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🔍 Decoding on-chain data & breaking crypto news before it trends. Web3 Dev building the pipes. Hunting the path to 1B. Your source for signal in the noise.
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Hausse
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Hausse
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The "Pro" pivot will save Hyperliquid.The "Pro" pivot will save Hyperliquid. The Oct 10th liquidation cascade was brutal, but looking at the data, it might have been the best thing to happen to the protocol. We saw a 44% drop in volume and a 35.7% collapse in Open Interest. On paper, it looked so bad, but while retail farmers moved on to chase airdrops, the professionals have stayed. We are seeing a fascinating divergence: while volume remains low, Open Interest is steadily climbing back. This tells us that the capital currently in Hyperliquid isn't tourist money; it’s sophisticated and sticky. The scale of what Hyperliquid is doing is massive. It currently captures 10% of Binance’s volume and roughly 15% of its Open Interest. When compared to huge companies like Bybit or OKX, Hyperliquid is already operating at 20-25% of their size. Remember, these are centralized entities with thousands of employees and massive offices. What’s the next trigger for growth? HIP-3 and Portfolio Margin. When Bybit implemented similar internal margin mechanics, they snatched 3% of relative volume from Binance. For Hyperliquid, an impact like that could easily boost volume by 30%. With nearly 163k active users and a growing base of professional traders, the target is no longer just other DEXs. The target is the traditional stock exchange. The road ahead involves massive hurdles (regulation and onboarding will be the "final bosses") but Hyperliquid has proven it can survive the most difficult market conditions and come out leaner #TokenizedRealEstate $HYPE {future}(HYPEUSDT)

The "Pro" pivot will save Hyperliquid.

The "Pro" pivot will save Hyperliquid.
The Oct 10th liquidation cascade was brutal, but looking at the data, it might have been the best thing to happen to the protocol.
We saw a 44% drop in volume and a 35.7% collapse in Open Interest. On paper, it looked so bad, but while retail farmers moved on to chase airdrops, the professionals have stayed.
We are seeing a fascinating divergence: while volume remains low, Open Interest is steadily climbing back.
This tells us that the capital currently in Hyperliquid isn't tourist money; it’s sophisticated and sticky.

The scale of what Hyperliquid is doing is massive. It currently captures 10% of Binance’s volume and roughly 15% of its Open Interest.
When compared to huge companies like Bybit or OKX, Hyperliquid is already operating at 20-25% of their size. Remember, these are centralized entities with thousands of employees and massive offices.

What’s the next trigger for growth? HIP-3 and Portfolio Margin.
When Bybit implemented similar internal margin mechanics, they snatched 3% of relative volume from Binance. For Hyperliquid, an impact like that could easily boost volume by 30%.

With nearly 163k active users and a growing base of professional traders, the target is no longer just other DEXs. The target is the traditional stock exchange.
The road ahead involves massive hurdles (regulation and onboarding will be the "final bosses") but Hyperliquid has proven it can survive the most difficult market conditions and come out leaner

#TokenizedRealEstate
$HYPE
🏛️ Arizona's Digital Assets Strategic Reserve Fund bill advanced in a 4-2 vote this week. Eligible digital assets to include $BTC , DigiByte, $XRP , "stablecoin, a non-fungible token and any other digital-only assets that confer economic, proprietary or access rights or powers." #TrumpNewTariffs
🏛️ Arizona's Digital Assets Strategic Reserve Fund bill advanced in a 4-2 vote this week.

Eligible digital assets to include $BTC , DigiByte, $XRP , "stablecoin, a non-fungible token and any other digital-only assets that confer economic, proprietary or access rights or powers."

