Dom Nguyen - Dom Trading

⚠️ PEOPLE HAVE NO IDEA WHAT ALTSEASON 2026 COULD LOOK LIKE

Everyone’s distracted.
Arguing. Doubting. Posting “crypto is dead” for the 50th time.
Meanwhile?
The foundation is being built right in front of you.
Donald Trump is openly pro-crypto.
BlackRock is tokenizing assets.
Banks. Governments. Institutions.
They are not fighting blockchain anymore.
They’re building on it.
Let that sink in.
For years we’ve had pressure building under the surface:
• Lower highs.
• Higher lows.
• Liquidity tightening.
• Weak hands flushed out.
Every prior cycle looked like this before liftoff.
2017?
~2,500%–3,000% on alts.
2020–2021?
~1,300%–1,800%.
And what was sentiment like at the bottom?
Dead.
Hopeless.
Nobody believed anymore.
That’s always when markets turn.
Look at gold. Look at silver. They add trillions in market cap and barely anyone blinks.
Now imagine just a fraction of that capital rotating into mid-cap and small-cap crypto.
You don’t need trillions.
You need narrative + liquidity + positioning.
That’s when 50x. 100x. 200x moves happen.
And here’s the uncomfortable truth:
This cycle isn’t retail vs crypto anymore.
It’s institutions building rails while the public is distracted.
If 2021 was speculation…
2026 could be infrastructure meeting capital.
And when that switch flips, it doesn’t move politely.
It explodes.
I’m not telling you to be reckless.
I am saying this:
The masses always buy euphoria and sell despair.
I prefer doing the opposite.
That’s how bottoms are accumulated.
That’s how tops are distributed.
Call it contrarian.
Call it crazy.
Call it early.
Just don’t call it unexpected when it happens.
Because by the time everyone agrees…
It won’t be cheap anymore.

🚨 MY 2026 CRYPTO ROADMAP — THIS IS HOW THE MARKET PLAYS OUT

Save this.
Because if the cycle follows its usual structure, 2026 will move fast — and most people will react too late.
Here’s the timeline:
February → Bear trap
Panic selling. Weak hands exit. Market looks broken.
March → Bitcoin breakout
Momentum returns suddenly. BTC reclaims strength and surprises everyone.
April → Altcoin season begins
Capital rotates. Risk appetite explodes. Alts start outperforming.
May → New Bitcoin ATH (~$215K)
Peak euphoria. Retail rushes in late. Market overheats.
June → Bull trap
Price looks strong, but smart money starts exiting quietly.
July → Liquidation cascade
Leverage unwinds. Forced selling accelerates the drop.
August → Bear market officially begins
Liquidity dries up. Sentiment flips. The cycle resets.
Markets move in phases.
First disbelief → then euphoria → then pain.
I’ve tracked market cycles for over 10 years and called major tops and bottoms consistently — including the October top when most people were still bullish.
Cycles repeat.
Human behavior never changes.
Position accordingly.

🚨 BITCOIN IS ABOUT TO ENTER ITS BIGGEST RUN EVER

2026 is shaping up to be the year of Bitcoin.
The shift is already happening.
The fiat era is slowly losing control.
And the next wave of capital is moving into crypto.
The next 3–6 months will feel like a money printer.
Massive announcements are coming.
Liquidity is building.
Momentum is accelerating.
Here’s how the cycle likely unfolds:
→ Bitcoin breaks new ATH
→ Ethereum follows
→ Billions rotate into mid and low caps
→ Altcoins and memes explode (10x–100x moves)
The total crypto market cap is targeting $8–$10 trillion.
Last cycle peaked around $2.7T —
and we still saw 100x plays.
Now imagine nearly 3x that liquidity entering the system.
That’s the opportunity.
Stay bullish.
Whales will shake the market to force weak hands out — don’t fall for it.
The real money is made by those who stay patient through volatility.
Altseason is coming.
Memeseason is inevitable.
Smart money is positioning now.
The biggest moves happen when most people hesitate.

