the Dec Digest

$BTC Why $67k is a Bull Trap 📉⛓️

The close at $67,137 might look like a recovery, but the underlying data tells a different story and is active. While prices drifted upward, the floor aggressively narrowed the "safe zone" for bulls. This isn't organic strength—it’s a distribution trap!

Institutional Flow: Spot CVD remains negative. Whales are using this "relief" to fill sell orders before the $62k floor is tested.

The "path of least resistance" remains down. We are watching the $62,086 level as the primary magnet. Don't let the noise at $67k distract you from the macro gravity!

— The Dec Digest
Analyzing the signals, ignoring the noise.

#BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #OrderFlow #TheDecDigest

$BTC "Heatmap Analysis: We are seeing a 1,200+ BTC sell-side cluster at $68,500. This 'Supply Ceiling' is perfectly positioned to crush the 4H relief bounce. Meanwhile, the bid-side is hollow until $65k. The path of least resistance remains DOWN."

$BTC "Watch the 8H MA at 67,810. We are currently seeing a 'fake-strength' flip. Note the RSI at 47.5—momentum is still controlled by the bears despite the price being above the MA. This is classic absorption."

$BTC The Institutional Outlook

​BTC Liquidity Map: Why the 8H SAR Flip Signals a Structural Shift 📉⛓️

​The current price action is a textbook consolidation phase under a heavy supply zone. While retail waits for a breakout, institutional flow suggests we are in a distribution range designed to trap late-long liquidity. 

​Key Technical Observations:
​Trend Exhaustion: We’ve seen a series of Lower Highs ($68.8k ➔ $68.3k ➔ $68.0k). This lack of follow-through buying indicates absorption by sellers.

​The "Deceptive Relief" (2H Flip): We just saw a 2-hour SAR flip under the price. To the untrained eye, this looks like a reversal. To a strategist, this is a Bear Flag formation—a temporary relief bounce intended to gather "exit liquidity" before the next leg down.

​The Squeeze ($65,190): The 8-hour Parabolic SAR is aggressively tightening. This isn't just a dot; it represents a trailing stop-loss cluster for automated trend-following systems.

​The Liquidity Gap: Below the 8H SAR, there is a clear imbalance (FVG) down to the 12H/Daily SAR levels ($61.4k – $60.7k).

​Strategic Positioning:
I am maintaining my short entry from $70,367. The $68.8k "jump" was a classic Short-Squeeze Liquidity Hunt—it didn't change the macro structure.

​Conclusion: If the 8-hour candle fails to reclaim the $68,500 Value Area High, gravity will likely take us to the $60,535 Daily SAR pivot. This is a game of patience and data, not emotion. 

​Are you watching the volume delta on these bounces? To me, it looks like institutional distribution. Let’s track the flip. 📊

​📊 Institutional Data Update:
​Spot CVD: Remains strongly negative, confirming aggressive taker-sell dominance.

​On-Chain Flow: A $172M BTC deposit (2,500 BTC) recently hit Binance. Fresh sell-side liquidity is ready.

​Options Skew: Professional traders are paying a 20% premium for downside protection (Puts). The smart money is hedging for the $60,770 SAR flip. 

​#BTC #WhaleAlert #InstitutionalTrading #CryptoAnalysis #OrderFlow

$MDT Measurable Data Token (MDT) is the cryptocurrency of the Measurable Data Protocol, a blockchain-based data exchange platform. Here's a review of MDT, covering its price performance, technical indicators, and predictions:

* Recent Performance: MDT has shown significant price volatility. It experienced a surge in late 2021, reaching a high of $0.177, but has since experienced corrections. As of late August 2024, it is trading around $0.045.
* Technical Indicators: MDT is currently exhibiting a bullish signal with a potential crossover of the 200-day moving average. This pattern has historically led to profitable gains. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests that MDT might be oversold, indicating a potential price rebound.
* Volatility: MDT is considered a highly volatile asset, with an estimated volatility of 3.79%. This implies that investors should be prepared for significant price swings.
Fundamental Analysis:
* Measurable Data Protocol: MDT's value is tied to the success and adoption of the Measurable Data Protocol. This platform aims to provide a decentralized and transparent system for data exchange, potentially disrupting the traditional data market.
* Community and Development: MDT has a strong community and active development team. The project has received high scores for community metrics, sentiment, and credibility from some analytical platforms. However, it has received lower scores for awareness and development.
Analyst Predictions:
* Price Targets: Predictions for MDT's future price vary. Some analysts suggest potential growth to $0.1342 by 2025, while others are more conservative.

Bitcoin bull market at risk, 7 indicators warn of BTC price 'cycle top'

Bitcoin onchain indicators are already cautioning over possible distribution of coins by investors despite sky-high BTC price targets.

“Historically, when IBCI reaches 100%, the market tends to enter correction phases and develop a bear market.”

Bitcoin Puell Multiple. Source: CryptoQuant

$BTC extraordinary greed and carried out by a group of price manipulators

If you look closely, you will see the same nominal at the Bid and Ask positions!

This is proof that prices are indeed controlled and regulated

$BTC
what is happening now is continuing to maintain high prices and trying to touch and pass the previous highest price

the current transactions do not reflect the actual supply and demand in the market, but show Bid and Ask transactions between accounts owned by a group of price manipulators
(move one pocket to another)

this group continues to carry out activities like normal trading and aims to set the price position they want.

#greed

$BTC tremendous price increase, good cooperation between greed and price manipulators

Maintaining the price at a high position and trying to keep increasing it

Keep in mind, the graph algorithm runs according to its program and cannot be forced to change.

$BTC insatiable greed, led by whales and price manipulators to increase the price of btc...

$BTC Traders' insatiable greed, led them to chase the rising btc price, oblivious to the looming risk of a market correction...

$BTC bearish, cause selling pressure still continues

the buying volume which lifts $BTC price, and it's temporary

$BTC bearish

#MarketDownturn This decline is not only happening in the crypto market, but also in the global stock market, especially in Asia-Pacific Japan's Nikkei 225 index fell by 7%, extending the downtrend that began last week after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) announced plans to raise its benchmark interest rate to its highest level in 16 years
This tighter monetary policy has raised concerns among investors, triggering a sell-off in various risky assets, including crypto
In the next few months, selling pressure will still dominate
Estimate that btc will possibly touch deeper and this will really shake the crypto market
Hold on and let the market improve its position to be able to rebound, buying on the dip is still the main target...

Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing
Warren Buffett
#education, risk

Rule No.1: Never lose money,
Rule No.2 : Never forget Rule No.1.

Warren Buffett
#finance, money

$BTC it's correction, not dump
with that correction, btc have a narrow space to reach new ath
after halving, possible real correction may occur...

$IOTX not yet touch it's all time high, yet it's price quite stable

backed by a global team with 60+ research scientist and engineer, it's a matter of time $IOTX will sky rocket...

#Buy #Hold #Longbuy

$AXL about time to massively buy...

if all (small) traders/investors together buy at low right now, it should be pumping and liquidated all short position (which is dominating by big players)

#AXL #LongBuy

$AXL how dip can u go....

$AXL $ETH $BTC $ SOL $ BNB, time to buy...

$BTC keeps trying to climb*, but there is not enough space ...
one direction that can widen the space, which is the opposite*

#deeper, #better

leave your comment for on progress position and details analysis