binanceresearch

ИТОГИ 2025 В КРИПТЕ И КЛЮЧЕВЫЕ ТЕМЫ НА 2026 от #BinanceResearch

2025 стал годом, когда рынок заметно “повзрослел”: меньше историй про «хайп», больше — про инфраструктуру, институциональные деньги и реальное использование
Что важного в цифрах и выводах:
1) #биткоин окончательно стал “макро‑активом”
BTC все больше выглядит как ликвидный инструмент институционального уровня:
🟢$21B+ чистых притоков в спотовые BTC‑ETF в США
🟢доминирование BTC держалось около 58–60% большую часть года (капитал концентрировался)
2) #DeFi начал зарабатывать как реальный бизнес
🟢В 2025 году топовые DeFi-проекты заработали $16,2 млрд. Для понимания: это больше, чем годовая прибыль биржи Nasdaq ($7,4 млрд) или CME Group ($6,1 млрд)
3) #Стейблкоины — это новый «интернет-фиат»
🟢Годовой объем транзакций в стейблах $33 трлн — в два раза больше, чем у Visa
4) #RWA выходят в лидеры
🟢Впервые TVL в RWA ($17B) обогнал TVL DEX
5) #BNB Chain — лидер для всех: от обычных людей до фондов
🟢Объем торгов на DEX вырос на 164%, достигая $7 млрд в день
🟢Сеть стала базой для институциональных продуктов (тот же фонд от BlackRock)
🟢15–18 млн транзакций и до 4,5 млн активных пользователей в день
ПОЧЕМУ 2026 ГОД ВЫГЛЯДИТ МНОГООБЕЩАЮЩЕ? 🚀
Криптовалюта окончательно стала макро-активом: теперь её курс зависит от глобальной ликвидности и ставок сильнее, чем от внутренних циклов. Прогноз на 2026 год позитивен: снижение ставок и рост денежной массы (M2) исторически всегда толкали крипту вверх. Благодаря ETF приток институциональных денег стал постоянным, превращая крипту из спекуляции в обязательную часть инвестирования

Binance Research menyelesaikan tahun 2025 dan menunjukkan mengapa tahun ini menjadi titik industri kripto — serta apa yang menanti industri ini di tahun 2026.

Poin utama tahun 2025
• Kripto berpindah dari spekulasi ke ekonomi infrastruktur: pendapatan nyata, aliran institusional, dan adopsi massal.

Menurut laporan terbaru Binance Research, pasar kripto sedang berada di ambang perubahan besar dan beralih ke model operasional baru. Transformasi ini dipengaruhi oleh beberapa faktor utama yang mencerminkan kedewasaan industri serta pengaruh eksternal yang semakin meningkat.
Peneliti Binance mengidentifikasi tren-tren berikut yang membentuk model baru:

