MirajMehedi Official

Gold prices showed modest gains today amid ongoing safe-haven demand, trading around $5,030–$5,050 per ounce in the global spot market.$XAU
Global Spot Price — Spot gold hovered near $5,033–$5,051 per ounce, up ~0.7–0.9% intraday, recovering from recent consolidation below $5,000. This follows a volatile period after January's peak near $5,600. Key Drivers — Geopolitical tensions (US-Iran developments, broader uncertainties) and central bank buying continue to support prices. A weaker US Dollar and expectations around Fed policy provide tailwinds, though some profit-taking caps upside. Technical Outlook — Price action remains in a bullish channel with support at $4,980–$5,000 and resistance near $5,100. Holding above $5,000 keeps the long-term uptrend intact; a break higher could target $5,200+. In China — Local 24K gold rates around ¥1,091 per gram (Shanghai Gold Exchange aligned with global trends), reflecting strong domestic and institutional demand amid economic diversification. In India — 24K gold trading at approximately ₹15,617–15,650 per gram (or ~₹1,56,000+ per 10 grams on MCX futures), with slight daily fluctuations tracking international cues and rupee movements.
Short-term View — Mild upside momentum persists as safe-haven flows dominate. Volatility expected ahead of key data releases. Long-term bullish outlook reinforced by structural demand, inflation hedging, and global uncertainties — analysts eye potential toward $5,400–$6,000+ in 2026. Investors monitor geopolitical and macro developments closely.

Gold prices stabilized with mild upside today, trading near $4,980–$5,010 per ounce in the global spot market, recovering from recent volatility and testing the psychological $5,000 level again.
Global Spot Price — Spot gold hovered around $4,985–$5,000 per ounce (up ~0.1–0.3% intraday), supported by value buying on dips after last week's pullback. The market consolidated post-January's record highs near $5,600, with ongoing choppiness. $XAU Key Drivers — Dovish Fed expectations, persistent geopolitical risks, and strong central bank demand provided support. China's People's Bank of China (PBoC) extended its gold-buying streak to the 15th consecutive month, adding ~1.2 tonnes in January to reach 2,308 tonnes (9.6% of reserves). This, alongside robust Asian physical demand, reinforced the bullish structural backdrop despite temporary dollar strength. China-Specific Insights — China remained a major force: Shanghai Gold Exchange withdrawals showed solid wholesale demand (~126 tonnes in January), driven by bullion sales, jeweler restocking ahead of Spring Festival, and safe-haven bar/coin buying. Local prices aligned closely with global trends, with 24K gold around ¥1,100–1,120 per gram (or ~¥34,500–35,000 per ounce in CNY terms), reflecting premiums amid high consumer and official interest. $XAU Technical Outlook — Bullish long-term structure intact, with support near $4,950–$4,980 and resistance at $5,050–$5,100. A sustained break above $5,000 could fuel renewed momentum; otherwise, range-bound trading likely persists. Short-term View — Consolidation continues as markets await US PCE inflation and GDP data for Fed clues. China's ongoing central bank purchases and physical demand add resilience, maintaining a strong bullish bias for 2026 amid diversification trends and macro uncertainties. Investors eye potential upside toward $5,100+ on positive catalysts.

Gold prices showed a mild rebound today amid ongoing volatility, trading around $4,900–$4,930 per ounce globally after recent dips influenced by a stronger US Dollar and reduced activity during China's Lunar New Year holiday.
Global Spot Price — Spot gold recovered slightly to approximately $4,915–$4,930 per ounce (up ~0.7–0.8% in some sessions), snapping a short losing streak. Prices dipped toward $4,870 earlier due to holiday-thinned liquidity but found support from dip-buying and reassessed Fed policy expectations. Key Drivers — China's week-long Lunar New Year holiday (through February 23) has dented physical demand and trading volumes on the Shanghai Gold Exchange, creating a temporary "liquidity vacuum." Despite this, structural support remains from robust Chinese retail/investment buying earlier in 2026, central bank purchases, and safe-haven flows amid geopolitical uncertainties. Speculative activity in China has fueled prior rallies, but holiday closures contributed to the recent pullback. Technical Outlook — Price action remains corrective after January's record highs near $5,600+. Key support at $4,850–$4,880; resistance near $4,950–$5,000. A hold above $4,900 could signal stabilization, while renewed dollar strength risks further consolidation.
4.In China — Local gold rates track global trends closely, with 24K gold around ¥1,090–¥1,120 per gram (or equivalent in yuan per ounce ~¥33,900–¥34,000), reflecting minor premiums amid holiday subdued demand and yuan dynamics.

