Crypto Martians

🔻 Configurazione Trade Corto
#coaiusdt

Tipo: Corto (gioco di mean reversion)

Zona di Entrata: $6.60 – $6.70 (vicino alla resistenza e rifiuto del top wick)

Stop-Loss: $6.92 (sopra il precedente massimo swing)

Profitti Target:

TP1: $6.00 (supporto minore)
TP2: $5.40 (forte supporto dalla zona di breakout precedente)
TP3: $4.80 (zona di correzione profonda se la pressione di vendita continua)

Rapporto Rischio-Rendimento:

Dall'entrata a $6.65 →

TP1 = 1:2
TP2 = 1:3.5
TP3 = 1:5

📊 Logica del Trade

Dopo un forte rally, il prezzo tende a ritestare i supporti di breakout precedenti mentre i trader prendono profitto.

Le candele mostrano dimensioni del corpo più piccole vicino al top → indebolimento del momentum.

RSI probabilmente ipercomprato (tipico nei massimi parabolici).

✅ Probabilità di Profitto

Correzione a breve termine (TP1): ~75%

Ritracciamento più profondo (TP2–TP3): ~55–60%, a seconda del sentiment di mercato e del raffreddamento del tasso di finanziamento.

🧠 Chart Analysis

Current Price: $0.3616
Recent Range: $0.35 – $0.40

Trend: Sideways to bearish after long downtrend from $0.86

Pattern: Double bottom / accumulation zone forming near strong horizontal support around $0.34–$0.35

Volume has flattened, suggesting potential bottom-building before reversal.

🎯 Trade Setup (Swing Trade Idea)

Type: Long (reversal play)

Entry Zone: $0.355 – $0.365
Stop-Loss: $0.328 (below key support and wick lows)

Target Profits:
TP1: $0.405 (recent resistance)
TP2: $0.465 (mid-range resistance)
TP3: $0.520 (trendline breakout target)

Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1:2.8 (good balance between risk and potential gain)

📊 Trade Logic

Price has tested the $0.35 support multiple times, rejecting lower levels — a sign of accumulation.

If WAL breaks above $0.40 with volume, it confirms a short-term bullish reversal.

RSI likely oversold, hinting at a relief bounce.
✅ Probability of Profit

Short-term bounce (TP1): ~70%

Breakout continuation (TP2–TP3): ~50–55%, depending on market sentiment (especially BTC trend).

🐋 What Is Walrus (WAL)?

Walrus (token symbol WAL) is the native token of the Walrus protocol, a decentralized storage network built on the Sui blockchain. Its goal is to provide scalable, cost-efficient, and programmable storage of large, unstructured data (videos, images, audio, etc.), with stronger resilience and smart-contract programmability.

⚙️ Key Features

Storage Payments: Users pay with WAL to store data for fixed durations; payments are distributed over time to storage nodes and stakers. This helps stabilize storage costs in fiat terms beyond volatile token prices.

Tokenomics & Distribution: Max supply is 5 billion WAL, with about 1.25 billion initially circulating. Over 60% of the tokens are allocated to the community (airdrops, subsidies, reserves) to drive adoption and growth. Core contributors, investors, and early adopters have vesting schedules.

Governance & Security: WAL holders can stake or delegate to nodes; nodes are rewarded for correct behavior and penalized (via slashing) for misbehavior. Governance allows token holders to vote on protocol parameters.

Technical Innovations: Walrus uses a storage solution called RedStuff, a 2D erasure coding protocol that offers a replication factor much lower than full replication but still strong security and efficient recovery even under node failures.

📈 Market Data

As of now, market cap sits in the several hundreds of millions USD and it’s ranked around 120-130 on major listing sites. Circulating supply is ~1.4 billion WAL of 5B total.

WAL is listed on multiple exchanges; it’s available for purchase with fiat via platforms like Crypto.com.

Community engagement seems strong, especially via airdrops, staking incentives, and ecosystem partnerships.

🔍 Risks & Considerations

A large portion of tokens are not yet unlocked (vesting schedules). This means there could be supply pressure in the future.
As a newer project, it still must prove long-term stability: reliability of storage over time, economic sustainability for node operators, and how well demand for storage

🧠 Analisi del Grafico

Prezzo Attuale: $6.33
Massimo Recente: $6.89

Pattern: Breakout parabolico con consolidamento — l'asset ha recentemente effettuato un rally verticale dopo una lunga accumulazione tra $0.13–$1.00, indicando forte slancio e afflusso di volume.

Struttura: Dopo ogni aumento, piccoli ritracciamenti hanno formato minimi più alti — segnalando una forte continuazione della tendenza.

🎯 Impostazione del Trade

Tipo: Long (continuazione della tendenza)

Entrata: Intorno a $6.20–$6.35

Stop-Loss: Sotto $5.40 (sotto l'ultima zona di supporto e la base di breakout)

Profitto Target:

TP1: $6.90 (massimo precedente)

TP2: $7.80 (target del movimento misurato basato sulla gamba di breakout)

TP3: $8.50+ (estensione se lo slancio continua)

Rapporto Rischio-Rendimento: ≈ 1:2.5 a 1:3

📊 Probabilità di Successo

Data la forte tendenza al rialzo, l'aumento del volume e il pattern di continuazione, la probabilità di raggiungere TP1–TP2 è di circa 70–75%, assumendo che lo slancio si mantenga e Bitcoin rimanga stabile.