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$381.7 billion in cash, Buffett's ultimate warning! We are at a historical turning point
When Buffett no longer acts 'greedily' but instead leaves with an enormous amount of cash, an era is coming to a close. This is not just the retirement of an investment giant, but it may also serve as a silent alarm regarding core U.S. dollar assets.
His lifelong wealth legend is deeply tied to the global dominance of the U.S. dollar. Now, however, his choices have laid bare the cracks in the old system: $38 trillion in debt looms large, and the global trend of 'de-dollarization' has become a wave, making U.S. stocks, reliant on a few tech giants, increasingly fragile. What does it mean when the most trusted players in this game begin to pull back?
Beneath the cracks, light is beginning to shine through. Global capital is in urgent need of new 'value anchors,' and this is an unprecedented historical opportunity for cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Their story is no longer merely speculative but instead is becoming a cornerstone of independent and transparent digital value in a multipolar world. This is not about replacement but about occupying a key position in the new landscape.
Meanwhile, global central banks continue to 'inject liquidity.' When worries about the old system meet rampant liquidity, where will the massive funds flow? The answer seems to be becoming increasingly clear.
The historical turning point has arrived. As the old 'anchor of stability' begins to retract on its own, who do you think will become the new 'anchor of stability' in the new era? Is it gold, a new sovereign currency, or cryptocurrencies that open new narratives? Let's discuss your thoughts in the comments! $BNB $PEPE #BTC90kChristmas #StrategyBTCPurchase #WriteToEarnUpgrade #CPIWatch #BTCVSGOLD
When Buffett no longer acts 'greedily' but instead leaves with an enormous amount of cash, an era is coming to a close. This is not just the retirement of an investment giant, but it may also serve as a silent alarm regarding core U.S. dollar assets.
His lifelong wealth legend is deeply tied to the global dominance of the U.S. dollar. Now, however, his choices have laid bare the cracks in the old system: $38 trillion in debt looms large, and the global trend of 'de-dollarization' has become a wave, making U.S. stocks, reliant on a few tech giants, increasingly fragile. What does it mean when the most trusted players in this game begin to pull back?
Beneath the cracks, light is beginning to shine through. Global capital is in urgent need of new 'value anchors,' and this is an unprecedented historical opportunity for cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Their story is no longer merely speculative but instead is becoming a cornerstone of independent and transparent digital value in a multipolar world. This is not about replacement but about occupying a key position in the new landscape.
Meanwhile, global central banks continue to 'inject liquidity.' When worries about the old system meet rampant liquidity, where will the massive funds flow? The answer seems to be becoming increasingly clear.
The historical turning point has arrived. As the old 'anchor of stability' begins to retract on its own, who do you think will become the new 'anchor of stability' in the new era? Is it gold, a new sovereign currency, or cryptocurrencies that open new narratives? Let's discuss your thoughts in the comments! $BNB $PEPE #BTC90kChristmas #StrategyBTCPurchase #WriteToEarnUpgrade #CPIWatch #BTCVSGOLD
US Manufacturing PMI Slips: Growth Hits a 7-Month Low 📉$BTC $ETH $PROM
The "engine" of the US economy is showing signs of fatigue. On Friday, February 20, 2026, the S&P Global Flash US Manufacturing PMI came in at 51.2, falling short of expectations and marking a clear deceleration from January’s performance.
🔍 The Data Breakdown
Actual: 51.2 (Lowest since July 2025)
Forecast: 52.4
Previous: 52.4
Context: While any reading above 50.0 indicates expansion, the drop to 51.2 suggests that growth is now barely "treading water."
⚠️ Why the Slowdown?
According to S&P Global Market Intelligence, a "perfect storm" of factors hit the factory floor in February:
The "Tariff Chill": Businesses are growing cautious due to the fallout from recent trade policies. The uncertainty surrounding the Supreme Court's tariff ruling and President Trump's immediate 10% counter-move has led to a slight drop in new orders.
Weather Woes: Severe winter weather across several states disrupted supply chains and temporarily dampened production schedules.
Labor Stall: Employment growth in the manufacturing sector nearly flatlined as firms hit the brakes on hiring, waiting for more clarity on the economic outlook.
#TokenizedRealEstate #BTCMiningDifficultyIncrease #TrumpNewTariffs #WhenWillCLARITYActPass #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking
The "engine" of the US economy is showing signs of fatigue. On Friday, February 20, 2026, the S&P Global Flash US Manufacturing PMI came in at 51.2, falling short of expectations and marking a clear deceleration from January’s performance.
🔍 The Data Breakdown
Actual: 51.2 (Lowest since July 2025)
Forecast: 52.4
Previous: 52.4
Context: While any reading above 50.0 indicates expansion, the drop to 51.2 suggests that growth is now barely "treading water."
⚠️ Why the Slowdown?
According to S&P Global Market Intelligence, a "perfect storm" of factors hit the factory floor in February:
The "Tariff Chill": Businesses are growing cautious due to the fallout from recent trade policies. The uncertainty surrounding the Supreme Court's tariff ruling and President Trump's immediate 10% counter-move has led to a slight drop in new orders.
Weather Woes: Severe winter weather across several states disrupted supply chains and temporarily dampened production schedules.
Labor Stall: Employment growth in the manufacturing sector nearly flatlined as firms hit the brakes on hiring, waiting for more clarity on the economic outlook.
#TokenizedRealEstate #BTCMiningDifficultyIncrease #TrumpNewTariffs #WhenWillCLARITYActPass #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking
🥊 Trump Fires Back: New 10% Global Tariff Effective Feb 24! 🇺🇸🚢
Just hours after the Supreme Court struck down his "emergency" tariff powers, President Trump has already launched a counter-offensive. During a fiery Friday press conference (Feb 20, 2026), he announced a new 10% global tariff on all imports, utilizing a different legal lever: Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974.
🔍 The "Loophole" Strategy
Trump is not backing down. This new order is designed to bypass the court's recent ruling:
The New Law: Section 122 allows the President to impose temporary import surcharges (up to 15%) for 150 days to address "balance-of-payments" deficits.
"On Top" of Existing Duties: Trump made it clear—this 10% is additive. It sits over and above any current duties (like those on steel, aluminum, or Chinese tech).
Effective Date: The new 10% levy hits at 12:01 AM ET on Tuesday, February 24, 2026.
Exemptions: A White House fact sheet noted some "relief" for critical minerals, energy products, and certain fertilizers, as well as a temporary carve-out for Canada and Mexico under the North American trade pact.
😤 Trump vs. SCOTUS: "A Disgrace"
The President didn't hold back his fury toward the justices who ruled against him (including two of his own appointees):
He called the 6-3 decision "ridiculous" and "deeply disappointing."
He accused the court of being "swayed by foreign interests" and labeled the majority justices as "lap dogs" for his political opponents.
He specifically praised the three dissenters—Kavanaugh, Alito, and Thomas—for their "strength and wisdom."
