đ Bitcoin at Lowest Levels Since Nov 2024đš
đč Current Market Context
âą BTC is trading at its lowest level since November 2024, confirming a medium-term bearish market structure.
âą Price is currently sitting inside a high-importance demand zone ($66,000â$70,000) where large players previously accumulated aggressively.
âą This zone is now acting as a make-or-break level for the current cycle leg.
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đ§ Why the $66Kâ$70K Zone Is Critical
1ïžâŁ Smart Money Accumulation Area
âą On-chain and historical price action show:
âą Strong institutional accumulation
âą High volume node / value area
âą Previous range low + re-accumulation base
âą This area represents average cost basis for many large entities.
âĄïž If this zone holds, BTC can build a base for relief rallies or range expansion.
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đ Downside Scenario: 300W EMA Magnet
đ» Why 300W EMA Matters
âą The 300-week EMA has historically acted as:
âą A cycle-level mean
âą A final capitulation / deep correction zone
âą In previous cycles, price often wicks or consolidates near it during extreme fear phases.
âĄïž Loss of $66Kâ$70K opens the door for a fast, volatile move toward the 300W EMA, driven by forced selling rather than fundamentals.
âž»
â ïž Market Structure Reality
âą BTC is currently:
âą Making lower highs
âą Struggling to reclaim previous support as resistance
âą Any bounce without:
âą Volume expansion
âą HTF reclaim
âą Liquidity sweep confirmation
is likely a relief rally, not a trend reversal.
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đŻ Bull vs Bear Scenarios
â Bullish Defense Case
âą $66Kâ$70K holds
âą Liquidity sweep below range â reclaim
âą Strong reaction + displacement upward
âĄïž Leads to range formation or relief rally
â Bearish Continuation Case
âą Clean breakdown & acceptance below $66K
âą Funding flips sharply negative
âą Liquidations accelerate
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