📉 Bitcoin at Lowest Levels Since Nov 2024🚹

đŸ”č Current Market Context

‱ BTC is trading at its lowest level since November 2024, confirming a medium-term bearish market structure.

‱ Price is currently sitting inside a high-importance demand zone ($66,000–$70,000) where large players previously accumulated aggressively.

‱ This zone is now acting as a make-or-break level for the current cycle leg.

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🧠 Why the $66K–$70K Zone Is Critical

1ïžâƒŁ Smart Money Accumulation Area

‱ On-chain and historical price action show:

‱ Strong institutional accumulation

‱ High volume node / value area

‱ Previous range low + re-accumulation base

‱ This area represents average cost basis for many large entities.

âžĄïž If this zone holds, BTC can build a base for relief rallies or range expansion.

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📉 Downside Scenario: 300W EMA Magnet

đŸ”» Why 300W EMA Matters

‱ The 300-week EMA has historically acted as:

‱ A cycle-level mean

‱ A final capitulation / deep correction zone

‱ In previous cycles, price often wicks or consolidates near it during extreme fear phases.

âžĄïž Loss of $66K–$70K opens the door for a fast, volatile move toward the 300W EMA, driven by forced selling rather than fundamentals.

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⚠ Market Structure Reality

‱ BTC is currently:

‱ Making lower highs

‱ Struggling to reclaim previous support as resistance

‱ Any bounce without:

‱ Volume expansion

‱ HTF reclaim

‱ Liquidity sweep confirmation

is likely a relief rally, not a trend reversal.

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🎯 Bull vs Bear Scenarios

✅ Bullish Defense Case

‱ $66K–$70K holds

‱ Liquidity sweep below range → reclaim

‱ Strong reaction + displacement upward

âžĄïž Leads to range formation or relief rally

❌ Bearish Continuation Case

‱ Clean breakdown & acceptance below $66K

‱ Funding flips sharply negative

‱ Liquidations accelerate

#btc #WhaleDeRiskETH #TrumpEndsShutdown #EthereumLayer2Rethink? #bitcoin

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