📊 Market Reaction: A "Volatile" Tug-of-War
The market is in "wait-and-see" mode as it weighs the Supreme Court "win" against Trump's immediate "counter-move":
Bitcoin ($BTC : Initially "popped" toward $68,000 on the court ruling but has settled around $67,300 as the new 10% global tariff adds a fresh layer of macro uncertainty.#BTCMiningDifficultyIncrease #TrumpNewTariffs #Follow #TRUMP $BIO
Just hours after the Supreme Court struck down his "emergency" tariff powers, President Trump has already launched a counter-offensive. During a fiery Friday press conference (Feb 20, 2026), he announced a new 10% global tariff on all imports, utilizing a different legal lever: Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974.
🔍 The "Loophole" Strategy
Trump is not backing down. This new order is designed to bypass the court's recent ruling:
The New Law: Section 122 allows the President to impose temporary import surcharges (up to 15%) for 150 days to address "balance-of-payments" deficits.
"On Top" of Existing Duties: Trump made it clear—this 10% is additive. It sits over and above any current duties (like those on steel, aluminum, or Chinese tech).
Effective Date: The new 10% levy hits at 12:01 AM ET on Tuesday, February 24, 2026.
Exemptions: A White House fact sheet noted some "relief" for critical minerals, energy products, and certain fertilizers, as well as a temporary carve-out for Canada and Mexico under the North American trade pact.
😤 Trump vs. SCOTUS: "A Disgrace"
The President didn't hold back his fury toward the justices who ruled against him (including two of his own appointees):
He called the 6-3 decision "ridiculous" and "deeply disappointing."
He accused the court of being "swayed by foreign interests" and labeled the majority justices as "lap dogs" for his political opponents.
He specifically praised the three dissenters—Kavanaugh, Alito, and Thomas—for their "strength and wisdom."
📊 Market Reaction: A "Volatile" Tug-of-War
The market is in "wait-and-see" mode as it weighs the Supreme Court "win" against Trump's immediate "counter-move":
Bitcoin ($BTC : Initially "popped" toward $68,000 on the court ruling but has settled around $67,300 as the new 10% global tariff adds a fresh layer of macro uncertainty.#BTCMiningDifficultyIncrease #TrumpNewTariffs #Follow #TRUMP $BIO
Victory for Markets! Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump’s Tariffs 📉🚀
A massive "uncertainty cloud" has just been lifted from the global economy. In a landmark 6-3 ruling on February 20, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court determined that President Trump exceeded his authority by bypassing Congress to impose sweeping global tariffs.
$BTC $XRP
🔍 The Ruling: "No Emergency Powers for Taxes"
The Court ruled against the administration's use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) of 1977 to levy duties.
The Conflict: Trump had declared "trade deficits" a national emergency to sidestep Congress and impose reciprocal tariffs of 10% to 50% (starting on "Liberation Day," April 2, 2025).
The Verdict: Chief Justice Roberts noted that while the President can regulate commerce in emergencies, the power to "lay and collect taxes and duties" remains a core constitutional power of Congress.
The Result: The ruling effectively curtails the administration’s ability to use "national security" as a blanket excuse for unilateral trade wars.
📈 Market Reaction: The "Green Light" Rally
Risk assets responded with an immediate "relief rally" as the threat of an escalating global trade war diminished:
Bitcoin ($BTC): Jumped 1.3% to $67,296.96.
Altcoins: Solana ($SOL) led the charge, gaining 3.8% to $83.49, while $ETH and $XRP followed with solid gains.
Crypto Stocks: MicroStrategy (MSTR) and Coinbase (COIN) rose 3–4%, while Bitcoin miner Abits Group (ABTS) staged a staggering 100% surge.
Wall Street: The Dow reversed a 200-point loss to close in the green, signaling that institutional investors are breathing easier.
⛪ The "Two-Word" Blunt Response
While the markets cheered, the moral critique from the Catholic community remained sharp. A prominent Catholic steward, reflecting on the economic hardship caused by the tariffs on the poor and the global common good, reportedly offered a blunt, two-word summary of the policy's legacy: "Morally Repugnant."
This echoes the ongoing friction between the Trump administration and Catholic leadership (including the first American-born Pope, Pope Leo XIV), who have consistently questioned the "human dignity" of aggressive protectionist measures.
💡 What’s Next?
Importers are already looking toward the U.S. Court of International Trade to begin the process of seeking refunds for the billions in duties paid since 2025.
Is this the end of the "Tariff Era," or will the administration find a new legal loophole to keep the trade war alive? 👇
#Trump #HarvardAddsETHExposure remeCourt #Tariffs #Bitcoin #PEPEBrokeThroughDowntrendLine L #WhenWillCLARITYActPass croStrategy #Macro #BinanceSquare
$BTC $XRP
🔍 The Ruling: "No Emergency Powers for Taxes"
The Court ruled against the administration's use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) of 1977 to levy duties.
The Conflict: Trump had declared "trade deficits" a national emergency to sidestep Congress and impose reciprocal tariffs of 10% to 50% (starting on "Liberation Day," April 2, 2025).
The Verdict: Chief Justice Roberts noted that while the President can regulate commerce in emergencies, the power to "lay and collect taxes and duties" remains a core constitutional power of Congress.
The Result: The ruling effectively curtails the administration’s ability to use "national security" as a blanket excuse for unilateral trade wars.
📈 Market Reaction: The "Green Light" Rally
Risk assets responded with an immediate "relief rally" as the threat of an escalating global trade war diminished:
Bitcoin ($BTC): Jumped 1.3% to $67,296.96.
Altcoins: Solana ($SOL) led the charge, gaining 3.8% to $83.49, while $ETH and $XRP followed with solid gains.
Crypto Stocks: MicroStrategy (MSTR) and Coinbase (COIN) rose 3–4%, while Bitcoin miner Abits Group (ABTS) staged a staggering 100% surge.
Wall Street: The Dow reversed a 200-point loss to close in the green, signaling that institutional investors are breathing easier.
⛪ The "Two-Word" Blunt Response
While the markets cheered, the moral critique from the Catholic community remained sharp. A prominent Catholic steward, reflecting on the economic hardship caused by the tariffs on the poor and the global common good, reportedly offered a blunt, two-word summary of the policy's legacy: "Morally Repugnant."
This echoes the ongoing friction between the Trump administration and Catholic leadership (including the first American-born Pope, Pope Leo XIV), who have consistently questioned the "human dignity" of aggressive protectionist measures.
💡 What’s Next?
Importers are already looking toward the U.S. Court of International Trade to begin the process of seeking refunds for the billions in duties paid since 2025.
Is this the end of the "Tariff Era," or will the administration find a new legal loophole to keep the trade war alive? 👇
#Trump #HarvardAddsETHExposure remeCourt #Tariffs #Bitcoin #PEPEBrokeThroughDowntrendLine L #WhenWillCLARITYActPass croStrategy #Macro #BinanceSquare
🚨 FINAL BTC SHAKEOUT INCOMING 🚨
This chart has a history of doing one thing extremely well: calling Bitcoin bottoms.
