DjaniW

TLDR - Daily Market Report #649

Macro tension rising while sentiment stays fragile.

- Swiss National Bank continues selling US stocks → possible risk signal
- GOLD at $4,900, SILVER at $75
- Total crypto market cap at $2.44T (~50% below ATH)

- $BTC at $67.8K 5th red month, no full capitulation yet
- $ETH around $2K inflows returning, ETF interest growing
- $XRP $1.48 $BNB $617 amid fresh narratives

- $SOL $85 PumpFun fee changes, memecoin fatigue setting in
- $HYPE $29.5 still leading perp DEX volume
- $LINK $8.86 dominant infra, price still lagging

- $XMR $339, $ZEC $290 privacy cooled after spike
- $AVAX $9, $SUI $1 new L1s need to prove bear stamina
- $DOT from $60 to $1.30 altcoin destruction is real

- Massive token unlocks ahead $ARB, $Kaito and others) supply pressure matters
- AI-coded smart contract exploit cost $1.8M AI is a tool, not magic
- Prediction markets still booming speculation > investing

Market feels tired.
Infrastructure keeps building.
Altcoin golden era? Probably gone.

Position carefully. DCA with intention.

TDLR - Daily Market Report #648

- Macro week ahead: FOMC minutes, CPI data, housing numbers. The Swiss National Bank is reportedly selling US stocks despite holding over $500B. Tech CEOs are dumping shares again. Not exactly risk-on signals.

- $BTC at $68.4K, still stuck in the $60K range. Noise everywhere about $8K or much lower. I started DCA regardless.

- $ETH at $1,980, flirting with $2K again. Strong usage, price still lagging.

- $XRP at $1.50, small recovery. $SOL at $86. Buy here or wait lower?
- $DOGE at $0.10 with ETF rumors around DOGE products. TradFi Dogecoin would be wild.

Perp DEXs still active:
- $HYPE around $30, leading perp volume.
- $ASTER gaining attention despite UI complaints.
- $LINK around $9, still dominant in real usage but price not reflecting it.

$XMR around $350. $ZEC at $287. CZ talking about missing privacy features in crypto.

Heavy unlock week:
- $ARB, $KAITO, $ZRO and others releasing significant supply. Billions in token value unlocking. Dilution risk is real.

RWA tokens $ONDO pushing narratives while unlocking supply. Be careful.

Altcoins overall struggling:
$DOT near $1.37.
$NEAR around $1.
$MATIC not reacting to adoption.

Feels like the easy alt season is over. Many current top 100 tokens will not survive the next cycle.

I’m DCAing. Positioning, not predicting.

What are you watching this week?

TDLR - Daily Market Report #647

- $BTC at $68.5K, about 2.5% down on the week. I resumed DCA and increased allocation. Dominance rising. Strategy > influencer noise.
- $ETH at $1,972. Also slowly DCAing. Usage strong, price weak. Adoption still there.
Total crypto market cap around $2.45T. Liquidity may be thinner with Chinese New Year starting. Year of the Fire Horse. Let’s see if markets catch that energy.

- $XRP volatile again. $BNB at $630. Ongoing narrative battles around Binance. Hard to separate signal from noise.
- $SOL at $85, recovering from recent lows.
- $DOGE back at $0.10, down 11%. These are the zones where positions get built, not chased.

- $HYPE around $29.9, still leading perp DEX volume.
- $ASTER near $0.70. Starknet ecosystem pushing with new launches.

Alt damage is real:
- $XMR from $800 to $370.
- $ZEC at $284.
- $SUI under $1 after being at $5.
- $DOT at $1.35.

Adoption and stablecoin growth continue, but price performance tells the truth. Many current top 100 tokens will not survive the next cycle. Unlocks matter. Supply pressure matters.

- $PENGU pulled back after a 20% run..
NFT attention slowly creeping back post InfoFi hype.

Meanwhile:
Gold near $4,996. Silver at $76.
CEO insider selling increasing. Risk management matters more than hopium.

It’s a tough market. Classic bear behavior. Low morale. More attacks. Less patience.

I’m DCAing. I know it can go lower. I don’t care. I’m positioning.

Let’s see what this week brings.

