Even though there is a lot of hype surrounding gold and silver right now (their parabolic moves are awesome and long overdue),
I think it's foolish to lose sight of how superior Bitcoin is and its price potential.
I have no doubt that BTC will see its own meteoric rise, on its own time, whether that starts in 1 month, 1 year or 4 more years.
I am confident Bitcoin will continue to outperform gold and silver on a long-term basis.
Patience rewards, as always.
It's unwise to chase parabolic moves, especially those that are well advanced. Instead, it's a time for setting trailing stop losses if you are already invested. It's not a time for chasing.
My long term bullishness for $BTC has not lessened at all, even in light of gold and silver's big moves while BTC goes sideways.
Congrats to the people holding gold & silver, as they've waited a LONG TIME to see such a move up. They deserve it, as far as I'm concerned.
I hold a tiny bit of silver and it's nice to see it finally make some big moves, but my eye is still on Bitcoin. There is simpy too much global adoption that has yet to be fulfilled by BTC. In a technological world, digital value is clearly the right place to be positioned.
$BTC
You probably remember the infamous “14th” pivot, the zone where we took shorts and saw a -5.7% drop.
The next LTF pivot to watch is January 3rd. As you’ve likely noticed, after the measured move down from the 14th, BTC saw some relief. That’s something we could see again if price follows a similar structure.
Either way, January 3rd is a key level to monitor, with the new yearly open in play. And once again, the 14th is shaping up to be a major confluence area where volatility is likely to pick up.
As always, I’ll be watching the underlying narrative into these pivots and reacting accordingly.
The most important $BTC chart you will see.
140D after the top, BTC forms a pivot high into a bear market.
70 days after an ATH, Bitcoin tends to form either a pivot low or a pivot high, depending on the prevailing narrative going into that window.
Right now, the dominant narrative is bearish, which strengthens the case for a pivot low forming in this region. If that plays out, we likely see a push higher into January–February, where a pivot high could form as seen in previous cycles.
From there, a 20–30% correction sometime next year would be a very reasonable expectation.
THE QUIET HEIST
$22,322,400,000,000
That’s the US money supply as of November 2025.
Up 4.3% this year.
21 straight months of expansion.
A new all-time high.
Now $570 billion ABOVE the March 2022 peak that sparked 9% inflation.
But here’s what they won’t tell you:
Real M2—adjusted for inflation—rose only 1.5%.
That 2.8% gap?
That’s not a rounding error.
That’s your purchasing power being siphoned in broad daylight.
Since 2000, money supply has grown 6.3% annually.
Your wages didn’t.
Your savings didn’t.
Your rent sure as hell did.
THE MECHANISM
Velocity sits at 1.2—the lowest since the 1930s.
Money isn’t circulating. It’s pooling.
In money market funds earning 5%.
In bank reserves collecting interest.
In asset prices you can’t afford.
The system pays the wealthy to hoard while printing to infinity.
This isn’t inflation.
This is architecture.
THE TRAP
When velocity reverses—and it always does—the $22 trillion overhang doesn’t disappear.
It releases.
Into yields. Into rents. Into everything priced in dollars.
The inflation you felt in 2022 was the appetizer.
The money supply just set the table for the main course.
FALSIFIER
M2 YoY turns negative.
Until then, every dollar you hold is a melting ice cube.
Where does the dilution land next—your mortgage rate, your grocery bill, or your paycheck?
The answer determines who survives.
[Fed H.6 Dec 23, 2025 | FRED M2SL | FRED M2REAL]
$BTC
$BTC
The LTF chop may be painful, which is exactly why HTF context is key.
Right now, we’re sitting at weekly resistance on USDT.D, and until that level is clearly broken, it should be treated as such. If we do break above it, the next logical expansion is roughly to 8%+, putting BTC in the 60–70K range.
In my view, that move would be far too soon. Its been 2 months since ATH.
Because of that, I expect continued range behavior and chop beneath this weekly/monthly resistance for now. The market needs time to build, exhaust liquidity, and reset sentiment before any meaningful continuation higher.
🚨 Peter Schiff, 2018:
“Don’t buy Bitcoin at $3,800. At $750 it would still be expensive.”
Bitcoin today: $88,000+
23x wrong. The worst public call in financial media history.
Three weeks ago in Dubai, CZ handed him a gold bar.
“Is it real?”
Uncle Schiff: “I don’t know.”
The world’s loudest gold advocate cannot verify gold in his own hands.
Gold requires destruction to prove authenticity.
Bitcoin verifies itself every 10 minutes.
This is the verification cost inversion. The shift everyone missed.