Every cycle, same structure:
🔹 Blow-off top
🔹 Deep correction
🔹 Final capitulation to the curve
🔹 Then… liftoff
We’ve seen it at $7.2K, $17K, and now the model points to one last flush near $50,000.
Timing? Roughly 12 days.
This isn’t bearish — it’s the last opportunity most people will ever get before the next expansion phase begins.
Weak hands panic.$ENSO
Smart money prepares.
Ignore it if you want — just don’t say nobody warned you#BitcoinDunyamiz #BTC #WhenWillCLARITYActPass #StrategyBTCPurchase #Follow_Like_Comment $BIO
This chart has a history of doing one thing extremely well: calling Bitcoin bottoms.
Every cycle, same structure:
🔹 Blow-off top
🔹 Deep correction
🔹 Final capitulation to the curve
🔹 Then… liftoff
We’ve seen it at $7.2K, $17K, and now the model points to one last flush near $50,000.
Timing? Roughly 12 days.
This isn’t bearish — it’s the last opportunity most people will ever get before the next expansion phase begins.
Weak hands panic.$ENSO
Smart money prepares.
Ignore it if you want — just don’t say nobody warned you#BitcoinDunyamiz #BTC #WhenWillCLARITYActPass #StrategyBTCPurchase #Follow_Like_Comment $BIO
Japan Inflation Alert: CPI Slips Below 2% Target! 📉🌬️
A major shift in the Japanese economy just dropped. For the first time since March 2022, Japan’s headline inflation has fallen below the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) 2% target, hitting 1.5% in January 2026.$DOLO
🔍 The "Cooling" Breakdown
Government data released on Friday, February 20, 2026, shows a significant slowdown across all major gauges:
Headline CPI: Fell to 1.5% (from 2.1% in December).
Core CPI (Ex-Fresh Food): Slid to 2.0% (meeting expectations, down from 2.4%).
Core-Core CPI (Ex-Fresh Food & Energy): Eased to 2.6%, still showing that underlying price pressure remains "sticky" even as energy costs drop.
$ENSO
⛽ Why the Sharp Drop?
This wasn't just a natural cooling—it was heavily influenced by the "Takaichi Effect":
Energy Relief: PM Sanae Takaichi’s government passed aggressive measures to scrap gasoline tax surcharges and ramp up utility subsidies, pushing energy prices down 5.2%.
Food Stability: Rice prices, which had been a massive driver of inflation in 2025, finally began to stabilize as government stockpiles were released.
Base Effects: We are now comparing today's prices against the massive price spikes seen in early 2025, which naturally drags the year-on-year percentage down.
📊 Why This Matters for Crypto ($BTC ) & JPY
BoJ Rate Hike Doubts: The BoJ hiked rates to 0.25% in January and hinted at more. However, with headline inflation now at 1.5%, the "urgency" to hike again in March has evaporated. Markets are now pushing back the next potential hike to June or even late 2026.#WhenWillCLARITYActPass #StrategyBTCPurchase #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking #HarvardAddsETHExposure #OpenClawFounderJoinsOpenAI
A major shift in the Japanese economy just dropped. For the first time since March 2022, Japan’s headline inflation has fallen below the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) 2% target, hitting 1.5% in January 2026.$DOLO
🔍 The "Cooling" Breakdown
Government data released on Friday, February 20, 2026, shows a significant slowdown across all major gauges:
Headline CPI: Fell to 1.5% (from 2.1% in December).
Core CPI (Ex-Fresh Food): Slid to 2.0% (meeting expectations, down from 2.4%).
Core-Core CPI (Ex-Fresh Food & Energy): Eased to 2.6%, still showing that underlying price pressure remains "sticky" even as energy costs drop.
$ENSO
⛽ Why the Sharp Drop?
This wasn't just a natural cooling—it was heavily influenced by the "Takaichi Effect":
Energy Relief: PM Sanae Takaichi’s government passed aggressive measures to scrap gasoline tax surcharges and ramp up utility subsidies, pushing energy prices down 5.2%.
Food Stability: Rice prices, which had been a massive driver of inflation in 2025, finally began to stabilize as government stockpiles were released.
Base Effects: We are now comparing today's prices against the massive price spikes seen in early 2025, which naturally drags the year-on-year percentage down.
📊 Why This Matters for Crypto ($BTC ) & JPY
BoJ Rate Hike Doubts: The BoJ hiked rates to 0.25% in January and hinted at more. However, with headline inflation now at 1.5%, the "urgency" to hike again in March has evaporated. Markets are now pushing back the next potential hike to June or even late 2026.#WhenWillCLARITYActPass #StrategyBTCPurchase #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking #HarvardAddsETHExposure #OpenClawFounderJoinsOpenAI
GEOPOLITICS | U.S. President Trump Claims Significant Reduction in Trade Deficit
$INJ $RECALL
U.S. President Donald Trump announced a substantial decrease in the U.S. trade deficit, attributing the change to tariffs imposed on various companies and countries. According to Jin10, Trump stated that the trade deficit has been reduced by 78%, and he anticipates that it will turn positive this year, marking the first time in decades. This development is seen as a significant shift in the U.S. trade balance, reflecting the impact of the current administration's trade policies.#StrategyBTCPurchase #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking #HarvardAddsETHExposure #OpenClawFounderJoinsOpenAI #VVVSurged55.1%in24Hours
$INJ $RECALL
U.S. President Donald Trump announced a substantial decrease in the U.S. trade deficit, attributing the change to tariffs imposed on various companies and countries. According to Jin10, Trump stated that the trade deficit has been reduced by 78%, and he anticipates that it will turn positive this year, marking the first time in decades. This development is seen as a significant shift in the U.S. trade balance, reflecting the impact of the current administration's trade policies.#StrategyBTCPurchase #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking #HarvardAddsETHExposure #OpenClawFounderJoinsOpenAI #VVVSurged55.1%in24Hours
"Fed Minutes: A "Civil War" Over Interest Rates? 🏛️💥
$INJ $EUL $RECALL
The Federal Reserve just pulled back the curtain on its January meeting, and the mood is far from "harmonious." While the decision to hold rates at 3.50%–3.75% was nearly unanimous, the FOMC minutes (released Feb 18, 2026) reveal a deep and growing divide over what comes next
🔍 The Three Camps at the Fed:
The Hawks (Hike Watchers): For the first time in this cycle, "several" officials mentioned that rate hikes might be necessary if inflation remains stubbornly stuck above the 2% target. They wanted a "two-sided" statement reflecting that the next move isn't guaranteed to be a cut.
The Doves (Cut Advocates): Governors Christopher Waller and Stephen Miran officially dissented, voting for an immediate 25 bps cut. They fear the labor market is cooling faster than the data shows and want to get ahead of a potential recession.
