CryptoGuider

🚨 UPDATE: THE SUPREME COURT JUST RULED TRUMP’S TARIFFS ILLEGAL.

Here’s everything you need to know.

The Supreme Court says Trump overstepped his authority using the 1977 IEEPA law to impose tariffs.

Chief Justice Roberts wrote the majority opinion.

Even two conservative justices, Gorsuch and Barrett, sided against the White House.

Roberts put it bluntly: the president claimed “extraordinary power to unilaterally impose tariffs of unlimited amount, duration and scope.” The Court said NO.

Lower courts already rejected this twice. Now the highest court in the country just confirmed it.

This is the biggest separation of powers case since Truman tried to seize the steel mills in 1952.

Here’s what happens next:

1. REFUNDS. Over $175 billion in tariff revenue collected under IEEPA is now potentially owed back to U.S. importers. Penn-Wharton estimates put the number at $175-179B. That’s a MASSIVE fiscal hit.

2. The refund process won’t be fast tho. Over 1,000 cases are already filed with the Court of International Trade. Trade attorneys are saying this could take 1-2 years to fully unwind. Trump himself said it would be “a complete mess.”

3. The White House already has a backup plan ready. Bessent said it publicly: they’ll reimpose tariffs within 24 hours using different legal authorities. Section 301 and Section 122 of the Trade Act are the likely tools. Different legal wrapper, same trade war.

4. But here’s the catch: Those replacement tariffs have limits. Section 122 caps duties at 15% for only 150 days. Section 301 requires country-by-country investigations. Neither gets them back to the 10-50% IEEPA levels quickly.

5. Markets are about to reprice everything. The effective U.S. tariff rate could drop from ~20% to ~9% if replacements don’t materialize fast. That’s still way above the ~2% rate before Trump’s second term, but a massive shift from where we’ve been.

6. Consumer impact is real. The Tax Policy Center estimates households save ~$1,200 in 2026 if IEEPA tariffs stay gone. New York Fed research showed Americans were paying 90% of these tariff costs directly.

7. Don’t forget the customs bond market. Billions in bond collateral and surety payments are also on the line for refunds. Insurance companies are about to have a very interesting quarter.

Final verdict: The tariffs are dead legally, but the trade war isn’t over. The administration will pivot fast. Watch for new executive actions within days, not weeks.

This is the most consequential economic ruling in DECADES.

I’ll keep watching and I’ll update you in real-time, like I always do.

On another note, I’ve been here for more than 20 years. I’ve called all the major market tops and bottoms publicly.

My next move is coming soon. If you want to catch it, follow with notifications on.

If you still haven’t followed, you’ll regret it.
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Llll
The $ENSO /USDT pair has delivered a powerful expansion move, surging nearly +38% and printing a high at $2.2168 before cooling off to trade around $1.7697.

But experienced traders know something important:

> The breakout itself is only Phase 1.
Phase 2 — the pullback and continuation — determines whether this becomes a sustainable trend or a short-lived spike.

This article breaks down the structure, volume behavior, risk zones, and high-probability scenarios shaping ENSO’s next move.

1. The Macro Structure: From Accumulation to Mark-Up

Before the breakout, ENSO was compressing inside a defined range between approximately:

$1.0068 (range low)

$1.37 (MA20 and range ceiling)

That compression phase represented equilibrium — buyers and sellers balancing out. Moving averages tightened, volatility contracted, and liquidity built up above resistance.

Then came the expansion.

Price impulsively broke through $1.37, accelerating to $2.2168 in what can be classified as a range expansion breakout — a high-momentum shift from accumulation to markup.

This transition is critical. It signals:

Trend shift from sideways to bullish

Acceptance of higher value

Institutional participation (likely during breakout volume spike)

The 24-hour range of $1.2680 → $2.2168 reflects strong order flow imbalance — buyers overwhelmed supply.

But now comes the real test.

2. Current Structure: Healthy Pullback or Early Weakness?

Price has pulled back from $2.21 and is hovering near $1.77, entering a decision zone.

