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March Crypto Events
March 13 — Hemi Mainnet Launch — US PPI Data
March 14 — Expiration of US Government Spending Bill
March 13 - March 16 — Siargao Island - PayFi Offline Event
March 17 — CME Launches SOL Futures Contracts, First SOL Institutional Derivative Goes Live
March 18 — Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision — $MELANIA Unlocks $23 Million
March 19 — Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting — Trump’s Second Term First Congressional Speech
March 22 — Final Approval of Litecoin Spot ETF, Fate of First LTC ETF Revealed
March 23 — Grayscale SOL Spot ETF Second Review, Also Key Battle for SOL Integration — END of Q3
March 28 — US February Core PCE Price Index
March 31 — USDR to Be Delisted from Kraken Europe.

No mercado de criptomoedas, o índice de altcoins entrou completamente na fase dominada pelo Bitcoin. No futuro, ainda poderá haver uma temporada de altcoins? Atualmente, o preço do Bitcoin está rondando 80K, enquanto as altcoins já caíram significativamente. Se o Bitcoin cair para perto de 65K, que é o custo da MicroStrategy, as altcoins não cairão mais 90% sobre uma base que já despencou 90%? #跟单交易

3.14 da tarde, a pressão sobre o Bitcoin é intensa, posição de venda predominante
Hoje, o mercado de criptomoedas apresenta uma tendência de lenta recuperação. O preço do Bitcoin, após atingir o ponto baixo de 79903, está gradualmente se recuperando, alcançando um pico de 82249. O movimento do Ethereum é semelhante ao do Bitcoin; embora haja um leve retrocesso, cada tentativa de recuperação enfrenta uma forte reação dos vendedores, não conseguindo superar a pressão vendedora. Se você se sentir sobrecarregado nas negociações, considere ajustar sua estratégia a tempo. Lembre-se, é só dar o primeiro passo que poderemos avançar juntos. A mudança nunca é tarde demais, vamos nos tornar gigantes na ação.
Atualmente, o preço do Bitcoin caiu abaixo da média móvel, que antes era um suporte chave, agora se tornou uma resistência ao avanço, e essa mudança revela claramente a fraqueza do mercado. No gráfico de 4 horas, o Bitcoin já caiu por cinco dias consecutivos. Embora tenha havido uma leve recuperação durante esse tempo, sua intensidade foi fraca, e a força de alta é claramente insuficiente para desafiar efetivamente a tendência de baixa. O Bitcoin caiu abaixo da média móvel, o suporte se transformou em resistência, e a fraqueza do mercado é evidente. #你看好哪一个山寨币ETF将通过？

Recent reports indicate that Trump’s second term may bring trade protectionist policies, imposing tariffs on goods from multiple countries, disrupting the smooth rhythm of the global economy.

Canada took the lead in adjusting its asset allocation by selling $400 billion in U.S. Treasury bonds, drawing the attention of international financial markets, and increasing the average debt per capita among the American populace.

Subsequently, the U.S. has faced various negative impacts: global economic turbulence, declining purchasing power of the dollar, fluctuations in the Dow Jones index, and shrinking retirement accounts; rising living costs, uncertain energy supply, shocks to the automotive industry, and higher loan interest rates; obstacles to government and corporate development, slow progress on infrastructure projects, difficulties in corporate financing, and rising prices.

The current situation may only be the beginning; Japan, the European Union, and others may adjust their holdings of U.S. debt, while countries like Russia increase their allocation of RMB assets, prompting investors to diversify their investments. Trump’s “America First” policy may not meet expectations, and the future direction of trade policy remains to be observed, as the global economy continues to adapt to changes. #美国加征关税 #MGX投资币安 #CPI数据来袭

Incrível reviravolta! Probabilidade de corte de juros do Fed sobe para 59,8% em junho: o mercado vai explodir ou cair ao mesmo tempo?
O corte de juros do Fed está novamente em pauta! A probabilidade de corte em junho já atingiu 59,8%, se ultrapassar 72% em dois meses, o cenário estará basicamente definido. De maio a julho, oportunidades e crises coexistem, a dupla pontuação acelera o coração:
Perspectiva A: Pausa no corte de juros em junho
Se a reunião de 1º de maio resultar em aumento, o mercado japonês pode sofrer uma queda intensa; após a reunião do Fed em 8 de maio, é altamente provável que o mercado se recupere. Mas de março a início de maio, o risco de quedas consecutivas ou até mesmo uma queda acentuada está à espreita!
Perspectiva B: Corte de juros em julho para salvar a situação
Após a reunião do Banco do Japão em 17 de junho e a do Fed em 18 de junho, o mercado pode cair em um padrão escalonado. Mas antes disso, de março a maio, um movimento de oscilação descendente, se o Japão aumentar os juros uma vez em maio ou junho, a força da queda pode chocar a todos!
Expectativas de corte de juros, o mercado está agitado - você está apostando na recuperação ou prevendo um abismo de queda? A tensão está no ar, o jogo já começou!#跟单交易 #美国2月PPI数据低于预期

TRUMP Coin has fallen from a high of 77 to a low of 9.54U, and recently began a small-scale rebound, which is based on the fact that Bitcoin can still hover at this position.