The "Wait-and-See" Majority: Led by Chair Powell, this group wants to stay on hold "for some time" to see if the 75 bps of cuts from late 2025 are enough to balance the economy without reigniting inflation."#StrategyBTCPurchase #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking #HarvardAddsETHExposure #OpenClawFounderJoinsOpenAI #VVVSurged55.1%in24Hours
$INJ $EUL $RECALL
The Federal Reserve just pulled back the curtain on its January meeting, and the mood is far from "harmonious." While the decision to hold rates at 3.50%–3.75% was nearly unanimous, the FOMC minutes (released Feb 18, 2026) reveal a deep and growing divide over what comes next
🔍 The Three Camps at the Fed:
The Hawks (Hike Watchers): For the first time in this cycle, "several" officials mentioned that rate hikes might be necessary if inflation remains stubbornly stuck above the 2% target. They wanted a "two-sided" statement reflecting that the next move isn't guaranteed to be a cut.
The Doves (Cut Advocates): Governors Christopher Waller and Stephen Miran officially dissented, voting for an immediate 25 bps cut. They fear the labor market is cooling faster than the data shows and want to get ahead of a potential recession.
The "Wait-and-See" Majority: Led by Chair Powell, this group wants to stay on hold "for some time" to see if the 75 bps of cuts from late 2025 are enough to balance the economy without reigniting inflation."#StrategyBTCPurchase #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking #HarvardAddsETHExposure #OpenClawFounderJoinsOpenAI #VVVSurged55.1%in24Hours
It took 30 months for Bitcoin to hit a new ATH after 2021
$BTC
If the cycle repeats, Bitcoin doesn’t see $120K until 2028.
And what I fear the most?
This cycle is NOT DIFFERENT in terms of price action.
Let that sink in.
1️⃣ PHASE ONE: FIRST TOP → SHOCK
March 2021.
Bitcoin prints its first major top.
Momentum overheated.
Retail euphoric.
RSI stretched.
Then came the correction.
Fast forward.
December 2024.
First top of this cycle.
Again, overheated conditions.
Again, stretched RSI.
Again, sharp reset.
Same structure. Different year.
The market always cools off after vertical expansion.
That hasn’t changed.
2️⃣ PHASE TWO: SECOND TOP → DISTRIBUTION
October 2021.
Bitcoin pushes to a second top.
It looks strong.
It feels bullish.
But momentum is already weaker than the first peak.
Then the “depressing weeks of red” begin.
Slow bleed. Lower highs. Emotional exhaustion.
Now look at October 2025.
Second top again.
And what do we see?
Momentum divergence.
RSI weaker than the first peak.
Price rejection.
Once again, distribution.
History doesn’t repeat perfectly.
But it rhymes almost uncomfortably.
3️⃣ PHASE THREE: THE BORING BASE
After the 2021 second top, BTC didn’t crash instantly into a new cycle.
It compressed.
RSI reset into bear-market zones.
Only after that reset did the real macro reversal begin.
Now in 2026, we are in that same compression phase.
Weekly RSI is sitting near levels that historically mark exhaustion.
Price is hovering around prior ATH instead of collapsing.
This phase feels the worst because nothing exciting happens.
But structurally, this is where cycles rebuild.
4️⃣ THE 30-MONTH REALITY
2021 peak → 2024 ATH breakout = ~30 months.
Time was the real catalyst.
If we mirror that timeline from the October 2025 second top, expansion doesn’t happen instantly.
It stretches toward 2027–2028.
Which aligns with that projected $120K zone on the right side of the chart.
Not because of hope.
Because of historical rhythm.
Every cycle has:
• Euphoria
• Double top distribution
• Weeks of red
• Momentum reset
• Boring base
• Delayed expansion
We are currently between “weeks of red” and “base building.”
And if this cycle is not different in price behavior
Then the real move isn’t behind us.
It’s just not scheduled for tomorrow.
The uncomfortable truth?
Bitcoin may simply be doing what it has always done.
And that means patience now and expansion later.
FOLLOW LIKE SHARE#StrategyBTCPurchase #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking #HarvardAddsETHExposure #VVVSurged55.1%in24Hours #PEPEBrokeThroughDowntrendLine
If the cycle repeats, Bitcoin doesn’t see $120K until 2028.
And what I fear the most?
This cycle is NOT DIFFERENT in terms of price action.
Let that sink in.
1️⃣ PHASE ONE: FIRST TOP → SHOCK
March 2021.
Bitcoin prints its first major top.
Momentum overheated.
Retail euphoric.
RSI stretched.
Then came the correction.
Fast forward.
December 2024.
First top of this cycle.
Again, overheated conditions.
Again, stretched RSI.
Again, sharp reset.
Same structure. Different year.
The market always cools off after vertical expansion.
That hasn’t changed.
2️⃣ PHASE TWO: SECOND TOP → DISTRIBUTION
October 2021.
Bitcoin pushes to a second top.
It looks strong.
It feels bullish.
But momentum is already weaker than the first peak.
Then the “depressing weeks of red” begin.
Slow bleed. Lower highs. Emotional exhaustion.
Now look at October 2025.
Second top again.
And what do we see?
Momentum divergence.
RSI weaker than the first peak.
Price rejection.
Once again, distribution.
History doesn’t repeat perfectly.
But it rhymes almost uncomfortably.
3️⃣ PHASE THREE: THE BORING BASE
After the 2021 second top, BTC didn’t crash instantly into a new cycle.
It compressed.
RSI reset into bear-market zones.
Only after that reset did the real macro reversal begin.
Now in 2026, we are in that same compression phase.
Weekly RSI is sitting near levels that historically mark exhaustion.
Price is hovering around prior ATH instead of collapsing.
This phase feels the worst because nothing exciting happens.
But structurally, this is where cycles rebuild.
4️⃣ THE 30-MONTH REALITY
2021 peak → 2024 ATH breakout = ~30 months.
Time was the real catalyst.
If we mirror that timeline from the October 2025 second top, expansion doesn’t happen instantly.
It stretches toward 2027–2028.
Which aligns with that projected $120K zone on the right side of the chart.
Not because of hope.
Because of historical rhythm.
Every cycle has:
• Euphoria
• Double top distribution
• Weeks of red
• Momentum reset
• Boring base
• Delayed expansion
We are currently between “weeks of red” and “base building.”
And if this cycle is not different in price behavior
Then the real move isn’t behind us.
It’s just not scheduled for tomorrow.
The uncomfortable truth?
Bitcoin may simply be doing what it has always done.
And that means patience now and expansion later.
FOLLOW LIKE SHARE#StrategyBTCPurchase #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking #HarvardAddsETHExposure #VVVSurged55.1%in24Hours #PEPEBrokeThroughDowntrendLine
seems to be a demo account
I am losing everything 😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭
Non-farm payrolls cold shock of 20,000! The US may trigger recession alarms in 2026, and the AI frenzy cannot hide the real economy's winter. Little puppy pup pies, pay attention.
