Headline: Soft Tokyo CPI and a metals frenzy — why Bitcoin’s big break could still be off the table in 2025 Japan’s latest inflation read offered a breath of relief for markets — Tokyo’s December CPI slowed to 2.0% (vs. 2.7% expected and 3.0% previously), according to TradingEconomics — but don’t expect that alone to ignite a fresh crypto rally. Here’s why. What the Japan data means - Japan’s macro backdrop has been a useful barometer for global investors this year: the BOJ pulled rates higher recently, U.S. Treasury yields hit record highs, and the yen slid roughly 6% this quarter. - Slower CPI in Tokyo could give the BOJ room to pause at its late‑January meeting or even lean toward easing later — a scenario that normally boosts liquidity and can be bullish for risk assets, including crypto. Why Bitcoin may not benefit much - Despite the potential for looser monetary conditions, investor flows this year have favored metals, not digital assets. 2025 has been a runaway year for precious metals: gold is up about +72% YTD (adding roughly $13.2 trillion in market cap), silver has surged ~+155% YTD and is now the world’s third‑largest asset, and platinum has climbed ~+159% YTD — on pace for a record percentage gain. (Source: TradingView and market reporting.) - Even after three consecutive Fed rate cuts in H2 2025, capital kept pouring into metals rather than crypto. That suggests a broader shift in risk preferences among U.S. investors — a shrinking “risk appetite” that isn’t automatically reversed by softer headline inflation elsewhere. - On crypto-specific metrics, Bitcoin’s market indicators aren’t flashing enthusiasm. The Coinbase Premium Index (a measure of BTC demand on Coinbase versus other venues) sits at a month low, showing macro calm hasn’t yet translated into renewed buying pressure for BTC. The takeaways - A softer Tokyo CPI raises the odds of BOJ policy flexibility and more liquidity, which is theoretically supportive for risk assets. - In practice, however, the 2025 investor playbook has favored safe/real assets (metals) over crypto, and the “Bitcoin as hedge” narrative appears to be losing traction for now. - That means Japan’s easing signal may not be enough on its own to spark a sustained Bitcoin breakout — watch investor flows, on‑chain demand, and market structure in addition to macro catalysts. Disclaimer: This story is informational and not investment advice. Trading, buying or selling cryptocurrencies is high-risk; do your own research before making financial decisions. © 2025 AMBCrypto Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news

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