🚨 BREAKING: A SATOSHI-ERA WHALE JUST SOLD EVERYTHING

One of the oldest Bitcoin holders just dumped 18,400 BTC — worth $1.24 BILLION.
This wallet has been holding since 2009.
Early cycle. Pre-mainstream. Pre-everything.
And today — after 15+ years — he exited.
Completely.
Let that sink in.
This isn’t retail panic.
This isn’t short-term trading.
This is someone who held through every cycle…
finally deciding to sell.
The obvious question:
What does he see that the market doesn’t?
Is this profit-taking after a historic run?
Or is smart money preparing for lower prices?
When long-term holders start moving,
it usually means something is changing under the surface.
Watch the flows.

🚨 WARREN BUFFETT IS SITTING ON $382 BILLION — AND THAT SHOULD TELL YOU EVERYTHING

Warren Buffett is holding $382 BILLION in cash.
The largest cash position in Berkshire Hathaway’s history.
That’s not random.
And it’s not defensive.
It’s preparation.
Look at the pattern:
2007 → $47B cash → Global Financial Crisis → Buffett buys Goldman Sachs at fire-sale prices.
2020 → $137B cash → COVID crash → Buffett deploys capital aggressively.
2026 → $382B cash → ???
The signal is obvious.
Every time Buffett’s cash reaches extreme levels, a major market dislocation follows.
Then his cash drops — because he starts buying when everyone else panics.
Now look at what he’s doing today:
Sold roughly 75% of Apple
Cut Amazon exposure by 77%
Reduced financial holdings
Parked hundreds of billions in T-bills yielding ~4.5%
He’s not chasing returns.
He’s waiting for opportunity.
When the most disciplined investor alive holds 58% of his portfolio in cash,
it’s not fear.
It’s patience.
Smart money doesn’t react to crashes.
It prepares for them.
And right now, Buffett looks ready.
The crash isn’t a surprise.
It’s the setup.

🚨 THE RETIREMENT CRISIS NOBODY WANTS TO TALK ABOUT

A lot of people are going to realize this too late:
Social Security is running out of money.
According to the 2025 trustees report, the Social Security trust fund is projected to be depleted by 2033.
And when that happens, benefits don’t just “adjust.”
They get cut.
By law.
About 23% overnight.
Think about what that means.
If you expect $2,000 per month → suddenly it’s $1,540.
That’s over $5,500 per year gone.
For millions of retirees, that’s rent.
That’s medication.
That’s food.
And that’s before inflation.
Since 2020, the dollar has lost roughly 25% of its purchasing power.
Cost-of-living adjustments haven’t kept up.
So your income gets cut —
and what’s left buys far less.
You get hit twice.
But here’s what younger workers should really understand.
If you’re in your 40s today, you’ve paid into this system your entire career.
By the time you qualify, the trust fund may have been empty for years.
You’ll receive reduced benefits in a currency worth much less than today.
Nobody prepared you for that.
And that’s why a growing number of Americans in their 40s and 50s may never fully retire.
Retirement accounts were hit in market crashes.
Housing costs surged.
Real wages barely moved.
And the system many depended on is mathematically strained.
The warning signs have existed for decades.
And the longer solutions are delayed, the harder the outcome becomes —
higher taxes, deeper benefit cuts, or both.
If your retirement plan depends entirely on full Social Security benefits,
you may need to rethink that plan.
The reality is simple:
Financial security increasingly depends on personal savings, investing, and building independent income streams.
The system won’t solve this for you.

🚨 JAPAN MAY TRIGGER THE NEXT GLOBAL SELL-OFF — AND MARKETS ARE NOT READY
Something big is happening in Japan.
The Bank of Japan is tightening policy
while preparing to unload hundreds of billions in foreign assets.
Rate hikes plus asset sales = liquidity gets drained from the global system.
That combination has never been friendly to markets.
Here’s what most people are missing:
Japan is reportedly preparing to offload up to $620 billion in U.S. stocks and ETFs to defend the yen.
Not just bonds.
Not just currency intervention.
Equities. Real assets. Real liquidity.
This isn’t routine policy.
This is a full-scale defense move.
The yen has been under relentless pressure for months.
Officials warned.
They delayed.
They tried words.
Now they may need action.
And defending the yen means selling dollar-based assets —
many of which sit inside U.S. markets.
That turns this from a “Japan issue”
into a global liquidity event.
Here’s the chain reaction few are watching:
→ Japan sells U.S. equities and ETFs
→ Dollar liquidity tightens
→ Volatility spikes across markets
→ Risk assets reprice quickly
→ Forced liquidations begin
Once volatility shows up, it spreads everywhere.
Stocks drop.
ETFs unwind.
Crypto reacts instantly.
That’s how calm markets suddenly break.
The real risk?
Markets still look relaxed.
Positioning is still crowded.
Nothing is priced for aggressive selling.
And there’s more.
Japan is expected to hike rates again next month.
Higher rates strengthen the yen.
A stronger yen increases pressure to sell foreign assets.
Meaning the selling doesn’t stop —
it accelerates.
Rate hikes + asset sales = tighter global liquidity.
And global markets run on liquidity.
Expect sharp moves.
Expect stress where liquidity is thin.
Volatility isn’t a possibility — it’s the base case.
Pay attention now, not after headlines explain it.
I’ve studied market cycles for over a decade and flagged most major selloffs early.
Watch the flows.
I’ll post updates before the mainstream catches up.