TDLR – Daily Market Report #646

- CPI cooled to 2.4% from 2.7%, markets now pricing 2 to 3 rate cuts this year, possibly starting June
- GOLD above 5K, SILVER around 80, equities shaky after China software headlines caused fast damage
- $BTC around 70.5K, dominance back above 56%, leverage flushed to 2024 levels, historically BTC rarely stays red more than 4 months
- $ETH around 2,072, weekly transactions at ATH, fees at record lows, fundamentals strong
- Ethereum Foundation leadership shifting, Vitalik very active, adds uncertainty even if the tech roadmap stays bullish
- $XRP around 1.60 up roughly 12%, still one of the key majors to watch
- $DOGE up around 20%, I still like building a position when fear is high
- $SOL back near 90 after touching 67, ecosystem still alive but this remains a stress test
- Binance still a black box, but $BNB holding near 632 despite nonstop FUD
- Privacy coins waking up again: $ZEC around 320 up about 15%, $XMR around 346
- $LINK around 9, more integrations, feels like RWA plumbing that will matter later
- $ADA up about 10%, $SUI around 1.04 bouncing back
- Pudgy Penguins momentum: $PENGU around 0.008 up about 20%, card launch and signups giving it legs
- Perp narrative still alive: $HYPE around 31, $ASTER around 0.72 and moving with the bounce
- Memes running again: $PEPE up about 25%, $POL bounced around 15%
- Institutional and regulation headlines still stacking: Goldman increased BTC ETF exposure, Bessent pushing CLARITY Act deadline March 1, Grayscale filed for $AAVE ETF, tax divergence in Europe getting extreme

TLDR - Daily Market Report #645

- Total crypto mcap: 2.36T
- Fear & Greed: 9
- Gold above 5k, Silver at 77 after 120 highs

- $BTC 68.7k (+5%) – OI flushed from 94B to 44B, 666M liquidations. ETFs still bleeding but Goldman tripled IBIT to 1.1B. 85k is the level bulls need back.
- $ETH 2,044 (+7%) – 17.3M weekly tx ATH, record-low fees. Usage exploding. EF leadership shifting. Price still fragile.
- $SOL 84.8 (+10%) strongest major bounce.
- $BNB 617 – 1B+ SAFU, 6.6B fraud blocked. France Binanxe CEO got kidnapped almost
- $XRP 1.41 range.
- $ZEC 282 top gainer. $XMR holding strong.
- $LINK 9 despite Polymarket 5-min BTC markets. $PYTH recovering from lows.
- $PENGU +10% on Kast card launch.

Macro + infra:
- CLARITY Act deadline March 1
- $USDT investing into Hyperliquid infra
- Anthropic 380B valuation. FTX missed 28B upside
- Russia exploring stablecoin

Standard Chartered bearish. JPM neutral to constructive. Price says bear. Infrastructure says bull.

I’m still a permabull.

TDLR - Daily Market Report #644

- Extreme fear: Fear & Greed Index hit 5, the lowest ever. Levels only seen in 2018, March 2020, and post-FTX. Despair is fully priced in, not a guaranteed bottom.
- $BTC at $67.7k, dominance 59%. Biggest realized loss event in Bitcoin history last week.
- Standard Chartered sees $BTC $50k / $ETH $1.4k. JPMorgan bullish on H2. Bernstein still at $150k. Institutions rotating, not exiting.
- $ETH at $1,985, small bounce but still fragile below $2k.
$XRP at $1.39, sub-$1 being discussed despite long-term plans.
$BNB at $614, supported by tokenized collateral launch and CZ AMA. $SOL at $82, muted activity. $DOGE at $0.093, memecoins led short-term bounce.
- Perp DEXs strong: $HYPE led the bounce, unlocks mostly re-staked, volumes keep beating CEXs. $ASTER also among top gainers.
- Sonic / Andre Cronje: Clarification confirms Andre saved the project after the original ICO team failed. Built Lachesis, rebuilt treasury to nine figures, no salary or tokens for eight years. Flying Tulip teased. $S worth watching.
- AI x Crypto accelerating: Coinbase agentic wallets live, Stripe enabled USDC agent payments, 20k+ AI agents deployed across Ethereum, Base, and BNB Chain.
- Institutions keep building: BlackRock bringing $2.2B BUIDL to DeFi via $UNI. SWIFT, BoE, HSBC, and multiple central banks testing tokenization. Infra build continues despite price.
- Regulation & consequences: Gemini exiting Europe and Australia. High-profile fraud sentences. SwissBorg shipped withdrawal time-lock protection, real-world security matters.
- @xeetdotai launched certified creator cards. In markets like this, builders and creators make more fun tbh.

Give me your card please.

