THX738

I don’t advise futures trading — not because it’s impossible to win, but because it’s structurally designed to destroy small capital.
Let’s start with leverage. Futures amplify everything: gains, losses, emotions, and mistakes. A 1–2% price move against you can wipe out weeks or months of progress. According to exchange statistics, over 70–90% of retail futures traders lose money, and most of those losses come from leverage, fees, and liquidations — not bad analysis.
Now compare this with trading alpha coins (spot or no leverage).
Alpha coins move differently.
It’s normal to see 20–100% moves over days or weeks. Volatility works for you, not against you. There are no liquidations, no funding fees, and no forced closes. Your position can survive noise, manipulation, and time.
Risk vs Reward Comparison
Futures trading:
Small price moves (1–3%)High leverageFunding fees every 4-8 hours (1hour)High commissions due to overtradingLiquidation risk = total lossTime works against you
Alpha coin trading (spot):
Large asymmetric movesNo liquidationNo funding feesLower psychological pressureTime can work in your favorCapital remains alive
Now let’s talk about micro balances.
Most people don’t trade futures because it’s smart — they trade them because their capital is small. When you have $200 or $500, slow growth feels meaningless. So people chase leverage, hoping for fast results. What they actually chase is their last chance.
That’s how poor traders get poorer.
I know this firsthand.
Over three years of futures trading, I irreversibly lost more than $15,000. Not in one blow — slowly, through fees, funding, overtrading, and liquidations. On futures, once you’re liquidated, the money is gone forever. U may be more lucky, and win all time thinking u are smart enough, untill smth unpredictable happened...
With alpha coins, even bad entries leave you something: time and probability. A new cycle, a new narrative, a second chance. Futures offer none of that.
The Real Lesson
Trading is not about maximizing profit.
It’s about surviving long enough to let probability work.
Capital preservation beats any strategy.
Because without capital, skill doesn’t matter.
Futures don’t forgive mistakes.Spot alpha sometimes does.
And that difference decides who stays in the market — and who disappears from it.
#PreciousMetalsTurbulence #ALPHA🔥 #USIranStandoff #MarketCorrection

Why Most “Trading Advice” Accounts Don’t Trade at All
Many accounts that give trading advice don’t actually trade. In reality, around 90% of them risk nothing but their reputation. They make money not from the market, but from #Write2Earn posts, referrals, ads, and paid groups. When their ideas fail, it’s not their capital on the line — it’s yours. This creates a dangerous imbalance: followers take real financial risk, while “gurus” collect views and engagement. Their goal is consistency in content, not consistency in profits. Always remember: if someone truly had a reliable edge, they wouldn’t need to give #signals daily.
Only ~48.5 % of copy-trading followers were profitable over the period.
While ~97 % of leaders showed positive profit on their own accounts, only **~43.6 % of those leaders actually generated positive returns for followers.
This means even among traders people choose to follow, fewer than half delivered profitable results for the followers.
In a small competition reported on a trading platform (not Binance itself), only 19 out of 100 “top influencers” remained profitable, and many lost most of their starting capital.
They Don’t Trade — You Do (With Your Money)!
#MarketCorrection #PreciousMetalsTurbulence #USIranStandoff $BTC

#TrumpCancelsEUTariffThreat

Beberapa bulan yang lalu, saya berpikir "pintar" dan menutup semua posisi spot saya (Anda bisa menemukan postingan saya tentang itu) untuk menunggu dalam bentuk tunai.
Tentu saja, itu tidak menghentikan saya untuk kehilangan semua uang itu pada masa depan selama ini.
Tapi akui saja — idenya sendiri benar, kan?
Jangan tanya saya bagaimana saya sampai pada kesimpulan bahwa 2026 akan menjadi tahun kehancuran crypto.
Dalam pandangan saya, itu adalah skenario yang jelas, sama seperti bagi orang lain 2×2=5.
Jadi apa yang akan terjadi ketika $BTC jatuh lebih jauh?
Saat itulah kepanikan nyata dan devaluasi crypto akan dimulai.

