đ„ When I Look at the 2021â2022 Crash⊠It Feels Like a Warning for Whatâs Coming Now
Every time I study the last bear market, it stops feeling like history â and starts feeling like a message for the present.
In the previous cycle, Bitcoin topped at $69K on Nov 10, 2021, roughly 548 days after the halving. The drop that followed wasnât a dip â it was a long bleed.
Over 376 days, BTC fell ~78%, bottoming near $15.6K.
And those declines werenât random. They were triggered by a brutal sequence of shocks:
đ May 2022 â Terra/Luna implosion â BTC to ~$31K
đ June 2022 â 3AC collapse â down to ~$19K
đ Nov 2022 â FTX bankruptcy â final washout near ~$17K
Fast-forward to now.
Bitcoin hit around $126K on Oct 6, 2025 â almost 535 days after the halving, eerily close to the timing of the previous cycleâs peak.
That symmetry⊠I canât ignore it.
Iâm starting to see the same ingredients: trend exhaustion, distribution patterns, and early markdown behavior. Sure, we might get a bounce â but Iâm treating it as a chance to reduce risk, not chase euphoria.
If thereâs one lesson the last cycle hammered into me, itâs this:
đ Price breaks first. News explains later.
No one predicted Terra, 3AC, or FTX. But the chart hinted long before the headlines arrived.
I donât know what could drag BTC from $126K to $30Kâ$40K again â but history doesnât repeat, it rhymes.
So Iâm doing what I failed to do last time:
Building cash. Staying patient. Preparing emotionally for a real capitulation if it comes.
This time, I want to be ready.
â ïž Not financial advice â just one trader learning from his scars.
#BTC #BTCçȘç Ž7äžć€§ć ł #Write2Earn #MarketPullback #bitcoin