TDLR - Daily Market Report #643

- Extreme fear: Fear & Greed at 11 after touching 5. Levels last seen in 2018, March 2020, and post-FTX. Asymmetry zone, not a guarantee.
- $BTC at 66.8k (-3%), dominance 59.1%.
ETFs chaotic: nearly $1B outflows, then +$167M BTC and +$14M ETH inflows today.
$IBIT printed $10B volume during the crash. Institutions are active, not gone.
- Macro: Total crypto mcap $2.28T.
Gold at $5,087, NASDAQ ~23.1k.
US politics still the bottleneck, no progress on stablecoin rules.
- $ETH at $1,944 (-4%). Losing $2k hurts. $1,700 opens if support fails.
Exchange supply at 10 year lows. Vitalik bullish on ZK, critical of current L2 direction.
- Majors:
$XRP $1.33 with sub-$1 talk despite long-term plans.
$BNB $590, tokenized collateral with Franklin Templeton live.
$SOL $81, activity muted.
$DOGE $0.089, waiting.
$ADA $0.25, pressure continues.
- Perps: $HYPE $28.5. Strong fundamentals, massive volume during deleveraging. Product works, sizing still risky. $ASTER $0.65 one of few green spots.
- $LINK $8.22, hit despite major integrations.
$XMR and $KAS holding up better.
$ZEC $223, $SUI $0.88.
- Infra & regulation accelerating despite price pain: LayerZero launched Zero with Citadel and Ark.Robinhood pushing tokenization on $ARB.
Polymarket + Kaito AI.
- Stablecoins & platforms:
$USDT issuer Tether invested $100M into Anchorage.
$USDC issuer Circle positioning ahead of token.
Gemini exiting Europe and Australia, layoffs incoming.
- Security & reality check:
SafeMoon founder sentenced 8 years.
SwissBorg launched withdrawal time-lock protection. Wrench attacks are real.
- Builders still shipping:
Xeet launched Certified Creator Cards. Builders > hype in markets like this.

Fear is extreme. Price is ugly. Infrastructure keeps moving. Survive first.

TLDR - Daily Market Report #642

- Macro pressure everywhere: China reducing US Treasury exposure, exploring state controlled RWA rules. Gold above $5K, silver near $80, NASDAQ around $23K.
- Total crypto market cap at $2.31T, sentiment at extreme fear.
- $BTC at $67.5K after dipping below $68K. ETFs saw $146M inflows. Mining difficulty down 11%. Binance bought $300M in $BTC.
- $ETH at $1,975. Exchange supply at 10 year low. ETFs saw $57M inflows. Vitalik pushing focus on ZK proofs and deeper decentralization.
- $XRP at $1.38 amid tighter South Korea oversight.
- $BNB at $613. Trump linked $USD1 stablecoin at $5.37B, heavily concentrated on Binance.
- $SOL at $82 with muted activity. $DOGE near $0.09. $ADA at $0.26.
- Perp DEXs strong under the hood: $HYPE processed massive volume and growing revenue despite market drawdown.
- $LINK at $8.5 under pressure. Privacy holding relatively better: $XMR 334, $ZEC $232.
- Large token unlocks incoming: $RAIN, $SOLAYER, $PUMP, $STORY, $SEI, $STRK.
- Abstract XP day passed, but another game shut down. MONSTER hype collapsed after never shipping a real product.
- MegaETH mainnet launched. AI x crypto accelerating across payments, agents, and infrastructure.

TDLR - Daily Market Report #641

Prediction markets crossed $1B on Super Bowl weekend. China may replace its crypto ban with a state controlled RWA framework while reducing US Treasury exposure. Gold back at $5K, silver at $80.

Sentiment is extreme fear. Total crypto cap at $2.37T. Coinbase premium returned, usually a sign of US buyers stepping in.

$BTC $69.7K. ETF inflows $145M. Mining difficulty down 11%. Trading below production cost. Binance accumulating. Someone sent BTC to Satoshi’s genesis address.

$ETH $2,080. Exchange supply at a 10 year low. Vitalik pushing ETH backed stablecoins and criticizing USDC based DeFi. ETH ETFs saw outflows.

Majors: $XRP $1.45. $BNB $640 with USD1 concentration risk. $SOL $86 with low activity. $DOGE $0.096. $ADA $0.27.

Oracles and privacy lagging. $LINK $8.9. $PYTH quiet. $XMR $335. $ZEC $237.

Stablecoin regulation likely this month. AI, NFTs, and infra shipping despite drawdowns. China and US flows remain the key variable.

Extreme fear. Nothing feels good. That is usually when it matters most to add money.