Non-farm payrolls only increased by 50,000, falling short of expectations; by the end of 2026, the US may trigger the Sam rule recession alarms! Song Xuetao from Guojin Securities bluntly stated that the US economy is falling into extreme division—AI is thriving, while the real economy is freezing cold, and the gap between hot and cold is widening.
In the second half of 2025, the US unemployment rate continues to rise, non-farm data is weakening, and institutions predict that by the end of 2026, the unemployment rate may exceed 4.7%, approaching the Sam rule warning line. On one side, tech giants are pouring hundreds of billions into AI, with continuous investments from OpenAI, Nvidia, etc., and recruitment in the AI sector is booming; on the other side, small and medium-sized enterprises are under pressure, consumer spending is weak, and traditional industries are laying off workers, creating a stark contrast in the job market.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and fiscal easing have caused funds to flow into the stock market and AI sectors, while ordinary people are still caught in high rents and high prices, making income distribution imbalances difficult to resolve. The lagging effects of Trump's tariffs will erupt in the first half of 2026, further exacerbating inflationary pressures. The AI narrative relies entirely on liquidity support; by 2026, companies must deliver profits, and low-quality AI targets may face restructuring, with rapid accumulation of bubble risks.
The 2026 US midterm elections will be the biggest variable, and policy uncertainty will directly impact market confidence. Stagflation risks are already rising: economic growth is weak, unemployment rates are high, and inflation remains elevated, putting the Federal Reserve in a dilemma of fearing inflation with interest rate cuts and fearing recession with tightening.
#MarketRebound
Non-farm payrolls only increased by 50,000, falling short of expectations; by the end of 2026, the US may trigger the Sam rule recession alarms! Song Xuetao from Guojin Securities bluntly stated that the US economy is falling into extreme division—AI is thriving, while the real economy is freezing cold, and the gap between hot and cold is widening.
In the second half of 2025, the US unemployment rate continues to rise, non-farm data is weakening, and institutions predict that by the end of 2026, the unemployment rate may exceed 4.7%, approaching the Sam rule warning line. On one side, tech giants are pouring hundreds of billions into AI, with continuous investments from OpenAI, Nvidia, etc., and recruitment in the AI sector is booming; on the other side, small and medium-sized enterprises are under pressure, consumer spending is weak, and traditional industries are laying off workers, creating a stark contrast in the job market.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and fiscal easing have caused funds to flow into the stock market and AI sectors, while ordinary people are still caught in high rents and high prices, making income distribution imbalances difficult to resolve. The lagging effects of Trump's tariffs will erupt in the first half of 2026, further exacerbating inflationary pressures. The AI narrative relies entirely on liquidity support; by 2026, companies must deliver profits, and low-quality AI targets may face restructuring, with rapid accumulation of bubble risks.
The 2026 US midterm elections will be the biggest variable, and policy uncertainty will directly impact market confidence. Stagflation risks are already rising: economic growth is weak, unemployment rates are high, and inflation remains elevated, putting the Federal Reserve in a dilemma of fearing inflation with interest rate cuts and fearing recession with tightening.
#MarketRebound
Trump: "Iran Wants a Deal, and They Don't Want the Consequences" 🤝🔥
The geopolitical stage is heating up as President Trump provided a high-stakes update on the U.S.-Iran standoff. Speaking aboard Air Force One on Monday, February 16, 2026, Trump expressed confidence that Tehran is finally motivated to settle, just as the second round of high-level nuclear talks kicks off in Geneva.
🔍 The "Make or Break" Update:
Indirect Involvement: Trump confirmed he will be "involved indirectly" in the Geneva talks. His top envoys, Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, are leading the American delegation against Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi.
$PROM $OGN
The Carrot & Stick: Trump noted that Iranians are "tough negotiators" but believes they are ready to pivot because they "don't want the consequences" of failure—a clear reference to the 2025 strikes on Iranian nuclear sites.
The $500B Pitch: In a unique move, Iran has reportedly floated oil, gas, and aircraft investment opportunities to entice the Trump administration into a deal that would lift crippling sanctions.#MarketRebound BTCFellBelow$69,000Again#OpenClawFounderJoinsOpenAI #PEPEBrokeThroughDowntrendLine
The geopolitical stage is heating up as President Trump provided a high-stakes update on the U.S.-Iran standoff. Speaking aboard Air Force One on Monday, February 16, 2026, Trump expressed confidence that Tehran is finally motivated to settle, just as the second round of high-level nuclear talks kicks off in Geneva.
🔍 The "Make or Break" Update:
Indirect Involvement: Trump confirmed he will be "involved indirectly" in the Geneva talks. His top envoys, Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, are leading the American delegation against Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi.
$PROM $OGN
The Carrot & Stick: Trump noted that Iranians are "tough negotiators" but believes they are ready to pivot because they "don't want the consequences" of failure—a clear reference to the 2025 strikes on Iranian nuclear sites.
The $500B Pitch: In a unique move, Iran has reportedly floated oil, gas, and aircraft investment opportunities to entice the Trump administration into a deal that would lift crippling sanctions.#MarketRebound BTCFellBelow$69,000Again#OpenClawFounderJoinsOpenAI #PEPEBrokeThroughDowntrendLine
🚨 THIS WEEK COULD DECIDE THE MARKETS, FED, INFLATION & EARNINGS IN FOCUS
📊 Markets are entering a critical macro week where inflation data, Fed signals, and major earnings could shape the next big trend.
⚠️ Inflation metrics and PCE data remain key, as they directly influence expectations for interest rate cuts and overall liquidity.
🏦 At the same time, multiple Fed speeches and policy signals could shift sentiment instantly if the tone turns more hawkish or cautious.
📉 Corporate earnings will also act as a reality check for economic strength and risk appetite across global markets.
🔍 Historically, weeks packed with macro data and Fed guidance tend to trigger high volatility in both equities and crypto.
🧠 If inflation comes in hotter or the Fed pushes back rate cuts, risk assets like Bitcoin and altcoins could face renewed pressure.
🚀 On the other hand, softer data and dovish signals could unlock liquidity expectations and spark a strong market rebound.
$BTC
$ETH $XRP
📊 Markets are entering a critical macro week where inflation data, Fed signals, and major earnings could shape the next big trend.
⚠️ Inflation metrics and PCE data remain key, as they directly influence expectations for interest rate cuts and overall liquidity.
🏦 At the same time, multiple Fed speeches and policy signals could shift sentiment instantly if the tone turns more hawkish or cautious.
📉 Corporate earnings will also act as a reality check for economic strength and risk appetite across global markets.
🔍 Historically, weeks packed with macro data and Fed guidance tend to trigger high volatility in both equities and crypto.