Despite the digital asset market closing 2025 on a relatively weak note, the broader crypto industry is showing clear signs of a structural transformation. Rather than being driven primarily by retail momentum trading, the market is gradually shifting toward an ecosystem shaped by institutional capital, long-term holding strategies, and deeper integration with traditional finance.
This is the central conclusion of Binance Research’s latest weekly macro report, which describes the current phase as a “structural inflection point” for digital assets. According to the report, several emerging catalysts — including potential government accumulation in developing markets and renewed legislative efforts in the United States — are laying the groundwork for a more institutionalized crypto market.
From Retail Momentum to Structural Adoption
Binance Research notes that crypto markets are moving away from short-term, sentiment-driven cycles dominated by retail traders. Instead, capital allocation decisions are increasingly influenced by balance-sheet strategies, regulatory clarity, and portfolio diversification considerations at the institutional level.
This transition began accelerating after the approval of US spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024. While that milestone marked the first wave of institutional adoption, Binance argues the market has now entered a second institutional wave, characterized by deeper participation from traditional financial institutions — not just as distributors, but as product creators and market architects.
Morgan Stanley Signals a New Phase of Institutional Involvement
As evidence of this shift, Binance Research highlights recent S-1 filings by Morgan Stanley related to Bitcoin and Solana ETFs. These filings suggest that major Wall Street firms are beginning to take on dual roles: both distributing crypto investment products and actively shaping them from inception.
This development represents a meaningful escalation in institutional engagement. Rather than passively offering crypto exposure to clients, large financial institutions are positioning themselves as first movers in a rapidly evolving digital asset management segment.
Binance Research suggests that this early positioning could place competitive pressure on other major financial players such as Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, potentially forcing them to accelerate their own crypto strategies to avoid falling behind in a new and growing asset class.
MSCI Risk for Digital Asset Treasury Firms Temporarily Eases
The report also revisits concerns that previously weighed on companies holding significant digital assets on their corporate balance sheets — often referred to as Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) firms. These companies faced the risk of being removed from MSCI indices, a move that could have triggered up to $10 billion in forced selling.
However, this risk has temporarily subsided following MSCI’s decision not to exclude DAT companies from its market indices at this time. While not a permanent resolution, the announcement has reduced near-term structural selling pressure and removed a key overhang from the market.
Macro Environment May Favor Crypto Into 2026
From a macroeconomic perspective, Binance Research views the current environment as potentially supportive for digital assets heading into 2026. One key factor is the growing push for portfolio diversification, particularly as investors reassess their exposure to highly concentrated equity markets.
The report points to the sustained valuation premium of the so-called “Magnificent Seven” technology stocks, where enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence has driven market returns into a narrow group of mega-cap companies. In 2025 alone, the top 10 companies in the S&P 500 accounted for approximately 53% of the index’s total gains, raising concerns about crowding and concentration risk.
As a result, institutional investors may increasingly seek alternative sources of return and diversification, creating a gradual but persistent tailwind for digital assets as part of broader multi-asset portfolios.
Is the Bitcoin Four-Year Cycle Losing Relevance?
Binance Research also highlights growing debate around the long-standing four-year Bitcoin cycle model. Some market participants argue that collective expectations around this cycle may now be influencing behavior in ways that undermine the model itself.
One investor on X outlined a scenario in which widespread belief that 2026 will be a “down year” leads to accelerated selling in 2025. This early selling pressure could effectively pull forward the downturn, breaking the traditional cycle and leaving 2026 as a more open-ended environment for price discovery.
Notably, Bitcoin is currently up approximately 2.5% year-to-date in 2025, adding further nuance to the discussion. If institutional capital continues to accumulate steadily, historical cycle patterns may give way to structural demand-driven dynamics.
Conclusion
Binance Research’s latest analysis suggests that crypto markets are entering a new phase — one defined less by speculative retail flows and more by institutional strategy, regulatory integration, and macro-driven allocation decisions. With firms like Morgan Stanley taking a leading role, the second institutional wave could reshape how digital assets are valued and positioned within global portfolios.
While risks and uncertainties remain, the broader direction points toward deeper structural adoption rather than short-lived speculative cycles.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Readers should conduct their own research before making any financial decisions. The author is not responsible for any investment outcomes.
👉 Follow for more crypto market insights, institutional trends, and macro analysis.
#BinanceResearch #CryptoNews

1. Pemulihan pasar dan inisiatif politik:
Pada bulan Januari 2025, kapitalisasi pasar kripto mencapai $3,76 triliun berkat kebijakan pemerintahan Trump, termasuk rencana untuk menciptakan cadangan kripto nasional dan regulasi stablecoin. Namun, pada akhir bulan, pertumbuhan melambat karena keberhasilan startup AI DeepSeek, yang menyebabkan koreksi 2% di sektor kripto dan pasar saham AS.

🚀 Token AI Sedang Booming: Apakah Ini Awal dari Bull Run Crypto Selanjutnya?
Saat revolusi kecerdasan buatan semakin cepat, dunia crypto melihat lonjakan parallel—token bertenaga AI mencuri perhatian dan melampaui pasar. Sementara Bitcoin mengkonsolidasikan dan Ethereum merayu dengan peningkatan skalabilitas, token AI seperti $FET , $AGIX, dan $RNDR telah melonjak lebih dari 100–300% dalam beberapa bulan terakhir. Apa yang mendorong hype ini—apakah ini hanya permulaan?

🔍 Mengapa Token AI Meningkat?
Minat AI Global yang Besar:

🚀 Binance: Raksasa di Jantung Inovasi Crypto di 2025
Oleh [Nama Anda] | Juli 2025
Apakah Anda seorang pemula crypto atau trader berpengalaman, ada satu nama yang tidak bisa Anda abaikan — Binance. Dengan lebih dari $262 miliar dalam volume perdagangan bulanan dan layanan di lebih dari 100 negara, Binance berdiri kokoh sebagai bursa cryptocurrency terbesar di dunia.
Mari kita eksplorasi bagaimana Binance terus membentuk masa depan crypto di 2025.
---
📈 Binance dalam Angka: Dominasi Pasar
Volume Perdagangan Spot (Juni 2025): $262,4 miliar