TDLR - Daily Market Report #640

- $BTC at 70.5K after a tough week, network difficulty down 11 percent, ETF flows stabilising
- $ETH around 2,080 after touching much lower levels, Vitalik active again but sentiment still fragile
- Total crypto market cap at 2.5T, volume muted after Super Bowl, prediction markets saw huge activity
- $BNB at 635 with Binance FUD still circulating, a lot of noise and rage bait on X
- $XRP at 1.4, still one to watch under 1 dollar for long term believers
- $SOL at 86 with low chain activity, meme volume feels very bear market like
- $DOGE around 0.096, majors likely to move later in the cycle
- $ADA at 0.27, sentiment weak despite strong community
- Perp DEXs active, $HYPE at 33 showing relative strength but still high risk $Aster at 0.65 up.
- $LINK at 8.8, strong fundamentals but timing remains tricky
- Privacy coins struggling, $XMR at 336 and $ZEC at 237
- $AVAX near 9, $SUSHI around 1, many former favorites heavily punished
- $TON at 1.4, ecosystem worth exploring
- $UNI at 3.5 after buybacks
- Macro notes: India tightening tax oversight, Luxembourg opening retail funds, $USDT investing in a US regulated bank
- Gemini exiting parts of Europe and Australia shows pressure on exchanges
- $NEAR around 1 despite strong tech, $POL stable near 0.10
- This week focus on Abstract XP, OpenSea incentives ending, and Mega ETH mainnet launch.

TLDR - Daily Market Report #639

- Market: Total crypto market cap at $2.5T, down roughly $2T since Oct 10. Clear bear-market conditions.
- $BTC : Around $70K, dominance near 55%. Network difficulty dropped 11% as miners shut down during winter stress. Selling pressure easing after capitulation.
- $ETH : Trading near $2.1K after dipping to $1.7K. High volatility, sentiment still fragile.
- $BNB : Around $643. Ongoing Binance FUD, mostly driven by compliance and flagged wallets rather than insolvency.
- $XRP: Around $1.40. Still viewed as a core large-cap despite weak momentum.
- $SOL: Around $87 after touching $70. Talk of lower levels persists, but a short-term bounce is in play.
- Memecoins: $DOGE near $0.10. Cultural memes continue to hold better than short-lived launch tokens.
- $HYPE: Around $31. Strong relative performance driven by perp DEX volume, buybacks, and expansion.
- $LINK: Around $9. Heavy institutional integration, yet still underpriced by the market.
- Privacy: $XMR around $328, $ZEC around $245. Privacy narrative faded, historically cyclical.
- L1s/L2s: $SUI $DOT $ARB remain under pressure as adoption lags price.

Sentiment: Capitulation phase. DCA zones forming for majors. Patience required.

TLDR - Daily Market Report #638

- Total crypto market cap at ~$2.45T, still ~50% down from October highs
- $BTC around $68.6K with continued ETF outflows
- $ETH back above $2K after briefly touching $1.7K; Vitalik sold ~$13.7M for research
- $BNB holding near $639 despite ongoing FUD
- $SOL bounced to $85 after touching $70
- $XRP at $1.40, $DOGE back near $0.10
- $HYPE holding strong around $33 after metals + prediction markets
- Privacy coins fading: $XMR $328, $ZEC $245
- Oracles still weak: $LINK $9.
- Altcoins broadly under pressure
- Key takeaway: heavy leverage flushed, DCA discipline matters, take weekends off and protect your mental health

I think one of the things that gives me a lot of mental stability is having a job. With a job, I can always decide whether I want to DCA or do something else, because stable income gives me stability in everything I do.

And I think it’s the wrong mindset to believe this will automatically make us all happy and rich.

If you look back, I had a friend in 2017, when Ethereum was at $100 and Bitcoin was at a few thousand, who stopped working because he believed everything, especially $XRP, would go to hundreds, thousands, even hundreds of thousands. Then the bear market came, and he had to start selling his Bitcoin and Ethereum. You know what happened in 2020.

I asked him what happened to his $BTC , and he told me that because he believed he didn’t have to work anymore and it was just a matter of time until it hit $100K, he started selling. And yeah, I think you should seriously consider keeping a job, not just for now. I’m not talking about the 1% who already made it. I’m talking about most people, especially in Europe.

I understand that in some regions of the world you can live on a small income and get by with a few tasks here and there, but in most countries, especially in Europe, it’s very difficult.

And the crazy part is: he had hundreds of $ETH , which he sold before DeFi summer and everything. He ended up completely out of the market.

So maybe stable income is the best thing you can have. And relying on protocols that promise stable passive income? No. That’s how you lose everything.