🧠 If inflation comes in hotter or the Fed pushes back rate cuts, risk assets like Bitcoin and altcoins could face renewed pressure.
🚀 On the other hand, softer data and dovish signals could unlock liquidity expectations and spark a strong market rebound.
$BTC
$ETH $XRP
Fed's Goolsbee: I hope we've seen peak impact of tariffs
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee gave a crucial interview on Friday, February 13, 2026, offering a mixed "encouraging and concerning" outlook on the economy. His standout comment? He’s hopeful that the inflationary shock from tariffs has finally topped out.
🔍 The "Mixed Bag" Breakdown
Tariffs & Goods: Goolsbee noted that goods prices appear to be stabilizing despite the recent wave of tariffs. He expressed hope that we are past the "peak impact" and that these price hikes will prove temporary.
The "Supercore" Headache: While goods are cooling, Goolsbee is "worrisome" about services inflation. He described it as "persistent" and "not yet tamed," noting that the economy is currently "stuck around 3%"—well above the Fed’s 2% target.
Rates Outlook: He believes interest rates "can still go down a fair bit more," but emphasized that the Fed isn't on a pre-set path. Any further cuts are strictly conditional on seeing actual progress in the services sector.
📊 Why This Matters for Crypto ($BTC )
Goolsbee’s comments reflect a "data-dependent" Fed that isn't in a rush to pivot:
Dovish Lean, Hawkish Guardrails: His openness to more rate cuts is generally bullish for crypto. However, his insistence on seeing "actual improvement" rather than just anticipating it means the market might have to wait until the May FOMC meeting for a major move.
Dollar Index (DXY) Reaction: Following the CPI data and Goolsbee’s remarks, the Dollar saw a modest dovish repricing. A weakening Dollar usually acts as a "tail breeze" for Bitcoin.
Inflation Hedge Narrative: If inflation remains "stuck" at 3% as Goolsbee fears, the narrative for Bitcoin as a store of value against fiat debasement gains more mainstream traction.
💡 The Takeaway
Goolsbee is essentially saying the Fed has "room to move," but they are waiting for the services sector to catch up to the cooling goods sector. The "Tariff Peak" is a relief, but the "Services Plateau" is the new enemy.
Do you think the Fed will cut in March, or are we stuck with "higher for longer" until May? 👇
#Fed #AustanGoolsbee #Inflation #TradeCryptosOnX #bitcoin #Macro #DXY #BinanceSquare
🔍 The "Mixed Bag" Breakdown
Tariffs & Goods: Goolsbee noted that goods prices appear to be stabilizing despite the recent wave of tariffs. He expressed hope that we are past the "peak impact" and that these price hikes will prove temporary.
The "Supercore" Headache: While goods are cooling, Goolsbee is "worrisome" about services inflation. He described it as "persistent" and "not yet tamed," noting that the economy is currently "stuck around 3%"—well above the Fed’s 2% target.
Rates Outlook: He believes interest rates "can still go down a fair bit more," but emphasized that the Fed isn't on a pre-set path. Any further cuts are strictly conditional on seeing actual progress in the services sector.
📊 Why This Matters for Crypto ($BTC )
Goolsbee’s comments reflect a "data-dependent" Fed that isn't in a rush to pivot:
Dovish Lean, Hawkish Guardrails: His openness to more rate cuts is generally bullish for crypto. However, his insistence on seeing "actual improvement" rather than just anticipating it means the market might have to wait until the May FOMC meeting for a major move.
Dollar Index (DXY) Reaction: Following the CPI data and Goolsbee’s remarks, the Dollar saw a modest dovish repricing. A weakening Dollar usually acts as a "tail breeze" for Bitcoin.
Inflation Hedge Narrative: If inflation remains "stuck" at 3% as Goolsbee fears, the narrative for Bitcoin as a store of value against fiat debasement gains more mainstream traction.
💡 The Takeaway
Goolsbee is essentially saying the Fed has "room to move," but they are waiting for the services sector to catch up to the cooling goods sector. The "Tariff Peak" is a relief, but the "Services Plateau" is the new enemy.
Do you think the Fed will cut in March, or are we stuck with "higher for longer" until May? 👇
#Fed #AustanGoolsbee #Inflation #TradeCryptosOnX #bitcoin #Macro #DXY #BinanceSquare
$BTC
$PEPE $OM M 💥Shocking! The Federal Reserve Chairman is being replaced, and a key figure is furious: Don't even think about it without my approval!
Brothers, the show has begun! Originally, it was thought that Waller taking over from Powell was a done deal, but unexpectedly, a surprise contender has emerged!🔥
Treasury Secretary Basant is rushing to push Waller into position, reportedly saying the hearing has been 'communicated well.' But Senator Tillis directly flipped the table: 'Don't even think about it!' He made it clear that the nomination will be deadlocked unless the Justice Department clarifies the $2.5 billion investigation into Powell, it doesn’t matter who comes in!
Tillis's exact words were even tougher: 'You can hold any hearing you want, but if I don't give my vote of approval, the nomination is just a dream!' The situation is now delicate; unless some Democrats defect, Waller's chairmanship is in jeopardy.
Basant is anxious, calling the hearing 'crucial,' saying Waller can stabilize the policy. But those in the know understand, behind the scenes, Trump is desperately pushing for interest rate cuts. Powell's term ends in May, and just at this moment, he is under investigation—what a coincidence, right?
Basant also mentioned that inflation needs to return to 2%, and the economy is incredibly strong. But anyone with clear vision can see this is not an economic game; it is clearly a power play! The 'independent' golden signboard of the Federal Reserve might be pried loose this time!🤔
Do you think Waller can take over smoothly in the end? Let's discuss in the comments
$PEPE $OM M 💥Shocking! The Federal Reserve Chairman is being replaced, and a key figure is furious: Don't even think about it without my approval!
Brothers, the show has begun! Originally, it was thought that Waller taking over from Powell was a done deal, but unexpectedly, a surprise contender has emerged!🔥
Treasury Secretary Basant is rushing to push Waller into position, reportedly saying the hearing has been 'communicated well.' But Senator Tillis directly flipped the table: 'Don't even think about it!' He made it clear that the nomination will be deadlocked unless the Justice Department clarifies the $2.5 billion investigation into Powell, it doesn’t matter who comes in!
Tillis's exact words were even tougher: 'You can hold any hearing you want, but if I don't give my vote of approval, the nomination is just a dream!' The situation is now delicate; unless some Democrats defect, Waller's chairmanship is in jeopardy.
Basant is anxious, calling the hearing 'crucial,' saying Waller can stabilize the policy. But those in the know understand, behind the scenes, Trump is desperately pushing for interest rate cuts. Powell's term ends in May, and just at this moment, he is under investigation—what a coincidence, right?