🚨 VERY IMPORTANT 🚨

We’re Pouring Trillions Into AI… But Who Wins?
I need to say something that’s been sitting heavy with me.
This year alone, $2.5 trillion is being poured into AI. That’s up 44% from last year.
Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft are expected to spend $560 billion on AI.
Double what they were spending just two years ago.
Now normally, when that much capital floods into a new technology, it creates jobs. It creates growth. It creates opportunity.
But this time feels different.
Because a huge portion of that money isn’t being used to hire people.
It’s being used to replace them.
And I don’t say that dramatically — I say it realistically.
Even institutions like Goldman Sachs, the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, and the Brookings Institution have openly discussed large-scale job displacement from AI.
Here’s what worries me:
What happens when we have record investment…
but fewer people earning paychecks?
If jobs shrink → spending drops.
If spending drops → revenues fall.
If revenues fall → tax income falls.
And governments are already stretched thin.
For the first time, we may be facing three things at once:
• Record capital deployment
• Broad job displacement
• Massive government debt
That combination is new.
Markets don’t seem to be pricing that risk yet. Maybe they’re right. Maybe productivity offsets it.
But maybe they’re not.
People keep mentioning automation taxes and UBI — and whether you agree with those ideas or not, the fact that they’re even being discussed at scale tells you something.
The old economic tools — rate cuts, stimulus — were built for recessions.
This feels more structural.
I’m not saying panic.
I am saying this: pay attention.
Because when capital flows this big start reshaping labor this fast, it changes more than earnings reports.
It changes lives.
And we need to talk about that part too.

🚨Bitcoin Demand Just Flipped Positive

After ~3 months of heavy weakness, Bitcoin’s apparent demand has turned positive — now at +1,200 BTC.
December low: -154,000 BTC (explains the prolonged grind)
Now: Selling pressure easing, long-term holders quietly absorbing new supply again
This metric tracks whether conviction holders (LTHs) are net buyers of fresh issuance. Deeply negative = distribution & weakness.
Positive flip = early structural rebuilding.
One print isn’t a trend yet — but if it holds, this is typically one of the first signs the market shifts from distribution back to accumulation.
The foundation is quietly strengthening under the surface noise.
Watch if it sticks.

MASSIVE CRYPTO OUTFLOWS – Largest Since 2022 Bear Market

The chart shows aggregate realized value net position change across BTC, ETH, and stablecoins:
Green bars (positive inflows) have collapsed
Red bars (negative outflows) are exploding — the biggest capital exit since the 2022 bear low
Billions leaving the space: spot ETFs bleeding, sentiment crushed, positioning extremely defensive
This isn’t retail dip-buying — it’s institutional and leveraged de-risking at scale.
Key takeaway from the data:
Net outflows are now at levels that historically mark major capitulation phases
Forced selling dominates when liquidity dries up and fear overrides conviction
The real question:
At what point does this forced de-risking exhaust itself and flip into genuine opportunity?
These extremes rarely last forever — they set the stage for the next accumulation.
Stay patient and watch the flows, not just the price.FOLLOW ME!