TLDR - Daily Market Report #637

- Markets in full stress mode. Fear & Greed at 5 (extreme fear).
- $BTC 65K, below production cost (73K), electrical cost 58K. Heavy ETF volume, miners under pressure.
- $ETH 1.9K. Ongoing L2 drama, Vitalik selling near lows, narrative confusion hurting sentiment.
- Majors bleeding: $BNB 622, $XRP 1.30, $SOL 80, $DOGE 0.09.
- One standout: $HYPE 33, showing strength after metals + prediction markets.
- Oracles & infra hit hard: $LINK 8, $PYTH 0.04.
- Privacy crushed: $XMR 300, $ZEC 214.
- L1/L2 pain everywhere: $SUI 0.90, $DOT 1.27, $NEAR <1, $POL 0.10, $ARB deeply underwater.
- Memecoins smashed: $PENGU ~0.006, $PUMP 1B mcap despite buybacks.
- Gold & silver still outperforming risk assets.

Message: protect mental health, consider DCA on majors if aligned with your plan, or step away and reset.

TLDR - Daily Market Report #636

- $BTC 71k, down about 7%, total crypto market cap at 2.5T (over 60% down from highs), slight bounce as Asia and Europe wake up
- $ETH 2.1k, pressure from Vitalik selling part of his holdings and ongoing L2 narrative confusion
- Gold & Silver still the only clear winners as risk-off dominates
- $BNB 694 amid nonstop Binance FUD and market-share battles with Coinbase
- $SOL 90, real fear of revisiting deep support levels, even 30 being discussed
- $DOGE 0.10, back at a long-term buy zone
- Privacy fading again: $XMR 357, $ZEC 245
- Infrastructure pain: $LINK 9, $ARB 0.12, $MATIC 0.09, $DOT 1.4, $AVAX 9.5
- DeFi struggling: $AAVE 120, $SUSHI 1
- Memes bleeding, but OGs like $DOGE, $PEPE, $SHIB, $BONK, $PENGU could rotate back later

Mood: Extreme stress, capitulation vibes.
Take: Feels like late-cycle pain. Blood on the streets, patience and selective DCA matter more than chasing narratives.

The Fed has stopped cutting rates, inflation is still elevated, and yields are rising across all countries. The RBA raised rates and entered another tightening cycle again, and there’s fear that other central banks could do the same.

Markets were basically pricing in low inflation with low interest rates again, but this time we won’t get that. Rates will have to stay higher than before.

We’re also dealing with periodic geopolitical shocks, political crises, deliberate dollar devaluation, and the erosion of the Fed’s credibility. Soon we’re getting a new Fed chair.

On top of that, AI implementation will restructure the global economy and the labour market, and it’s believed it could have a deflationary impact. At the same time, metals are at all-time highs and so is the stock market.

Japan is slowly but surely raising interest rates. Once real interest rates in Japan turn positive, and the more they rise, more capital will flow into Japan, which could break markets.

China is fighting to revive its economy, etc.

There are simply too many factors that could affect price, especially because this is crypto and it’s extremely, extremely easy to manipulate price. But in my opinion, the best approach, and what I personally prefer, is DCA into $BTC.

TLDR - Daily Market Report #635

AI agents + Mac mini setups are everywhere, but markets are still in full pain mode.
- $BTC dipped to 73K (near production cost), now sitting around 76K. Biggest losing streak since 2018 + ETF outflows still heavy.
- $ETH around 2.27K after touching 2.1K. Big drama after Vitalik’s L2s are unnecessary take, but L2s like Abstract / Arbitrum / Base still matter for adoption.
- $BNB at 762 with nonstop Binance FUD and whales moving weird.
- $XRP at 1.6 still weak.
- $SOL crashed to 97 after touching 95. Trenches are back but sentiment is cooked.
- $TRX oddly strong at 0.28 while everything bleeds.
- $DOGE holding 0.11 better than most.
- $HYPE back at 33 but question is if they can execute while adding prediction markets.
- $ASTER around 0.57 and Paradex is getting attention with new NFT drops.
- $LINK at 9.6 and still not getting rewarded by the market.
- $XMR 389 and $ZEC 280 trying to recover but still far from highs.
- $SUI at 1.13 still bleeding after the outage.
- $CRO at 0.08, $DOT at 1.5 looking dead.
- $IP (Story) around 1.3 sliding.
- $PENGU under 0.008… brutal.

Market is dumping, narratives are fighting, and the only strategy that survives is staying liquid.