#TrumpNewTariffs
🚨 MASSIVE !!!MASSIVE: The White House has set a March 1 deadline to advance a comprehensive crypto market structure bill. The signal is clear: regulatory clarity is coming, but not on the industry’s preferred terms. At the center of the negotiations is a decisive shift against one of crypto’s most powerful adoption drivers: passive yield on stablecoin balances. According to the draft discussed in today’s White House-led meeting attended by Coinbase, Ripple, a16z, major trade groups, and banking associations firms would be prohibited from offering rewards simply for holding stablecoins. In effect, the savings-account model for digital dollars is being structurally dismantled. Yield may only be permissible when tied to explicit economic activity, lending, liquidity provision, or other structured use cases, not for idle balances. This reframes stablecoins from yield-bearing instruments into pure payment rails. Enforcement authority would be shared across the SEC, Treasury, and CFTC, with penalties reportedly reaching up to $500,000 per violation per day a level designed to ensure immediate compliance rather than negotiated settlement. Banks, meanwhile, are pushing for further analysis on deposit displacement, concerned that payment stablecoins could accelerate outflows from traditional funding bases. Despite these restrictions, the broader legislation is widely viewed by institutional participants as constructive. The bill seeks to establish long-awaited clarity on: - Custody standards - Exchange oversight - Token classification - Jurisdictional boundaries between the SEC and CFTC For large allocators, regulatory certainty often outweighs product flexibility. Capital does not require maximal upside, it requires defined rules, enforceable property rights, and predictable supervision. If enacted, this framework could remove the single largest barrier to institutional participation: legal ambiguity. The trade-off is structural. Crypto may lose some retail-oriented yield mechanics, but gain access to deeper pools of conservative capital that have remained sidelined. Negotiations will continue throughout the week, with a month-end agreement considered plausible. A finalized framework by March 1 would move the legislation into its next procedural phase. In practical terms, the market is transitioning from an experimental frontier to a regulated financial sector, one where growth is likely to be slower, steadier, and far more capital intensive. Clarity rarely feels bullish in the short term. $BTC #TrumpNewTariffs

🚨 MASSIVE !!!

MASSIVE:
The White House has set a March 1 deadline to advance a comprehensive crypto market structure bill.
The signal is clear: regulatory clarity is coming, but not on the industry’s preferred terms.
At the center of the negotiations is a decisive shift against one of crypto’s most powerful adoption drivers: passive yield on stablecoin balances.
According to the draft discussed in today’s White House-led meeting attended by Coinbase, Ripple, a16z, major trade groups, and banking associations firms would be prohibited from offering rewards simply for holding stablecoins.
In effect, the savings-account model for digital dollars is being structurally dismantled.
Yield may only be permissible when tied to explicit economic activity, lending, liquidity provision, or other structured use cases, not for idle balances. This reframes stablecoins from yield-bearing instruments into pure payment rails.
Enforcement authority would be shared across the SEC, Treasury, and CFTC, with penalties reportedly reaching up to $500,000 per violation per day a level designed to ensure immediate compliance rather than negotiated settlement.
Banks, meanwhile, are pushing for further analysis on deposit displacement, concerned that payment stablecoins could accelerate outflows from traditional funding bases.
Despite these restrictions, the broader legislation is widely viewed by institutional participants as constructive.
The bill seeks to establish long-awaited clarity on:
- Custody standards
- Exchange oversight
- Token classification
- Jurisdictional boundaries between the SEC and CFTC
For large allocators, regulatory certainty often outweighs product flexibility. Capital does not require maximal upside, it requires defined rules, enforceable property rights, and predictable supervision.
If enacted, this framework could remove the single largest barrier to institutional participation: legal ambiguity.
The trade-off is structural.
Crypto may lose some retail-oriented yield mechanics, but gain access to deeper pools of conservative capital that have remained sidelined.
Negotiations will continue throughout the week, with a month-end agreement considered plausible. A finalized framework by March 1 would move the legislation into its next procedural phase.
In practical terms, the market is transitioning from an experimental frontier to a regulated financial sector, one where growth is likely to be slower, steadier, and far more capital intensive.
Clarity rarely feels bullish in the short term.
$BTC
#TrumpNewTariffs
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Baisse (björn)
Base left a hole in Optimism, but we got good news. Base is moving away from the OP Stack to its own infrastructure. Without those sequencer fees, the OP treasury is looking at a potential 94% drop in income. But while the "engine" leaves, the "users" are arriving. @ether_fi is migrating its entire Cash business from Scroll to Optimism. We are talking about 300,000 accounts, 70,000 active cards, and over $160M in TVL. For Scroll, this is a disaster. EtherFi represented about 80% of their activity. For Optimism, it’s a total game changer. Optimism has always been a hub of great architecture, but it lacked the "retail" bridge that Base or Mantle have with Coinbase and Bybit. EtherFi fixes this. The stats are crazy: > EtherFi users spend around $1-2M daily. > They generate 23k transactions a day (Scroll’s total is 50k). > People are using crypto to buy coffee, which means there are everyday users. This move will increase Optimism's active TVL by 70%. Yes, the revenue from Base is gone, but the chain is finally getting real-world utility. Optimism is subsidizing this with incentives and technical support to make it the go-to home for "on-chain" daily life. I think it’s a survival pivot that actually makes sense. $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT) #ETHTrendAnalysis
Base left a hole in Optimism, but we got good news.