🚨Bitcoin/Gold Ratio: Historic Low RSI – Bear Market May Be Ending

The BTC/Gold chart shows the lowest RSI in history right now.
Key timeline:
Bitcoin peaked vs. Gold in Dec 2024
Since then: ~14-month bear market in BTC/Gold terms
Prior major BTC bear markets (in USD terms) also lasted ~14 months:
Apr 2021 – Jun 2022
Dec 2017 – Feb 2019
Nov 2013 – Jan 2015
The common narrative (“early bear market because USD ATH was Oct 2025”) misses the bigger picture:
That USD peak was likely dragged up by surging Gold/Silver.
In BTC/Gold terms, the bear market started 14 months ago — we may now be in the final capitulation chapter.
Historical pattern:
Every prior 14-month BTC bear ended → launched multi-year uptrends.
Bears betting on further downside are fighting the longest/weakest RSI ever recorded on this ratio.
Bottom line:
The chart suggests we’re closer to the end of the bear than the beginning.
This time may not be different.

🚨THIS HASN’T HAPPENED BEFORE – Gold’s Tariff Vacuum Rally

Supreme Court cancelling tariffs didn’t solve anything — it created a policy vacuum. Markets hate uncertainty more than bad news.
Historical pattern (gold surges in crisis):
2007–2009 Housing Collapse: Gold +58% ($670 → $1,060)
2019–2021 COVID: Gold +69% ($1,200 → $2,030)
2025–2026 Tariff Drama (now cancelled): Gold +144% ($2,060 → $5,030)
Gold doesn’t pump like this in normal markets. It pumps when trust in the system breaks.
What happens next:
Policy vacuum loop — No tariffs now, only threats & “backup plans” → uncertainty persists
Futures reopen (6 PM ET) — First liquid reaction = sharp volatility (uncertainty sells first)
Tue/Wed reality check — No new tariffs = panic cools temporarily, even if headlines scream
Bottom line:
This isn’t clarity — it’s the wealth transfer phase. Gold/silver/crypto move when fiat trust cracks.
I’ve tracked macro for 10+ years and called major tops (incl. Oct BTC ATH).
Notifications on — I’ll flag the next leg before headlines catch up.
Position for disorder, not denial.

🚨 THE SUPREME COURT COULD DECIDE THE FATE OF TRUMP’S TARIFFS TODAY

At 10:00 AM ET, the U.S. Supreme Court returns from a four-week recess with a major question on the docket:
Did the President have the legal authority to impose 10–50% tariffs on nearly every trading partner using an emergency powers law from 1977?
Lower federal courts have already ruled no — twice.
Prediction markets are now pricing roughly a 75% probability that the Supreme Court will agree.
But here’s the controversial part:
Even if SCOTUS strikes down these tariffs, the White House has already telegraphed what comes next.
Bessent stated publicly that the administration intends to rebuild the tariff structure under different trade statutes — a legal wrapper change, not a policy reversal.
So a ruling against the tariffs might not end the issue. It might just shift how they’re implemented.
Today isn’t the only day to watch.
Opinions could also come on Tuesday or Wednesday, but 10:00 AM ET is the first window everyone’s eyeing.
The next few days could be incredibly volatile across markets.
I’ll continue posting updates as filings and rulings arrive.
For context: I’ve called major market tops and bottoms over the last decade — and I always share my positioning publicly.
By the time consensus realizes what just happened, most of the move will already be underway.
Many people will wish they followed sooner.