THE SCOREBOARD:
Bitcoin since 2011: +1,800,000%
Gold since 2011: +165%
Schiff accuracy: 0%
THE INSTITUTIONAL VERDICT:
BlackRock #1 product: Bitcoin ($70B)
US Treasury: Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
Saylor’s Strategy: 671,268+ BTC ($60B)
Schiff’s son Spencer: Bitcoin holder
His own blood defected.
He admitted his “biggest mistake” was underestimating “gullibility.”
No. His biggest mistake was 14 years of confusing wrong with contrarian.
BUT HERE’S THE REAL JOKE:
Peter Schiff keynotes Bitcoin conferences.
Bitcoin Conference Las Vegas. BTC meetups worldwide.
Takes their fees. Builds his brand on their audience.
His anti-Bitcoin tweets outperform his gold content 100 to 1.
He’s not bearish on Bitcoin.
Bitcoin IS his marketing strategy.
The loudest critic is the most Bitcoin-dependent gold salesman alive.
Every reply funds the troll.
Including this one.
Gold had a year.
Bitcoin had an era.
The blockchain doesn’t forget.
Gold bugs: Quote-tweet your fury.
Bitcoiners: Retweet the receipts.
Only one satisfying group retires early.
The math already chose.
Well played, Peter!! Well played mate!
You turned wrong into an empire.
We are all your exit liquidity.
And you’re welcome.
🫡
$BTC
Important questions:
1. Can you identify whether current market conditions favor trend, momentum, or mean reversion?
2. Do you have a playbook for each regime with sizing, entries, stop placement, and trade management adjusted accordingly?
3. Do you know what would invalidate your read and signal a shift?
If you can answer these questions - great, keep going.
If you have no idea - you now have a productive place to start.
Your system will never perfectly answer all of these with a perfect win rate.
But thinking about these variables and improving your system over time is what separates a trader from a gambler.
$BTC
🌈 MINI RÉSUMÉ TRADING
🎓 Objectif : comprendre, sécuriser, éviter les pièges
🧩 LES BASES (OBLIGATOIRE)
🎯 Objectif : savoir où tu mets les pieds
✅ C’est quoi Binance
✅ C’est quoi une crypto
✅ Différence investir / trader
✅ Pourquoi les prix montent et descendent
🧠 Sans bases = erreurs garanties
🧩 LE MODE DÉBUTANT (SPOT)
🎯 Objectif : ne pas prendre de risques inutiles
✅ Trading Spot uniquement
❌ Pas de Futures
❌ Pas d’effet de levier
🧠 Tu achètes vraiment la crypto
🧩 LES BOUTONS À CONNAÎTRE
🎯 Objectif : cliquer sans paniquer 😄
🟢 Ordre Marché → acheter/vendre tout de suite
🔵 Ordre Limite → choisir ton prix
🔴 Stop-Loss → protéger ton capital
🟣 Take Profit → sécuriser ton gain
🧠 Un trade sans stop-loss = un danger
🧩 FAIRE UN TRADE PAS À PAS
🎯 Objectif : savoir trader proprement
1️⃣ Choisir une crypto simple ($BTC , $ETH , $BNB )
2️⃣ Définir ton entrée
3️⃣ Placer stop-loss
4️⃣ Placer take profit
5️⃣ Laisser faire
🧠 Plan d’abord, clic ensuite
🧩 LA PSYCHOLOGIE (LE PLUS IMPORTANT)
🎯 Objectif : ne pas saboter tes trades
😱 FOMO → acheter dans la panique
📉 FUD → vendre par peur
😤 Revenge trading → vouloir se refaire
🤑 Greed → ne jamais vouloir vendre
🧠 Le trader perd quand il n’écoute plus son plan
🧩 LA CHECK-LIST AVANT CHAQUE TRADE
🎯 Objectif : discipline & régularité
☐ Suis-je calme ?
☐ Ai-je un plan ?
☐ Stop-loss placé ?
☐ Montant raisonnable ?
🧠 Si une réponse est NON → pas de trade
🧩 RÈGLES D’OR DU DÉBUTANT
✨ À graver dans ton esprit :
✅ Commencer petit
✅ Protéger avant de gagner
❌ Ne jamais forcer un trade
❌ Ne jamais suivre la foule
🌟 RÉSULTAT DU MINI RÉSUMÉ
🎓 Tu sais :
✔️ Où cliquer
✔️ Quoi éviter
✔️ Comment te protéger
✔️ Pourquoi tu trades
💖 Tu ne deviens pas riche vite… mais tu évites de devenir pauvre vite 😄
Excellente journée 🥰
Bienveillament ✨️,
#PATRICIABM 🌹💖💫