Penjualan terakhir berdampak pada logam, kripto, dan ekuitas secara bersamaan.
Emas dan perak turun tajam, kripto mengalami miliaran dalam likuidasi paksa, dan saham menilai ulang risiko dalam hitungan menit.
Snapshot likuidasi:
Kripto: ~$3–6B dilikuidasi di seluruh mayor dalam 24 jam ($BTC , $ETH , alt leverage)
Pasar berjangka: >80% posisi ritel dihapus pada leverage tinggi
Logam & ekuitas: pergerakan risiko terkait di seluruh meja makro
Mengapa Strategi Gagal dalam Perubahan Regime
Sistem perdagangan bekerja dalam regime yang stabil.
Ketika pesanan makro runtuh—guncangan kebijakan, perang tarif, kekacauan fiskal—pasar berhenti berperilaku secara statistik.

Penutupan pemerintah AS terjadi ketika Kongres gagal meloloskan anggaran federal.
Hasil: bagian-bagian pemerintah benar-benar berhenti bekerja. Karyawan diberhentikan, layanan membeku, pasar menjadi gugup.
Ini bukan kecelakaan. Ini adalah perang politik.
Siapa yang Diuntungkan dari Penutupan?
1) Politisi
Penutupan adalah alat tawar. Setiap pihak menggunakannya untuk memaksa konsesi, menggerakkan pemilih, dan menyalahkan pihak lain.
2) Trader dan Hedge Funds
Volatilitas meningkat. Hasil obligasi, emas, dan perdagangan volatilitas USD menjadi menguntungkan.

Iran bukanlah tujuan. Ini adalah mekanismenya.
Keterpaduan Tersembunyi
Sekilas, ketegangan seputar Iran tampak seperti bab terpisah dalam geopolitik global.
Dalam kenyataannya, mereka masuk ke dalam siklus strategi energi yang lebih panjang yang sebelumnya terjadi di Amerika Latin.
Kampanye tekanan terhadap Venezuela menunjukkan bagaimana harga, sanksi, dan akses pasokan dapat digunakan sebagai alat geopolitik. Guncangan baru di Timur Tengah tidak akan bertentangan dengan logika itu - itu akan melengkapinya.
Harga sebagai Instrumen Strategis
Pasar energi bukan hanya sistem ekonomi.

Mari kita jujur:
bagi sebagian besar orang di planet ini, tidak ada yang peduli siapa yang menjalankan Fed atau apakah suku bunga AS 4%, 5%, atau 1%. Sewa, makanan, bahan bakar, utang — itulah kenyataannya. Powell, suku bunga, grafik titik — suara latar belakang.
Tapi pasar peduli.
Dan di situlah masalah dimulai.
Federal Reserve dirancang untuk menjadi independen. Hari ini, itu tidak. Itu terjebak — oleh politik, oleh pasar, oleh ekspektasi yang tidak bisa lagi mereka kendalikan. Ketika desas-desus beredar bahwa seorang eksekutif BlackRock bisa menjadi Ketua Fed berikutnya, independensi menjadi lelucon. Itu bukan kebijakan moneter — itu konsolidasi kekuasaan.

Kecelakaan kripto terbaru tidak terjadi secara terpisah. Penurunan tajam Bitcoin, kenaikan agresif emas, retorika suku bunga manipulatif Trump, dan distorsi moneter Jepang adalah semua bagian dari stres sistem yang sama.
Mulai dengan $BTC
Penurunan ini bukan tentang fundamental. Ini tentang posisi. Leverage sangat ekstrem, terutama menjelang akhir pekan. Ketika likuiditas menipis, harga tidak 'jatuh' — itu meluncur melalui buku kosong, memicu likuidasi paksa. Bitcoin bertindak sebagai katup tekanan risiko global, persis seperti yang selalu dilakukannya.

If someone publishes futures setups everyday, they are not trading — they are producing content.
Most of these “experts” focus on short-term moves of 1–3%. On paper it looks easy. In reality, fees, funding, slippage, and bad timing turn those tiny moves into consistent losses. According to exchange data and independent studies, 70–90% of retail futures traders lose money, and the majority of losses come from overtrading and short holding periods.
High-frequency setups mean:
More trades
More fees
More funding payments
More emotional mistakes
Even if the win rate looks decent, the risk-reward is terrible. One bad liquidation wipes out ten “successful” trades.
Now the obvious question:
If these people are real trading experts, why don’t they trade the same few pairs?
Experienced traders usually specialize. They master one market, one asset, one behavior pattern. It’s easier, more predictable, and more profitable. But content gurus jump from coin to coin every day — because new coins mean new charts, new hype, and new engagement.
They are not optimizing profits. They are optimizing attention.
A single high-conviction trade held for several days often outperforms dozens of tiny futures scalps. Fewer fees, less funding, clearer structure, better psychology.
Real traders wait.
Content traders post.
And the market knows the difference.