Short-term View — Holiday-reduced liquidity likely caps big moves, with mild rebound intact but volatility high. Await US data (e.g., Fed minutes) and post-holiday resumption of Chinese buying for direction. Long-term bullish bias persists — driven by China's strong consumer/investment demand, de-dollarization trends, and global uncertainties.

Gold prices saw modest profit-taking today, easing slightly amid a firmer US Dollar and thin trading volumes influenced by the US holiday earlier in the session.Global Spot Price — Trading around $5,000–$5,020 per ounce (down ~0.3–0.7% from recent levels). Intraday action remained range-bound between ~$4,980–$5,030, with light participation ahead of key data releases.
Key Drivers — Mild correction after last week's rebound on softer US inflation data and Fed rate-cut expectations. Safe-haven support holds from geopolitical uncertainties (US-Iran talks, Ukraine negotiations) and sustained central bank purchases. A stronger Dollar added short-term pressure. China Focus — As the world's largest gold consumer and investor, China drives $XAU significant demand. Retail and speculative activity remains robust, with gold-backed ETF holdings more than doubled since early 2025. Shanghai Gold Exchange withdrawals stayed strong in January (~126t), fueled by bullion sales and pre-Spring Festival (Chinese New Year) restocking/jewelry/gifting demand. Speculative futures trading on SHFE has surged, contributing to volatility but underscoring structural interest amid property woes, low deposit rates, and de-dollarization trends. PBOC reserves continue expanding. Technical Outlook — Still in a volatile consolidation after January's record highs near $5,600+. Key support at $4,980–$5,000; resistance near $5,050–$5,100. Bullish bias persists above $5,000.
Short-term View — Pullback may extend amid holiday-thinned liquidity and awaiting US economic releases (FOMC minutes, GDP, PCE). Long-term outlook remains bullish, bolstered by China's massive demand (retail, ETFs, central bank), global uncertainties, and inflation-hedge appeal. Watch for renewed momentum if prices reclaim $5,100+ post-holidays.
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The United States stock market is considered the primary barometer of the global economy. Its direction is mainly driven by four key factors: technology sector performance, interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical conditions.
📊 Major Index Performance
Analysts typically monitor three major indices:
S&P 500 — Tracks the performance of 500 large-cap companiesDow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) — Represents major blue-chip companies
Nasdaq Composite — Heavily weighted toward technology stocks
Currently, strong earnings from technology companies have made the Nasdaq more volatile but also growth-driven.

🏦 Impact of Interest Rates & the Fed
The biggest driver of the market is the policy of the Federal Reserve.When interest rates rise → stock markets typically face pressureWhen interest rates fall → liquidity increases, often supporting a bullish trendSigns of declining inflation usually raise investor expectations for future rate cuts, which is positive for equities.

💻 Dominance of the Technology Sector
Technology and AI-focused companies are leading the market:
Apple
Microsoft
NVIDIA
Amazon
In particular, demand for AI chips and cloud computing services has created new bullish momentum.
⚠️ Key Risks
Interest rates staying high for an extended period
Recession concerns
Rising energy prices
Geopolitical tensions
These factors could quickly trigger bearish sentiment.

📈 Future Outlook
Under current conditions, the US stock market is likely to remain bullish in the medium to long term but volatile in the short term.

Investor considerations:
Maintain diversification
Monitor technology and healthcare sectors
Closely follow Federal Reserve policy changes
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