Haziq Jahangir

At first glance, XPL/USDT may not look impressive to impatient traders. The price is hovering around 0.1402 USDT, down roughly 2.16% on the day. However, price alone rarely tells the full story. A deeper look into Binance’s Trading Data and Money Flow reveals an interesting narrative that long-term and strategic traders should not ignore.

Understanding the Current Money Flow

The money flow distribution shows a near balance between buyers and sellers, with total buy orders at 42.00M XPL and sell orders at 42.46M XPL. This results in a slight net outflow of around -463K XPL, which explains the mild price weakness. Importantly, this is not aggressive dumping but rather controlled distribution.

Breaking it down by order size gives more clarity:

- Large orders:
Buys: 8.89M XPL
Sells: 9.74M XPL
Net outflow: -849K XPL

- Medium orders:
Buys: 19.59M XPL
Sells: 20.96M XPL
Net outflow: -1.37M XPL

- Small orders:
Buys: 13.52M XPL
Sells: 11.77M XPL
Net inflow: +1.75M XPL

This structure is important. While large and medium players are currently slightly cautious, retail participation is clearly increasing, as shown by strong net inflows from small orders. This often happens during consolidation phases, where price moves sideways or dips slightly while ownership gradually shifts to new hands.

Large Inflows Tell a Bigger Story

One of the most bullish indicators in the data is the 5-day large inflow trend, which stands at +7.81M XPL. Two of those days recorded strong positive inflows of +8.24M and +4.99M XPL, indicating that large players were accumulating aggressively earlier.

The recent red bars (-2.76M, -1.16M, -1.49M) suggest profit-taking rather than panic selling. This behavior is typical after accumulation phases: smart money builds positions quietly, lets price cool off, and shakes out weak hands before the next move.

Crucially, the outflows are smaller than the earlier inflows, meaning the overall large-player positioning remains net positive.

Why This Phase Matters

Markets rarely move straight up. Healthy trends require pauses, pullbacks, and consolidation. XPL currently appears to be in a re-accumulation zone, where volatility decreases and emotional traders exit, leaving behind stronger holders.

The fact that price is holding near key levels despite sell pressure shows strong absorption by buyers. Sellers are present, but they are not in control. If they were, we would see sharp drops, rising sell volume, and heavy large-order outflows. That is not the case here.

What Traders Should Watch Next

Going forward, traders should monitor:

- Whether large inflows turn positive again
- If price continues to hold support despite minor dips
- Growth in small and medium buy volume
- Expansion in volume during green candles

If these conditions align, XPL could be positioning itself for a trend continuation or breakout, especially once market sentiment improves.

Final Thoughts

XPL’s current data suggests calm before momentum, not weakness. Short-term noise may shake confidence, but money flow tells a more patient and constructive story. For traders who understand market cycles, this phase often offers better risk-to-reward entries than chasing green candles.

As always, this is not financial advice. Do your own research, manage risk carefully, and let data—not emotion—guide your decisions.

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