2026 has unofficially kicked off a fresh memecoin season. As Bitcoin’s renewed climb put risk assets back on traders’ radars, a handful of dormant tokens—Shiba Inu among them—have started to stir, drawing renewed investor interest and short, sharp price moves. One memecoin in particular is getting attention: Trump Coin, which appears poised to benefit from rising geopolitical tensions. Market context - Recent escalation in US–Venezuela tensions—driven by US moves and rhetoric tied to Venezuelan leadership and its oil reserves—has sent ripples through markets. Risk assets like Bitcoin jumped, briefly flirting with a $94K print, while traditional safe havens such as gold and silver also saw inflows. - Those same tensions have coincided with momentum in politically linked tokens, notably Trump Coin, which tends to react strongly to developments involving former President Donald Trump. Trump Coin snapshot - Over the past seven days the token has rallied roughly 11%, trading near $5 at press time. The memecoin’s price remains highly sensitive to Trump-related headlines and geopolitical developments, producing sharp spikes and pullbacks. - Traders and on-chain analysts are watching both technical levels and tokenomics events—especially scheduled supply unlocks—that could reshape the market picture. What analysts are saying Crypto Patel’s on-chain analysis highlights several key points and risks: - Supply dynamics: At launch (Jan 17, 2025) circulating supply was roughly 200M TRUMP (about 20% of total). As of Nov 2025, unlocked supply was ~384.31M (≈38%). By Jan 2026 the unlocked supply is projected to hit ~480.30M (≈48%), meaning roughly 280M new tokens could flood the market since launch. - Risk outlook: Large upcoming unlocks raise the prospect of heavy sell pressure, rising fully diluted valuation (FDV) dilution risk, and potential whale reshuffling. Meme hype may struggle against the realities of increased supply. - Technical outlook: Even after the rally, TRUMP remains deep below its all-time high (on the order of ~90% down). Crypto Patel notes TRUMP is testing support around $6—if that level holds, upside targets could be $15, $27, and $46; a decisive break below $5.90 would likely flip the trend back to bearish. Bottom line The return of memecoin season is real, but it’s bifurcated: headline-driven, politically linked tokens like Trump Coin can produce outsized moves, yet they also carry heightened tokenomics risks. Traders should watch upcoming unlock schedules, key support levels, and the broader geopolitical narrative—any of which could quickly amplify volatility. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news

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