Basant also mentioned that inflation needs to return to 2%, and the economy is incredibly strong. But anyone with clear vision can see this is not an economic game; it is clearly a power play! The 'independent' golden signboard of the Federal Reserve might be pried loose this time!🤔
Do you think Waller can take over smoothly in the end? Let's discuss in the comments
If $BTC goes to 48k, here’s what ETH likely does (based on real math, not hopium)
Before guessing the future, let’s acknowledge what already happened.
BTC topped around 126k and fell to 60k
That’s a 52% drawdown
$ETH topped near 4950 and fell to 1750
That’s a 65% drawdown
So ETH didn’t just follow $ME
it overreacted by ~1.25x, mainly due to leverage and panic.
That part of the damage is already done.
Now the real question isn’t “Can ETH go lower?”
It’s from where and under what conditions.
Now assume this scenario:
BTC breaks 60k and grinds down to 48k
That’s another 20% downside
ETH’s reaction depends entirely on its starting point when this happens.
Scenario 1: ETH has bounced to 2300–2400 before BTC drops
This is the most realistic setup.
Using the same ETH/BTC volatility ratio (1.2x–1.3x):
20% BTC drop → 24–26% ETH drop
ETH 2400 → 1800
ETH 2300 → 1700
This is not panic.
This is controlled fear.
Scenario 2: ETH is already weak near 1900–2000
Now things change.
There’s less buffer.
Liquidations start earlier.
In this case:
ETH likely trades 1500–1400
Quick wicks lower are possible
Not because ETH is broken
But because leverage gets flushed again
Scenario 3: Full market panic (low probability, high damage)
This needs:-
BTC losing 48k fast
Bad macro or liquidity shock
Only then do we talk about:
1100–1200 wicks
Short-lived, emotional moves
Maximum pain, minimum time
Important thing most people miss
ETH already did its first panic leg when it hit 1750.
Second legs are usually:
Slower
Less violent
More selective
That’s why survival matters more than prediction.
My honest takeaway
ETH below 1500 is possible only if BTC is still falling
ETH below 1300 needs real panic, not Twitter fear
Overleveraged traders won’t survive this range
Spot holders with patience usually do
Markets don’t reward confidence.
They reward risk management.
If BTC actually goes to 48k,
where do you think ETH finds real buyers?
1400, 1200, or lower?
I’m reading all serious answers 👇
#BTC #bnb #BinanceSquareTalks
Before guessing the future, let’s acknowledge what already happened.
BTC topped around 126k and fell to 60k
That’s a 52% drawdown
$ETH topped near 4950 and fell to 1750
That’s a 65% drawdown
So ETH didn’t just follow $ME
it overreacted by ~1.25x, mainly due to leverage and panic.
That part of the damage is already done.
Now the real question isn’t “Can ETH go lower?”
It’s from where and under what conditions.
Now assume this scenario:
BTC breaks 60k and grinds down to 48k
That’s another 20% downside
ETH’s reaction depends entirely on its starting point when this happens.
Scenario 1: ETH has bounced to 2300–2400 before BTC drops
This is the most realistic setup.
Using the same ETH/BTC volatility ratio (1.2x–1.3x):
20% BTC drop → 24–26% ETH drop
ETH 2400 → 1800
ETH 2300 → 1700
This is not panic.
This is controlled fear.
Scenario 2: ETH is already weak near 1900–2000
Now things change.
There’s less buffer.
Liquidations start earlier.
In this case:
ETH likely trades 1500–1400
Quick wicks lower are possible
Not because ETH is broken
But because leverage gets flushed again
Scenario 3: Full market panic (low probability, high damage)
This needs:-
BTC losing 48k fast
Bad macro or liquidity shock
Only then do we talk about:
1100–1200 wicks
Short-lived, emotional moves
Maximum pain, minimum time
Important thing most people miss
ETH already did its first panic leg when it hit 1750.
Second legs are usually:
Slower
Less violent
More selective
That’s why survival matters more than prediction.
My honest takeaway
ETH below 1500 is possible only if BTC is still falling
ETH below 1300 needs real panic, not Twitter fear
Overleveraged traders won’t survive this range
Spot holders with patience usually do
Markets don’t reward confidence.
They reward risk management.
If BTC actually goes to 48k,
where do you think ETH finds real buyers?
1400, 1200, or lower?
I’m reading all serious answers 👇
#BTC #bnb #BinanceSquareTalks
UK Economy: A Slow-Motion Finish to 2025 🐌
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) has just released the final pieces of the 2025 economic puzzle. The verdict? The UK economy is in a state of "sluggish stability." Monthly GDP for December 2025 grew by a modest 0.1%, following a revised 0.2% growth in November.
$ME
🔍 The Key Numbers (December 2025)
Monthly GDP: +0.1% (In line with expectations).
Quarterly GDP (Q4): +0.1% (Missed the 0.2% forecast).#CZAMAonBinanceSquare
Annual Growth (Full Year 2025): 1.3% (Up from 1.1% in 2024, but below the BoE’s 1.4% projection).
Industrial Production: -0.9% (A significant miss).
Construction: -0.5% (Continuing a downward trend).
#USNFPBlowout
🎭 A Tale of Two Sectors
The UK economy is currently a "tug-of-war" between services and industry:$BERA
The Engine: Services grew by 0.3% in December, providing the only real spark of life.
#TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned
The Drag: Production fell by 0.9% and Construction dropped 0.5%. High interest rates and "Budget uncertainty" (following the November 26 Budget) clearly weighed on heavy industry and building projects at year-end.$0G #USRetailSalesMissForecast #USTechFundFlows
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) has just released the final pieces of the 2025 economic puzzle. The verdict? The UK economy is in a state of "sluggish stability." Monthly GDP for December 2025 grew by a modest 0.1%, following a revised 0.2% growth in November.
$ME
🔍 The Key Numbers (December 2025)
Monthly GDP: +0.1% (In line with expectations).
Quarterly GDP (Q4): +0.1% (Missed the 0.2% forecast).#CZAMAonBinanceSquare
Annual Growth (Full Year 2025): 1.3% (Up from 1.1% in 2024, but below the BoE’s 1.4% projection).
Industrial Production: -0.9% (A significant miss).
Construction: -0.5% (Continuing a downward trend).
#USNFPBlowout
🎭 A Tale of Two Sectors
The UK economy is currently a "tug-of-war" between services and industry:$BERA
The Engine: Services grew by 0.3% in December, providing the only real spark of life.
#TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned
The Drag: Production fell by 0.9% and Construction dropped 0.5%. High interest rates and "Budget uncertainty" (following the November 26 Budget) clearly weighed on heavy industry and building projects at year-end.$0G #USRetailSalesMissForecast #USTechFundFlows
$ATM $ALLO $OG
RBA’s Hauser: "Whatever It Takes" to Tame Inflation! 🛡️🔥
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is digging in its heels. Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser has reaffirmed the bank's hawkish stance, stating they will "act as needed" to force inflation back into the 2–3% target band.
