SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry is within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 5.54%. The uptrend is in cycle 308, upside amplitude 71.65%.
SC02 M5 - Long order has been triggered, no profit yet. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, stop-loss 1.56%. The uptrend has lasted 165 cycles, upside amplitude 10.02%.
⚫ In recent days, sentiment has plunged as the FGI slipped into the sub-10 zone (Extreme Fear), putting the market into high-defense mode and increasing the odds of sharp, emotion-driven swings.
🌑 FGI at 10 or below is a rare panic threshold linked to heavy capital pullback, thinning liquidity, and broken confidence. Price behavior can turn non-linear: sometimes a fast shock-bottom, other times a prolonged grind with short bounces and continued bleeding.
🧾 Prior FGI bottoms had clear triggers: Aug–Sep 2019 was post bull-trap exhaustion as $BTC ranged tight then bled; Mar 2020 was the COVID macro shock that wiped $BTC fast; Jan 2022 was Fed tightening confirming an uptrend end; May–Jun 2022 was a confidence/liquidity crisis (LUNA, Celsius) causing cascading forced selling. Feb 2026 looks more like “post-liquidation + confidence thaw” that can last longer, not a clean one-and-done flush.
🧱 In panic regimes, altcoins usually suffer most: deep drawdowns, rising $BTC dominance breaking Alt/BTCpairs to new lows, hollow books, wider spreads, and messy exits for size.
🧹 “Project cleansing” accelerates: weaker tokens with shallow utility or heavy inflation get repriced hard. Holding altcoins often becomes a double bleed—down in USD and down versus $BTC.
⏱️ Recoveries typically take three shapes: 1–2 month V-reversals when shocks are external and liquidity returns; 3–6 month grind/accumulation as retail flow dries up; or year-plus basing when system stress meets tightening macro, with slow bottoms and fake breakdowns.
🐸 For Feb 2026, a high-probability path is BTC chopping in a wide range while altcoins “boil slowly” and bleed. BTC can have institutional/ETF support, while altcoins lack fresh fiat and still face steady supply pressure (unlocks), keeping sell flow persistent.
🛡️ Survival mode: prioritize staying power over hero trades—smaller size, clear invalidation, and emotional bandwidth to observe objectively. Get the regime wrong, and the market drains you day by day.
SC02 M15 - pending Short order. Entry is within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 1.82%. The downtrend is in cycle 225, downside amplitude 15.31%.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry is within LVN + meets positive simplification with the previous Long order delivering profits, estimated stop-loss around 1.04%. The uptrend is in cycle 116, upside amplitude 6.78%.
SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 3.27%. The uptrend is in cycle 121, upside amplitude 17.28%.
SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 1.84%. The uptrend is in cycle 110, upside amplitude 10.14%.
SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry is within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 0.41%. The downtrend is in cycle 273, downside amplitude 4.23%.
SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry is within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 3.04%. The downtrend is in cycle 250, downside amplitude 24.88%.
SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry is within LVN + meets positive simplification with the previous Short order delivering very strong profits, estimated stop-loss around 0.36%. The downtrend is in cycle 82, downside amplitude 1.66%.
🔎 Quick read • Long-liq below: 1.406–1.394 → 1.382–1.370 → 1.346–1.334 (deeper: 1.322–1.310) • Short-liq above: 1.432–1.456 → 1.492–1.516 → 1.516–1.528 (further: 1.540–1.564 → 1.564–1.576) • Thin zone near price: around 1.412–1.432 is relatively thin, so a sweep above 1.43 or a dip toward 1.40 before commitment is still likely
🧭 Higher-probability path (bullish if pivot holds) • If 1.412–1.420 holds and the 1.406–1.394 dip gets absorbed, price is likely to push up and squeeze through 1.432–1.456, then target the denser cluster at 1.492–1.528.
🔁 Alternate path (bearish if pivot fails) • If 1.412–1.420 breaks and rebounds stay capped below it, liquidity can pull price into 1.406–1.394; a clean breakdown may extend to 1.382–1.370 → 1.346–1.334 as downside draws deepen.