In the future, Trump Coin may benefit from positive news.

1. The Trump team is negotiating with Binance's US subsidiary, possibly investing or collaborating to develop a stablecoin, but it is not yet finalized, and there is uncertainty.
2. Empowering the $TRUMP ecosystem, after all, there is a large consortium behind it.
3. An unexpected detail is that perhaps Binance founder Zhao Changpeng (CZ) is seeking a pardon from the Trump administration, possibly related to investment negotiations.
4. The Trump team is investing in Binance.
All of these are possibilities, so when it's at a low point, buying some around 10U can be considered gradually.

Quando é realmente a oportunidade de compra no fundo?

Há uma situação que é bastante confiável: quando o preço das moedas cai rapidamente, e de repente surge um grande volume de negociações na parte inferior, e o preço se recupera rapidamente em 15 a 30 minutos, formando uma linha de "agulha". Essa situação geralmente significa que os especuladores estão comprando em grande quantidade na parte inferior. Porque durante uma queda rápida, os investidores individuais não se atrevem a comprar, apenas os especuladores comprariam muito nesse ponto.

Comprar no fundo não é apenas correr para dentro ao ver preços baixos, mas sim entender a situação real do mercado. Os truques dos especuladores são muitos, uma grande vela pode ser uma armadilha, e a recuperação rápida após uma queda acentuada é a verdadeira oportunidade. Espero que essas experiências possam ajudá-lo a evitar caminhos tortuosos, não compre mais pela metade do caminho!

March 13 Market Analysis at Noon: Observing the 4-hour chart of BTC, the price is running above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with the middle band showing a slight upward trend, which may indicate that the market has certain rebound potential. However, it is noteworthy that the upper and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands are gradually converging, indicating that the price's range of fluctuation is narrowing, and the forces of the bulls and bears are currently in a relatively balanced state. Based on this, we plan to conduct a short-term operation in the afternoon. The short-term operation suggestions are as follows: BTC: Buy on dips in the range of 82300-82800, with a target price set at 84000-84500, and set 82000 as the stop-loss point. ETH: Similarly, buy on dips in the range of 1850-1870, with a target price looking towards 1950-2000, while 1830 serves as the defense point.

Do ponto de vista de 1 hora, o preço da moeda está se movendo abaixo da linha média das Bandas de Bollinger, apresentando uma tendência geral de queda em escada, com clara força de venda no curto prazo. Para a tendência futura, o autor acredita que há uma grande probabilidade de uma luta de forças entre compradores e vendedores! No momento, a recomendação para operações de curto prazo ainda é focar em vendas a descoberto!\nAproximadamente entre 82000-82600\nO mercado muda rapidamente, recomendações são apenas para referência #掌握市场 #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批 #加密市场反弹

ETH is oscillating around the 2000 point, which has not yet stabilized, indicating a potential further adjustment. From a short-term liquidity perspective, ETH has outperformed BTC. We previously discussed that when the MVRV ratio is below 1, it may indicate a potential buying opportunity. In earlier analysis, we expected ETH to potentially reverse in the 1780 area and rise to the 1950 area.
However, currently, ETH's price is not only below 1950 but also below the 100-hour moving average. At the same time, the RSI indicator on the hourly chart is also below the 50 area, forming a short-term downtrend. We expect that a rise reversal may only occur if ETH stabilizes in the 1890 to 1950 area.
If ETH cannot rise back to the 1890 to 1950 area, it may continue to decline, with the next resistance area still at 1950. However, if ETH can clearly break through the current downtrend, it may rise back to below the key resistance level of 2014. In the short term, ETH's support area is between 1800 and 1780.

#ETH

Urgent Reminder! At 8:30 PM tonight, the market will face a significant event—the release of the latest inflation data! This moment could determine the success or failure of the Swan Unwinding Method. It is widely expected that tonight's CPI data may remain stable, while the core CPI is expected to decrease by 3.1%. Whether you are a long who is trapped due to high buying or a short who is trapped after selling low, tonight's data may provide you with a valuable opportunity to unwind your position. At 8:30 PM, let us focus on the CPI data together, wishing every investor the best of luck in seizing this opportunity and may good fortune follow!

