BITCOIN DUMPED BELOW ITS PREVIOUS ATH, US ECONOMY MIGHT BE ENTERING A RECESSION
Questions arise:
- Is this a bear market? - Where is the bottom? - U.S. economy is dying
HERE IS WHAT'S HAPPENING:
At first glance, you might say why are we dumping, there are no FUD, bad news, or any reason for such a dump
Even not a dump, we are just falling without any pullbacks and a first little bounce after BTC AT $60K
But if you look closer at the current sentiment, you'd see:
- Epstein is Satoshi - Saylor will go bankrupt - USDT FUD as always - Tom Lee will sell ETH, Buterin is already doing it - Weak economy, job data, dollar, etc
So the weakness of the current market is becoming very visible rn and to be true, charts showing that a month ago, and I called this dump
I told many times during January and even back in December that a huge dump is coming, it's just inevitable and here we are
Most terrifying is economy and Job market, cause latested data showed 100K job cuts in Jan, which is hichest level since Jan 2009, same year of huge US economy recession
Also, tech loans and bonds are distressed, which means tech companies are struggling to service debt and FED is not easing anything yet
That policy will continue with new FED chair
For now, I don't see any bullish signs, but I am waiting for bottom at $40K-$60K on BTC
One thing you should be ready for 100% is that this dump, correction might take a long time to end and coming year can be a straight bear market
So if you're buying rn, make sure you are buying with money you can hold for a year or two
And make sure to follow me cause I will be first to call the bottom and tell you aboud reversal coming, same as I warned you with this BTC dump.
Acest lucru nu ar putea fi mai precis. De aceea, zicala "timpul pe piață întotdeauna învinge sincronizarea pieței" este atât de des repetată de analiști și influenceri în crypto. 💯✨
Vom intra într-o perioadă, în curând, în care taurii mari se vor transforma în urși mari. Sau deja sunt.
Exact aceia care căutau un umăr de complacere pentru a depăși 100K+ BTC sau noi ATH-uri vor cere 40K sau mai puțin & întregul 2026 să fie bearish.
Cel mai distractiv rezultat este cel mai probabil.
De asemenea, mulți urși permanenți care în sfârșit "au nimerit-o" în vârf vor eșua să devină bullish la timp. La fel cum au eșuat să facă acest lucru la minimele din aprilie 2025 sau după (în ciuda afirmațiilor contrare, au fost pur și simplu bearish tot timpul)
One of my biggest mistakes in my trading in my past was not accepting a loss at my pre-defined level & moving my stop loss. Or not knowing my pre-defined level.
What should've been a small loss, turned out to be a big one, which often turned into me trying to make up for my mistake quickly which often led to a further loss.
Every once in a while when I tried to cheat that it always hurt me.
Getting rid of this mentality has done wonders for me. As I believe it will do to all of you.
It goes against our natural behavior. We hate being wrong. We are taught at school that being wrong is penalized by a bad mark.
So generally when the market moves against you, we do not want to admit it --> move SL.
Yet by admiting our wrongs & failiures we grow the most.
It is twisted schematic in society. Kill those bad habits & start growing with us. On the longevity path.
My bias has remained the same for a while now and still stands for the crypto market.
There was no signal to flip bullish HTF.
We got the sell-off in November, then the bounce. Range followed, and even with the fake LTF bait to the upside and now the sell-off happened.
Target is still the lower blue.
I cannot wait to get bullish on the space again but as of right now, not seeing it.
My best hopes are that the market "finishes the job quickly" so that we can restart even quicker. Cheering for any upside here, as I expected, only prolongs the inevitable.
That said, looking for counter views & narratives. Or further confirming ones that I perhaps missed. Lmk in the comments ✍️
Keep the longevity approach & stay calm. Wishing you all a great week ahead.
🚨 WARNING: WE ARE ONE STEP AWAY FROM THE BIGGEST COLLAPSE… AND THE MARKET IS NOT READY
This is not an exaggeration. Not fear bait. The global setup is turning extremely fragile. Every major tariff event since early 2025 has triggered the same outcome. February dump. October dump. January dump. Even the Supreme Court decision will not change the trajectory because tariffs approved or cancelled both lead to the same reaction. Confidence breaks and liquidity tightens.
We have now entered the pressure loop where headlines are released while markets are closed. Fear builds with no liquidity to absorb it. Once futures reopen the emotional flush normally arrives because traders react to days of tension in the span of minutes. Shortly after the initial shock investors remember tariffs are scheduled weeks out so panic cools but stress remains. Midweek buyers return because there is still room for negotiation and the narrative of progress appears again. This creates the illusion of stability until officials begin teasing trade talks which eventually leads to a headline that pushes markets up again. The same cycle has repeated many times since 2025 and big institutions continue capturing the flow while retail gets trapped.
This is how the largest wealth transfer forms. The system feeds on volatility and most participants do not understand they are being played inside a predictable psychological loop. With uncertainty rising across global indices and major regions showing synchronized drawdowns the risk is reaching a critical point.
If you hold any asset especially BTC be extremely careful with leverage. #Bitcoin reacts faster and harder to funding stress and tariff shocks often spill directly into crypto liquidity. Wealth is rarely created when the crowd feels safe. It forms when fear reaches the point where even you hesitate to buy.
Graficul a explodat brusc la aproximativ 7.000$ apoi la 2.700$ în câteva minute pe Binance, după care s-a prăbușit din nou. Nu am putut vinde la vârf — tipic pumpare cu lichiditate slabă sau manipulare/deteriorare directă.
Acum se întoarce la prețul normal de 150$ Într-o clipă te gândești la milioane, într-o altă clipă totul a dispărut. Vibrațiile sezonului de alte monede sunt nebunești, nimeni nu prinde aceste mișcări fără să fie distrus 😂
La mulți ani cu Crăciunul pentru familia cripto, rămâneți în siguranță acolo 🚀🔥
Pentru doar a patra oară în istoria Bitcoin, RSI-ul de $BTC prețuit în AUR a scăzut sub 30 (profund supra-vândut).
Trei dată anterioare? - 2015: fundul pieței de urs - 2018: fundul pieței de urs - 2022: fundul pieței de urs
Istoria nu se repetă întotdeauna, dar când acest setup apare, de obicei înseamnă că unul dintre cele două active este prețuit greșit în raport cu celălalt.
De data aceasta, opinia noastră este destul de simplă: Aurul pare întins în raport cu Bitcoin. Și când aceste dezechilibre se desfac, de obicei se face prin rotație, nu prin colaps.
Ce ne place la această lentilă este că reframează modul în care gândim despre "piețele de urs". În loc să întrebăm cât de mult timp a fost BTC/USD sub SMA de 50 de săptămâni, ne uităm și la valoarea relativă. Această structură a funcționat bine în ciclurile anterioare (reminder: piețele se pot schimba).
BTC subperformând Aurul atât de agresiv nu înseamnă neapărat că Bitcoin este stricat. Mai degrabă sugerează că Aurul a devenit aglomerat.
Ce pare diferit în acest ciclu este viteza. Am fost doar sub SMA de 50w timp de 16 săptămâni, totuși RSI-ul este deja zdrobit. În ciclurile anterioare, a durat 40/50+ de săptămâni pentru a ajunge la condiții similare.
Dacă asta contează, resetarea s-ar putea să nu fie la fel de prelungită de data aceasta. Ar putea fi mai scurtă, mai ascuțită și condusă de rotație, mai degrabă decât mușchii încet pe care majoritatea sunt condiționați să se aștepte.
Nicio garanție. Doar un alt unghi. Uneori, acestea sunt cele care merită atenție.