📉 Top 5 Bear Run "Call-Out" Indicators: Is It Time to Exit? 🚪
Many investors are asking the same question: Has the bear run officially begun? 🐻 After the $126k peaks of late 2025, the market is at a crossroads. Here are 5 key indicators and where they stand right now in January 2026:
1️⃣ MVRV Z-Score (The Valuation Check) ⚖️ This on-chain metric tracks if Bitcoin is "overvalued" or "undervalued" relative to its fair value. The Signal: When the Z-Score enters the Red Zone (7–9), the top is usually in. 🚨 Current Status: NEUTRAL. 🟡 We are sitting around 1.12. This suggests we aren't at a cycle top yet, but the "overheated" euphoria of late 2025 has definitely cooled off. 2️⃣ The 1-Year Moving Average (MA) 📈 Analysts use the 1-year MA as the ultimate "line in the sand" for long-term trends. The Signal: A decisive daily close below the 1-year MA often confirms a multi-month bear phase. 📉 Current Status: CAUTION. ⚠️ Bitcoin is currently testing critical support near $80k–$83k. A break below this range could trigger a bearish confirmation.
3️⃣ RSI (Relative Strength Index) ⚡ The RSI measures the speed and change of price movements. The Signal: On the weekly timeframe, an RSI dropping below 50 signals lost momentum. Current Status: OVERSOLD. 📉 Daily RSI is hovering near 33–35. While it looks bearish, it often precedes a "relief bounce." The real test is whether we can break back into bullish territory. 4️⃣ ETF Net Flows (The Institutional Giant) 🏦 In 2026, institutional money via Spot ETFs is the biggest driver of price. The Signal: Consecutive weeks of Net Outflows signal that "Smart Money" is de-risking. 💸 Current Status: BEARISH. 🔴 We recently saw a massive weekly outflow of $1.1B+. If the big players continue to exit, the retail crowd usually follows.
5️⃣ Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) 💵 When stablecoin supply on exchanges drops, there is less "dry powder" to buy the dips. The Signal: A declining stablecoin market cap often leads to price exhaustion. 🥀 Current Status: FLAT. 🔵 Buying power is stagnant. Without a fresh injection of liquidity, the market lacks the fuel for a new leg up. 💡 The Bottom Line We are in a "Narrowing Bottom" or a transition phase. While the $126k peak is behind us, many experts see 2026 as a year of sideways consolidation between $75k and $100k rather than a total collapse. 🏛️ DYOR : Indicators are tools, not crystal balls. 🔮 Always manage your risk and never trade more than you can afford to lose. Which indicator do you trust the most? #Bitcoin #bearmarket $BTC
🛑 STOP TRADING LIKE A STATISTIC. (THE TRUTH ABOUT LIQUIDITY)
Most traders spend years staring at RSI and MACD. They are looking at the past while the "Big Boys" are planning the future. 🧠 THE BRUTAL TRUTH Nobody at the top cares about your indicators. They care about one thing: Liquidity. They need your "Stop Loss" to fill their massive "Buy" orders. 📉 THE TRAP Look at the patterns in this Cheat Sheet. To you, they are "shapes" on a screen. To a Whale, they are Maps of Trapped Money. 🐺 HOW THEY PLAY YOU The "Breakout" you just bought? It was designed to trigger your FOMO. The "Stop Hunt" that wiped you out? It was the fuel they needed to start the real move. 🛡️ STOP BEING THE EXIT LIQUIDITY The 5% who actually make money don't "react" to price. We anticipate the manipulation. When you stop trading the chart and start trading the trapped trader, everything changes. The game gets slower. The emotions disappear. 🚀 MY NEXT MOVE I’ve been in this game for over 4 years. I’ve caught the tops and face many traps but now I understand when everyone else was screaming buy you should avoid until a clear breakout was occur. 🎯 DO THIS NOW Save this image. It is your survival guide. Learn first to earn. Don't be the liquidity. Be the hunter. 🎯
$ENA /USDT Update 📈 What's Next? Bullish or Bearish❓
As seen on the hourly chart, $ENA is forming a Double Bottom pattern—a classic bullish reversal signal. However, this alone isn't enough to confirm a move. For a safer entry, it is better to wait for a decisive breakout above the current descending trendline resistance.
Once the price breaks and holds above this trendline, we can target the upper liquidity levels at:
🎯 $0.1165
🎯 $0.1180
🎯 $0.1220
Patience is key. Let the market confirm the move before jumping in! 🚀
The Big News: Earlier today, the US Supreme Court ruled that President Trump’s global tariffs are illegal. They said only Congress has the power to set these taxes, not the President alone.
Trump’s Response: President Trump is not giving up. At a meeting this morning, he called the court's decision a "disgrace." He told leaders that he already has a "backup plan" to keep the tariffs in place.
Why it matters for Crypto: * Market Volatility: News like this makes markets move. Bitcoin often reacts to big changes in the US economy.
Inflation: Tariffs can make things more expensive (inflation). If Trump finds a way to keep them, it could change how the Federal Reserve handles interest rates. Investor Mood: Traders are watching closely to see if the "Trade War" will end or get even more intense.
What’s Next? Expect more updates soon as the White House explains exactly what this "backup plan" is.
What do you think? Will Trump find a way around the court, or is the Trade War over?