Moving Averages: Bullish Alignment Intact

Current structure:

MA(5): $1.8148

MA(10): $1.5600

MA(20): $1.3714

This is textbook bullish sequencing:

MA(5) > MA(10) > MA(20)

This alignment tells us:

Short-term momentum is leading

Intermediate trend is supportive

Macro bias remains bullish

The current pullback toward the MA(5) is not bearish — it’s structurally healthy. Strong trends often retrace to the 5 or 10 EMA/MA before continuation.

However…

3. Volume Analysis: The Critical Variable

Current volume: 177.06K
MA(5) Volume: 210.52K
MA(10) Volume: 154.26K

Volume is cooling off after the breakout spike.

This matters.

In sustainable breakouts:

Volume expands on breakout

Contracts during pullback

Expands again on continuation

Right now, we are in the contraction phase.

That’s acceptable — but the next push toward $2.21 must be accompanied by rising volume. Otherwise, we risk:

Double top formation

Liquidity sweep

Deeper retracement toward $1.56

This is the inflection point.

4. Key Levels That Define the Next Move

Immediate Resistance

$2.2168 (recent high)

A decisive close above this level with expanding volume opens:

$2.40–$2.50 psychological zone

Measured move extension targets

A weak retest on declining volume increases rejection probability.

First Support – Momentum Line

MA(5): $1.81

Loss of this level signals short-term momentum cooling.

Primary Support – Structural Retest Zone

$1.56 – $1.60 (MA10 + breakout retest)

This is the most important zone on the chart.

If price retraces here and:

Prints bullish reversal candles

Shows volume expansion

Holds above $1.50

Then the breakout remains structurally valid.

Invalidation Level

Below $1.37 (MA20 / former resistance)

A daily close below this level:

Breaks bullish structure

Invalidates breakout

Suggests bull trap scenario

5. Trading Strategy Scenarios

1️⃣ Momentum Trader Approach (Aggressive)

Entry: Break and close above $2.21

Confirmation: Volume expansion above MA(5)

Stop: Below $1.80

Target: $2.40–$2.50

Risk: False breakout / liquidity grab
Reward: Continuation impulse leg

2️⃣ Pullback Swing Trade (Higher Probability)

Wait for retrace into $1.56–$1.60 zone

Enter on bullish confirmation (engulfing, hammer, volume spike)

Stop below $1.35

Target: $2.20 retest → extension beyond

This offers stronger risk-to-reward because:

You enter near structural support

You avoid chasing parabolic extension

You trade from demand, not euphoria

3️⃣ Defensive Profit Protection

If already long from below $1.37:

Trail stop under MA(5)

Scale partial profits near $2.20

Let remainder ride only if volume confirms continuation

Protect gains. Don’t round-trip a 38% move.

6. What Would Invalidate the Bullish Thesis?

Be objective. A strong trader plans for failure scenarios:

Rejection at $2.21 with declining volume

Breakdown below $1.56 with rising sell volume

Daily close below $1.37

That sequence shifts bias from continuation to corrective retracement.

7. Market Psychology: Where We Stand Now

The easy breakout profits have already been made.

Now the market transitions into:

Early profit-taking

Late breakout chasers

Structural retest phase

This is where discipline matters most.

The first pullback determines whether:

Smart money defends structure

Or late buyers get trapped

Final Verdict: Breakout Confirmed — Continuation Not Yet Confirmed

ENSO/USDT has executed a clean breakout from accumulation and established bullish market structure.

However:

Momentum is cooling

Volume must re-expand

Structural support must hold

The bullish thesis remains intact above $1.56, but confirmation of the next leg requires a high-volume break above $2.21.

The market is no longer asking, “Is this a breakout?”

It’s asking:

> “Will buyers defend higher value?”

As always:

Wait for confirmation.

Define invalidation clearly.

Let volume validate your bias.

Patience here separates professionals from emotional traders.

The next expansion move will likely be decisive.