Base is moving away from the OP Stack to its own infrastructure. Without those sequencer fees, the OP treasury is looking at a potential 94% drop in income.

But while the "engine" leaves, the "users" are arriving.

@ether_fi is migrating its entire Cash business from Scroll to Optimism. We are talking about 300,000 accounts, 70,000 active cards, and over $160M in TVL.

For Scroll, this is a disaster. EtherFi represented about 80% of their activity. For Optimism, it’s a total game changer.

Optimism has always been a hub of great architecture, but it lacked the "retail" bridge that Base or Mantle have with Coinbase and Bybit. EtherFi fixes this.

The stats are crazy:

> EtherFi users spend around $1-2M daily.
> They generate 23k transactions a day (Scroll’s total is 50k).
> People are using crypto to buy coffee, which means there are everyday users.

This move will increase Optimism's active TVL by 70%. Yes, the revenue from Base is gone, but the chain is finally getting real-world utility.

Optimism is subsidizing this with incentives and technical support to make it the go-to home for "on-chain" daily life.

I think it’s a survival pivot that actually makes sense.

$ETH
#ETHTrendAnalysis
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Baisse (björn)
.@Morpho is quickly becoming a killer app for RWAs. Over $658m of RWAs deposited. 10/10 is irrelevant when pmf is there. $XRP {spot}(XRPUSDT) #RWA
.@Morpho is quickly becoming a killer app for RWAs.

Over $658m of RWAs deposited.

10/10 is irrelevant when pmf is there.

$XRP
#RWA
isi dari ekosistem Web3 1. Cryptocurrency uang digital, bisa buat bayar, trading, atau hold contoh : Bitcoin 2. Blockchain catatan yang isinya transaksi & transparan yang artinya semua orang bisa lihat transaksi mu, gabisa juga di otak atik 3. Smart Contract program auto jalan ga pake perantara 4. DeFi (Decentralized Finance) bisa swap, pinjem, staking tanpa bank contoh : Uniswap 5. NFT (Non-Fungible Token) hmmm.. siapa sih yang belum tau ini? 6. DAO (Decentralized Autonomous Organization) ini komunitas tapi sistemnya voting pake token 7. Wallet dompet crypto mu, ini udah kayak alamat email si.. penting dan jangan sampe lupa seed phrase nya 🙏🏼 kalo gamau ilang, simpen di aku aja contoh : MetaMask 8. Web3 Gaming & Metaverse main game tapi itemnya beneran punya mu.. jadi skin dan karakter di dalem tu punya kita, tapi ga semua begini, ah gitu lah pokoknya contoh : banyak, salah satunya khuga (lokal punya, bangga) yang masih bilang Web3 isinya cuma airdrops dan crypto bagusnya ku apain yak #Web3
isi dari ekosistem Web3

1. Cryptocurrency
uang digital, bisa buat bayar, trading, atau hold

contoh : Bitcoin

2. Blockchain
catatan yang isinya transaksi & transparan yang artinya semua orang bisa lihat transaksi mu, gabisa juga di otak atik