#CynthiaLummis重提比特币法案 #币安Alpha上新

Let us analyze the short-term trend of BTC. Today's trading strategy is still to first adopt a short strategy, and then switch to a long strategy. The plan is to start shorting within the price range of $83,000 to $84,000, but it is important not to be greedy in the market; once a reasonable profit is obtained, one should immediately close the position to lock in gains. From the current small timeframe chart, the market seems to have a demand for a pullback, so we can wait for the price to drop before looking for a suitable time to go long.
#美国加征关税 #加密市场反弹

Brothers, please be patient

During the day, the market may show signs of rebound, but at night, we need to be alert for the possibility of another crash in the US stock market. If the US stock market is volatile tonight, the Asian market may present a good opportunity for bottom fishing. If the US stock market experiences a circuit breaker again tonight, we may see the scenario of 312 again (possibly referring to an important market low point or event). Bitcoin may form a bottom around $74,000, having retraced about 36% from its historical high of $110,000, which is not uncommon during a bull market adjustment.

Following that, the US stock market may face a sharp decline, and traditional financial giants may be at risk of bankruptcy. Subsequently, to stabilize the market, measures such as quantitative easing may be taken, which will be an excellent time for full investment. It is reported that as much as $21 billion in bottom-fishing funds is on the way.

MicroStrategy is also anxious; for risk-averse investors, it may be wise to wait for the central bank's easing before increasing positions, although it may not be possible to catch the lowest point, it can effectively avoid the floating loss risk brought by long-term consolidation.
#Strategy申请发行优先股 #加密市场回调

3.11 Morning News

Last night, after the US stock market opened, it plummeted sharply, and I sensed that Ethereum might break below the 20,000 mark today, and Bitcoin might also fall below the 80,000 mark. As for those altcoins, their declines are not as severe as mainstream coins, but during this wave of crash, the whales holding Bitcoin and Ethereum have suffered heavy losses. Although the downtrend is fierce, as long as one doesn't exit the market, there will always be opportunities for recovery.

Currently, the market is undergoing a major cleansing, with no one spared, from retail investors to whales and institutions. Perhaps only after they are all washed out can the market welcome a new turning point. Currently, the shutdown price for mainstream Bitcoin mining machines is roughly between 45,000 and 72,000 USD, and the current price is approaching the shutdown price of old machines. Altcoins have been on a downward trend since April last year and have yet to stop falling even today. But extremes must reverse, and the financial market is no exception. It is expected that the biggest bottom may form within this month; let us patiently wait for the opportunity to arise.

#美股大跌 #MtGox钱包动态 #ETH巨鲸清算

For market makers of altcoins, being the only "big player" who holds a large amount of chips at the opening, adopting a strategy of crashing the market to short sell, then buying back after the price drops by 90% and switching to a long position, may be considered an optimal strategy in certain situations. However, the only risk of this strategy is that retail buying pressure is too strong, making it difficult for prices to be effectively suppressed.

But in the current cryptocurrency environment, market makers seem to have little to worry about this issue, as most altcoins have already struggled to attract retail buying interest.

The ARB price has dropped to 0.35U, causing 99% of holders to face losses, a piece of news that makes one feel bittersweet. Reflecting on my own experience of building a spot position at a cost of 1.21U, only to exit two years later at a price of 1.17U, while the price had soared to 2.4U, which should have doubled my profit, I missed the opportunity due to not being able to take profits in time.

The road of investment is indeed cold and ruthless. Many people still hold high hopes for the seasonal rise of altcoins, only to be met with the continuous shrinking of their account balances. Even if the altcoin season really comes, and prices multiply by three or five times, it seems difficult to make up for the previous losses.

#鲸鱼囤币 #稳定币淘金热 #加密市场回调

This week's Bitcoin weekly chart is starkly revealing, showing a large bearish candle with no upper or lower shadows. Its fierce downward momentum makes one hesitate in the market and raises doubts. On the weekly chart, bearish forces hold an absolute advantage, firmly suppressing prices at low levels, with around 87 becoming a ceiling that is difficult to surpass for any rebound.

Confronted with such a clear bearish trend, we should remain calm and follow the key support levels at 74, 68, and 55 on the weekly chart for our operations. When the price reaches these levels, it's time for us to look for rebound opportunities, maintaining our pace and gradually advancing. Just like the previous operating strategy from 79 to 86 to 94, we rely on cost advantages, steadily moving forward wave after wave, allowing the “chives” in the market to take turns, yet finding it hard to escape the fate of being harvested.