Trading di akhir pekan adalah ilusi yang sempurna. Grafik bergerak, lilin tercetak, harapan bertahan — tetapi saldo Anda perlahan mati. Sementara Anda menunggu untuk "gerakan besar," #FundingRates sedang melakukan tugas mereka, memakan akun Anda satu siklus pada satu waktu.
Likuiditas di akhir pekan sangat tipis. Sangat tipis. Itu berarti spread lebih lebar, sumbu acak, dan pergerakan harga yang ada hanya untuk memburu stop. Tidak ada volume nyata, tidak ada tren nyata — hanya kebisingan dan jebakan. Analisis teknis? Hiasan.
Harga dapat tetap datar selama dua hari, namun saldo Anda menyusut. Bukan karena Anda salah, tetapi karena Anda tetap terbuka. Pendanaan tidak peduli tentang arah, bias, atau kesabaran. Itu mengenakan biaya kepada Anda hanya karena ada.

Gold does not believe in speeches, summits, or “historic peace agreements.” It reacts only to risk. Every major war of the last century proves the same rule: when global order cracks, gold reprices instantly.
During World War II, gold-backed currencies became the last anchor of trust. During the Iraq War (2003), gold rose over 25% in two years as oil shocks and military spending exploded deficits. After 2020, amid global conflict escalation and sanctions warfare, central banks bought over 1,000 tons of gold annually, the highest level in modern history.
Markets understand something politicians won’t say: modern wars are economic first. Sanctions freeze reserves, debt replaces diplomacy, and fiat currencies are weaponized. This is why $XAU /USDT matters. It removes banks, borders, and governments from the equation — pure fear pricing against a synthetic dollar.
“Peace” usually brings short-term pullbacks. Ceasefires reduce headlines, yields rise, and gold pauses. But unresolved debt, fractured supply chains, and multipolar power struggles keep long-term pressure intact.
Gold doesn’t rally because war starts.
Gold rallies because the system breaks.
XAU/USDT is not optimism.
It’s a hedge against lies. $BTC
#WEFDavos2026 #GoldSilverAtRecordHighs

Why a 2026 Crypto #BullRunAhead Is a Delusion
Every major crypto cycle has peaked 12–18 months after a Bitcoin halving. By historical standards, 2026 sits firmly in the late-stage decay of the cycle, where liquidity exits and narratives replace fundamentals. Betting on a fresh bull run at this point is not analysis — it’s denial.
This time, the macro backdrop is worse. The world is sliding into political fragmentation and a new, unstable global order. US politics resemble a reality show, with figures like Trump injecting chaos, ego, and unpredictability into markets that depend on trust and stability.
Meanwhile, US Treasuries are being quietly dumped and monetized, exposing structural cracks in the global financial system. This is not the environment where speculative assets explode upward. Without expanding liquidity and political coherence, a 2026 bull run isn’t delayed — it’s structurally impossible.
Number of Failed #Cryptocurrencies by Year
➡️ 2021: 2,584 tokens
➡️ 2022: 213,075 tokens
➡️ 2023: 245,049 tokens
➡️ 2024: 1,382,010 tokens
➡️ 2025: 11,564,909 tokens
$BTC $ETH #TrumpTariffs

#TrumpTariffsOnEurope #TrumpCancelsEUTariffThreat #StrategyBTCPurchase

Trading futures on #Binance may look attractive because of high leverage and the promise of quick profits, but for most traders it is a losing game. The main risk is leverage itself. Even small market movements can wipe out an entire position, leading to fast #Liquidations that leave no room for recovery.
Another problem is funding fees. Many beginners underestimate how these periodic payments slowly drain their balance, even when the market moves sideways. Over time, this turns trading into a negative-sum game for retail users.
Emotions also play a major role. Futures trading encourages overtrading, revenge trades, and poor risk management, especially in a highly volatile crypto market. Combined with fees, slippage, and liquidation mechanics, the odds are heavily stacked against inexperienced traders.
For most people, spot trading or long-term investing is far more sustainable than trying to beat the #futures market on Binance.

#MarketRebound