This comes on the heels of the RBA’s shock decision on February 3, 2026, to hike the cash rate by 25 bps to 3.85%—the first increase in over two years.
🔍 The "Hauser Reality Check"
The Target is Non-Negotiable: Hauser emphasized that while the RBA seeks to preserve "full employment," its primary mission is price stability. With inflation currently sitting at 3.8% (December 2025 data), the bank is far from its midpoint goal of 2.5%.
No Quick Cuts: Hauser previously warned that the likelihood of rate cuts in the near term is "very low." He’s effectively signaled that the "pivot" many were hoping for in 2026 is officially on hold.
Persistent Pressures: The RBA is particularly concerned about services inflation and housing costs, which have proven stickier than expected despite previous tightening.#USRetailSalesMissForecast #USTechFundFlows #WhaleDeRiskETH #GoldSilverRally #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund
RBA’s Hauser: "Whatever It Takes" to Tame Inflation! 🛡️🔥
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is digging in its heels. Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser has reaffirmed the bank's hawkish stance, stating they will "act as needed" to force inflation back into the 2–3% target band.
This comes on the heels of the RBA’s shock decision on February 3, 2026, to hike the cash rate by 25 bps to 3.85%—the first increase in over two years.
🔍 The "Hauser Reality Check"
The Target is Non-Negotiable: Hauser emphasized that while the RBA seeks to preserve "full employment," its primary mission is price stability. With inflation currently sitting at 3.8% (December 2025 data), the bank is far from its midpoint goal of 2.5%.
No Quick Cuts: Hauser previously warned that the likelihood of rate cuts in the near term is "very low." He’s effectively signaled that the "pivot" many were hoping for in 2026 is officially on hold.
Persistent Pressures: The RBA is particularly concerned about services inflation and housing costs, which have proven stickier than expected despite previous tightening.#USRetailSalesMissForecast #USTechFundFlows #WhaleDeRiskETH #GoldSilverRally #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund
US Retail Sales Stall: A Lackluster End to 2025! 🛍️🛑
The latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau is out, and it’s a reality check for the "resilient consumer" narrative. After a strong November, U.S. Retail Sales were unexpectedly unchanged (0.0%) in December 2025, missing the market’s expectation of a 0.4% increase.
🔍 The Numbers at a Glance
Headline Retail Sales: 0.0% (Expected: +0.4%)
Total Sales: $735 Billion
Year-on-Year Growth: +2.4% (A sharp slowdown from November’s 3.3%)
Core Retail Sales (Control Group): Slipped -0.1%, marking the first decline in three months and signaling a potential drag on Q4 GDP calculations.
🚜 What Drove the "Flatline"?
The holiday season finished with a whimper rather than a bang. While some sectors held steady, others saw notable pullbacks:
The Winners: Building materials and garden centers (+1.2%), gas stations, and food services.
The Losers: Discretionary spending took a hit—car dealers, furniture stores, electronics retailers, and clothing stores all posted declines.
The "Costco Economy": Analysts are calling this the "middle-class pivot," where shoppers are hunting for bargains and bulk deals rather than splurging on big-ticket items.
📊 Why This Matters for Crypto ($BTC
A "flat" consumer economy has direct implications for the Federal Reserve and liquidity:
Rate Cut Betting: Weak retail data adds pressure on the Fed to consider earlier rate cuts. If the consumer is tired, the Fed might need to ease policy to prevent a harder landing.#USRetailSalesMissForecast #USTechFundFlows #WhaleDeRiskETH #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund
USD Under Pressure: The US Dollar Index (DXY) saw modest bearish pressure following the report, slipping below 97.00. As we know, a weakening Dollar is historically the "fuel" for a Bitcoin rally.
The latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau is out, and it’s a reality check for the "resilient consumer" narrative. After a strong November, U.S. Retail Sales were unexpectedly unchanged (0.0%) in December 2025, missing the market’s expectation of a 0.4% increase.
🔍 The Numbers at a Glance
Headline Retail Sales: 0.0% (Expected: +0.4%)
Total Sales: $735 Billion
Year-on-Year Growth: +2.4% (A sharp slowdown from November’s 3.3%)
Core Retail Sales (Control Group): Slipped -0.1%, marking the first decline in three months and signaling a potential drag on Q4 GDP calculations.
🚜 What Drove the "Flatline"?
The holiday season finished with a whimper rather than a bang. While some sectors held steady, others saw notable pullbacks:
The Winners: Building materials and garden centers (+1.2%), gas stations, and food services.
The Losers: Discretionary spending took a hit—car dealers, furniture stores, electronics retailers, and clothing stores all posted declines.
The "Costco Economy": Analysts are calling this the "middle-class pivot," where shoppers are hunting for bargains and bulk deals rather than splurging on big-ticket items.
📊 Why This Matters for Crypto ($BTC
A "flat" consumer economy has direct implications for the Federal Reserve and liquidity:
Rate Cut Betting: Weak retail data adds pressure on the Fed to consider earlier rate cuts. If the consumer is tired, the Fed might need to ease policy to prevent a harder landing.#USRetailSalesMissForecast #USTechFundFlows #WhaleDeRiskETH #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund
USD Under Pressure: The US Dollar Index (DXY) saw modest bearish pressure following the report, slipping below 97.00. As we know, a weakening Dollar is historically the "fuel" for a Bitcoin rally.
🚨 TRUMP WARNS CHINA : DUMP US TREASURIES AND READY FOR WAR! ⚡🇺🇸💥
$pippin $DUSK $AXS
China has officially ordered its banks to cut down on U.S. Treasury holdings. This means billions of dollars in U.S. debt could be dumped, shaking the global financial system. Analysts now warn that this move will likely push China to buy massive amounts of gold and silver, securing real assets instead of paper dollars.
For the U.S., this is a massive warning sign. Lower foreign demand for Treasuries can increase borrowing costs, raise interest rates, and create instability in the markets. Meanwhile, China strengthens its grip on precious metals, preparing for a world where the dollar isn’t king anymore.
The suspense is intense: every move by China could trigger market chaos, higher prices, and a massive shift in global power. The question is—is the U.S. ready for what’s coming next?#USTechFundFlows #GoldSilverRally #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop #USIranStandoff
$pippin $DUSK $AXS
China has officially ordered its banks to cut down on U.S. Treasury holdings. This means billions of dollars in U.S. debt could be dumped, shaking the global financial system. Analysts now warn that this move will likely push China to buy massive amounts of gold and silver, securing real assets instead of paper dollars.
For the U.S., this is a massive warning sign. Lower foreign demand for Treasuries can increase borrowing costs, raise interest rates, and create instability in the markets. Meanwhile, China strengthens its grip on precious metals, preparing for a world where the dollar isn’t king anymore.
The suspense is intense: every move by China could trigger market chaos, higher prices, and a massive shift in global power. The question is—is the U.S. ready for what’s coming next?#USTechFundFlows #GoldSilverRally #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop #USIranStandoff
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