to levels as low as $50,000 or even $40,000 before a bear market bottom is formed.
The visual of the Federal Reserve Chair scrutinizing a "miss" in jobless claims—227k actual vs 222k expected—encapsulates the market's obsession with bad news.
In this liquidity regime, a weakening labor market is paradoxically celebrated by risk assets, as it forces the central bank to abandon tightness and return to easing.
I do not worry about the health of the economy; I focus on the reaction function of the entity that controls the money supply.