CRYPTO NOVA01

$BTC Macro Signal Worth Watching

The Aroon Oscillator on the higher timeframe is starting to roll over from its cycle top zone — a behavior that previously showed up near major market peaks in 2013, 2017, and 2021.

Back then, the pattern was similar:
• Price pushed near highs
• Trend strength began to fade
• Aroon Up dominance weakened
• Aroon Down started expanding below zero

We’re seeing early signs of that transition again. Momentum is compressing, trend persistence looks less convincing, and downside volatility is beginning to wake up.

If the oscillator continues into negative territory, history suggests we could be looking at a multi-month corrective or consolidation phase rather than immediate continuation.

At this stage, it’s less about if volatility increases — and more about where liquidity gets swept before the next major cycle move.

Always manage risk. Markets move in phases. 📊

$SOL  has just hit the full 100% extension target, putting it right at a major decision point.

While this level often acts as strong support, we’ll want to see a bit more confirmation before calling a bottom.

If price breaks below $76.50, that would invalidate the 1-2 setup.

🇦🇪 JUST IN: The UAE has mined $453.6M worth of Bitcoin via Citadel.

Most of the $BTC is still being held, per Arkham.

A WHALE JUST OPENED:

🔸$33 MILLION $ETH SHORT 💥
🔸$28 MILLION $SOL SHORT 💥
🔸WITH 20X LEVERAGE 🔥

IN JUST 4 MONTHS, THIS WHALE HAS MADE:
💰 $23 MILLION
💯 80% WIN RATE

$PI  Network is stealing the spotlight this week with a massive 40% surge, leaving traders wondering just how high it can go.

The explosive momentum appears to be fueled by a perfect storm of catalysts: growing speculation around a potential Kraken listing, recent upgrades to its KYC verification system, and the buzz surrounding the project's mainnet anniversary.

$BTC  is currently drifting toward a critical test of the $66,200 support zone.

If that level fails to hold, we could see a deeper pullback toward the next major demand area between $64,500 and $62,600.

While there isn't much buying pressure evident at the moment, the shorter timeframes (like the 15-minute chart) often flip the script quickly, so volatility could return at any moment.

🚨 BREAKING 🚨

A WHALE JUST OPENED A $41 MILLION $BTC LONG WITH 40X LEVERAGE!
IF BTC DROPS JUST 6%, HE’LL GET FULLY LIQUIDATED!

$SOL has basically been moving sideways between $77 and $90 for about 11 days. Both the top and bottom of the range have already been tested, so buyers and sellers look pretty evenly matched right now. There’s no clear trend just choppy movement.

Price is slightly below the main trading level (point of control), which gives a small short-term bearish bias, but that won’t matter much unless strong volume comes in.

We might still see a move back toward $81–$82, or even a quick spike above $90. But unless $90 turns into strong support, those moves are likely fakeouts, not real breakouts.

For now, the best approach is to treat this as a range market. If the range eventually breaks down, the bigger downside target could be around $57. Until then, consolidation is still the main story.

🚨 NOW: Polymarket users predict a 37% chance Bitcoin $BTC hits $75K in February.

🔥 LATEST: An early Ethereum ICO investor awakens after 10.6 years of dormancy attempting to move 1 $ETH to Gemini but the transaction fails.

The $443 ICO investment in 1,430 $ETH is now worth $2.81M, delivering a 6,335x return.

$BTC
Bitcoin’s price is trying to break higher but continues to face resistance from the bears. This could lead to another massive drop to $61,000.

🚨 JUST IN: $XRP FORECASTED TO GO AS HIGH AS $1.70 THIS MONTH, PER TRADERS ON KALSHI!

$SOL

The price is attempting to break above the yellow trendline, but upside momentum looks weak. So far, I can only see a 3-wave move to the upside, which means another dip in wave (B) is still possible. Keep in mind that CPI data comes out tomorrow, so we might not see much action today

Bitcoin’s 200-day moving average is dropping faster than it has since the 2022 bear market. That shows some real weakness inside $BTC , even though the Nasdaq isn’t crashing.
This gap means Bitcoin could swing sharply in the short term. At around $67,000 today, expect some bumps—stay alert, don’t get too comfortable.

$BTC
Capital returns to exchanges, but leverage stays low despite strong Binance inflows and trading volume.

This chart shows the behavior of long-term Bitcoin $BTC holders over time, focusing on their 30-day spending and the apparent demand for Bitcoin. The black line represents the Bitcoin price, measured on the left-hand axis. The colored areas illustrate the net demand effect from long-term holders: green indicates periods of positive apparent demand (more buying than selling), while red reflects negative apparent demand (more selling than buying).

The purple overlay shows the total 30-day spending of long-term holders, which corresponds closely with price swings. Peaks in green often precede or coincide with upward price movements, suggesting that long-term holder accumulation supports price growth. Conversely, periods dominated by red, where holders are selling, tend to align with price declines or corrections.
Overall, the chart highlights the cyclical nature of Bitcoin markets and the influential role long-term holders play in shaping supply and apparent demand.

For $ETH to keep this recent bounce alive, it needs to firmly hold $1,991. The structure so far looks more like a three-wave corrective move, not a full-fledged reversal.

Just a heads-up: as long as price stays under $2,396, the door remains open for another move down to test lower levels. The upside isn't confirmed yet.

Bitcoin is showing signs of vulnerability as macroeconomic risks rise. Goldman Sachs has issued a major warning about U.S. stocks, suggesting that heavy selling could be on the horizon. Historically, Bitcoin has often moved in tandem with the broader market, meaning a sharp drop in equities could drag $BTC down toward $60K.

Traders should stay cautious, watch both crypto and traditional markets, and manage risk carefully. While BTC remains strong in the long term, short-term volatility is likely as investors digest these warnings

Not many people are noticing what’s happening on Bitcoin’s weekly chart, but the pattern is becoming clearer.
Bitcoin $BTC tends to move in cycles. It pushes up strongly (impulse moves), then slows down and pulls back (corrections). These moves aren’t random they usually follow a repeating rhythm.

Before the recent highs, Bitcoin was climbing in strong waves. The pullbacks were getting shorter, and the upward moves were getting faster. That’s usually a sign that a cycle is nearing its peak.
After that run-up, the behavior changed. Instead of strong pushes higher, price started moving sideways with lower highs. This kind of action often shows that the market is cooling off, with traders taking profits rather than starting a new big uptrend.

If this pattern continues like in past cycles, Bitcoin $BTC may stay in a consolidation phase for a while before going through a deeper correction to fully reset the cycle.
A real sign of a new bullish phase would be strong, consistent upward moves again not just short bounces, but sustained momentum.

🚨 Pi Network Price Outlook Ahead of This Week’s 82M Token Unlock: What’s Next for Pi?

$PI Network was rejected last week around the $0.15 mark, which kept it on a downward trend.