In the short term, 79 has become the current support level, while 825 constitutes the resistance level above. If the price hovers around 825 and fails to stabilize, then the support at 79 may likely not hold, and the price will continue to test lower. Meanwhile, 867 serves as the key strengthening point since 91; if it can effectively hold above, we could expect a decent rebound. Otherwise, the pressure from the trend line will persist, and the market will be like playing a dangerous game of seesaw—once support is lost, it will fall even harder.

Cryptocurrency insights, click on my homepage to follow me, for deploying potential hundred-fold bull market coins, as well as daily spot strategies!

From the current form and technical structure, the market remains deeply trapped in a bearish trend, and this major trend has not undergone significant changes from start to finish. The main issue lies in the substantial drop during the nighttime to early morning period, which has prevented technical indicators and moving average systems from adjusting in time. Therefore, a correction in the short term is inevitable, and this correction usually manifests as price fluctuations within a certain range accompanied by a certain degree of rebound. During this process, investors should avoid rushing to chase prices; a more reasonable strategy is to wait for the rebound to reach an appropriate level before considering shorting.

Operational strategy advice:
Bitcoin: On Monday, if the price approaches the range of 83000 to 82500, consider shorting, with an initial target toward 80000. If this price level is effectively broken down, further bearish action can be considered.
Ethereum: If the current price is around 2060, consider shorting directly, with target prices focusing on the range of 2000 to 1950.

Cryptocurrency insights, click on the homepage to follow me for deployment of potential hundred-fold bull market coins and daily spot strategy enjoyment!#加密市场回调 #加密市场观察

Win-win Cryptocurrency Trading Method: Remember the Three 'Nos'.
1. Do not chase the price; develop the habit of buying during a dip;
2. Do not hold excessive positions;
3. Do not be fully invested, otherwise it becomes passive and the opportunity cost is high.
Six rules for short-term cryptocurrency trading:
1. After consolidation at high and low levels, there are often new highs and lows; wait for a clear trend change before acting;
2. Do not trade in a sideways market;
3. Buy on bearish candles and sell on bullish candles;
4. If the decline is slow, the rebound will be slow; if the decline is fast, the rebound will be strong;
5. Use a pyramid method to build positions;
6. After a cryptocurrency rises or falls and then consolidates, do not sell high and buy low; wait for a trend change, sell everything if it goes down, and trade along with the trend if it goes up. #白宫首届加密货币峰会 #德克萨斯州比特币战略储备法案

Those who fail to plan for the long term also find it difficult to deal with the present; those lacking a global perspective struggle to manage the local; and those without the ability to see the bigger picture are even less capable of grasping the overall situation. A lack of foresight in market predictions and clear strategies, relying solely on going with the flow, means that occasional successes are merely luck. We, on the other hand, progress cautiously, with clear thinking and decisive action, enabling us to continue winning. Today, the price ratio reached a peak of 91257, while the lowest dipped to 84600, and the overall trend aligns with our expectations. We adhere to a short-selling strategy, successfully capturing over 6000 points of space and nearly 200 points in Ethereum. In this one-sided market, as mentioned yesterday, the price ratio will inevitably undergo consolidation after reaching a high, and consolidation is the best time for short selling.

Bitcoin's daily chart earlier formed a doji candlestick, and yesterday's upward movement could not be sustained, resulting in a pullback. Similarly, the midnight low could not be maintained, and a rebound occurred again in the early hours, which conforms to the recent market style of alternating bullish and bearish movements. From the 4-hour chart, both Bitcoin and Ethereum show a trend of rising and then falling, with a medium bearish candle combined with a downward probing shadow, indicating a forming downtrend. On the path of the trend, we follow it in a timely manner, not limited to the local, as long as the rebound space is not greater than the downward space, we continue to maintain a bearish outlook and pay attention to the price ratio's pullback. In terms of operation, our main idea is to short on rebounds, but what is currently being tested is the ability to adapt and the precise control of entry points. At present, the downtrend has not been broken, and the intraday upward exploration has not been sustained, so the bearish outlook remains unchanged. In the afternoon, Bitcoin's operations continue to focus on the short-selling strategy around rebounds.

Specific suggestions are as follows: Bitcoin can be shorted in the range of 89000-89500 in the morning, targeting around 87000; Ethereum can be shorted in the range of 2200-2240, targeting around 2100. #特朗普签署行政命令 #加密市场回调