📊 Current Market Position: Late Recovery → Early Expansion (Based on current market structure, sentiment, and behavior (especially in crypto / BTC-led markets), the market is most likely here in the cycle)
▫️1. Price Structure • Markets have already bottomed earlier • Higher lows are forming • Major supports are holding • Breakouts are happening, but without full mania 👉 This is not a capitulation zone anymore 👉 Also not euphoria yet
▫️2. Sentiment Check • Many people still say: • “This rally won’t last” • “It’s just a bounce” • “Macro is still bad” • Retail participation is returning slowly, not aggressively • Fear hasn’t fully flipped to greed
👉 That is classic Disbelief / Hope psychology
▫️3. Liquidity & Behavior • Smart money already accumulated earlier • Now they are adding on pullbacks, not distributing • Volatility exists, but panic selling is gone
👉 This matches early bull cycle behavior
▫️ 4. What Is NOT Happening (Important) • No widespread leverage madness • No “everyone is a genius” mindset yet • No nonstop vertical candles across all assets
🚫 That means we are not at Euphoria or Market Top
🟠 BITCOIN PSYCHOLOGY (Leads the Cycle)
Current BTC Phase:
Optimism → Belief (early expansion)
BTC behavior: • Breaks structure first • Holds higher lows • Moves steadily, not explosively • Pullbacks get bought quickly
Psychology: • Institutions & smart money confident • Retail still cautious • Media neutral-to-positive
📌 BTC always moves first
🔵 ALTCOINS PSYCHOLOGY (Lag the Cycle)
Current ALT Phase:
Disbelief → Hope (very early)
ALT behavior: • Many still down 60–90% from highs • Sharp pumps followed by deep pullbacks • Weak hands exit early • Narratives just starting to form
Psychology: • “Alts are dead” • “BTC only market” • Low conviction • Fear of holding alts
BTC has reclaimed and accepted above the 94K–95.5K zone, flipping previous resistance into support. Market structure remains bullish as long as price holds above the key demand region.
🔹 Bias: Bullish continuation 🔹 Plan: Buy the dip, not chase
Grazie a tutti coloro che hanno fatto affidamento sulla mia strategia e mi hanno seguito🤍 Posizione long ZEN da 9,73 → 12,90 ha generato un ritorno sull'investimento superiore al 300% con un leverage di 10×. Disciplina, pazienza e gestione corretta del rischio pagano sempre. Prossimamente setup più strutturati 🚀 Esecuzione long eccellente. Continuazione rialzista confermata, ma la protezione dei profitti è fondamentale in questa fase
📌Chiusura parziale ora 📌spostare lo SL al pareggio
This is a bullish recovery structure, not a bearish one.
Why bullish: • Strong support held at 1.30–1.35 after a prolonged downtrend. • A clear double bottom is forming → classic reversal signal. • Descending channel is being exited, showing trend pressure is easing. • Price reclaimed key moving averages and followed with an impulse move → short-term control shifting to buyers. • Volume response is healthy, with no aggressive selling.
What keeps it bullish: • As long as 1.35 holds, upside continuation remains the primary scenario. • Magnet zones above: • 1.90–2.05 (liquidity + volume cluster) • 2.20–2.30 (0.618 + supply interaction) • 2.70–2.80 (major upside target / prior distribution)
Invalidation / risk: • A daily close back below 1.35 would weaken the setup and reopen deeper correction risk.
Bottom line: 📈 Market bias: Bullish continuation, but it’s a structured recovery, not a vertical rally. Patience and level-by-level reaction matter
This setup is not bullish yet. It’s a counter-trend bounce after a decline, and price is now reacting at a supply + Fib resistance zone.
Key reasons it’s bearish-biased: • The upside move looks like a relief bounce, not a structure flip • Price is stalling at $0.60 (0.236 Fib + local level) • EMA compression after a spike → typical pullback signal • No strong demand above, while liquidity sits lower around $0.55 • Volume profile supports a move down to collect liquidity
👉 So the trade idea aligns with a short / pullback continuation, not trend reversal.
Bias summary: • Short-term: Bearish / corrective • Medium-term: Neutral until $0.60–$0.62 is reclaimed and held
If price accepts above $0.62 with volume, then the bias would shift. Until then, sellers have the edge. 📉
Buying SOL below $145 right now is more likely to lead to losses rather than gains. That zone sits beneath a critical support area, and a breakdown below it would signal weakening market structure and renewed selling pressure. Instead of acting as a value-buying opportunity, sub-$145 levels could trap buyers in a bearish continuation move, exposing positions to deeper downside before any meaningful recovery. Patience and confirmation are essential here—aggressive buying below $145 carries higher risk than reward.
Wait patiently. Rushing into trades without confirmation often leads to unnecessary losses. Allow the market to show clear strength and structure before committing capital—patience protects capital and creates better opportunities.
📊 $ETH al Punto Critico: I Tori Devono Difendere $2,200-2,135
🟢L'Importanza della Zona $2,135 - $2,200!
Questo non è solo un livello casuale. È un nodo ad alto volume del ciclo 2021-2022 e ha agito come una forte resistenza nel Q4 2023 prima di diventare supporto nel Q1 2024. Un retest riuscito qui sarebbe un classico schema "breakout -> retest -> continuazione", rafforzando significativamente il caso rialzista.
📌Zona Critica: $2,135 - $2,200 è una zona di domanda principale e una linea nella sabbia per la tesi rialzista. 📌 Scenari: Mantieni -> rally; Break →> correzione più profonda a ~$1,950.
📊 $BTC uscita da un triangolo discendente verso l'alto è già una deviazione rialzista dal solito bias ribassista di questo schema.Ora la chiave è il retest.
⏳Questo è esattamente ciò che vuoi vedere dopo un breakout: Rottura → Mantieni → Retest → Continuazione
Questo si trova proprio sopra il cluster di supporto chiave che hai menzionato. Il prezzo ha reagito da questa zona in precedenza, quindi entrare qui si allinea con un'idea di "comprare il ribasso al supporto".
🟢Forza della Zona di Supporto
•Molti precedenti inversioni da questa regione → indica che i compratori entrano costantemente. •Finché le candele continuano a chiudere sopra il supporto con stoppini più forti al ribasso, la struttura rimane rialzista.