🚨 BITCOIN VS GOLD JUST HIT ITS LOWEST RSI IN HISTORY

Most people are looking at Bitcoin in dollars.
That might be the mistake.
On the Bitcoin/Gold chart, RSI has reached the lowest level ever recorded.
That changes the entire narrative.
Bitcoin peaked relative to Gold in December 2024.
Since then, we’ve been in a ~14-month relative bear market.
Now look at history:
April 2021 → June 2022 = 14 months
December 2017 → February 2019 = 14 months
November 2013 → January 2015 = 14 months
Every major Bitcoin bear market has lasted roughly 14 months.
We are now at that same duration — again.
Yet the prevailing view says we’re “early” in a bear market because Bitcoin made a new all-time high in dollars in October 2025.
But here’s the key:
If Gold and Silver were aggressively rallying at the time, Bitcoin’s dollar ATH may have been partially a currency illusion — a denominator effect.
When you price Bitcoin in Gold instead of dollars, the picture looks very different.
Instead of being a few months into a fresh downturn…
We may be in the final phase of a bear market that started 14 months ago.
That distinction matters.
Because the end of each prior 14-month bear market wasn’t followed by sideways chop.
It was followed by multi-year expansions.
2015 → 2017
2019 → 2021
2022 → 2024
Each cycle began from extreme relative weakness and deeply oversold momentum readings.
Now we have:
Lowest RSI in history (BTC priced in Gold)
Bear market duration matching prior cycles
Maximum pessimism on relative performance
So here’s the real question:
Are we early in a new bear market…
Or are we at the exhaustion point of an old one?
If history rhymes, this level won’t be remembered as breakdown territory.
It will be remembered as compression before expansion.
Anyone short here is betting that the most oversold relative condition in Bitcoin’s history keeps accelerating lower.
That’s possible.
But historically, extremes like this have marked turning points — not beginnings.

🚨 THE INSIDERS ARE SENDING A MESSAGE — ARE YOU WATCHING?

New SEC filings just hit. Here’s what stands out:
– PPG: The CFO sold 78,095 shares worth roughly $10.2M — and now holds zero. That’s a full exit.
– IRON: The CEO, COO, CMO, and Chief Legal Officer all filed sales at the same time. When an entire C-suite trims together, that’s coordinated timing — not randomness.
– OCUL: Multiple officers collectively unloaded more than $2.5M in stock.
– NE: Five SVPs filed sales on the same day.
One insider selling can mean taxes, diversification, or personal liquidity.
But when clusters appear — especially across executive teams — that’s different.
Executives know:
Forward guidance trends
Margin pressure
Contract pipelines
Regulatory risks
Demand slowdowns before they’re visible in earnings
They don’t always sell at the top.
But they rarely sell aggressively for no reason.
And right now, selling continues to dominate the filings.
That said — there are selective insider buys happening.
They’re just harder to find.
I had to dig through a wave of sales to isolate the few accumulation signals that actually matter.
And those selective buys?
They’re often more important than the noise.
I’m tracking filings as they drop.
Most retail investors don’t monitor Form 4 activity daily.
I do — and I’ll continue sharing what matters.
More updates coming tomorrow.
Pay attention to what executives do — not what they say.
Because by the time the headlines catch up,
Positioning is already complete.

🚨 I THINK WE HAVE A SERIOUS PROBLEM BREWING

In a single hour, roughly $0.5 trillion was added to the combined gold and silver market cap.
That kind of move doesn’t happen randomly.
And it definitely doesn’t happen without positioning first.
The drop came before the explosion — and that wasn’t an accident.
Here’s what likely unfolded.
Insiders anticipated the Supreme Court ruling that Trump-era tariffs were illegal.
They positioned ahead of the headline.
The selloff you saw earlier?
It didn’t look like panic because it wasn’t panic.
It was engineered.
Prices needed to go lower before the news hit.
Why?
Because once tariffs are removed, inflation expectations get repriced.
Tariffs act as embedded cost pressure. Remove them, and markets must reassess growth, currency stability, fiscal gaps, and policy response.
That repricing doesn’t happen cleanly.
So liquidity gets harvested first.
This is how it’s done:
– Aggressive sell pressure floods the book
– Algos trigger
– Weak hands get forced out
– Liquidity thins out
– Smart money accumulates into the flush
That wasn’t chaos.
It was a controlled liquidation.
Then the ruling hits.
Metals rip higher.
But here’s the part most people missed.
While paper prices were smashed to hunt stops, the physical market never truly cracked.
Dealer premiums stayed elevated.
Physical platinum pricing across major hubs:
Hong Kong: $2,064/oz
Mumbai: $2,072/oz
London: $2,115.50/oz
New York: $2,124.50/oz
That’s more than a $60 spread globally.
Meaning?
The metal was never truly available at quoted “spot.”
Those lower paper prices didn’t reflect real-world availability.
Smart money understood the dip was temporary.
They accumulated into confusion.
Now the repricing phase is underway.
And historically, these moves don’t end in a single impulse.
They extend.
I’ve navigated major tops and bottoms for over 15 years.
When I make my next move, I’ll share it publicly — like I always do.
By the time consensus understands what just happened,
Positioning will already be complete.