3. Smart Contract
program auto jalan ga pake perantara

4. DeFi (Decentralized Finance)
bisa swap, pinjem, staking tanpa bank

contoh : Uniswap

5. NFT (Non-Fungible Token)
hmmm.. siapa sih yang belum tau ini?

6. DAO (Decentralized Autonomous Organization)
ini komunitas tapi sistemnya voting pake token

7. Wallet
dompet crypto mu, ini udah kayak alamat email si.. penting dan jangan sampe lupa seed phrase nya 🙏🏼 kalo gamau ilang, simpen di aku aja

contoh : MetaMask

8. Web3 Gaming & Metaverse
main game tapi itemnya beneran punya mu..
jadi skin dan karakter di dalem tu punya kita, tapi ga semua begini, ah gitu lah pokoknya

contoh : banyak, salah satunya khuga (lokal punya, bangga)

yang masih bilang Web3 isinya cuma airdrops dan crypto bagusnya ku apain yak

#Web3
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Baisse (björn)
why no one tipped me😭😭😭
why no one tipped me😭😭😭
CZ
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Thanks to all the tippers. All of that will go to Giggle Academy.
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Hausse
We should stop thinking about L2s as literally being "branded shards" of Ethereum, with the social status and responsibilities that this entails. Instead, we can think of L2s as being a full spectrum, which includes both chains backed by the full faith and credit of Ethereum with various unique properties (eg. not just EVM), as well as a whole array of options at different levels of connection to Ethereum, that each person (or bot) is free to care about or not care about depending on their needs. What would I do today if I were an L2? * Identify a value add other than "scaling". Examples: (i) non-EVM specialized features/VMs around privacy, (ii) efficiency specialized around a particular application, (iii) truly extreme levels of scaling that even a greatly expanded L1 will not do, (iv) a totally different design for non-financial applications, eg. social, identity, AI, (v) ultra-low-latency and other sequencing properties, (vi) maybe built-in oracles or decentralized dispute resolution or other "non-computationally-verifiable" features * Be stage 1 at the minimum (otherwise you really are just a separate L1 with a bridge, and you should just call yourself that) if you're doing things with ETH or other ethereum-issued assets * Support maximum interoperability with Ethereum, though this will differ for each one (eg. what if you're not EVM, or even not financial?) From Ethereum's side, over the past few months I've become more convinced of the value of the native rollup precompile, particuarly once we have enshrined ZK-EVM proofs that we need anyway to scale L1. This is a precompile that verifies a ZK-EVM proof, and it's "part of Ethereum", so (i) it auto-upgrades along with Ethereum, and (ii) if the precompile has a bug, Ethereum will hard-fork to fix the bug. $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT) $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) $BNB {spot}(BNBUSDT)
We should stop thinking about L2s as literally being "branded shards" of Ethereum, with the social status and responsibilities that this entails. Instead, we can think of L2s as being a full spectrum, which includes both chains backed by the full faith and credit of Ethereum with various unique properties (eg. not just EVM), as well as a whole array of options at different levels of connection to Ethereum, that each person (or bot) is free to care about or not care about depending on their needs.

What would I do today if I were an L2?

* Identify a value add other than "scaling". Examples: (i) non-EVM specialized features/VMs around privacy, (ii) efficiency specialized around a particular application, (iii) truly extreme levels of scaling that even a greatly expanded L1 will not do, (iv) a totally different design for non-financial applications, eg. social, identity, AI, (v) ultra-low-latency and other sequencing properties, (vi) maybe built-in oracles or decentralized dispute resolution or other "non-computationally-verifiable" features
* Be stage 1 at the minimum (otherwise you really are just a separate L1 with a bridge, and you should just call yourself that) if you're doing things with ETH or other ethereum-issued assets
* Support maximum interoperability with Ethereum, though this will differ for each one (eg. what if you're not EVM, or even not financial?)

