KSRTrader

BITCOIN IS REPEATING THE 2017 AND 2021 PATTERN!!!
🚨 BITCOIN IS REPEATING THE 2017 AND 2021 PATTERN!!!
Look to this chart, $BTC will dump to $35,000 in 10 days.
Are you actually prepared for that scenario?
From my theory, I’ve identified the timing of the next cycle.
I track BTC on two axes.
TIME + PRICE.
Most people only watch price.
That's why they every time MISS the best entries.
First, the TIME axis.
Days from ATH to cycle low after each halving:
- 2012: 406 days
- 2016: 363 days
- 2020: 376 days
- 2024: still pending
These numbers are close.
So if this cycle lines up, the highest probability window for the next real bottom is Oct to Nov 2026.
That is my time target.
And when that window hits, I buy no matter what price looks like.
Because time is how you don't get front run.
Now the PRICE axis.
I've already started buying since we entered the $60,000 zone.
Even if the time window hasn't hit yet.
Why?
Because waiting for the perfect level is how you miss the whole move.
Retail says "I'll only buy at X price".
But if price never hits it, you're left behind.
So my approach is simple.
If price gives value, I start buying.
If time hits the historical window, I buy regardless.
That one framework explains everything.
Back in October, when BTC was around $114,000, I said I'd be a strong buyer in the $60,000 range.
People laughed.
They said BTC would never see $60K again.
I don't argue with noise.
I stick to the plan.
Now we've hit that zone, and the price call played out.
But the risk of a lower low is still real.
That's why the TIME axis matters.
My plan:
1) TIME axis
Oct to Nov 2026 is a strong BUY, regardless of price.
2) PRICE axis
Below $60,000 is a strong BUY, regardless of time.
If either one hits, I execute daily buys of $500,000.
And there's one more thing I watch.
NUPL - Net Unrealized Profit/Loss.
The onchain indicator that historically flags the real cycle bottom.
- 2018
- COVID crash
- 2022
It caught all of them.
Right now, we're not in that blue zone yet.
We're still far from it.
So I wouldn't be surprised to see BTC in the $45K to $50K zone by end of 2026.
That's my ultimate bottom target, where I'd feel good going heavy.
The market is messy right now, but this phase will pass.
I've studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH.
Follow and turn notifications on.
I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

$BTC Before predicting what could happen next, it’s important to acknowledge what has already happened in this cycle.
Bitcoin topped near 126,000 and corrected down to 60,000 — a 52% drawdown. Ethereum topped near 4,950 and dropped to 1,750 — a 65% drawdown. That tells us something very important: ETH didn’t just follow $BTC BTC, it overreacted by roughly 1.25x. The reason was leverage, cascading liquidations, and panic selling. A large portion of that emotional damage has already been done.
So the real question is not “Can $ETH ETH go lower?” The real question is from where, and under what conditions?
Let’s assume Bitcoin breaks 60K support and grinds down toward 48K. That would represent roughly another 20% downside from 60K. Historically, ETH tends to move with a 1.2x–1.3x volatility multiplier relative to BTC during stress periods.
If ETH manages to recover toward the 2300–2400 range before BTC makes that move, a 20% BTC decline would likely translate into a 24–26% ETH drop. In that case, ETH at 2400 could revisit the 1800 area, while ETH at 2300 could fall toward 1700. This would not necessarily be panic — it would be controlled fear and normal market mechanics.
However, if ETH is already trading weak around 1900–2000 when BTC breaks down, the situation changes. There is less structural buffer, and liquidation pressure starts earlier. Under those conditions, ETH could trade in the 1500–1400 range, with the possibility of quick wicks below. Not because Ethereum is fundamentally broken, but because leverage gets flushed again.
A full panic scenario has a lower probability but higher impact. For that to happen, BTC would need to lose 48K aggressively, combined with a macro shock or sudden liquidity event. Only then does the conversation shift toward 1100–1200 wick scenarios. Those types of moves are usually emotional, fast, and short-lived — maximum pain in minimum time.
One thing many traders overlook is that ETH already experienced its first major panic leg when it dropped to 1750. Second legs in bear structures are typically slower, less violent, and more selective unless new external catalysts appear. Markets rarely collapse the exact same way twice without fresh pressure.
The bigger lesson here is that survival matters more than prediction. ETH below 1500 is possible only if BTC continues trending lower. ETH below 1300 would require genuine systemic fear, not just social media panic. Overleveraged traders are unlikely to survive those ranges, while disciplined spot holders with proper risk management often do.
Markets do not reward confidence. They reward patience and risk control. If BTC truly moves toward 48K, the real question becomes: where does Ethereum attract strong, long-term buyers — 1400, 1200, or lower?
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #USNFPBlowout #BTC

Il grafico evidenzia chiaramente il prossimo potenziale movimento del mercato. $BTC nel timeframe di 15 minuti sta mostrando un recupero rialzista ben strutturato, con zone di domanda e resistenza chiaramente rispettate.

Il Bitcoin ha recentemente subito un forte calo nella zona di domanda 68.800–69.000, dove è emersa una forte pressione d'acquisto. Quest'area ha agito come uno sweep di liquidità, facendo uscire le mani deboli prima che entrassero i compratori istituzionali. La reazione rialzista aggressiva da questa zona la conferma come una forte base di accumulazione e un supporto strutturale chiave per il movimento in corso.