Daisy_adamZz

Keep your hawked eye on market before making any move

President Trump says $175 BILLION in tariff refunds will be fought in court "for the next 5 years."

President Putin holds Security Council meeting with Russian delegation from Geneva.

"I asked our colleagues who worked in Geneva and spoke to the Americans and Ukrainians to find solutions, peaceful solutions."

President Trump says he settled eight wars with the help of tariffs.

But give no evidence 😒

After locking in 27RR in just two days, the question is: what’s next?

I’m staying calm. The larger move higher still looks like it’s loading. Right now, fear is doing the heavy lifting, sentiment is heavily skewed bearish, nobody believes in the upside, and most are calling for lower prices. That kind of positioning typically fuels expansion (teaching my students currently).

On $BTC I’m expecting a sweep of 65k, likely just liquidity, not necessarily a full range low. If price does take the range low, then 57–58k becomes a realistic target. Either way, it doesn’t change the bigger picture. Even in a shakeout scenario, we remain positioned for upside.

For $ETHBTC, strength is starting to show. That’s why I wanted to share the chart now. 15D time spend, we’re clearly in an accumulation phase. As I’ve said before, I remain bullish till end of March.

Could we get one final shakeout? Absolutely. But structurally, I’m positioned for expansion higher.

Stay alert.

BREAKING:

🇺🇸 California Governor Newsom calls for tariff refund checks.

It’s a positive sign market will go up 🤜🏽🤛🏽

The US now faces $150+ billion in potential tariff refunds.

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Supreme Court strikes down President Trump's tariffs.

Trump said limited strike on iran

Since the early-October ATH, US Spot BTC ETFs have recorded the largest balance drawdown of this cycle, shedding ~100.3k BTC.

Institutional de-risking is now a clear structural headwind, adding pressure to price and reinforcing the broader risk-off market environment.
$BTC

PRESIDENT TRUMP ON SUPREME COURT TARIFF RULING:

“I’ve been waiting forever.”

A ruling is expected as soon as tomorrow.

BREAKING: Nvidia, $NVDA, is finalizing a $30 billion investment in OpenAI that will replace the previously announced $100 billion deal, per FT.

BREAKING: President Trump is weighing an initial limited strike on Iran to force Tehran to meet his demands for a nuclear deal, per WSJ.

Never blame the market. If a trade goes wrong, have the courage to admit your analysis was wrong. Many traders blame the news or say institutions hunted their stop loss, but in reality nobody cares about your loss or even your profit. The market is neutral; it simply moves. Your job is to read it correctly, manage risk, and execute with discipline. If you misread it, accept it. Accountability is uncomfortable. Yes it challenges your ego and can shake your confidence, but it is the fastest way to grow. The moment you stop blaming external factors is the moment you start improving your edge. Remember, ownership builds your skill, and losing trades are just tuition fees.

Did some quantitative analysis to this..

The absolute difference is 0.23 between(1-1) and (2-2) : predicting the bottom

Just a theory which CAN GO WRONG

If the theory goes right.. 59k is the real bottom!!

But time will tell :)

$BTC 🟠
2013: ~$100
2017: ~$20,000
2018: ~$3,200
2020: ~$29,000
2021: ~$69,000
2022: ~$15,500
2023: ~$44,000
2024: ~$73,000
2025: ~$42,000
2026: ❓

Cycles repeat.
Volatility shakes out weak hands.
Scarcity does the rest.

If adoption + liquidity expansion continue,
next major macro zone could be $90K – $120K.

Boring for traders.
Deadly for bears.

Where do you see BTC in 2026? 📊

$RIVER

Price rejected from $9.60 supply
Short-term structure turned bearish

• Lost EMA(7) & EMA(25)
• Weak bounce, sellers still in control
• Volume fading after distribution

Key levels:
Support: $8.30 – $8.00
If that breaks → $7.70 next
Resistance: $9.00 – $9.35

Bias stays cautious until price reclaims EMAs with volume.
Patience > FOMO.

$BNB is showing early signs of stabilization after sweeping local lows and reacting from a key demand zone.

$BNB Long Setup:
Entry: 610 – 615
SL: 605
TP1: 622
TP2: 630
TP3: 642

Price is trading below short-term EMAs, but selling momentum is weakening after the liquidity grab near 607.
Repeated rejections to the downside failed to expand, suggesting sellers are getting absorbed.

A potential base is forming as structure attempts to shift back toward higher liquidity.
Sustained acceptance above EMA25 / EMA99 would confirm the local trend reversal.

$TAO – LONG SETUP

Entry zone: 177 – 178
Will add on dips for cost averaging

Liquidation target: Zero / at least below 50
Risk defined

Stop loss: Candle close below 177

Structure favors a bounce from this zone.
Trade invalidated only on confirmed close below support.

Crypto Report of the Day – Top 3 Losers

Here is a clear and easy-to-understand summary of today’s biggest decliners:
1. $pippin
Price dropped by 21.62%
Current price: $0.4836
This is a strong sell-off, indicating heavy short-term selling and weak buyer support.
2. Humanity Protocol $H
Price dropped by 10.17%
Current price: $0.1759
The decline suggests profit-taking or reduced interest as overall market sentiment remains cautious.
3. LayerZero $ZRO
Price dropped by 5.87%
Current price: $1.55
Compared to the others, the drop is relatively smaller, but it still shows ongoing downside pressure.

Summary:
The market remains risk-off, with traders cutting positions in weaker or overextended assets. These moves appear driven more by short-term sentiment than by fundamental changes.

$KITE – LONG

Entry: 0.2280 – 0.2350
SL: 0.2050
TP: 0.2600 – 0.2900 – 0.3200

Above MA25 & MA99,
strong expansion candle with volume,
clean breakout from base,
higher high + higher low structure,
bullish continuation as long as price holds above 0.22