From Ethereum's side, over the past few months I've become more convinced of the value of the native rollup precompile, particuarly once we have enshrined ZK-EVM proofs that we need anyway to scale L1. This is a precompile that verifies a ZK-EVM proof, and it's "part of Ethereum", so (i) it auto-upgrades along with Ethereum, and (ii) if the precompile has a bug, Ethereum will hard-fork to fix the bug.
$ETH
$BTC
$BNB
There have recently been some discussions on the ongoing role of L2s in the Ethereum ecosystem, especially in the face of two facts: * L2s' progress to stage 2 (and, secondarily, on interop) has been far slower and more difficult than originally expected * L1 itself is scaling, fees are very low, and gaslimits are projected to increase greatly in 2026 Both of these facts, for their own separate reasons, mean that the original vision of L2s and their role in Ethereum no longer makes sense, and we need a new path. First, let us recap the original vision. Ethereum needs to scale. The definition of "Ethereum scaling" is the existence of large quantities of block space that is backed by the full faith and credit of Ethereum - that is, block space where, if you do things (including with ETH) inside that block space, your activities are guaranteed to be valid, uncensored, unreverted, untouched, as long as Ethereum itself functions. If you create a 10000 TPS EVM where its connection to L1 is mediated by a multisig bridge, then you are not scaling Ethereum. This vision no longer makes sense. L1 does not need L2s to be "branded shards", because L1 is itself scaling. And L2s are not able or willing to satisfy the properties that a true "branded shard" would require. I've even seen at least one explicitly saying that they may never want to go beyond stage 1, not just for technical reasons around ZK-EVM safety, but also because their customers' regulatory needs require them to have ultimate control. This may be doing the right thing for your customers. But it should be obvious that if you are doing this, then you are not "scaling Ethereum" in the sense meant by the rollup-centric roadmap. But that's fine! it's fine because Ethereum itself is now scaling directly on L1, with large planned increases to its gas limit this year and the years ahead. #ETHTrendAnalysis
There have recently been some discussions on the ongoing role of L2s in the Ethereum ecosystem, especially in the face of two facts:

* L2s' progress to stage 2 (and, secondarily, on interop) has been far slower and more difficult than originally expected
* L1 itself is scaling, fees are very low, and gaslimits are projected to increase greatly in 2026

Both of these facts, for their own separate reasons, mean that the original vision of L2s and their role in Ethereum no longer makes sense, and we need a new path.

First, let us recap the original vision. Ethereum needs to scale. The definition of "Ethereum scaling" is the existence of large quantities of block space that is backed by the full faith and credit of Ethereum - that is, block space where, if you do things (including with ETH) inside that block space, your activities are guaranteed to be valid, uncensored, unreverted, untouched, as long as Ethereum itself functions. If you create a 10000 TPS EVM where its connection to L1 is mediated by a multisig bridge, then you are not scaling Ethereum.

This vision no longer makes sense. L1 does not need L2s to be "branded shards", because L1 is itself scaling. And L2s are not able or willing to satisfy the properties that a true "branded shard" would require. I've even seen at least one explicitly saying that they may never want to go beyond stage 1, not just for technical reasons around ZK-EVM safety, but also because their customers' regulatory needs require them to have ultimate control. This may be doing the right thing for your customers. But it should be obvious that if you are doing this, then you are not "scaling Ethereum" in the sense meant by the rollup-centric roadmap. But that's fine! it's fine because Ethereum itself is now scaling directly on L1, with large planned increases to its gas limit this year and the years ahead.
#ETHTrendAnalysis
bismillahirrahmanirrahim BNB
bismillahirrahmanirrahim BNB
Marouan47
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Hausse
طفل سأل أمه:
– ماما، واش بقى على المغرب؟
قالت: ساعة.
رجع بعد دقيقتين:
– ودرك؟
قالت: مازال ساعة! 🤦‍♂️😂
$BNB
{spot}(BNBUSDT)
$XRP
{spot}(XRPUSDT)
$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
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Hausse
every Ethereum metric is at all-time highs TVL, transactions, stablecoins, active users… when does price catch up? $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT) #ETHTrendAnalysis
every Ethereum metric is at all-time highs

TVL, transactions, stablecoins, active users…

when does price catch up?
$ETH
#ETHTrendAnalysis
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Hausse
my time at RISE has come to an end it was a fun ride & they’re building solid tech. i’d obviously love to stay in crypto. i’m looking for new opportunities. let me know if you have any leads. my background is in frontend engineering & I know a thing or two about CT. DMs open $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT) #ETHTrendAnalysis
my time at RISE has come to an end

it was a fun ride & they’re building solid tech. i’d obviously love to stay in crypto.

i’m looking for new opportunities. let me know if you have any leads.

my background is in frontend engineering & I know a thing or two about CT.