🚨 BREAKING: US Supreme Court Strikes Down Global Tariffs‼️
Huge news today as the Supreme Court ruled 6-3 that President Trump’s sweeping global tariffs are illegal without Congressional approval. This is a massive shift for the US economic agenda and could impact global markets and inflation. 📉💸
How do you think this will affect #bitcoin and the wider crypto market? Bullish for global trade?
$SUI just broke out above a Falling Wedge pattern, which is a classic bullish signal. It has also reclaimed the green VAL (Value Area Low) level—a great sign for a short-term recovery. 🚀
If the retest is successful and we break/hold above the Yellow Line (High Volume Level), then a move toward the Red Line (VAH - Value Area High) is very likely.
🇺🇸 White House Breaks Deadlock: A Deal for Stablecoins❓
The path to U.S. crypto clarity just got a lot smoother. The White House is reportedly brokering a "middle ground" deal to finally move the CLARITY Act forward.
The Scoop: The bill was stuck because banks wanted a total ban on stablecoin rewards (interest), fearing people would move their savings from banks to crypto.
The New Compromise:
Limited Rewards: Users may be allowed to earn rewards on stablecoins, but likely only when tied to active trading or transactions, rather than just "parking" cash.
The Deadline: The White House has reportedly set a February 28th deadline for banks and crypto firms to shake hands on the language.
Why it matters: If this deal holds, the bill could hit the President’s desk by April 2026, giving the U.S. its first comprehensive federal crypto framework.
This is a massive "bullish" signal for regulatory certainty. Clear rules mean more institutional money can finally enter the space without fear.
What do you think? Should we be allowed to earn full interest on stablecoins, or is "limited rewards" a fair price to pay for legal clarity?
As seen on the weekly timeframe, $DUSK is retesting its key horizontal support zone following a breakout in recent days.
The weekly zone between $0.0960 and $0.0735, which previously acted as resistance, is now expected to provide strong support. I am adding some here on this zone for an anticipated short-term bounce.
Optimism ( $OP ) just got hit with a massive 24% drop today. The reason is simple: Base (Coinbase’s network) is moving away from the "OP Stack" to build its own technology.
Why it matters: Base was the biggest money-maker for Optimism. Now that they are leaving, people are panicked that Optimism's revenue is going to dry up. It feels like the "Superchain" dream is falling apart.
Why I’m buying the dip:
I’m picking some up here because whales are accumulating. While everyone is panic-selling at all-time lows, big wallets just added 60 million tokens. Plus, Optimism has a buyback program starting this month. The market is overreacting to the Base news, and I’m betting on a "blood in the streets" recovery.
Risk is high, but the price is too low to ignore. 💎🙌
🛑 Is Crypto "Completely Useless"❓ Clearing the Air on Fed Comments
You might have seen the headlines: Neel Kashkari (President of the Minneapolis Fed) just called crypto "basically useless" again (Feb 2026).
Before you panic-sell or get frustrated, let's break down why he says this and what it actually means for us.
🔍 Why did he say it?
Kashkari looks at crypto through a very narrow lens: "Can you buy a sandwich with it as easily as a Dollar?"
He thinks traditional apps like Venmo or Zelle already handle payments perfectly. He views crypto as "gambling" or "noise" because it doesn’t fit into the old banking system he manages.
💡 The Other Side of the Story
While he calls it "useless," the rest of the world is moving forward:
Global Freedom: Millions in high-inflation countries use Stablecoins to save their life's work. To them, it’s a lifeline, not "useless."
Institutional Reality: If it’s useless, why are the world’s biggest banks (BlackRock, JP Morgan, etc.) building billion-dollar infrastructures on the blockchain?
Digital Gold: Bitcoin has survived over 15 years of being called "worthless" by officials, yet it remains one of the best-performing assets of the decade.
Well 🫡 Kashkari is a central banker—his job is to protect the U.S. Dollar. Anything that competes with it will always be "useless" in his eyes.
True utility isn't defined by one official; it’s defined by the millions of people using it every day to trade, save, and build.
What do you think? Is Kashkari "stuck in the past," or does he have a point?
As seen on the chart, $ONDO has broken below the consolidation range. After a retest, it is starting to dump again. It looks like a good short trade, targeting the high-volume area near horizontal support zone: 🎯
Fresh data from Arkham Intelligence shows the UAE is becoming a global leader in the Bitcoin space.
The Key Highlights:
Mined Value: The UAE has mined $453 Million worth of Bitcoin to date. ⛏️
Pure Profit: After costs, they are sitting on $344 Million in unrealized profit. 💰
How? They aren't just buying; they are using massive state-linked mining facilities in Abu Dhabi.
Global Rank: This makes the UAE the 4th largest government holder of Bitcoin! 🌍
My Take:
This is a huge shift. Nations are moving from "watching" Bitcoin to "producing" it. By building a digital gold reserve, the UAE is securing its financial future beyond oil.
What do you think? Should more countries follow the UAE and start mining their own Bitcoin? Let’s discuss below! 👇
As seen on the chart, $SOL is ranging between two parallel trendlines after a sharp drop. This is forming a Bear Flag, which is a bearish continuation pattern. 📉
While we hope for a bounce, if $SOL breaks below this support trendline with high volume, the downward move will likely continue toward the pattern's pole target of $50.00 or even lower!
Note: Until the price actually breaks the lower support line, it remains a "potential" pattern. If the price breaks the upper line instead, the bear flag is invalidated.
Wishing everyone observing this holy month a journey of spiritual growth, health, and happiness. May your prayers be answered and your heart be filled with peace.