📌 Navigation levels • Pivot: 1.412–1.420 • Bull confirm: 1.432–1.444 (reclaim/hold) • Reaction support: 1.406–1.394 (losing it increases downside risk) • Near resistance: 1.432–1.456, then 1.492–1.528
⚠️ Risk notes • Prioritize break/pullback setups around the pivot with tight invalidation, since near-price liquidity is thin and two-sided sweeps are common. • If 1.492–1.528 is cleared, consider trailing—higher clusters into 1.540–1.576 can trigger step-like spikes and pullbacks.
SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry is within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 1.93%. The uptrend is in cycle 341, upside amplitude 21.67%.
SC02 M15 - pending Short order. Entry is within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 4.75%. The downtrend is in cycle 199, downside amplitude 40.98%.
SC02 H4 - pending Short order. Entry is within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 12.17%. The downtrend is in cycle 195, downside amplitude 61.39%.
🔎 Quick read • Long-liq below: 81.0–80.2 → 79.6–78.4 → 77.8–76.6 (deeper: 75.4–74.2) • Short-liq above: 83.1–84.3 → 85.5–86.7 → 87.3–88.6 (further: 89.1–90.3) • Thin zone near price: around 81.4–82.3 is relatively thin, so a quick sweep before direction is still likely
🧭 Higher-probability path (bullish if pivot holds) • If 81.4–81.7 holds and price doesn’t slip deeply below 81.0, the market is likely to push higher and squeeze through 83.1–84.3 → 85.5–86.7, then reassess 87.3–88.6.
🔁 Alternate path (bearish if pivot fails) • If 81.4–81.7 breaks and rebounds stay capped below it, liquidity can pull price into 81.0–80.2; a clean breakdown can extend to 79.6–78.4 → 77.8–76.6 as downside draws deepen.
📌 Navigation levels • Pivot: 81.4–81.7 • Bull confirm: 82.6–83.1 (reclaim/hold) • Reaction support: 81.0–80.2 (losing it increases downside risk) • Near resistance: 83.1–84.3, then 85.5–86.7
⚠️ Risk notes • Prioritize break/pullback setups around the pivot with tight invalidation, since near-price liquidity is thin and chop is common. • If 85.5–86.7 is cleared, consider trailing—liquidity clusters above can amplify step-like spikes and pullbacks.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 1.74%. The uptrend is in cycle 234, upside amplitude 13.44%.
SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry is within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 0.89%. The downtrend is in cycle 200, downside amplitude 7.48%.
📊 $ETH – Liquidation Map (7 days) – Index ~1,971.8
🔎 Quick read • Long-liq below: 1,952–1,931 → 1,910–1,889 → 1,869–1,848 (deeper: 1,828–1,805) • Short-liq above: 2,000–2,021 → 2,021–2,062 → 2,083–2,124 (further: 2,145–2,186) • Thin zone near price: around 1,970–2,000 looks relatively thin, so an upside sweep above 2,000 before commitment is still likely
🧭 Higher-probability path (bullish if pivot holds) • If 1,970–1,975 holds and price stays above 1,952, the market is likely to push higher and squeeze through 2,000–2,021 → 2,021–2,062, then reassess 2,083–2,124.
🔁 Alternate path (bearish if pivot fails) • If 1,970–1,975 breaks and rebounds remain capped below it, liquidity can pull price into 1,952–1,931; a clean breakdown can extend to 1,910–1,889 → 1,869–1,848 as downside draws deepen.
📌 Navigation levels • Pivot: 1,970–1,975 • Bull confirm: 2,000–2,010 (reclaim/hold) • Reaction support: 1,952–1,931 (losing it increases downside risk) • Near resistance: 2,021–2,062 (dense), then 2,083–2,124
⚠️ Risk notes • Prioritize break/pullback setups around the pivot with tight invalidation, since near-price liquidity is thin and chop is common. • If 2,021–2,062 is cleared, consider trailing—liquidity thins out above, which can amplify sharp swings.
SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 2.59%. The uptrend is in cycle 96, upside amplitude 12.03%.