CZTrades

Bitcoin’s monthly chart is doing the same thing it has every single cycle.
No exceptions. No misses.

Since 2013, BTC always follows this pattern:
• 2 years of steady growth
• 1 year of explosive bull run
• 1 year of brutal bear market
The bull run peaked in October 2025.
That phase is over.

📉 We are now in the bear market, likely lasting until October 2026.

If history repeats:

BTC may chop around $80k first
Then slide toward ~$50k by October 2026
This is the only indicator that has never failed me.
Save this. I’ll revisit it in October 2026.

After dumping 230,000 BTC during the chaos, the biggest players in the game are back — and they’re buying aggressively.

In just three months, wallets holding 1,000–10,000 BTC rebuilt their reserves to pre-crash levels. In the last 30 days alone? Nearly 100,000 BTC scooped up.

That’s not random buying. That’s strategy.

They Sold the Top… Now They’re Reloading.

Back in August 2025, when Bitcoin hit $124,000, whales started distributing. The rally stalled. The market cooled.

Now? They’ve reversed the entire sell-off.

This is a classic V-shaped accumulation:
Sell strength. Absorb fear. Rebuild quietly.

Big Money Is Moving. Hard.

$8.24 billion in whale BTC just flowed into Binance — the highest in 14 months.

Retail flows are flattening.

Large trade sizes are dominating the spot market.

And here’s the twist:

While billions are moving onto exchanges, whales are also pulling out 60,000–100,000 BTC at the same time.

In other words: massive movement… but no real increase in exchange supply.

That suggests positioning — not panic.

The strongest hands in the market have quietly rebuilt their positions.

When whales accumulate at scale, it’s rarely random.

They’re either preparing for volatility — or positioning before the next major move.

Either way, this isn’t small money activity.

This is smart money reshuffling the board.

The US Supreme Court just struck down key Trump-era tariffs — and markets are scrambling.

Bitcoin? Choppy. Unbothered. Sitting around $67,000 like nothing happened.

The ruling says the President didn’t have authority to impose certain tariffs. Now traders are talking about a possible $150 BILLION refund. That’s not small change — that’s market-moving money.

Stocks popped slightly. But the reaction was muted because some tariffs survived.

📉 Inflation Surges. Rate Cuts Fade.

While everyone focused on the court drama, ugly economic data hit:

Inflation (PCE) jumped to 3%

GDP growth collapsed to 1.4% (expected 3%)

The dream of a March rate cut is almost dead — just a 4% chance now.

Higher rates for longer. Risk assets don’t love that.

🐻 Bitcoin at a Breaking Point

$70K — heavy resistance

$65K — strong support

Bears still have control. The trend is down.

Break above $70K → Momentum shift.

Drop below $65K → Acceleration lower.

And $72K? That’s the line that could liquidate a wave of short sellers.

For now, Bitcoin is coiled.
Waiting.

The next move could be violent.