DMs open

$ETH

#ETHTrendAnalysis
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Hausse
the biggest upside of L2s isn’t scaling Ethereum it’s onboarding users & builders. despite the L1 scaling, users stay on L2s because they’ve built great ecosystems. that wouldn’t have happened on the L1. the business model is owning your chain. without L2s, they would have built competing L1s instead. scaling the L1 to 10k TPS won’t cut it anyway. Lighter alone almost uses that much. in many cases, builders & users will continue to go where it’s cheapest & fastest. that won’t be the L1. a single chain can’t scale. multiple chains create fragmentation. the problem has always been fragmentation, and it can only be solved with L2s. a seamless cross-chain experience can’t happen with multiple L1s. we need chain abstraction. we need synchronous composability. we needed it yesterday. that’s the biggest failure of the EF, and blaming L2s for being slow to reach stage 2 is partly their fault. L2s have no incentive to do it themselves. most users aren’t demanding it. the EF should force them to do it in any way possible by incentivizing & making it easy for L2s to become one with Ethereum. - to be interoperable with the L1 & other L2s. - to inherit Ethereum’s decentralization & security. - to move away from multisigs. - for wallets to integrate interoperability & chain abstraction. native & based rollups are good solutions. but where are they? they’ve been talked about for years. scaling the L1 still makes sense. it helps interoperability and makes current use cases like DeFi more usable. it increases usage & attracts builders. tokenize on the L1, move on seamless L2 rails. $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT)
the biggest upside of L2s isn’t scaling Ethereum

it’s onboarding users & builders.

despite the L1 scaling, users stay on L2s because they’ve built great ecosystems.

that wouldn’t have happened on the L1. the business model is owning your chain.

without L2s, they would have built competing L1s instead.

scaling the L1 to 10k TPS won’t cut it anyway. Lighter alone almost uses that much.

in many cases, builders & users will continue to go where it’s cheapest & fastest. that won’t be the L1.

a single chain can’t scale. multiple chains create fragmentation.

the problem has always been fragmentation, and it can only be solved with L2s.

a seamless cross-chain experience can’t happen with multiple L1s.

we need chain abstraction.
we need synchronous composability.
we needed it yesterday.

that’s the biggest failure of the EF, and blaming L2s for being slow to reach stage 2 is partly their fault.

L2s have no incentive to do it themselves. most users aren’t demanding it.

the EF should force them to do it in any way possible

by incentivizing & making it easy for L2s to become one with Ethereum.

- to be interoperable with the L1 & other L2s.
- to inherit Ethereum’s decentralization & security.
- to move away from multisigs.
- for wallets to integrate interoperability & chain abstraction.

native & based rollups are good solutions. but where are they? they’ve been talked about for years.

scaling the L1 still makes sense. it helps interoperability and makes current use cases like DeFi more usable. it increases usage & attracts builders.

tokenize on the L1, move on seamless L2 rails.
$ETH
THIS GUY IS UP $2.5 MILLION ON $PUNCH - NOW HE’S SELLING Three top accounts holding over $2.18M PUNCH are all connected to each other, and they have already sold over $250K of PUNCH from a connected wallet. punchkun.sol bought almost 10% of the supply of PUNCH for only $8K and sent PUNCH to hyperwynn.sol - who sent PUNCH to 7RSgC, who sent PUNCH to 6u9jy, who sold $250K worth of PUNCH. Will this whale keep selling? $SOL #TradeCryptosOnX
THIS GUY IS UP $2.5 MILLION ON $PUNCH - NOW HE’S SELLING

Three top accounts holding over $2.18M PUNCH are all connected to each other, and they have already sold over $250K of PUNCH from a connected wallet.

punchkun.sol bought almost 10% of the supply of PUNCH for only $8K and sent PUNCH to hyperwynn.sol - who sent PUNCH to 7RSgC, who sent PUNCH to 6u9jy, who sold $250K worth of PUNCH. Will this whale keep selling?
$SOL
#TradeCryptosOnX
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